BBC News Brexit Expectations Poll - Savanta ComRes...BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll...

BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll

METHODOLOGY NOTE

ComRes interviewed 1,004 British adults aged 18+ by telephone from 7th-10th July 2016. Data were weighted to be representative of all GB

adults aged 18+. ComRes sets quotas during fieldwork and weights the raw data on the following demographic information: age, gender,

government office region and social grade. The sample includes both landline and mobile telephone numbers. Additionally the data is

weighted by past vote recall to the EU referendum. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed.

To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Tom Mludzinski: [email protected]

To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]

ClassAge IIAge IGenderDEC2C1AB55+35-5418-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

4862105126123104115764752516649164177341To Remain in the EU20%29%39%47%33%30%39%34%32%29%31%38%42%32%36%34%

10896897717113267997276564324200170370To Leave the EU44%44%33%29%46%38%23%44%50%42%34%25%21%39%35%37%

74425749458692301438485537110113223Did not vote30%19%21%18%12%25%32%13%10%21%29%32%32%21%23%22%

151819183222162011139106412970Refused6%8%7%7%9%6%6%9%8%7%5%6%5%8%6%7%

Page 1

EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Q3. Priority forthe British

Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the

the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion

MaintainRestrict-ingYork--ing theaccess toshire &

StayfreedomtheHum-about theofsingleSouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-ber-NorthNorthScot-

FallsameIncreasemovementmarketLeaveRemainWestEastLondonernWaleslandslandssideWestEastlandTotal

5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

1341673718318-3413544494014182826411037341To Remain in the EU26%46%37%6%48%-100%39%32%37%41%27%24%31%30%35%24%42%34%

24310322207154370-3051403522354243341822370To Leave the EU46%28%22%66%23%100%-34%36%30%36%43%47%46%50%29%43%25%37%

110733566142--1632392015171412261024223Did not vote21%20%35%21%22%--18%23%29%21%29%23%16%14%22%23%27%22%

372172243--814431575154570Refused7%6%7%7%7%--9%10%3%3%1%7%7%6%13%10%6%7%

Page 2


Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes


1281161583343362371632041321361019964339397736Unweighted base

15615819420329423518217511912810810973364347711Weighted base

4862105126123104115764752516649164177341To Remain in the EU31%39%54%62%42%44%63%44%39%41%48%61%67%45%51%48%

10896897717113267997276564324200170370To Leave the EU69%61%46%38%58%56%37%56%61%59%52%39%33%55%49%52%

Page 3


Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All giving a vote

Prepared by ComRes







3663046019053330043667108957337517076712860736Unweighted base

376271592264733703416595897536526968752858711Weighted base

1341673718318-3413544494014182826411037341To Remain in the EU36%62%63%8%67%-100%54%47%55%53%39%34%40%37%55%36%63%48%

24310322207154370-3051403522354243341822370To Leave the EU64%38%37%92%33%100%-46%53%45%47%61%66%60%63%45%64%37%52%

Page 4


Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All giving a vote

Prepared by ComRes

Q2. SummaryTradeLeading

negotiatorsCivil servantspoliticians

100410041004Unweighted base

100410041004Weighted base

407473269NET: Great deal/ fair41%47%27%amount

557632A great deal (4)5%8%3%

352397237A fair amount (3)35%40%24%

331292377Not very much (2)33%29%38%

209209344Not at all (1)21%21%34%

541501721NET: Not very much/ at54%50%72%all

573014Don't know6%3%1%

2.272.351.96Mean

0.870.900.85Standard deviation0.030.030.03Standard error

Page 5


Absolutes/col percentsTable 5Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's

withdrawal from the European Union ...- Summary

Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

604967921077587674141344343143126269NET: Great deal/ fair25%23%25%34%29%22%30%30%28%23%21%25%37%28%26%27%amount

48101019499103145171632A great deal (4)2%4%4%4%5%1%3%4%7%1%1%3%4%3%3%3%

56415882887277573139333938127110237A fair amount (3)23%19%21%30%24%21%27%25%21%22%20%22%33%25%22%24%

9278107100153122102945958636438203174377Not very much (2)38%36%40%37%41%35%35%42%41%33%38%37%33%39%36%38%

8791927310314398624178656335162182344Not at all (1)36%42%34%27%28%42%34%27%28%44%40%36%30%31%37%34%

17916920017325626520015510113612812773365356721NET: Not very much/ at73%77%74%64%69%77%69%69%70%76%78%73%63%71%73%72%all

6-3574433124-7714Don't know2%-1%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%-1%1%1%

1.911.851.942.112.061.811.992.062.071.811.821.912.112.001.921.96Mean

0.810.860.840.850.860.800.860.840.890.830.780.840.890.840.850.85Standard deviation0.060.070.060.040.040.040.060.050.070.060.060.070.090.040.040.03Standard error

Page 6



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Leading politicians


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

156872572192101112264737341112332126617269NET: Great deal/ fair30%24%25%23%29%27%33%29%34%28%34%21%16%36%25%23%15%19%27%amount

256112181894844215*3-232A great deal (4)5%2%1%4%3%5%3%5%5%3%4%4%1%6%*2%-2%3%

1328124601748310322403329911282124615237A fair amount (3)25%22%24%19%26%23%30%25%28%25%30%17%15%31%24%21%15%17%24%

205144231262401391283651504028322728391630377Not very much (2)39%40%23%40%36%38%37%41%36%37%41%55%43%30%33%34%38%35%38%

15313152113220130962442432212313034492039344Not at all (1)29%36%51%36%33%35%28%27%30%32%22%24%41%33%40%42%47%44%34%

358275752394602692246092926140625762883669721NET: Not very much/ at68%76%73%76%70%73%66%68%66%70%63%79%84%64%73%76%85%79%72%all

82235-52132---21-214Don't know2%1%2%1%1%-1%3%1%3%2%---2%1%-2%1%

2.051.891.751.901.991.972.072.072.101.982.172.001.762.091.851.821.681.771.96Mean

0.860.800.860.840.850.880.830.850.890.840.830.760.750.930.810.840.730.820.85Standard deviation0.040.040.090.050.030.050.040.090.070.070.090.110.090.100.080.080.110.090.03Standard error

Page 7



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Leading politicians


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base


813292723262713101881612344276A great deal (4)3%6%11%10%6%8%9%6%7%10%5%9%10%7%9%8%

8375117121121129147754554758364190206397A fair amount (3)34%34%43%45%33%38%51%33%31%30%45%48%55%37%42%40%

895870761379461904750433527178114292Not very much (2)36%26%26%28%37%27%21%40%32%28%26%20%23%35%23%29%

