Baseline Report for the Impact Evaluation of the Central ...
Transcript of Baseline Report for the Impact Evaluation of the Central ...
Baseline Report for the Impact
Evaluation of the Central African
Republic Support to Vulnerable Groups
Community Development Project
(P111679) June 2012
Radu Ban (The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation)
Matthias Rieger (The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva)
Felipe Alexander Dunsch (The World Bank)
Marcus Holmlund (The World Bank)
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Acknowledgements We would like to acknowledge especially the following individuals who have made important
contributions to the work presented here: Evariste Simbarakiye, PDCAGV Project Coordinator; from the
Central African Institute of Statistics and Economic and Social Studies (ICASSES), Mustapha Issen (former
Director General), Serge Mathinide (current Director General), Jonas Nangola (Technical Director of the
Baseline Survey), M. Perkyss (2nd Technical Director of the Study), and Jean-Barthelemy Mbaitar (Data
Entry Supervisor); and from the World Bank, Bernard Harborne (Task Team Leader), Paul Bance
(Operations Officer), Christopher Saunders (Operations Analyst), David Tchuinou (Senior Country
Economist), and Carine-Reine Mbdeo Ngassia (Receptionist).
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Abbreviations
ADI Africa Development Indicators
CAR Central African Republic
CDC Commune Development Committee
CDD Community-Driven Development
ICASEES Central African Institute of Statistics and Economic and Social Studies
IE Impact Evaluation
LDF Local Development Fund
PDCAGV Support to Vulnerable Groups Community Development Project
PRF Priority Response Fund
VDC Village Development Committee
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Contents Acknowledgements ....................................................................................................................................... 2
Abbreviations ................................................................................................................................................ 3
Résumé ......................................................................................................................................................... 8
Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................................... 11
Introduction ................................................................................................................................................ 14
1. Impact Evaluation of the Central African Republic Support to Vulnerable Groups Community
Development Project .................................................................................................................................. 15
1.1 PDCAGV ....................................................................................................................................... 15
1.2 Research questions ..................................................................................................................... 16
1.3 Impact evaluation design .................................................................................................................. 17
Table 1.3.1: Phasing of project components by evaluation group ..................................................... 17
1.4 Data collection .................................................................................................................................. 20
Table 1.4.1: Target sample by survey type ......................................................................................... 20
Table 1.4.2: Target and final sample by survey type .......................................................................... 21
2. Baseline survey coverage .................................................................................................................... 21
2.1 Geographic coverage .................................................................................................................. 21
Figure 2.1.1: Geographic Coverage ..................................................................................................... 21
Table 2.1.1: Geographic Coverage ...................................................................................................... 22
3. Household and individual-level results ................................................................................................... 22
3.1 Household size, age, and gender distribution .................................................................................. 22
Table 3.1.1: Household demographics ............................................................................................... 22
Figure 3.1.1: Population (in millions) .................................................................................................. 23
Figure 3.1.2: Poverty Rates ..................................................................................................................... 23
3.2 Principal activities of household members (overall and by gender) ................................................ 25
Figure 3.2.1: Principal household-member activities ......................................................................... 25
Figure 3.2.2: Agricultural dependency ............................................................................................... 26
3.3 Illnesses preventing work/going to school ....................................................................................... 27
Table 3.3.1: Reasons for absence from work ...................................................................................... 27
3.4 Education status of household members ......................................................................................... 27
Table 3.4.1: Education indicators ........................................................................................................ 28
Figure 3.4.1: Net primary school enrollment ...................................................................................... 28
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3.5 Health/nutrition indicators ............................................................................................................... 29
Table 3.5.1: Selected health indicators ............................................................................................... 29
Figure 3.5.1: Under-5 mortality rate ................................................................................................... 30
3.6 Type of dwelling ................................................................................................................................ 30
Figure 3.6.1: Type of dwelling ............................................................................................................. 30
Figure 3.6.2: Roof material ................................................................................................................. 31
Figure 3.6.3: Wall material .................................................................................................................. 31
3.7 Time to access key infrastructure ..................................................................................................... 32
Table 3.7.1: Time to access locations of interest (average by foot in minutes) ................................. 32
3.8 Ethnicity/religion ............................................................................................................................... 33
Figure 3.8.1: Ethnicity ......................................................................................................................... 33
Figure 3.8.2: Mother tongue ............................................................................................................... 34
Figure 3.8.3: Religious affiliation ......................................................................................................... 34
3.9 Perception of village problems ..................................................................................................... 35
Figure 3.9.1: Village problems ............................................................................................................ 35
3.10 Prevalence of theft, violence, and conflict ..................................................................................... 36
Table 3.10.1: Prevalence of violence and theft .................................................................................. 36
3.11 Personal security ............................................................................................................................. 37
Table 3.11.1: Personal security perceptions ....................................................................................... 37
3.12 Participation in village meetings/volunteerism .............................................................................. 37
Table 3.12.1: Participation in village affairs ........................................................................................ 37
3.13 Trust ................................................................................................................................................ 38
Table 3.13.1: Who would you ask for help in case your mobile phone gets stolen? ......................... 38
3.14 Attitudes.......................................................................................................................................... 38
Table 3.14.1: Personal attitudes ......................................................................................................... 39
3.15 Nganga contacts/supernatural powers .......................................................................................... 40
Table 3.15.1: Nganga contacts/supernatural powers ......................................................................... 40
4. Village-level results ................................................................................................................................. 41
4.1 Village size ......................................................................................................................................... 41
4.2 Village access .................................................................................................................................... 41
Table 4.1.1: Condition of main village access road ............................................................................. 41
Figure 4.1.1: Village access ................................................................................................................. 41
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4.3 Pygmy populations around villages .................................................................................................. 42
Figure 4.2.1: Pygmy population .......................................................................................................... 42
4.4 Availability and condition of key infrastructure in villages ............................................................... 43
Figure 4.4.1: Key infrastructure .......................................................................................................... 43
Figure 4.4.2: Infrastructure rehabilitation and construction needs ................................................... 45
Table 4.4.1: Primary types of infrastructure used in neighboring villages ......................................... 46
5. Commune-level results ....................................................................................................................... 47
5.1 Commune leadership ........................................................................................................................ 47
5.2 Commune transparency .................................................................................................................... 47
Table 5.2.1: Commune councils and the public .................................................................................. 47
5.3 Commune Budget ............................................................................................................................. 48
Figure 5.3.1: Commune budget .......................................................................................................... 48
5.4 Commune tax revenues .................................................................................................................... 48
Figure 5.4.1: Tax collection and sharing with prefectures ...................................................................... 49
5.5 Principal agricultural products of communes ................................................................................... 50
Table 5.5.2: Principal agricultural product of communes ................................................................... 50
Source: Commune survey ........................................................................................................................ 50
5.6 Community organizations ................................................................................................................. 51
Figure 5.6.1: Community organizations .............................................................................................. 51
5.7 National/international NGO presence in communes ....................................................................... 52
Table 5.7.1: Presence of national NGOs, international development programs, local development
plans .................................................................................................................................................... 52
6. Village Chief Survey ................................................................................................................................. 53
6.1 Basic summary statistics ................................................................................................................... 53
Table 6.1.1: Village Chief Summary statistics ..................................................................................... 53
Table 6.2.1: Average age and years in office ...................................................................................... 53
6.2 Ascent to power ................................................................................................................................ 54
Figure 6.2.1: Assumption of power ..................................................................................................... 54
6.3 Chief roles ......................................................................................................................................... 55
Figure 6.3.1: Chiefs’ participation in community groups .................................................................... 55
Table 6.3.1: Other administrative positions of village chiefs .............................................................. 55
Table 6.3.2: Party membership of village chiefs ................................................................................. 56
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Figure 6.3.2: Village chief membership in commune council ............................................................. 57
6.4 Village conflict ................................................................................................................................... 57
Figure 6.4.1: Village conflict ................................................................................................................ 57
7. Commune Mayor Survey .................................................................................................................... 58
7.1 Demographics ................................................................................................................................... 58
Table 7.1.1: Commune mayor demographics ..................................................................................... 58
Figure 7.1.1: Commune mayor and household ethnicity ................................................................... 58
Figure 7.1.2: Commune mayor and household religion ..................................................................... 59
7.2 Education .......................................................................................................................................... 60
Figure 7.2.1: Education of commune mayors ..................................................................................... 60
Figure 7.2.2: Comparison of commune mayor and household head education levels ...................... 60
Table 7.2.1: Literacy of commune mayors .......................................................................................... 61
7.3 Commune council membership and other leadership functions ..................................................... 61
Figure 7.3.1: Mayors’ role in commune council ................................................................................. 61
Figure 7.3.2: Mayors’ assumption of office in commune council ....................................................... 61
Table 7.3.1: Traditional chieftaincy and length of tenure .................................................................. 62
Table 7.3.2: Political party membership and family involvement in public administration ............... 62
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Résumé Ce rapport décrit les résultats de l’enquête de base de l’évaluation d’impact du Projet de
Développement Communautaire et d’Appui Aux Groupes Vulnérables (PDCAGV), financée par
l’Association Internationale de Développement (IDA) pour la République Centrafricaine. Ce projet vise la
réhabilitation de l’infrastructure sociale et l’amélioration de la capacité des parties prenantes locales
dans la planification et gestion communautaire du relèvement local.
L’enquête de base a été exécutée par l’Institut Centrafricain des Statistiques et des Etudes Economiques
et Sociales (ICASEES) avec l’appui technique du Development Impact Evaluation Initiative (DIME) de la
Banque Mondiale. Ce rapport présente les principaux résultats de cette enquête.
L’enquête a été administrée en Octobre 2010 dans 64 communes et324 villages, et à 324 chefs de
village, 3 201 ménages, et 64 maires de commune, dans les dix préfectures du sud du pays. L’enquête
de base comprend cinq modules: ménage, village, commune, chef de village et maire de commune.
Questionnaire des ménages
- 52.8% des membres de ménages gagnent leur vie en travaillant dans l’agriculture ou l’élevage.
- 73% vivent au-dessous du seuil de pauvreté de XAF 318 (ca. USD 0.65) par jour.
- 31% des adultes sont lettrés (47% des hommes ; 16% femmes). Ce chiffre est au-dessous de la
moyenne nationale (58% en 2008).
- 61% des enfants entre 0 et 5 ans ont un retard de croissance et 64% sont mal-nourris.
- L’Accès à l’eau potable est rapporté comme la première priorité pour le développement local
(31%), suivi par l’amélioration des infrastructures et services de santé (23%), l’éducation (17%)
et les routes (10%).
- 26% des membres des ménages n’ont pas pu travailler ou se rendre à l’école pour cause de
maladie durant le mois précédent l’enquête. Parmi eux, 28% n’ont pas eu accès aux services de
santé et 25% sont allés dans un hôpital qui, en moyenne, était à 93 minutes à pied. Les plaintes
les plus communes sont la diarrhée (21%), le paludisme (13%) et la fièvre (13%).
- 59% des ménages ont assisté à une réunion de village durant les 12 mois précédents l’enquête.
- 85% des ménages ont déclaré qu’ils sont disposés à travailler volontairement pour la
communauté.
- 25% des ménages ont été victime de vol de bétail et 18% ont été victime de vol des
possessions personnelles durant les six mois précédents l’enquête.
- 29% des répondants (incluant hommes et femmes) ont dit que le mari avait le droit de frapper
sa femme quand elle « se comporte mal ».
- 87% des répondants affirment que les femmes peuvent être des bons politiciens et qu’il faut les
encourager de se présenter comme candidats aux élections.
- 99% des répondants désirent des élections démocratiques et libres, mais seulement 42% disent
que la violence n'est jamais justifiée pour poursuivre des buts politiques.
- 6% des répondants ont un membre de leur famille qui a été blessé ou tué a cause de conflit
durant les trois années précédentes l’enquête.
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- 17% des répondants disent qu’il est normal de payer un pot-de-vin à un fonctionnaire du
gouvernement pour l’encourager.
- Le chef de village reste l’autorité la plus crédible. 68% des répondants disent qu’ils
s’adresseraient à lui en cas de vol de téléphone portable; la deuxième réponse la plus fréquente
étant « Je ne demande pas d’aide. »
Questionnaire des Villages
- L’accès aux villages du projet est un grave problème. Des 324 villages inclus dans l’enquête, 28%
sont accessibles seulement par véhicule 4x4 et avec de grandes difficultés. 10% ne sont
accessibles qu’à pied. Seulement 27% des villages ont accès au réseau de téléphonie cellulaire.
En moyenne, il faut marcher 98 minutes pour accéder à une zone de couverture du réseau
téléphonique.
- L’infrastructure dans les villages du projet est gravement limitée. Plus que 50% des villages
n’ont pas accès a une source d’eau potable (en moyenne, il faut marcher 30 minutes pour
accéder à une source) et moins de 2% ont accès aux toilettes améliorés. Près de 85% des
villages n’ont pas accès à un hôpital et plus que 60% n’ont pas d’école (en moyenne, il faut
marcher 44 minutes pour accéder à une école). Il faut marcher 162 minutes pour arriver à un
marché et 109 minutes pour accéder au réseau électrique.
- Les pygmées vivent dans le voisinage de 9% des villages visés par le projet, mais ils sont peu
présents dans ces mêmes villages.
- 18% des villages contiennent des personnes déplacées à cause de conflit.
- 16% des villages avaient des incidents de violence entre habitants du village durant les six mois
précédents l’enquête. 11% de villages ont subi des épisodes de violence causée par des
personnes extérieures du village. En plus, 7% des villages ont eu une personne blessée ou tuée à
cause de conflit durant les trois années précédentes l’enquête.
Questionnaire des Communes
- Des 64 communes inclues dans l’enquête, 66% révèlent leur budget au publique et 76% publient
les notes de leur réunions.
- 41% de communes ont rapporté un budget zéro/négligeable/non applicable en 2009. Ce
nombre tombe à 22% en 2010.
- Environ 45% des communes ont un plan de développement local ou des ONG actives.
- Les sources principales des revenues d’impôts sont les licences pour vendre au marché et les
actes d’enregistrement civil. Les revenues d’impôts sont partagés avec les préfectures dans 40%
des cas.
Questionnaire des Chefs du Village
- 94% de chefs du village sont des hommes, et 45% ont un père qui était lui-même chef. La
moyenne d’âge d’un chef de village est de 51 années, et en moyenne la durée de son mandat
est de 9,5 ans.
- 61% des chefs de village rapportent qu’ils ont été élus.
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- Selon les chefs, l’affiliation aux partis politiques est faible. 96% disent qu’ils ne sont membre
d’aucun parti politique et 76% rapportent qu’ils n’ont pas de membres de leur famille dans une
officine publique.
- L’adultère (28%), le vol des possessions et de bétail (26%), les disputes sur la distribution de
l’eau (25%) et les dettes (25%) sont les causes principales de conflit entre les villageois.
Questionnaire des Maires de Commune
- La composition ethnique des maires de commune correspond avec la composition ethnique
des ménages enquêtés. Concernant les affiliations religieuses, les minorités sont
surreprésentées parmi les maires: seulement 76,6% des maires sont chrétiens, mais le
pourcentage correspondant pour les ménages est de 87,2% ;. 14% des maires de commune
(représentant 6.4% des ménages) sont musulmans; et 9,4% des maires appartiennent à d’autres
religions. L’âge moyen des maires de commune est de 50,1 ans.
- La grande majorité des maires (81%) ne sont pas titulaires d’un autre poste.
- Le taux d’alphabétisation des maires est élevé. 79% savent lire et sont capables d’écrire une
lettre en français. Les membres d’un ménage moyen, en revanche, ont un taux d’alphabétisation
de seulement 31% (dont 16% pour les femmes).
- Les maires de commune ont aussi un niveau plus élevé d’éducation formelle par rapport aux
chefs de ménages. 86% des maires ont terminé leurs études primaires. Le chiffre correspondant
pour les chefs de ménage est seulement de 32%.
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Executive Summary This report describes the baseline survey results for the impact evaluation (IE) of the IDA-funded Central
African Republic (CAR) Support to Vulnerable Groups Community Development Project (PDCAGV, from
Projet de Développement Communautaire et d’Appui Aux Groupes Vulnérables; P111679), which aims to
rehabilitate social infrastructure and improve the capacity of local stakeholders to plan and manage
local recovery in targeted areas of CAR.
The baseline survey was carried out by the Central African Institute of Statistics and Economic and Social
Studies (ICASEES, from Institut Centrafricain des Statistiques et des Etudes Economiques et Sociales),
with technical assistance from the Bank’s Development Impact Evaluation Initiative (DIME). This
baseline report highlights key results from the baseline survey.
The survey was carried out in October 2010 and included a total of 324 villages, 324 village chiefs, 3,201
households, 64 communes, and 64 commune mayors in the ten southern préfectures covered by the
project. The baseline survey comprised five modules: household, village, commune, village chief, and
commune mayor. Key results from each module are highlighted here.
Household Survey
52.8% of surveyed household members make a living from agriculture and/or animal husbandry.
73% of surveyed household members live beneath the national poverty line, with average daily
per capita income of XAF 318 (about USD 0.65).
31% of adult survey respondents are literate (47% of males; 16% of females). This is lower than the
official national average, reported as 55% in 2008.
61% of infants between the ages of 0 and 5 are stunted and 64% are malnourished.
Access to safe water is reported as the top development priority (31%), followed by the
improvement of health infrastructure/services (23%), education (17%), and roads (10%).