5868463784873843415236281096113209Not at all (1)24%31%17%14%23%25%13%19%28%29%22%16%9%19%23%21%


7581068163253124171330Don't know3%2%3%4%2%2%6%2%2%3%2%7%4%3%3%3%

2.172.162.492.532.232.282.602.272.172.222.342.542.682.332.372.35Mean


Page 8



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Civil servants


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base


452471659292791312838685-476A great deal (4)9%7%7%5%9%8%8%11%10%9%8%7%10%6%9%4%-5%8%

20316129803091241813765544117243830451828397A fair amount (3)39%44%28%25%47%34%53%41%46%41%42%33%33%43%36%39%42%33%40%

15810523106177115922831353914232525331328292Not very much (2)30%29%23%34%27%31%27%32%22%26%40%27%31%28%29%28%31%32%29%

996838103969138112729811201622281026209Not at all (1)19%19%38%33%15%25%11%13%19%22%9%22%26%18%26%24%23%30%21%


186591710335316-4*52*30Don't know3%2%5%3%3%3%1%3%4%3%1%11%-5%*4%5%*3%

2.382.392.042.032.512.262.582.512.482.382.512.282.272.392.272.242.202.132.35Mean


Page 9



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Civil servants


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base


818121721201415611977312455A great deal (4)3%8%5%6%6%6%5%7%4%6%5%4%6%6%5%5%

7263104112119117115714857606252173179352A fair amount (3)29%29%39%42%32%34%40%32%33%32%36%36%45%34%37%35%

8575878413410592815356495438185146331Not very much (2)35%34%32%31%36%31%32%36%36%31%30%31%33%36%30%33%

6553553675854946294837311897113209Not at all (1)27%24%20%13%20%25%17%20%20%27%23%18%15%19%23%21%


1591221201621128610201292857Don't know6%4%4%8%5%5%7%5%6%3%6%11%1%6%6%6%

2.102.222.282.442.252.222.352.262.232.192.262.292.422.282.252.27Mean


Page 10



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Trade negotiators


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base


35128124120288945287341455A great deal (4)7%3%7%4%6%5%8%9%7%3%5%4%10%8%3%3%1%5%5%

19413522852601271373057474017233329341726352A fair amount (3)37%37%22%27%40%34%40%34%41%36%41%33%31%37%33%29%40%29%35%

170121321122071301042439483316293529351627331Not very much (2)33%33%32%36%31%35%30%27%27%36%34%32%39%38%33%30%39%32%33%

997234911127949182824121213121935729209Not at all (1)19%20%34%29%17%21%14%20%20%18%12%23%18%14%23%30%17%33%21%


24235133815248898413681157Don't know5%6%5%4%6%4%7%9%5%6%8%7%2%3%7%7%3%1%6%

2.332.262.032.062.372.242.462.352.362.262.422.202.342.392.192.062.262.072.27Mean


Page 11



withdrawal from the European Union ...- Trade negotiators


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

1161332032062052322211287711511612596329328658Maintaining access to47%61%75%76%55%67%76%57%53%64%71%72%83%64%67%66%the single market so

Britain can have freetrade with the EU

11879605714910362876358454319174140314Restricting the freedom48%36%22%21%40%30%21%38%43%33%27%25%16%34%29%31%of movement so

immigration from the EUis reduced

1177716971156361122032Don't know4%3%3%3%4%3%3%5%3%3%2%4%1%2%4%3%

Page 12


Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q3. Which of the following do you think should be the priority for the British Government when negotiating the UK's withdrawal from the EU?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

30628061-6581543186199936031435957752653658Maintaining access to59%77%60%-100%42%93%69%71%70%62%61%58%65%67%65%62%61%66%the single market so

Britain can have freetrade with the EU

2027436314-207182337323519303027351432314Restricting the freedom39%20%35%100%-56%5%26%26%24%36%37%40%34%32%31%34%36%31%of movement so

immigration from the EUis reduced

15115--844482121152332Don't know3%3%5%--2%1%5%3%6%2%2%2%1%1%4%4%3%3%

Page 13


Absolutes/col percentsTable 13Q3. Which of the following do you think should be the priority for the British Government when negotiating the UK's withdrawal from the EU?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

93821581741531701858766799110382235272508NET: Satisfied38%38%59%64%41%49%64%38%46%44%55%59%71%46%56%51%

2826687948678626223630483876124200Very satisfied (4)11%12%25%29%13%19%29%11%15%20%18%28%32%15%25%20%

65569195104103100614442615545159148307Fairly satisfied (3)27%26%34%35%28%30%34%27%30%24%37%32%38%31%30%31%

5755554382715759233536342312485210Fairly dissatisfied (2)23%25%20%16%22%21%20%26%16%19%22%19%20%24%17%21%

827544461199236744560322610130117247Very dissatisfied (1)34%34%16%17%32%27%12%33%31%33%19%15%9%25%24%25%

1391299890201163931336894685933255202457NET: Dissatisfied57%59%36%33%54%47%32%59%47%53%41%34%29%49%41%45%

13713616111261165121251540Don't know5%3%5%2%4%3%4%2%7%3%3%7%1%5%3%4%

2.172.162.712.782.232.432.852.172.322.322.562.772.952.372.592.48Mean


Page 14


Absolutes/col percentsTable 14Q4. Thinking about the government's negotiation to leave the EU, how satisfied or dissatisfied would you be if it continues to allow immigration from the EU

in exchange for access to the single market?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

2212275433463852734980814918314542551740508NET: Satisfied42%62%53%10%70%23%80%56%57%61%50%35%42%50%49%48%40%46%51%

771022041942013921313617710181524516200Very satisfied (4)15%28%20%1%30%5%41%24%22%27%17%15%13%20%18%21%12%18%20%

1441263429268661342850453210212726311224307Fairly satisfied (3)28%34%33%9%41%18%39%32%35%34%33%20%29%30%31%27%28%28%31%

139626100108118371533221915162118271212210Fairly dissatisfied (2)27%17%6%32%16%32%11%17%23%16%19%30%22%23%21%23%29%14%21%

149593717364155252123242416252024231134247Very dissatisfied (1)29%16%36%55%10%42%7%24%16%18%25%32%34%22%28%20%27%39%25%

28812143273172273623656464331424142502346457NET: Dissatisfied55%33%43%87%26%74%18%41%40%34%44%61%56%45%49%44%55%53%45%