26% of household members were unable to work or go to school due to illness in the month
preceding the survey. Of these, 28% did not use health care services. 25% of respondents sought
care at a health post which, on average, took 93 minutes to reach (on foot). The most common
complaints were diarrhea (21%), malaria (13%), and fever (13%).
59% of households attended a village meeting during the 12 months preceding the survey.
85% of households claim to be willing to volunteer for the benefit of their community.
25% of households had been victims of theft of animals and 18% had been victims of theft of
personal goods during the 6 months preceding the survey.
29% of survey respondents (including females and males) think that beating one’s wife is
legitimate if she is “not behaving well.”
87% of respondents answer yes to the question, “Women can be good politicians and need to be
supported to take political posts.” But there are very few cases of a woman as village chief.
99% of respondents expressed a desire for free democratic elections, but only 42% answered “yes”
to the question, “Violence is never justified to achieve political goals.”
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6% of respondents have had a member of their family killed or injured due to conflict in the past
three years.
17% of respondents believe “it is normal to bribe officials to help speed up the work.”
The village chief remains the most trusted authority, with 68% of respondents stating that they
would call him/her for help were they to be robbed. The next most common response was, “I
wouldn’t ask for help.”
Village Survey
Access to project villages is a major concern. Of the 324 villages covered by the survey, 28% could
only be reached by 4x4 vehicle with great difficulty, while 10% could only be reached by foot. Only
27% of villages have mobile phone reception (average travel time to access mobile network: 98
minutes on foot).
Infrastructure is severely limited. Over 50% of villages do not have access to improved water
sources (average travel time to nearest source: 30 minutes) and less than 2% have access to
improved toilet facilities. Nearly 85% of villages do not have a health facility and more than 60% do
not have a school (average travel time to nearest primary school: 44 minutes). It takes an average
of 162 minutes to reach a market, and 109 minutes to access electricity.
Pigmies live in the vicinity of 9% of target villages but are often less present in the villages
themselves.
18% of villages contain conflict-displaced people.
16% of villages had cases of violence among village inhabitants in the past 6 months. 11% of
villages saw violence committed by persons not from the village. Also, 7% of villages had a person
injured or killed due to conflict in the past 3 years.
Commune Survey
Of the 64 communes for covered by the survey, 66% make their budget publicly available and 76%
publish the minutes of meetings.
41% of communes had a zero/negligible/not available budget in 2009, falling to 22% in 2010.
About 45% of communes have a local development plan or active NGO operations.
The principle sources of tax revenue are market rights and civil registry, and tax revenues are
shared with the prefecture in around 40% of cases.
Village Chief Survey
94% of village chiefs are male, and 45% of respondents’ fathers were also village chiefs. The
average village chief is 51 years old and has held his post for an average of 9 years and 6 months
years.
61% of village chiefs report that they were elected to office.
According to the chiefs, political party membership is low. 96% say that they are not affiliated to
any political party and 76% state not having any relatives in public office.
Adultery (28%), theft of goods and livestock (26%), disputes over water (25%), and debt (25%) are
the most common causes of conflict among villagers.
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Commune Mayor Survey
The ethnic composition of commune mayors matches the ethnic composition of surveyed
households. In terms of religion, however, minorities are disproportionately represented among
mayors: 87.2% of the surveyed households, but only 76.6% of mayors, are Christian. 14.1% of
council mayors are Muslim (compared to 6.4% for households) and 9.4% follow other religions.
Average age of commune mayors is 50.1.
The vast majority of mayors (81%) do not to hold any other public position.
Literacy levels among commune mayors are generally high. 79% can read and draft a letter in
French. This is in contrast to the average household, which has a literacy rate of 31% (for women,
this falls to 16%).
Commune mayors have higher levels of formal education than do household heads. 86% of mayors
had completed at least primary education; the corresponding figure for household heads is 32%.
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Introduction This report describes the baseline survey results for the impact evaluation (IE) of the IDA-funded Central
African Republic (CAR) Support to Vulnerable Groups Community Development Project (PDCAGV, from
Projet de Développement Communautaire et d’Appui Aux Groupes Vulnérables; P111679), which aims to
rehabilitate social infrastructure and improve the capacity of local stakeholders to plan and manage
local recovery in targeted areas of CAR. This survey was carried out in September and October 2010, in
328 villages across 64 communes in 10 prefectures in the south and south-west of the country. The
survey was implemented by the Central African Institute of Statistics and Economic and Social Studies
(ICASEES, from Institut Centrafricain des Statistiques et des Etudes Economiques et Sociales). This report
describes the main findings.
As the PDCAGV is initially covering parts of the country only, a rigorous impact evaluation is being
carried out to assess its potential for scale-up, its suitability as a mechanism to target development
funds towards vulnerable populations, its community-level impacts with respect to local governance
capacity and improvement of the living situation of vulnerable groups, and its performance relative to
other forms of local service delivery.
The PDCAGV consists of three operational components: (a) capacity strengthening for local
development, (b) a priority response fund (PRF), and (c) a local development fund (LDF). The IE uses an
experimental design to explore the causal impact of these components on household, village, and
commune-level outcomes, and was designed to provide methodologically rigorous answers to three sets
of questions at different stages of program implementation. First, it was to analyze the impact of
capacity strengthening (component A) on the institutional capacity and perceived legitimacy of
commune governments, immediately after the first year of the project and before any service delivery
projects had been carried out. Second, it was to compare the implementation performance of centrally
prescribed development projects under the PRF to the implementation performance of projects with
local ownership established through a participatory decision-making process under the LDF. Third, it was
to evaluate the overall impact of the program at the level of households, villages, and communes.
Following the progression of project implementation, the IE will focus initially on the rehabilitation of
water pumps under the PRF (component B) to examine the social and economic impacts of
infrastructure rehabilitation under this component. As such, the focus of this baseline report is on
household, village, and commune level outcomes which may be important to assessing the impact of
the PRF. That said, these and other results from the baseline survey remain relevant for the possible
evaluation also of capacity strengthening for local development (component A) and the LDF (component
C), and the IE design remains in place to answer all three research questions, contingent on
developments in project implementation.
This report is divided into six sections. Section 1 briefly describes the PDCAGV and its IE. Section 2
describes the geographical coverage of the baseline survey. Sections 3 through 7 present key results
from the household, village, commune, village chief, and commune mayor surveys, respectively.
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1. Impact Evaluation of the Central African Republic Support to
Vulnerable Groups Community Development Project
1.1 PDCAGV The project development objective of the PDCAGV project is to rehabilitate social infrastructure and
improve the capacity of local stakeholders to plan and manage local recovery in targeted areas of CAR. It
is expected that the project will improve the overall social and economic situation of the targeted
communities, particularly rural communities, and that through their direct participation in the decision-
making process and implementation of sub-projects, communities will regain some level of trust in local
and central authorities, hence contributing to improved governance. In so doing, the project will
contribute to peace-building and particularly to rebuilding the social contract between citizens and their
government.
The project is financed by a US$8.0 million International Development Association grant with a further
US$12 million provided by the African Development Bank (US$ 20 million total). It consists of four
components.
1. Component A: Capacity Strengthening for Local Development. The capacity building component
is designed empower rural communes and villages to prepare and implement development
plans in an inclusive manner, with adequate support from Government staff. Activities under
the component address the technical and fiduciary skills needed at the different decentralized
levels to implement local development activities. The methods to be employed will (i) permit
targeted communes and villages to establish or, where already in place, strengthen Village
Development Committees (VDCs) and Commune Development Committees (CDCs); (ii) reinforce
the capacities of de-centralized line ministry staff and local administrations to support the
planning and implementation of these activities; and (iii) foster trust and mitigate conflicts
between communities and Government and stimulate the effective communication between
diverse stakeholders involved in local development.
2. Component B: Priority Response Fund. The PRF’s objective is two-fold. It aims to (i) offer a
window of opportunity to expedite the delivery of most-needed resources; and (ii) encourage
participation and buy-in of the project by demonstrating a rapid tangible dividend to
collaboration. This component will disburse funds in small increments to finance sub-projects
that are ready for implementation. The PRF allows for rapid centralized project selection and
approval through a set of procedures that are lighter and more rapid than those under
component 3. As such, it will deliver immediate tangible benefits while giving the project time to
develop some of its more comprehensive but labor-intensive institutional structures.
3. Component C: Local Development Fund. The objective of the LDF is for targeted communes and
villages to have access to funding in a timely and transparent manner. The focus of the fund will
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be on community public goods, with rural communes and villages identifying public socio-
economic investments through a local development planning process.
4. Component D: Project Management, Monitoring, and Evaluation. The objective of this
component is to effectively coordinate and monitor components A-C.