131659231163465214292140Don't know3%4%5%3%3%3%2%3%3%5%5%4%1%4%2%8%5%1%4%

2.292.772.381.552.931.863.152.582.652.732.452.182.222.502.392.532.262.262.48Mean


Page 15


Absolutes/col percentsTable 15Q4. Thinking about the government's negotiation to leave the EU, how satisfied or dissatisfied would you be if it continues to allow immigration from the EU

in exchange for access to the single market?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

2539575748577229202829452868110178Stay in the Single10%18%21%21%13%17%25%13%14%16%18%26%24%13%22%18%Market with the current

rules on free movement

1241071401511821801601077589909763297224522Stay in the Single51%49%52%56%49%52%55%48%52%50%55%56%54%58%46%52%Market with some limits

on free movement

766662521169050724450402723125132257Leave the EU Single31%30%23%19%31%26%17%32%30%28%24%15%20%24%27%26%Market and end rules on

free movement

20811102317816611653242448Don't know8%3%4%4%6%5%3%7%4%6%3%3%3%5%5%5%

Page 16


Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q5. Following the result of the EU referendum, the UK will now have to negotiate a new deal on the EU single market. The EU Single Market allows countries in the EU

to trade with each other without additional charges or regulation standards. As part of this access, they must agree to rules allowing free movement of peopleincluding the right of EU citizens to be able to live and work anywhere in the EU.


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

549725211522710016292819121511917913178Stay in the Single10%27%24%7%23%7%29%18%20%21%20%23%20%12%10%15%21%15%18%Market with the current

rules on free movement

290186421523611981825278675321345642542738522Stay in the Single56%51%42%48%55%54%53%59%56%51%54%41%46%62%49%47%63%44%52%Market with some limits

on free movement

154713112812213052182529201818223437727257Leave the EU Single30%20%31%41%19%35%15%21%18%22%21%36%25%24%40%32%16%31%26%Market and end rules on

free movement

2410313221572886-7117-948Don't know5%3%3%4%3%4%2%2%6%6%6%-9%1%1%6%-10%5%

Page 17


Absolutes/col percentsTable 17Q5. Following the result of the EU referendum, the UK will now have to negotiate a new deal on the EU single market. The EU Single Market allows countries in the EU

to trade with each other without additional charges or regulation standards. As part of this access, they must agree to rules allowing free movement of peopleincluding the right of EU citizens to be able to live and work anywhere in the EU.


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

Most citizens of EU countries currently living in the UK will be required to leave the country

442421153129442110101921236440105Expect to happen18%11%8%6%9%8%15%9%7%6%11%12%20%12%8%10%

19319124325133330424219813516414015092440438879Do not expect to happen79%87%90%93%90%88%83%88%93%92%85%86%79%86%90%88%

835461146-5631101121Don't know3%1%2%1%2%3%2%3%-3%4%2%1%2%2%2%

Some EU (non-UK) citizens currently resident in the UK will be required to leave the country

82725461999575623746494332144125269Expect to happen33%33%20%23%27%28%26%27%26%26%30%25%27%28%26%27%


1081451518411411731221537Don't know4%4%5%2%4%5%1%5%3%6%4%2%1%4%3%4%

Some UK citizens currently living in EU countries will be required to return to the UK

767370557895101483052435942150124274Expect to happen31%33%26%20%21%28%35%21%20%29%26%34%36%29%25%27%


777718921085411181029Don't know3%3%3%3%5%3%1%4%6%3%2%*1%4%2%3%

Page 18


Absolutes/col percentsTable 18Q6. As a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU, which of the following do you expect to happen ...Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes


2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

Most UK citizens currently living in EU countries will be required to return to the UK

654539264853743314193442329877175Expect to happen27%20%14%10%13%16%26%15%10%11%21%24%28%19%16%17%


69661791810631-19827Don't know3%4%2%2%5%3%*3%7%3%2%*-4%2%3%

Page 19



Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

Most citizens of EU countries currently living in the UK will be required to leave the country

6119253959292710111277871112317105Expect to happen12%5%24%12%9%8%8%11%8%9%7%13%11%8%13%10%7%20%10%

452343732665883343107512811889416580731023968879Do not expect to happen86%94%71%85%89%90%91%85%91%89%92%80%87%89%86%88%93%78%88%

103491175412131312-221Don't know2%1%4%3%2%2%1%4%1%2%1%6%2%3%1%2%-3%2%

Some EU (non-UK) citizens currently resident in the UK will be required to leave the country

160733210815110878273733271017282924928269Expect to happen31%20%32%34%23%29%23%31%27%25%27%19%22%31%34%20%21%32%27%


141161421135654-524132537Don't know3%3%6%4%3%4%1%7%4%3%-10%3%4%1%3%4%5%4%

Some UK citizens currently living in EU countries will be required to return to the UK

1558035101159104783349291915202928201021274Expect to happen30%22%34%32%24%28%23%38%35%22%20%29%27%33%32%18%23%24%27%


1484916963271221142329Don't know3%2%4%3%2%2%2%3%2%5%1%3%3%1%2%3%4%3%3%

Page 20



Prepared by ComRes







52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

Most UK citizens currently living in EU countries will be required to return to the UK

105402975935852182216171214162017716175Expect to happen20%11%29%24%14%16%15%21%15%12%17%23%19%18%23%15%17%19%17%


11859148764821111--327Don't know2%2%5%3%2%2%2%6%3%6%2%2%2%1%2%--4%3%

Page 21



Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

31351818433425291417171594854102NET: Increase13%16%7%7%12%10%8%13%10%10%10%9%8%9%11%10%

15153512151110210656142438Increase a lot (5)6%7%1%2%3%4%4%4%1%5%3%3%5%3%5%4%

162015123119131912712104343064Increase a little (4)6%9%6%5%8%6%5%8%9%4%7%6%3%7%6%6%

8571106103130128106795162666541179185364Stay about the same (3)35%32%39%38%35%37%37%35%35%35%40%38%35%35%38%36%

7389110118138130123835567637152206185390Fall a little (2)30%41%41%44%37%38%42%37%38%37%38%41%45%40%38%39%

511934295743323324281521127458132Fall a lot (1)21%9%12%11%15%12%11%15%17%16%9%12%10%14%12%13%

1241091441461941721551157995789264279243522NET: Fall50%50%53%54%53%50%54%51%55%53%47%53%55%54%50%52%

54343943-54229716Don't know2%2%1%1%1%3%1%1%-3%2%1%2%2%1%2%

2.472.642.412.432.462.502.472.512.392.452.562.472.472.432.542.48Mean


Page 22


Absolutes/col percentsTable 20Q7. To what extent, if at all, do you expect the level of immigration into the UK will increase or fall when the UK leaves the EU?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

--102366122371112137981049413102NET: Increase--100%11%9%6%11%12%8%10%8%18%11%11%5%8%11%15%10%

--382018981331817*221038Increase a lot (5)--37%6%3%3%2%1%2%2%1%16%1%8%*2%4%11%4%

--641642132999107173473464Increase a little (4)--63%5%6%3%9%11%7%8%7%1%10%3%4%6%6%4%6%

-364-742801031673546473516263926501331364Stay about the same (3)-100%-24%43%28%49%40%33%36%36%32%35%43%30%44%30%36%36%

390--1322461721072758514319323042371932390Fall a little (2)75%--42%37%47%31%31%41%38%44%36%43%34%50%32%46%37%39%

132--706071271522191177101215310132Fall a lot (1)25%--22%9%19%8%17%16%14%11%14%9%12%14%13%8%12%13%

522--2023062431344280695426394155522342522NET: Fall100%--64%46%66%39%47%57%52%55%51%52%45%64%45%54%49%52%

---31213*321-11*42*16Don't know---1%2%*1%1%2%2%1%-2%1%*4%5%*2%

1.753.004.372.312.562.242.662.492.372.452.422.682.502.622.262.502.502.662.48Mean


Page 23


Absolutes/col percentsTable 21Q7. To what extent, if at all, do you expect the level of immigration into the UK will increase or fall when the UK leaves the EU?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Q8. SummaryThe

affordabilityLevel ofof housingThe NHSunemploymentThe UK economy



294309303323NET: Better29%31%30%32%

52956161A lot better (5)5%9%6%6%

242214242262A little better (4)24%21%24%26%

414352362202No change (3)41%35%36%20%

190173218314A little worse (2)19%17%22%31%

95163112153A lot worse (1)9%16%11%15%

285336330468NET: Worse28%33%33%47%

117911Don't know1%1%1%1%

2.972.902.922.76Mean

1.011.191.071.18Standard deviation0.030.040.030.04Standard error

Page 24


Absolutes/col percentsTable 22Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Summary


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

9383816613711076904756534927162161323NET: Better38%38%30%24%37%32%26%40%33%31%32%28%23%31%33%32%

172211113225423919631253561A lot better (5)7%10%4%4%9%7%1%10%6%10%4%2%1%5%7%6%

766171551068572673938474527137125262A little better (4)31%28%26%20%29%25%25%30%27%21%29%26%23%27%26%26%

7637484198545054442826292110795202No change (3)31%17%18%15%27%16%17%24%31%16%16%17%18%21%19%20%

45748910696110109613452586346162152314A little worse (2)18%34%33%39%26%32%37%27%24%29%35%36%39%31%31%31%

272150553368521716412731218074153A lot worse (1)11%10%19%20%9%20%18%7%11%23%16%18%18%15%15%15%

7196140161128178161785093859467241226468NET: Worse29%44%52%60%35%52%55%35%35%52%52%54%58%47%46%47%

52136233311214711Don't know2%1%*1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

3.052.952.642.483.022.672.533.082.932.662.682.582.472.742.782.76Mean


Page 25


Absolutes/col percentsTable 23Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The UK economy


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

2038432170139197402951393523302233311316323NET: Better39%23%31%54%21%53%12%33%37%29%36%45%40%24%39%27%32%18%32%

42153362445381284364573161A lot better (5)8%4%3%11%4%12%1%9%8%6%4%6%8%5%6%6%7%1%6%

1616929135115152372140313120241828241115262A little better (4)31%19%29%43%18%41%11%24%28%23%32%39%32%20%33%21%25%17%26%

98841682115102321525182111201712291321202No change (3)19%23%16%26%18%28%9%17%18%14%21%22%27%19%14%25%30%25%20%

1571273050258651592642502814163628331132314A little worse (2)30%35%29%16%39%18%47%29%30%37%29%27%21%40%33%28%26%37%31%

6167201213761071621251139151121516153A lot worse (1)12%19%20%4%21%2%31%18%15%19%11%5%12%17%13%18%12%18%15%

2181945062396712664263743917255140541648468NET: Worse42%53%49%20%60%19%78%47%45%56%40%32%33%56%46%47%38%55%47%

423*8-43113--111-211Don't know1%1%3%*1%-1%3%1%1%3%--1%1%1%-2%1%

2.932.552.633.422.433.452.022.752.852.602.893.143.022.562.862.682.882.442.76Mean


Page 26


Absolutes/col percentsTable 24Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The UK economy


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

9769785911910975655459504530172131303NET: Better40%32%29%22%32%32%26%29%37%33%30%26%26%33%27%30%

2216148202615119917104352661A lot better (5)9%7%5%3%5%8%5%5%6%5%11%6%4%7%5%6%

75536351998361544551333426137105242A little better (4)31%24%23%19%27%24%21%24%31%28%20%20%22%27%22%24%

769210392141117103924960576736182180362No change (3)31%42%38%34%38%34%36%41%34%34%35%39%31%35%37%36%

40375982697673412837393935111107218A little worse (2)16%17%22%30%19%22%25%18%19%21%23%22%30%22%22%22%

291929353340392112231823154666112A lot worse (1)12%9%11%13%9%12%13%9%8%13%11%13%13%9%14%11%

695687118102116112624060566250157173330NET: Worse28%26%32%44%28%34%39%28%28%33%34%36%43%30%35%33%

312281-71-1--459Don't know1%1%1%1%2%*-3%1%-1%--1%1%1%

3.093.052.912.683.012.942.792.963.082.922.962.832.743.012.832.92Mean


Page 27


Absolutes/col percentsTable 25Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Level of unemployment


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

1968224152139186363650352516281832311220303NET: Better37%22%24%48%21%50%11%41%36%26%26%31%38%20%37%27%29%23%30%

41144352240281036747513761A lot better (5)8%4%4%11%3%11%1%9%7%3%6%13%6%8%5%1%7%8%6%

15568201171171463428403119924112730913242A little better (4)30%19%20%37%18%39%10%32%29%24%20%18%32%12%32%26%22%15%24%

182145301072421371042744393919284131472028362No change (3)35%40%30%34%37%37%30%31%31%29%40%37%38%45%37%40%48%32%36%

1039318321823612916323725915211225621218A little worse (2)20%25%18%10%28%10%38%18%23%28%25%18%20%23%14%22%13%24%22%

40392921908708142266310913417112A lot worse (1)8%11%29%7%14%2%21%9%10%17%6%12%4%11%11%11%10%20%11%

1431324754271441992446593115183121381039330NET: Worse27%36%46%17%41%12%58%27%32%44%32%30%24%34%25%33%23%44%33%