1.2 Research questions The IE was originally designed to answer three related research questions:
1. What is the impact of institutional capacity building under Component A? A serious challenge in
evaluating the impact of community-driven development (CDD) programs is separating the
impact of institutional development from the impact of actual service provision, and in
particular from the impact of budget transfers. At present, no rigorous IE exists that separates
the impact of local institutional development and identifies its importance for the functioning of
CDD programs and local development. The PDCAGV IE was, therefore, designed to allow for the
evaluation of the capacity-building component in isolation from the other project components.
2. How does the performance of centrally prescribed projects compare to the performance of
locally owned projects chosen through participatory processes? Typically, IEs of CDD projects
compare the outcomes in project areas with outcomes in suitably chosen control areas that are
not covered by the project. However, the most common alternative to CDD is not the absence of
any intervention but rather centrally managed development. Therefore the typical impact
evaluation of a CDD project fails to measure the true marginal effect of such a project.
The PDCAGV IE was designed to enable the measurement of the marginal effect of the
community-driven component of the project relative to the effect of the centrally managed
component. Similarly, the IE was to provide evidence on the complementarity between
centrally and locally managed interventions, specifically whether the implementation of the
centrally managed component encourages participation and generally improves the outcomes
of the locally managed intervention.
3. What are the overall effects of the project components on households, villages, and communes?
At the household level, the IE will measure the causal impact of the different project
components on outcomes related to income, consumption, nutrition, literacy, school
attendance, disease occurrence, social capital, and empowerment. At the village level, the IE
will measure the causal impact of the different project components on outcomes relating to
infrastructure availability and quality, availability of information, and responsiveness and
accountability of village leadership. At the commune level, the IE will measure the causal impact
of the different project components on outcomes related to conflict resolution and the inclusion
of women in commune leadership.
17 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
As the project will begin with the rehabilitation of water pumps under the PRF, the IE will likewise focus
initially on the impact of this component (question 3). As such the focus of this baseline report is on
household, village, and commune-level outcomes which may be important to assessing the impact
especially of this component. That said, the IE design remains in place to answer all three research
questions, contingent on developments in project implementation.
1.3 Impact evaluation design The PDCAGV IE uses a randomized roll-out design. Ten of CAR’s sixteen prefectures are participating in
the project,1 and all 102 communes in these prefectures were randomly assigned to one of four groups.
This was done through a lottery in which all communes had the same chance of being selected for each
group.
Initially, a three-phased evaluation design was proposed, with the four groups receiving different
components and combinations of components across time:
Group 1 (48 communes) was to receive only the capacity building component, starting in phase
one.
Group 2 (18 communes) was to serve as control group in phase 1, i.e. receive no intervention.
In phase two, Group 2 was to receive the capacity building component and, in phase three, the
LDF.
Group 3 (18 communes) was to receive the capacity building and PRF components in phase one
and, in phase two, the LDF.
Group 4 (18 communes) was to receive the capacity building and PRF components in phase one.
This is summarized in Table 1.3.1: Phasing of project components by evaluation group.
Table 1.3.1: Phasing of project components by evaluation group
Interventions
during Phase
Group (number of communes in group)
1 (48) 2 (18) 3 (18) 4 (18)
One (P1) Capacity building - Capacity building +
PRF
Capacity building +
PRF
Two (P2) - Capacity building LDF
-
Three (P3) - LDF - -
1 The prefectures are Basse Kotto, Kemo, Lobaye, Mambéré-Kadei, Mbomou, Nana-Mambéré, Ombella-M’Poko,
Ouaka, Ouham (Bossangoa sub-prefecture only), and Sangha-Mbaéré.
18 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Communes within each of the ten project prefectures were randomly assigned to each of the four study
groups according to the following rules:
1. The total number of communes receiving capacity building as well as the PRF and/or LDF was
limited to 54 due to limited project resources;
2. Within every prefecture, there was to be a balance between the number of communes that
receive only capacity building and those that also receive PRF and/or LDF, i.e. in each prefecture
one group of communes should receive only capacity building, and three identically-sized groups
of communes should receive some combination of capacity building plus PRF and/or LDF;
3. The number of communes in each group should be proportional across prefectures.
The procedure for randomly allocating communes into each of the four study groups is described in
more detail in Appendix 1 of the concept note (available by request).2
Capacity building and the LDF components are commune level interventions. The PRF, however, is
implemented at the level of the village. Given the possibility that PRF resources might be insufficient to
cover basic infrastructure needs in all target villages (those within communes randomly allocated to
either Group 3 or Group 4) 3 and the nonexistent or low-quality data on village-level infrastructure, an
infrastructure needs assessment survey was carried out in August 2010.
The PRF component targets villages near main roads with a population greater than 200, and so villages
that did not meet these conditions were excluded from the project by default. From remaining villages
in each of the 36 PRF communes, a maximum of ten villages per commune was randomly selected and
surveyed. Data was collected on existing infrastructure in each of these villages, including variables such
as physical condition, age, previous renovations, rehabilitation costs and frequency of use. Data on
village-level infrastructure priorities was also collected. At the time of this survey, it was understood that
the project would favor villages with a school, thus all such villages had a greater probability of being
selected for the survey.
Data was collected on 243 of 309 selected villages in 34 communes.4 In the remaining 66 villages, there
was no public infrastructure to be rehabilitated, and as the PRF does not finance the construction of
new infrastructure, priority infrastructure for rehabilitation was identified in neighboring villages. The
survey was therefore carried out in these villages, so that rehabilitation of priority public infrastructure
could take place in these villages which was assumed to eventually benefit also the originally selected
villages due to geographic proximity. This was viewed as a fair and pragmatic way to provide the
possibility of benefitting from the PRF to those villages selected for the PRF component which were
subsequently found not to have any infrastructure to rehabilitate.
2 Please contact Marcus Holmlund ([email protected]) or see the project folder in WBDocs (P120087).
3 Given the overwhelming need for basic infrastructure at the village level, project resources initially allocated to
the PRF were indeed found to be inadequate. The project will therefore be restructured to increase the amount of funding available for the PRF. 4 Two communes, Nadziboro and Kounago, were inaccessible.
19 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
On the basis of data collected during the infrastructure needs survey, PDCAGV regional experts
identified one piece of priority infrastructure for rehabilitation in each surveyed village. In order to
determine relative need, a “PRF index” was then constructed on the basis of the following variables,
chosen to be in line with PRF objectives:5
1. Condition of infrastructure (rated on a scale of 1 to 6, with one corresponding to excellent and
six corresponding to very poor/unusable)
2. Frequency of use, on the condition that the infrastructure was still in usable condition
3. Age of infrastructure
4. Time since last reparations
5. Number of PRF-eligible villages in the commune
6. Presence of pygmies (rated on the basis of an index that combines three questions on pygmies
and runs from 0 to 8)6
Villages received a score for each of these variables, which was standardized by the total number of
potential scores for each variable. The final PRF index then simply sums the scores across variables for
each village. This produced a priority ranking of villages, which was discussed with regional officers and
survey teams and, with one exception, fit perceptions of which villages and infrastructures should be
prioritized (this is perhaps not surprising as target villages are quite homogenous in terms of
infrastructure availability/needs, poverty, and socio-demographic characteristics, so in essence every
village examined could be considered a priority). Given the relatively uniform distribution of
infrastructure needs, random allocation of priority to some villages would have been equally fair, but
was judged not to be politically feasible. Instead, the index was created to fulfill the need for PRF
allocation to be based on objective, observable characteristics in line with project goals.
This index was used to create ranking of villages by infrastructure rehabilitation need. Following this, a
cost threshold was defined to balance (i) the need for infrastructure rehabilitation under the PRF with
(ii) project resources available for this component.
In calculating the threshold/number of villages to benefit from the PRF, the maximum cost of any single
infrastructure rehabilitation was first set at CFA 20 million (about USD 40 thousand). If the village
infrastructure needs survey had defined a first priority infrastructure with a rehabilitation cost
exceeding this, this was automatically excluded and the second priority was instead considered, and so
on. If a village lacked an infrastructure rehabilitation cost estimate, the average from the survey as a
whole was used.
5 Several weighting schemes and index calculations were discussed with the project team, and the one described
here was selected by them as the most intuitive and transparent. 6 The project aims to benefit particularly vulnerable groups such as pygmies.
20 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Of the 66 villages which did not have any public infrastructure to be rehabilitated, half were randomly
selected, and of the other 243 villages the cutoff value of the index was set at 3.22, meaning that all the
147 villages with an index value higher than this were selected to benefit from the PRF. A total of 180
villages were thus chosen for the PRF (list available by request).7
1.4 Data collection Baseline data was collected at the commune, village, and household levels using five questionnaires:
household, village, village chief, commune, and commune council (survey questionnaires available by
request).8
Of the 102 communes in the study area, a total of 72 were targeted, that is 18 communes selected
randomly from Group 1 and all communes in Groups 2 through 4. The commune council and commune
mayor surveys were to cover all of these. 357 villages were selected for the survey, and a total of ten
households were randomly sampled per village (that of the village chief and nine randomly selected
households). Table 1.4.1 summarizes the planned sample for each survey type.