25*252211-21-11--19Don't know*1%*1%1%1%1%2%1%-2%2%-1%1%--1%1%

3.102.792.523.362.693.472.323.153.002.682.933.023.162.823.072.843.022.672.92Mean


Page 28


Absolutes/col percentsTable 26Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Level of unemployment


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

1017972571399674855441554430164145309NET: Better41%36%27%21%38%28%25%38%37%23%33%25%26%32%30%31%

3820271143302128161416139563995A lot better (5)15%9%10%4%12%9%7%12%11%8%10%7%7%11%8%9%

63594546966553583827393122107107214A little better (4)26%27%17%17%26%19%18%26%27%15%24%18%18%21%22%21%

776599111129115109795061547633186167352No change (3)32%30%37%41%35%33%37%35%35%34%33%44%28%36%34%35%

333942595365553122412423328093173A little worse (2)14%18%16%22%14%19%19%14%15%23%15%13%28%16%19%17%

323256434763523017323131218479163A lot worse (1)13%15%21%16%13%18%18%13%12%18%19%18%18%16%16%16%

657298101100128107613973565453164172336NET: Worse26%33%36%38%27%37%37%27%27%41%34%31%46%32%35%33%

2211251115-1-167Don't know1%1%***1%**1%3%-*-*1%1%

3.172.982.802.713.092.812.783.103.092.712.902.842.692.942.862.90Mean


Page 29


Absolutes/col percentsTable 27Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The NHS


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

2048318149147183432939423111242729401620309NET: Better39%23%18%48%22%49%13%33%28%32%32%22%33%30%34%35%38%23%31%

672266131638121211827611124995A lot better (5)13%6%5%19%5%17%2%13%9%9%8%5%10%7%13%10%9%10%9%

13760128911512035172730239172118291211214A little better (4)26%17%12%28%18%32%10%20%19%23%24%17%23%23%21%25%29%13%21%

18313135942461231122954463224313324341530352No change (3)35%36%34%30%37%33%33%32%38%35%33%47%42%36%28%30%35%35%35%

77801631141341002025242496131420216173A little worse (2)15%22%16%10%21%9%29%22%18%18%24%18%8%14%17%17%6%19%17%

56713237123278510231910611161820921163A lot worse (1)11%19%32%12%19%7%25%12%16%15%10%13%15%18%21%17%22%24%16%

1331514868264611853048433416172932391237336NET: Worse25%41%47%22%40%17%54%34%34%33%35%31%23%32%37%34%27%43%33%

3-132211-1--1211--7Don't know1%-1%1%*1%*1%-1%--2%2%1%1%--1%

3.162.682.443.342.683.432.353.002.862.932.962.843.052.872.892.942.972.662.90Mean


Page 30


Absolutes/col percentsTable 28Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The NHS


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

845374841129290704242515238162133294NET: Better34%24%27%31%30%27%31%31%29%23%31%30%33%31%27%29%

2191012201715137107123282452A lot better (5)9%4%4%5%5%5%5%6%5%6%4%7%2%5%5%5%

63446471927575563631444036134108242A little better (4)26%20%24%26%25%22%26%25%25%17%27%23%31%26%22%24%

9899110107178144911067279666230212202414No change (3)40%45%41%39%48%42%31%47%50%44%40%35%25%41%41%41%

354062534763802621303341399792190A little worse (2)14%18%23%20%13%18%27%12%15%17%20%24%33%19%19%19%

2625202425422819626161810405595A lot worse (1)10%11%8%9%7%12%10%8%4%15%9%10%9%8%11%9%

6165837773104108452756495949137148285NET: Worse25%30%31%29%20%30%37%20%19%31%29%34%42%27%30%28%

2242731433-1-4611Don't know1%1%1%1%2%1%*2%2%1%-1%-1%1%1%

3.082.872.932.983.092.892.893.083.112.832.962.932.843.022.902.97Mean


Page 31


Absolutes/col percentsTable 29Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The affordability of housing


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

181862611117512086304848279331623301021294NET: Better35%24%25%35%27%32%25%34%34%36%27%18%44%18%27%26%23%24%29%

33134301928451061384353552A lot better (5)6%4%4%10%3%8%1%5%7%4%1%5%10%4%3%4%8%6%5%

148732281156928225374226625122026616242A little better (4)28%20%21%26%24%25%24%29%27%32%26%12%33%14%24%22%15%18%24%

218157341322691851213157475133233039511735414No change (3)42%43%34%42%41%50%35%36%41%35%52%64%31%34%46%44%41%40%41%

89801544142458219252216213331424516190A little worse (2)17%22%15%14%22%12%24%22%18%16%16%5%18%37%17%21%12%18%19%

3336262565184679163631088101495A lot worse (1)6%10%25%8%10%5%13%8%6%12%3%12%4%11%9%7%25%16%9%

122116416920763128273537199164422321530285NET: Worse23%32%41%22%31%17%37%30%25%28%19%17%22%48%26%28%36%35%28%

15*3626-1*112-13-111Don't know*1%*1%1%1%2%-1%*1%2%3%-2%2%-1%1%

3.112.852.633.152.883.182.753.013.113.003.062.943.292.632.952.952.702.782.97Mean


Page 32


Absolutes/col percentsTable 30Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The affordability of housing


Prepared by ComRes

Q9. SummaryThe

affordabilityLevel ofof housingThe NHSunemploymentThe UK economy



391439453522NET: Better39%44%45%52%

116164118181A lot better (5)12%16%12%18%

275275335341A little better (4)27%27%33%34%

316256282160No change (3)32%26%28%16%

188157166206A little worse (2)19%16%17%20%

9113886100A lot worse (1)9%14%9%10%

279294253306NET: Worse28%29%25%30%

18151616Don't know2%1%2%2%

3.143.173.233.30Mean


Page 33


Absolutes/col percentsTable 31Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Summary


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

1421191391232181841211388096887843274249522NET: Better58%54%51%45%59%54%42%61%55%54%53%45%37%53%51%52%

524950307971314732422924710378181A lot better (5)21%22%19%11%21%21%11%21%22%23%18%14%6%20%16%18%

9069899313911390914855585436171171341A little better (4)37%32%33%35%38%33%31%40%33%31%35%31%31%33%35%34%

503333436444523925232224277485160No change (3)21%15%12%16%17%13%18%17%17%13%13%14%24%14%17%16%

24437465537379272634404832105101206A little worse (2)10%20%27%24%14%21%27%12%18%19%24%27%27%20%21%20%

22202137244036177251524125545100A lot worse (1)9%9%8%14%6%12%13%7%5%14%9%14%10%11%9%10%

46639510277113116443359557244159146306NET: Worse19%29%35%38%21%33%40%19%23%33%33%41%38%31%30%30%

653212224811-28916Don't know3%2%1%1%3%1%1%2%5%1%1%-2%1%2%2%

3.533.403.283.053.553.303.003.563.523.313.293.032.943.323.283.30Mean


Page 34


Absolutes/col percentsTable 32Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The UK economy


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

32415539221284296904871664929504354592330522NET: Better62%43%38%70%43%80%26%54%51%50%50%57%67%48%64%51%55%34%52%

126421110276124921251916111913202681181A lot better (5)24%12%11%33%12%33%3%24%18%15%16%22%25%15%24%22%19%2%18%

19811228119208172812746473317312934331528341A little better (4)38%31%27%38%32%47%24%30%33%35%34%34%42%33%40%29%36%32%34%

70731548105416116221121107141121918160No change (3)13%20%15%15%16%11%18%18%16%8%21%20%10%16%13%18%21%20%16%

879522321722612317313420710221220922206A little worse (2)17%26%21%10%26%7%36%20%22%26%20%14%13%25%14%17%22%25%20%

36372310875626101864711714117100A lot worse (1)7%10%23%3%13%1%18%6%7%14%6%8%10%12%8%12%2%19%10%

1241324542259311852341532611173319341039306NET: Worse24%36%44%13%39%8%54%26%29%40%26%22%23%37%22%29%25%44%30%

443392526221--11-116Don't know1%1%3%1%1%*1%2%4%2%2%2%--1%1%-1%2%

3.563.082.813.873.024.042.563.463.333.113.353.503.603.143.593.333.472.723.30Mean


Page 35


Absolutes/col percentsTable 33Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The UK economy


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

139991121021731631171066790736453242211453NET: Better57%45%41%38%47%48%40%47%46%50%44%37%45%47%43%45%

423032134442312420232021107641118A lot better (5)17%14%12%5%12%12%11%11%14%13%12%12%8%15%8%12%

9770798912912185824668544343165170335A little better (4)40%32%29%33%35%35%29%37%32%38%33%24%37%32%35%33%

527483731057899644134446039137145282No change (3)21%34%31%27%28%23%34%28%29%19%27%34%34%27%30%28%

312054625767433324333426177889166A little worse (2)12%9%20%23%15%19%15%15%17%18%21%15%14%15%18%17%

162317312630301971911228473986A lot worse (1)7%10%6%11%7%9%10%8%5%11%7%13%7%9%8%9%

47437093839773523152454925125128253NET: Worse19%19%26%35%22%28%25%23%21%29%27%28%21%24%26%25%

725196136331-11516Don't know3%1%2%*2%2%*1%4%2%2%1%-2%1%2%

3.503.293.222.973.303.233.153.273.353.243.223.093.253.293.183.23Mean


Page 36


Absolutes/col percentsTable 34Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Level of unemployment


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

28213231194243248854167475129383442482434453NET: Better54%36%31%62%37%67%25%46%47%35%53%56%51%38%49%42%56%39%45%

79289763976912111510121171110711118A lot better (5)15%8%9%24%6%20%3%14%8%11%10%24%15%8%13%9%18%12%12%

20310422118203173762955324216272731381623335A little better (4)39%29%21%37%31%47%22%33%39%24%43%32%36%30%36%33%38%27%33%

136115297220493952942382114182822371023282No change (3)26%32%29%23%31%25%28%33%30%29%22%27%25%31%26%32%25%26%28%

737716281361610910222920511151317618166A little worse (2)14%21%15%9%21%4%32%12%15%22%20%9%15%17%16%14%15%21%17%

2538241765104866155261371121386A lot worse (1)5%10%24%6%10%3%14%7%5%12%5%4%8%14%8%9%4%14%9%

9811439462022715717284425717282127831253NET: Worse19%31%39%15%31%7%46%19%20%33%25%14%23%31%24%24%19%36%25%

64231024243*21-13--16Don't know1%1%2%1%1%*1%2%3%2%*3%2%-1%3%--2%

3.463.022.773.673.023.782.673.343.323.023.323.653.353.003.303.183.503.013.23Mean


Page 37


Absolutes/col percentsTable 35Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Level of unemployment


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

137103107931911401081207167736642237202439NET: Better56%47%39%34%52%41%37%53%49%38%44%38%36%46%41%44%

6244362377563245322728171510163164A lot better (5)25%20%13%9%21%16%11%20%22%15%17%10%12%20%13%16%

756071691148576743940454828136138275A little better (4)31%27%26%26%31%25%26%33%27%22%27%28%24%26%28%27%

57497477838984582549395233127129256No change (3)23%22%27%28%23%26%29%26%17%28%24%30%28%25%26%26%

283245525260452428322723228275157A little worse (2)12%15%17%19%14%17%16%11%19%18%17%13%19%16%15%16%

192843483850502216252434176474138A lot worse (1)8%13%16%18%10%14%17%10%11%14%15%19%14%12%15%14%

4760881008910996454458525739146148294NET: Worse19%27%33%37%24%32%33%20%30%32%31%33%34%28%30%29%

5721762255*-251015Don't know2%3%1%*2%2%1%1%3%3%*-2%1%2%1%

3.553.283.042.883.393.112.983.443.313.073.152.963.013.253.093.17Mean


Page 38


Absolutes/col percentsTable 36Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The NHS


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

28012531199221251714451574922374241492027439NET: Better54%34%31%63%34%68%21%50%36%43%51%42%50%47%48%42%47%31%44%

12137690691081714242118314161817810164A lot better (5)23%10%6%29%10%29%5%16%17%16%19%6%19%17%22%15%19%11%16%

1598825109153143543027363118232622321217275A little better (4)30%24%25%35%23%39%16%34%19%27%32%36%31%29%26%27%28%20%27%

11810334651877392204629211618221526933256No change (3)23%28%33%21%28%20%27%23%33%22%22%32%24%25%17%22%21%38%26%

657792812728959152617910141419815157A little worse (2)13%21%9%9%19%8%28%11%11%20%18%17%13%15%16%17%20%17%16%

535825201151580112418948111420512138A lot worse (1)10%16%25%6%18%4%24%13%17%13%9%8%11%13%16%18%12%13%14%

1191353548243431752140442612182528401326294NET: Worse23%37%34%15%37%12%51%24%28%33%27%24%24%28%33%34%32%30%29%