Table 1.4.1: Target sample by survey type
Household
(including
village chief
household)
Village chief
household only
Village Commune
mayor
Commune
council
Target sample
size
3,570 357 357 72 72
Survey fieldwork was carried out in September and October of 2010. This was complicated by the poor
state of infrastructure and security in CAR, resulting in a final sample smaller than what was originally
envisioned. The following impeded survey implementation and data availability:
One survey team experienced a breakdown of their vehicle, which left them stranded for a
week. Nine villages were therefore dropped from the survey.
Security conditions precluded access to a five villages.
For non systematic reasons, a further fifteen villages could not be reached. This was primarily
due to extremely poor infrastructure (impassable roads or collapsed bridges). It is possible,
however, that certain questionnaires were lost between data collection in the field and data
entry in Bangui, and that village and commune-level questionnaires were not administered in all
cases.
7 Please contact Marcus Holmlund ([email protected]) or see the project folder in WBDocs (P120087).
8 As above.
21 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
The process of data entry was also significantly delayed, and the evaluation team will work to ensure
lessons learned from this experience result in a more efficient turnaround during follow-up data
collection. Nonetheless, the ICASEES staff noted in the Acknowledgements part of this report should be
recognized for their great efforts in delivering a final dataset which is, in many respects, almost
complete.
Table 1.4.2 compares the target sample by survey type to the actual sample observed in the datasets
Table 1.4.2: Target and final sample by survey type
Household (including
village chief household)
Village chief
household
only
Village Commune
mayor
Commune
council
Target sample size 3,570 357 357 72 72
Final sample size 3,201 324 324 64 64
Completion rate 90% 91% 91% 89% 89%
2. Baseline survey coverage This section provides a summary of the geographic coverage of the baseline survey and the final sample
sizes and geographic distribution for each of the five surveys. It should be noted that the data
presented in this report is only representative for PDCAGV project areas, and should not be interpreted
as representative of the Central African Republic as a whole.
2.1 Geographic coverage The data in this report cover the ten project prefectures. Figure 2.1.1 shows these prefectures, while
Table 2.1.1 summarizes the number of communes, villages, and households surveyed in each prefecture.
Figure 2.1.1: Geographic Coverage
22 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Table 2.1.1: Geographic Coverage
Region Prefecture Commune
Surveys
Village
Surveys
Household
surveys
Region 1 Ombella-M'Poko 4 19 188
Region 1 Lobaye 7 34 337
Region 2 Mambere Kadei 7 36 364
Region 2 Nana-Mambere 12 58 571
Region 2 Sangha-Mbaere 5 21 206
Region 3 Ouham 3 20 186
Region 4 Kemo 4 20 191
Region 4 Ouaka 6 41 402
Region 6 Basse-Kotto 8 37 370
Region 6 Mbomou 8 38 386
TOTAL 64 324 3201
3. Household and individual-level results
3.1 Household size, age, and gender distribution The average household size is 5.25 (standard deviation: 3.1) and exactly 50 percent of surveyed
household members are male. The average age of household members is 20.7 years (standard
deviation: 17.7).
Table 3.1.1: Household demographics
Average household size 5.25
Fraction of male household members in the sample 50%
Average age of household member 20.7
Source: Household survey
23 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 3.1.1 below shows population over the course of the last decades. CAR’s population has doubled
since 1980 and now stands at an estimated 4.4 million people. Results from the follow up survey will
allow us to assess the rate of population growth in PDCAGV project areas versus that in the country as a
whole.
Figure 3.1.1: Population (in millions)
Source: Africa Development Indicators
Average per capita income of surveyed individuals was just over USD 19, with 73% of persons living
below the national poverty line. This is above the national average of 62% reported in the Africa
Development Indicators for 2008. Figure 3.1.2 shows the progression of the poverty rate according to
ADI and compares this to the rate estimated through the baseline survey (note that the figure for 2010
is for the baseline survey area only, thus the comparison to the earlier national poverty levels should be
made with this in mind).
Figure 3.1.2: Poverty Rates
1.5
1.8 2.2
2.9
3.6
4.4
1,25
1,75
2,25
2,75
3,25
3,75
4,25
4,75
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Po
pu
lati
on
(m
illio
n)
24 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Source: Household survey and Africa Development Indicators
83,2
62,4 62,8 73,0
0
20
40
60
80
100
1992 2003 2008 Baseline Survey(2010)
Figure 3.1.2: Share of population living on less than $1.25 a day & sample data (national poverty line)
1992 2003 2008 Baseline Survey (2010)
25 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.2 Principal activities of household members (overall and by gender) Figure 3.2.1 illustrates the principal activities of household members (6 years of age and older) overall
and disaggregated by gender. Agriculture is by far the predominant primary activity: 52.8% of the
sample list agriculture as their primary activity. Of the men, 57.2% percent work in agriculture whereas
for women this ratio is 48.2%. 27.1% of the sample population are students (32.6% of women, 21.7% of
men). 8.1% of the sample is unemployed.
Figure 3.2.1: Principal household-member activities
Source: Household survey
52,8
27,1
8,1
3,3
2,6
1,9
1,8
0,6
0,6
0,5
0,4
0,2
0,0
57,2
21,7
9,0
5,6
2,7
1,0
2,1
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,2
0,1
0,0
48,2
32,6
7,1
1,0
2,6
2,7
1,6
1,2
1,0
0,9
0,7
0,4
0,0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Agriculture
Student
Unemployed
Household tasks
doesn't apply (too old/young)
Mining
Services/small business
Hunting
Private employee
Other
Public employee
Handcraft
Soldier
Figure 3.2.1: Principal activity of household members overall & by gender (% of household members reporting principal activity), n = 13,170
Total Male Female
26 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
For CAR as a whole, figure 3.2.2 shows that, while still 65% of the population is dependent primarily on
agricultural income, this number is down from almost 100% in 1960. Currently, across sub-Saharan
Africa 55% of the population is primarily dependent on income from agriculture.
Figure 3.2.2: Agricultural dependency
Source: Africa Development Indicators
2.8 (65%)
4.3
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
4,5
5
1960 1968 1976 1984 1992 2000 2008
Mill
ion
s
Figure 3.2.2: Agricultural dependency
Agricultural population Population
27 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.3 Illnesses preventing work/going to school In the month preceding the survey, 26% of household members were unable to go to school or work
due to illness. Table 3.3.1 shows the primary reasons for absence from work/school.
Table 3.3.1: Reasons for absence from work
Diarrhea 21.1
Malaria 13.4
Fever 12.5
Flu 12.2
Parasites 7.1
Injury 4.7
Hypertension 3.1
Skin condition 1.9
Anemia/malnutrition 1.1
Diabetes 0.7
Other 22.3
Source: Household survey
3.4 Education status of household members In order to assess the education level of household members, we use proxies such as literacy in French
and school attendance. In addition, table 3.4.1 also includes the percentage of household heads that
have had at least elementary education. The data shows that 31% of the sample is able to speak French,
CAR’s official language. The proportion is higher among men (47%) than for women (16%). Literacy
levels are lower in the sample when compared to country-wide data from the World Bank’s Africa
Development Indicators (ADI) database, which indicate that 55% of the population is literate (69% of
men and 42% of women; figures for 2010).
62% household members between the ages of 6-14 have attended school at some point (67% of males,
56% of females), and 57% were attending school at the time of the survey (63% of males, to 51% of
females).
28 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Table 3.4.1: Education indicators
Sample
Country
(ADI)
a. Adult Literacy 31% 55%
Male 47% 69%
Female 16% 42%
b. Whether or not household member between 6-14 has ever attended school 62%
Male 67%
Female 56%
c. Whether or not household member between 6-14 currently attends school 57%
Male 63%
Female 51%
d. Household head has at least elementary education (CEM2 and above) 32%
Source: Household survey, Africa Development Indicators
Table 3.4.1 illustrates that, at the national level, CAR experienced a drastic improvement in primary
school enrollment rates. While numbers hovered around 50% for the last decades, school enrollment
leaped by 21 percentage points in between 2005 and 2010, from 48% to 69%. Results from the follow up
survey will allow us to assess changes in school enrollment in PDCAGV project areas and to compare
these to results for the country as a whole.
Figure 3.4.1: Net primary school enrollment
50 55 53
48
69
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1971 1981 1991 2005 2010
Figure 3.4.1: CAR net primary school enrollment (%)
Source: Africa Development Indicators
29 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.5 Health/nutrition indicators The baseline household survey revealed high rates of stunting and malnutrition among children under 5
years of age: 61% are stunted and 64% suffer from moderate or severe malnutrition. Stunting9 and
malnutrition are measured in terms of height-for-age and weight-for-age, and are generally considered
to be relatively reliable indicators of household welfare as measures of household income and
consumption often suffer from recall bias.10 Furthermore, in rural areas where many households are
engaged in subsistence farming income and expenditure may not be adequate or appropriate welfare
measures.