6222733332-11*21--15Don't know1%*2%1%1%1%1%4%2%2%-2%2%*2%1%--1%

3.442.922.783.712.893.822.503.313.083.133.333.173.343.233.213.063.212.993.17Mean


Page 39


Absolutes/col percentsTable 37Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The NHS


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

1168310488152132107955763696839206185391NET: Better47%38%39%33%41%38%37%42%40%35%42%39%33%40%38%39%

47322315464624271921241687542116A lot better (5)19%14%9%5%12%13%8%12%13%12%15%9%7%14%9%12%

695281731068783673842455230132143275A little better (4)28%24%30%27%29%25%28%30%26%23%27%30%26%26%29%27%

7168799712010096724953475739160156316No change (3)29%31%29%36%33%29%33%32%34%30%29%33%33%31%32%32%

323761585971583722373335239395188A little worse (2)13%17%23%21%16%21%20%16%15%21%20%20%19%18%19%19%

2323212528362719921151314474491A lot worse (1)9%10%8%9%8%10%9%8%6%12%9%7%12%9%9%9%

556082838710785553259484837140139279NET: Worse22%27%30%31%23%31%29%25%22%33%29%28%32%27%28%28%

37521142474--29918Don't know1%3%2%1%3%1%1%2%5%2%--2%2%2%2%

3.353.163.092.983.233.103.073.223.263.033.193.132.973.193.093.14Mean


Page 40


Absolutes/col percentsTable 38Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The affordability of housing


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

24111731159220182872862614020403030381823391NET: Better46%32%31%51%34%49%25%32%44%46%41%39%54%33%35%33%44%27%39%

8325971437951019177101111111147116A lot better (5)16%7%8%23%7%21%1%11%13%13%7%19%14%12%12%10%9%8%12%

158922288177104821943443411291920271516275A little better (4)30%25%22%28%27%28%24%21%31%33%35%21%40%21%23%23%35%18%27%

156130271012071241143142323319162335481029316No change (3)30%36%26%32%31%33%33%35%30%24%34%37%21%25%41%41%25%33%32%

88811530152459920222215811281021821188A little worse (2)17%22%15%9%23%12%29%23%16%17%15%16%15%31%12%18%20%24%19%

333126196815379101392599851391A lot worse (1)6%8%26%6%10%4%11%10%7%10%9%4%7%10%10%7%12%15%9%

1221124149220601362932352410173819281334279NET: Worse23%31%41%16%33%16%40%33%23%27%24%20%22%42%22%25%31%39%28%

45251045-55*22-11-118Don't know1%1%2%2%2%1%1%-3%4%*4%3%-1%1%-1%2%

3.333.002.723.522.963.512.763.013.283.243.153.353.402.933.163.123.102.813.14Mean


Page 41


Absolutes/col percentsTable 39Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The affordability of housing


Prepared by ComRes

Q10. SummaryThe United

Kingdom will nolonger exist as

eitherThe EnglandLondon willScotland, Walesfootball teamhave becomeor Northern

will have won aindependent ofIreland willThe UK will bemajorthe rest of thehave becomea member of the

tournamentUKindependentEU



134112532253NET: Likely13%11%53%25%

404317853Very likely (4)4%4%18%5%

9468354200Fairly likely (3)9%7%35%20%

176186256357Fairly unlikely (2)18%19%25%36%

659698201374Very unlikely (1)66%70%20%37%

835884457732NET: Unlikely83%88%45%73%

3481519Don't know3%1%2%2%

1.501.452.511.93Mean


Page 42


Absolutes/col percentsTable 40Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- Summary


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

60577265728398393339445741137116253NET: Likely24%26%27%24%20%24%34%17%23%22%27%33%35%27%24%25%

151871318221499166122262753Very likely (4)6%8%3%5%5%6%5%4%6%9%3%7%2%5%6%5%

4538655254618430252339453911189200Fairly likely (3)18%18%24%19%15%18%29%13%17%13%23%26%33%22%18%20%

788390105118126113754465616647190167357Fairly unlikely (2)32%38%33%39%32%37%39%33%30%37%37%38%40%37%34%36%

987510399168128781056368604929176199374Very unlikely (1)40%34%38%36%45%37%27%47%44%38%37%28%25%34%41%37%

17715819320428725419118010713412111576366365732NET: Unlikely72%72%71%75%77%74%66%80%74%75%73%66%65%71%75%73%

94521172657-2-12819Don't know3%2%2%1%3%2%1%3%3%4%-1%-2%2%2%

1.902.001.911.921.781.932.121.741.851.921.942.122.111.971.891.93Mean


Page 43


Absolutes/col percentsTable 41Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The UK will be a member of the EU


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

1171013351194631131933392616142322271223253NET: Likely22%28%32%16%30%17%33%22%23%29%27%31%19%25%26%23%28%26%25%

182410123913214996165143453Very likely (4)3%7%9%4%6%3%6%5%6%7%6%1%8%5%1%4%7%5%5%

100772339155509115243020158182122918200Fairly likely (3)19%21%23%12%24%14%27%17%17%22%21%30%10%20%24%19%21%21%20%

18014527842631101453356463413273723491624357Fairly unlikely (2)34%40%27%27%40%30%42%37%40%35%35%26%36%41%26%42%39%28%36%

21811439172193191813452433320343141371435374Very unlikely (1)42%31%38%55%29%52%24%38%37%33%34%39%46%34%48%32%34%40%37%

3982596625745630122667107906734606763863059732NET: Unlikely76%71%65%82%69%81%66%75%77%68%69%66%81%75%74%75%72%68%73%

75377532-442---3-519Don't know1%1%3%2%1%1%1%3%-3%4%3%---2%-6%2%

1.842.032.041.642.061.682.161.881.932.031.991.931.811.971.791.942.011.901.93Mean


Page 44


Absolutes/col percentsTable 42Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The UK will be a member of the EU


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

11511315315116320116892711029810266266266532NET: Likely47%52%57%56%44%58%58%41%49%57%60%59%57%52%54%53%

3750434754735035194528311976102178Very likely (4)15%23%16%17%15%21%17%16%13%25%17%18%17%15%21%18%

7763110104109127117575357707147190165354Fairly likely (3)32%29%41%39%30%37%40%25%36%32%42%41%40%37%34%35%

674866751077970693839404030152103256Fairly unlikely (2)27%22%24%28%29%23%24%31%26%22%24%23%26%30%21%25%

5854484193604858353526301886115201Very unlikely (1)24%25%18%15%25%18%16%26%24%19%16%17%15%17%24%20%

1241021141171991391181277374657048239218457NET: Unlikely51%46%42%43%54%40%41%56%50%41%40%40%41%46%45%45%