The very high rate of stunting and malnutrition in children under 5 is a cause for serious concern, as in
addition to direct health impacts these may retard cognitive and physical development. Given findings
on daily nutrition, however, they are not surprising. The average number of meals for surveyed
households was only 1.6 per day (standard deviation: 0.77), and merely 78% percent of these were
reported as being filling/satisfactory (the equivalent of 1.2 filling/satisfactory meals per household per
day).
Interestingly, the extent of moderate and severe malnutrition found in the PDCAGV baseline survey
sample is significantly higher than the national figure reported by ADI (22% in 2000). This may warrant
further investigation.
Table 3.5.1: Selected health indicators
sample ADI (2000)
Moderate & severe stunting of children under 5 61%
Moderate & severe malnutrition of children under 5 64% 22%
Avg. number of meals on day preceding survey 1.6
Fraction of these which were filling/satisfactory 78%
Source: Household survey
Though comparisons between the PDCAGV baseline and national-level figures from ADI should be
interpreted with caution, it is instructive to note that the under 5 mortality rate, as shown in figure
3.5.1, is currently higher in CAR than it is across the region as a whole. Poor nutrition is likely a
contributing factor to this high mortality rate.
9 Stunting is defined as having a height (or length)-for-age more than two standard deviations below the median of
the WHO growth reference. It is calculated by taking body measurements of height or length. Other data needed are age and gender. 10
Recall bias occurs when the answer to a question is affected by the respondent’s memory.
30 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 3.5.1: Under-5 mortality rate
Source: Africa Development Indicators
3.6 Type of dwelling 93% of respondents own their dwelling, and Figure 3.6.1 illustrates the types of dwelling found in the
study areas. The majority (58.4%) of households live in an individual house whereas 22.7% live in a hut.
8.6% possess multiple houses, 5.9% own multiple huts, and 3.6 %% have both multiple houses and huts.
Only 0.6 % of the surveyed households live in an apartment.
Figure 3.6.1: Type of dwelling
Source: Household survey
Figures 3.6.2 and 3.6.3 below show the prevalence of traditional materials in the construction of
dwellings. 59.3% of roofs are made from thatch, with bamboo representing another 22.3%. The
prevalence of thatch roofs is fairly consistent with national results from the “Enquête Centrafricaine
pour le Suivi et Evaluation du Bien-être“ (ECASEB) survey from 2008. However, Figure 3.6.2 shows that
58,4
22,7
8,6 5,9 3,6 0,6 0,2
IndividualHouse
Hut Multiplehouses
Multiple huts Huts andhouses
Apartment Other
Figure 3.6.1: Type of dwelling (%)
226
130
317
175 171
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009
Figure x: Under- 5 mortality rate (per 1,000 births) in CAR and SSA
SSA CAR
31 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
nation-wide, more roofs are made of tin rather than of bamboo as in the PDCAGV baseline sample.
(16.3% tin roofs in the sample, compared to 22.3% nation-wide). As shown in figure 3.6.3, 78% of walls
are made from fired bricks, while non-fired bricks make up another 11%.
Figure 3.6.2: Roof material
Source: Household survey and ECASEB
Figure 3.6.3: Wall material
Source: Household survey
59,8
12,4
26,8
0,1
0,6
0,2
59,3
22,3
16,3
1,4
0,4
0,2
thatch
bamboo
tin
bricks
other
concrete
Figure 3.6.2: Roof material (% of roofs made from)
ECASEB Survey
78%
11%
5% 5% 1%
Figure 3.6.3: Main wall material
fired bricks non-fired bricks banco mud-brick other concrete bricks
32 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.7 Time to access key infrastructure Table 3.71 displays the mean and median time for villagers to access certain points that are vital for
their daily routines. While a water point is on average 30 minutes away from the house and a primary
school can be accessed in 45 minutes, other facilities are further out: It takes more than 90 minutes to
reach a health facility, a spot with access to electricity, or an area with cellular coverage (93, 107, 98
minutes respectively on average). Reaching the market is even harder: it typically takes 159 minutes to
get there.
Table 3.7.1: Time to access locations of interest (average by foot in minutes)
Access by foot in minutes Mean Median
Water point 30 10
Electricity 107 45
Mobile phone network 98 10
Primary school 45 20
Health facility 93 60
Market 159 120
Source: Household survey
33 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.8 Ethnicity/religion Baseline survey results show a variety of ethnicities and religious affiliations in the baseline study areas.
The largest ethnic group is the G’baya (37.5% of households). The second largest ethnic group is Banda,
which represents 22.4% of the surveyed population. With more than 40% of households belonging to
other ethnic groups, the survey highlights the ethnic diversity of CAR.
Figures from the PDCAGV baseline are comparable to national statistics, derived from the CIA’s world
fact book. However, the sample contains less people stemming from the Mandja, Sara, and Mbaoum
than the national average, suggesting that these ethnicities do not have strong populations in the
surveyed areas. These discrepancies are illustrated in figure 3.8.1
Figure 3.8.1: Ethnicity
Sources: Household survey and CIA World Fact Book
37,5
28,2
22,4
5,4 3,7
2,1 0,4 0,3
33
2
27
13
4 4
10 7
G'baya Other Banda Mandja G'baka Yakoma Sara Mbaoum
Figure 3.8.1: Ethnicity (% of population)
Survey Country (CIA World Fact Book)
34 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 3.8.2: Mother tongue
Source: Household survey
While most people are Christian (54.1% Protestant, 32.1% Catholic), there is a 6.4% Muslim minority.
Figure 3.8.3: Religious affiliation
Source: Household survey
46,2%
37,5%
11,4%
4,9%
Sango Other Gbaya Banda
Figure 3.8.2: Mother tongue of respondents
54,1%
32,1%
6,4% 5,5% 1,3% 0,6%
Protestant Catholic Muslim Other Animist No religion
Figure 3.7: Religious affiliation (%)
35 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.9 Perception of village problems
Almost a third of the people (30.5%) identified insufficient access to drinking water as the main problem
of their village. Absence of hospitals (23.4%) and absence of schools (17.0%) were the second and third
most common problems cited. 9.5% of respondents cited the inferior conditions or lack of roads.
Figure 3.9.1: Village problems
Source: Household survey
30,5
23,4
17,0
9,5
4,1
3,8
2,8
2,7
2,3
1,9
0,8
0,8
0,5
Access to drinking water
Lack of hospital
Lack of school
Roads
Other
Market access
Lack of doctors
Jobs
Agricultural tools
Lack of teachers
Electricity
Security/Violence
Irrigation
Figure 3.8: Most important village problems (% of household heads reporting problem)
36 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.10 Prevalence of theft, violence, and conflict Table 3.10.1 shows prevalence of theft and violence in the village. 25% of respondents report theft of
their animals over the last 6 months. Another 18% say that personal goods have been stolen in that time
period. Violence between village inhabitants was observed by 16% of the surveyed population while
violent acts by outsiders were noticed by 11% of the sample. 6% of respondents state that either they or
another household member had been a victim of a violent act in the past six months.
Table 3.10.1: Prevalence of violence and theft
Theft and violence over the last 6 months – respondents reporting: %
Theft of respondent's animals 25
Theft of respondent's goods 18
Violence between village inhabitants 16
Violence by people from outside the village 11
Respondent was victim of a violent act 6
Household member was victim to violence 6
Whether a family member has been injured/killed due to conflict in past 3 years 7
Whether anyone from the village has been injured/killed due to conflict in past 3 years 11
Whether a person was reported as missing/displaced 18
Whether the village has a self-defense committee (militia) 67
Source: Household survey
37 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.11 Personal security The vast majority (88%) of respondents say that they live in a relatively quiet village, with 87% and 85%
reporting that they feel safe walking in the village during the day and night, respectively. 80% feel safe
walking outside the village and 59% report not being afraid of violence and crime when they are home
alone. 35% have never heard firearms in their village, and only 9% agree that their village is marked by
violence, with 6% stating that the level of violence has risen the last 2 years and that it is very likely they
will be become a victim of violence in the upcoming year. 34% percent respondents avoid certain roads
and areas where they don’t feel safe enough.
Table 3.11.1: Personal security perceptions
Respondents agreeing with the following statements: %
I live in a quiet village 88
I feel safe walking in the village during the day 87
I feel safe walking in the village during the night 85
I feel safe walking outside the village 80
I'm not afraid of violence and crime when I am alone at home 59
I never heard fire-arms in my village 35
I avoid certain roads and don't enter territory where I don't feel secure 34
My village is marked by prevalence of violence 9
In my village occurrence of violence has risen during the past 2 years 6
It is very likely that I will become a victim of violence during the coming 12 months 6
Source: Household Survey
3.12 Participation in village meetings/volunteerism More than half (59%) of the households had a member participating in a village meeting in the last 12
months and 31% had a household member speak in such a meeting. Reported willingness to volunteer
for the community, at 85% percent, is high among villagers.
Table 3.12.1: Participation in village affairs (%)
Households reporting
That a household member has participated in a village meeting in the past 12 months
(conditional on such a meeting having taken place) 59%
That a household member has spoken at a village meeting in the past 12 months
(conditional on such a meeting having taken place) 31%
Willingness to volunteer for the benefit of the community 85%
Source: Household Survey
38 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.13 Trust Trust within households, villages, and communities is an important component of social capital and an
indication of social welfare. Project activities, particularly aspects of the capacity building and LDF
components, are expected to increase trust at all levels, in addition to themselves being influenced by
pre-existing levels of trust. Household survey respondents reported that, on average, they feel
comfortable speaking with 2.14 people when facing personal problems. The average number of people
that could lend the household 10,000 CFA on short-notice is 1.14.
It is striking that, when asked who they would go to for help in case their mobile phone gets stolen,
67.6% of respondents site the village chief, illustrating the importance of traditional systems of
governance. The next most popular answer, selected by 9.4% of respondents, is to not ask for help.
Table 3.13.1: Who would you ask for help in case your mobile phone gets stolen? (% of respondents
citing option)
Village chief 67.6%
Person doesn't ask for help 9.4%
Gendarmerie 5.8%
Other 5.3%
Person goes after the criminal him-/herself 4.7%
Mayor of the commune 3.9%
Family/Clan 1.1%
Police 1.0%
Commune council 0.5%
Neighbors 0.4%
Military 0.3%
Source: Household Survey
3.14 Attitudes Table 3.14.1 reports the answers to attitude questions. 99% agree that leaders should be selected by
means of free regulated and honest elections, and some 93% believe that youths can serve as a
respectable local leader. 87% think that women can be good leaders and must be encouraged to assume
public office.
39 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
90% of respondents agree with the statement that people behave like children, and that the
government needs to take care of them. More than half (51%) agree that elected leaders should
represent everyone, not solely their own constituency. Less than half the survey respondents (42%)
denounce violence as a just mean to pursue political goals and 29% believe that it is acceptable for a
husband to beat his wife when she behaves badly. 17% of the sampled population agrees that it is
normal to bribe an official in order to speed up work.
Table 3.14.1: Personal attitudes
Do you agree with the following statement? %
We need to choose our leaders by means of free, regulated and honest elections 99
A responsible youth can be a respectable local leader 93
The people are like children, the government needs to take care of them 90
Women can be good leaders, they need to be encouraged to assume office 87
Since leaders represent everyone, they should not favor their own family or group 51
Use of violence is never justified by following political goals 42
A husband can beat his wife if she behaves badly 29
In our country, it is normal to bribe an official to help speed up work 17
Source: Household Survey
40 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
3.15 Nganga contacts/supernatural powers Supernatural powers and Nganga (spiritual healers) play an important role in CAR. 7% of the survey
respondents reported that they possessed supernatural powers, and 17% of households have consulted
Nganga in the past. Of those, 64.1% did so in order to prevent/cure an illness, 15.3% in order to cure
poisoning, and 10.9% to achieve personal success.
Table 3.15.1: Nganga contacts/supernatural powers (in %)
Proportion of respondents believing they possess supernatural powers 7%
Proportion of households that consulted Nganga 17%
Reasons for consulting Nganga %
Illness 64.1
Poisoning 15.3
Personal success 10.9
Other 4.8
Success of harvest 3.1
Fertility 0.9
Success of children 0.6
Argument with someone from the village 0.2
Argument with someone from another village 0.2
Source: Household Survey
41 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
4. Village-level results
4.1 Village size Overall, 324 villages were surveyed. Within these villages, an average 9.9 households were surveyed
from each village (total: 3,201). The households contained an average of 5.25 people (standard
deviation: 3.11). Information on close to 17,000 people was thus captured by the baseline survey.
4.2 Village access Figure 4.1.1 shows the type of main access road to the village. 53.1% of surveyed villages were
accessible via a national road. Another 36.4% could be accessed by a less frequented road. Mobile
phone networks were accessible only in 27% of the surveyed villages, which speaks to the relative
isolation of an important proportion of project areas. Table 4.1 indicates the state that the main road to
the village is in.
Table 4.1.1: Condition of main village access road
Proportion of villages with access roads that are Accesible by vehicle 36.4
Difficult to pass by car (bad state) 28.4
Recently repaired (good state) 19.8
Impassible by car (4x4) 10.2
No road available 4.0
N/A 1.2
Source: Village survey
Figure 4.1.1: Village access
Source: Village survey
53,1
36,4
5,6 4,0 0,9
N ational road Earth road Other Footpath Canoe
Figure 4.1.1: Main way to access village (% of villages)
42 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
4.3 Pygmy populations around villages Figure 4.2 illustrates the prevalence of pygmy populations in and around the sampled villages, and show
clearly that pygmies represent a small minority of the population in the study area. The vast majority of
villages (91.7%) have no pygmy population; 6.8% of surveyed villages have a population of 0-50 pygmies;
and only 1.5% of villages have a pygmy population greater than 50.
Figure 4.2.1: Pygmy population
Source: Village survey
91,7
4,0 2,8 1,5
88,6
4,9 3,4 2,2
89,2
6,5 2,2 1,2
None 0-20 21-50 51 and more
Figure 4.2.1: Pygmy population (% of villages with pygmies)
Living in village Living close to village Employed in the field
43 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
4.4 Availability and condition of key infrastructure in villages Figure 4.4.1 shows key infrastructure availability in sampled villages. The most common village
infrastructure includes water pumps (38.9%), primary schools (33.6%), and mobile phone networks
(27%). Almost none of the surveyed villages have a secondary school (0.3%). Health facilities (12.3%) and
larger health centers (2.8%) are also rare. Generally speaking, the situation vis-à-vis basic health,
education, and sanitation infrastructure at the village level is extremely poor.
Figure 4.4.1: Key infrastructure
Source: Village survey
Figure 4.4.2 describes the differences in perceived village infrastructure needs as expressed by (i) village
chiefs and (ii) survey teams. Both chiefs and survey teams rank primary schools as the top priority for
rehabilitation (i.e. it is included in their top three choices in 25.3% and 22.2% cases, respectively, more
than any other infrastructure type), and their construction need is similarly assessed to be relatively high
(21.9% of village chiefs and 18.5% of survey teams site this as one of the top three construction
priorities). Rankings for water pumps across chiefs and survey teams are also similar for both
construction and rehabilitation, although the need for the former is seen as slightly more pressing by
survey teams. Relatively low importance is accorded to depository warehouses, markets, fortified
water sources, sheltered wells, and kindergartens.
In the case of roads, both village chiefs and survey teams see a greater need for constructing new roads
as opposed to rehabilitating existing ones, which is consistent with the data on village accessibility
highlighted above. For health facilities and health centers, both chiefs and the survey team accord
higher priority to rehabilitating existing structures, suggesting that, while these may be physically
present in study areas, their current status is sub-optimal.
38,9
33,6
27
12,3 11,7
6,8 6,5 4,9 3,4 2,8 0,9 0,6 0,3 0,3
Figure 4.4.1: Availability of key infrastructure in the villages (% of villages with...)
44 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Also, it is interesting to note that survey teams reported no infrastructure priorities for construction
and/or rehabilitation relatively more than did village chiefs (21.9% versus 17.0% for construction; 9.6%
versus 5.6% for rehabilitation). These results, though not surprising, are encouraging in that they
demonstrate that village chiefs are, in general, more aware of the infrastructure needs of their villages
than are outside observers. An alternate interpretation could be that village chiefs perceived the survey
as a potential means to get resources/projects for their village, and so over-reported construction and
rehabilitation needs. Unfortunately, without the benefit of expert external assessments we cannot
disentangle these two effects.
45 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 4.4.2: Infrastructure rehabilitation and construction needs
Source: Village survey
25,3
19,1
17,0
13,3
5,6
4,3
3,4
2,8
2,2
2,2
1,2
1,2
22,2
17,9
21,9
15,7
4,9
2,2
1,9
4,0
3,4
1,2
1,2
0,9
21,9
23,8
5,6
4,0
0,9
20,4
0,6
1,9
0,6
13,0
0,3
3,1
18,5
28,4
9,6
4,6
0,3
18,5
0,6
1,5
0,3
10,5
0,6
3,1
Primary school
Water pump
Missing or None
Road
Water source
Health facility
Depository warehouse
Market
Fortified source
Health center
Sheltered water well
Kindergarten
Figure 4.4.2: Infrastructure rehabilitation/construction needs according to village chiefs and teams (% of times that item appears in list of top three
priorities)
Rehabilitation need (Chief) Rehabilitation need (Team)
Construction need (Chief) Construction need (Team)
46 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
In the majority of villages (82.2%), the inhabitants use infrastructure of neighboring villages. Primary
schools are the form of infrastructure that is used the most in other villages. And this is consistent with
village chiefs’ and teams’ assessment that primary schools are a priority regarding
construction/rehabilitation of infrastructure (See Figure 4.4.2 above). Health facilities (16.4%) and larger
health centers (19.8%) are also among infrastructure accessed in neighboring villages. Water pumps are
used in 7.4% of cases.
Table 4.4.1: Primary types of infrastructure used in neighboring villages
% of villages using infrastructure in neighboring villages
Primary school 22.8
No use of other village's infrastructure 21.3
Health center 19.8
Health facility 16.4
Water pump 7.4
Market 6.2
Secondary school 2.8
Source (water) 1.2
Fortified source (water) 0.6
Kindergarten 0.6
Road 0.6
Access to electronic grid 0.3
Source: Village survey
47 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
5. Commune-level results Data was collected from 64 communes in the 10 study prefectures. The primary purpose of this data is
to highlight commune level indicators/phenomena which may play an important role in determining
village or commune level outcomes, either because they act as enabling factors or because spillovers
from commune-level activities may reach individual household and villages. Also, the collection of data
at the commune level will allow us to measure any commune-level impacts of the project.
5.1 Commune leadership The household survey results show that the population is split evenly between men and women.
Although 87% of household survey respondents think that women can be good local leaders and should
be encouraged to assume office (see section 3.14), 93% of commune council members are male.
5.2 Commune transparency Table 5.2.1 illustrates the openness of commune council meetings to the public. It shows that 90.3% of
the last council meetings were publically announced and that, in 83.9% percent of cases, the agenda was
made public before the council meeting. Minutes or decisions of the respective meeting were made
public for around three quarters of council meetings (75.8%), and in 56.5% of cases this information was
posted in public places. In addition, in 66.1% of communes surveyed the last budget was made public
and 60.7% revealed their administrative accounts. During the same period, however, the administrative
accounts were only requested an average of 2.2 times (standard deviation: 5.9), demonstrating rather
low demand for this form of openness.
Table 5.2.1: Commune councils and the public
% of communes where
the last commune council meeting was publically announced 90.3%
the agenda was made public before the last commune council meeting 83.9%
the minutes/decisions of the last commune council meeting were made public 75.8%
the minutes/decisions were posted/published in principal public places 56.5%
the last commune budget was made public 66.1%
administrative accounts were made public within the last 12 months 60.7%
Source: Commune survey
48 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
5.3 Commune Budget Figure 5.3.1 illustrates average commune budget evolution from 2008 to 2010. Average budget
decreased from 11.23 million FCFA in 2008 to 4.12 million FCFA in 2009. In 2010, budgets rose to 16.15
million FCFA. It is not immediately clear why budgets fell so dramatically (by 63%) between 2008 and
2009, and then increased by nearly 300% between 2009 and 2010.11
Figure 5.3.1: Commune budget
Source: Commune Survey
5.4 Commune tax revenues Figure 5.4.1 shows the proportion of communes (i) collecting various types of taxes and (ii) sharing tax
revenue with their prefecture. Close to ninety percent of communes collect taxes for civil registry
(90.6%) and market activity (89.1%). These tax revenues are shared with the prefecture in 41.8% and
42.6% percent of cases, respectively. The highest sharing ratios are for business and firearms taxes, with
57.1% and 53.6%, respectively, of communes collecting such taxes sharing them with their prefecture.
The figure shows the considerable variation across communes in terms of tax revenue collection and
sharing.
11
These budget figures should be interpreted with extreme caution, as they were not always well-recorded by enumerators and respondents sometimes gave what appeared to be inconsistent answers
16,15
4,12
11,23
201020092008
Figure 5.3.1: Commune budgets in 2010 (in million FCFA)
49 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 5.4.1: Tax collection and sharing with prefectures
Source: Commune survey
90,6 89,1
71,9
56,3 54,7
46,9 45,3
39,1
23,4 20,3 18,8 18,8
12,5
41,8 42,6
51,2
32,4
39,4 34,5
53,6
45,8 43,8
30,8
57,1
21,4
33,3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Figure 5.2: Types of taxes collected and shared with prefectures (% of communes)
% of commune sample (N=64) Revenue is shared with Prefecture in %
50 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
5.5 Principal agricultural products of communes Table 5.5.2 shows the principal agricultural products of the surveyed communes. The overwhelming
majority (67.2%) cultivate manioc, and around one fifth of the communes indicate that they raise coffee
beans (18.8%). Cotton, maize, and cultivation of other agricultural products add up to about 10% of total
agricultural outputs. This shows the low diversification of agricultural products in surveyed communes,
and raises concern over the general extent of food and livelihoods security in these areas.
Table 5.5.2: Principal agricultural product of communes
% of communes cultivating…
Manioc 67.2%
Coffee 18.8%
Cotton 4.7%
Maize 3.1%
Other 3.1%
Missing 3.1%
Source: Commune survey
51 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
5.6 Community organizations Figure 5.6.1 displays the prevalence of community organizations in the 64 surveyed communes. On
average, each commune features almost 86 community organizations. The types of organizations that
are most prevalent are religious organizations, parental organizations, and local development
associations with, on average, more than 10 of these organizations per commune. The high prevalence
of agricultural associations (9.25 on average) underscores the importance of agriculture in the economy
of CAR. Unions/syndicate structures outside of agriculture are rarer. Syndicate structures are almost
non-existent (0.25 per commune on average), and the same is true for merchant’s associations (1.24 per
commune on average).
Figure 5.6.1: Community organizations
Source: Household survey
10,60
10,30
10,08
9,25
8,03
6,61
5,22
5,17
4,84
4,68
4,48
3,75
2,93
2,22
1,24
0,64
0,25
Religious associations
Parental organizations
Local development associations
Agricultural co-operations
Youth associations
Sports clubs
Local political party committees
Women's groups
Villagers' financial associations
Other producers' associations
Cultural associations
Associations of water users
Traditional associations
Animal breeder's assocations
Merchants' associations
Other consumers' associations
Syndicate structures
Figure 5.6.1: Prevalance of groups & associations (average number of groups per commune)
52 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
5.7 National/international NGO presence in communes NGOs or other development partners are active in the majority of communes. 46% of communes have
either national NGO operations or some other national development program/project, while 53% of
communes have either international NGO operations or some other international development
program/project.
Though the presence of local/international NGOs and other development operations in more than half
of communes suggests a relatively high level of dependency on outside assistance, 44% of communes
surveyed indicated they have a local development plan suggesting that in many cases communes play,
or aspire to play, an active role in their own development.
Table 5.7.1: Presence of national NGOs, international development programs, local
development plans
Proportion of communes with:
Presence of national NGOs or development programs/projects 46%
Presence of international NGOs or development programs/projects 53%
A local development plan 44%
Source: Commune survey
The presence of national NGOs or development programs/projects correlates with lower involvement of
international NGOs/projects. Communes that currently have such a national presence have less
international involvement (42% of such communes have international projects, while 58% do not).
Conversely, communes without international NGOs or development programs/projects have more
national programs (59% with; 41% without).
53 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
6. Village Chief Survey The Village chief survey was administered to 317 chiefs from 10 prefectures. It was designed to capture
the roles and identities that chiefs ascribe to themselves, and to identify how they assumed office and
manage village affairs.
6.1 Basic summary statistics The following two tables show summary statistics for the village chief survey. As shown in table 6.1.1,
the vast majority of chiefs are male (94%). 45% of the chiefs report that their fathers were also chiefs, so
although a large fraction of chiefs have “inherited” their posts, this is by no means the rule. 14% also
serve as a traditional authority/chief and 16.4% implemented micro projects within the last 12 months.
Table 6.1.2 describes the average age of respondents as well as the length of their tenure. On average,
chiefs are 50.6 years of age and hold their position for 9.5 years. There is, however, considerable
variation around these averages.
Table 6.1.1: Village Chief Summary statistics
Proportion of respondents %
That are male 94.0 45.0 14.0 16.4
Whose father was village chief
That are also a traditional authority/chief
That have implemented micro projects in last 12 months
Source: Village Chief Survey
Table 6.2.1: Average age and years in office
Average Standard deviation Maximum Minimum
Age of respondent 50.6 12.5 66 29
Years in office 9.5 10.9 52 0
Source: Village Chief Survey
54 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
6.2 Ascent to power Figure 6.2.1 shows how the village chiefs assumed their posts. In more than 60% of cases, the chief was
elected, suggesting political competition exists at the local level (that said, this figure is self-reported, so
should be interpreted with caution). 19.6% claimed power due to traditional roles. Another 11.4% and
4.1% were replacements after death and resignation, respectively.
Figure 6.2.1: Assumption of power
Source: Village chief survey
60,9
19,6
11,4
4,1 1,3 0,6