643274461312211515Don't know2%2%1%1%2%1%2%3%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%2%

2.392.512.562.582.342.632.602.322.382.642.622.602.592.512.522.51Mean


Page 45


Absolutes/col percentsTable 43Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The United Kingdom will no longer exist as either Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland will have become independent


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

263199631253891492084867754723414652572254532NET: Likely50%55%62%40%59%40%61%54%48%57%49%44%55%51%61%49%52%62%53%

94552751123546817222414614181319922178Very likely (4)18%15%26%16%19%15%20%19%15%18%14%11%19%20%16%16%22%25%18%

1681433673265951403146513317272839381332354Fairly likely (3)32%39%36%23%40%26%41%35%33%39%34%34%36%31%45%33%30%37%35%

1391021284165112912243362812142321291414256Fairly unlikely (2)27%28%12%27%25%30%27%25%31%27%29%24%19%25%25%25%33%16%25%

1126027999610341182820171617221228519201Very unlikely (1)21%16%26%32%15%28%12%21%20%15%18%32%23%24%14%24%11%22%20%

252162391832612151314071564528314433571833457NET: Unlikely48%45%38%58%40%58%38%46%50%42%46%56%42%49%39%49%44%37%45%

83-6862-215-2--22*15Don't know2%1%-2%1%2%1%-2%1%5%-3%--2%5%*2%

2.482.542.622.252.642.272.692.532.452.602.482.232.532.472.622.422.662.662.51Mean


Page 46


Absolutes/col percentsTable 44Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The United Kingdom will no longer exist as either Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland will have become independent


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

322037222345441211192620235953112NET: Likely13%9%14%8%6%13%15%5%7%11%16%12%20%11%11%11%

1591469191554118511241943Very likely (4)6%4%5%2%2%6%5%2%3%6%5%3%9%5%4%4%

17122317142629867191613353468Fairly likely (3)7%5%9%6%4%8%10%3%4%4%11%9%11%7%7%7%

4740594163735035284033222811274186Fairly unlikely (2)19%18%22%15%17%21%17%16%19%22%20%13%24%22%15%19%

16215717420627922219717510411710513165341357698Very unlikely (1)66%72%64%76%75%65%68%78%72%66%64%76%56%66%73%70%

20819623324734229524721013215713815493453431884NET: Unlikely85%90%86%91%93%86%85%93%91%88%84%88%80%88%88%88%

52-153-323*--358Don't know2%1%-*1%1%-1%1%1%*--1%1%1%

1.521.411.551.341.321.541.531.291.381.501.571.391.731.491.411.45Mean


Page 47


Absolutes/col percentsTable 45Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- London will have become independent of the rest of the UK


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

68281436734324616269678144105112NET: Likely13%8%13%11%11%12%7%6%11%20%9%12%9%9%16%4%25%6%11%

26691825214-892146513343Very likely (4)5%2%9%6%4%6%1%-6%7%2%3%6%7%6%1%7%3%4%

412241848222168177522838268Fairly likely (3)8%6%4%6%7%6%6%6%6%13%7%9%3%2%10%3%18%3%7%

858213441385866222317188111212321120186Fairly unlikely (2)16%23%13%14%21%16%19%25%17%13%18%16%15%13%14%28%25%23%19%

3672527323244526625058101906837576958782161698Very unlikely (1)70%69%72%74%68%72%73%66%72%68%70%72%76%77%68%67%50%70%70%

452334862755833243168012510686456881701103282884NET: Unlikely87%92%85%88%89%88%93%91%89%80%88%88%91%90%83%95%75%93%88%

322322*2--2--111-*8Don't know**2%1%*1%*3%--3%--1%1%1%-*1%

1.471.401.501.431.471.451.351.391.441.591.391.441.381.391.541.371.811.391.45Mean


Page 48


Absolutes/col percentsTable 46Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- London will have become independent of the rest of the UK


Prepared by ComRes


203153215433416342246256160189153154924645401004Unweighted base

2452192702703703442902251451791651741175154891004Weighted base

412442275944314514222116167460134NET: Likely17%11%16%10%16%13%11%20%9%12%13%9%13%14%12%13%

17895231251767441221740Very likely (4)7%4%3%2%6%3%2%8%4%4%3%3%*4%4%4%

2316332235322628715171115524394Fairly likely (3)10%7%12%8%10%9%9%13%5%8%10%7%13%10%9%9%

4241514363615244193131312110076176Fairly unlikely (2)17%19%19%16%17%18%18%19%13%17%19%18%18%19%16%18%

15014916619522722820412410312110712678320339659Very unlikely (1)61%68%61%72%61%66%70%55%71%68%65%72%67%62%69%66%

19219021623729028925616712315213715799421415835NET: Unlikely78%87%80%88%78%84%88%74%85%85%83%90%85%82%85%83%

125116211131295612201434Don't know5%2%4%2%6%3%1%6%6%3%4%1%2%4%3%3%

1.611.451.561.391.581.481.421.711.391.471.491.391.461.551.451.50Mean


Page 49


Absolutes/col percentsTable 47Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The England football team will have won a major tournament


Prepared by ComRes







5103889126471030043691152136954970909510340831004Unweighted base

52236410231465837034188140132975174908511542871004Weighted base

66442240874433112118258710811510134NET: Likely13%12%22%13%13%12%10%12%15%14%26%15%9%11%10%10%11%12%13%

10121711241491558224-63340Very likely (4)2%3%17%3%4%4%3%2%3%4%9%4%2%5%-6%6%4%4%

56335296331259161317656852794Fairly likely (3)11%9%5%9%10%8%7%10%12%10%17%11%7%6%10%4%5%8%9%

103551758114685813143119813149241220176Fairly unlikely (2)20%15%17%18%17%18%17%14%10%23%20%16%17%15%10%21%29%23%18%

3362546020743624624062100824634506768772549659Very unlikely (1)64%70%59%66%66%67%70%70%71%62%47%67%68%74%80%67%60%56%66%

439309772655503142997411311265436380771013768835NET: Unlikely84%85%76%84%84%85%88%84%81%85%67%83%85%89%90%88%89%78%83%

17112921119362714--3-834Don't know3%3%2%3%3%3%3%4%4%2%7%2%6%--2%-10%3%

1.491.441.791.491.491.481.401.411.451.551.871.521.411.421.301.471.581.561.50Mean


Page 50


Absolutes/col percentsTable 48Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The England football team will have won a major tournament


Prepared by ComRes

BBC News Brexit Expectations Poll - Savanta ComRes...BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll...

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Transcript of BBC News Brexit Expectations Poll - Savanta ComRes...BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll...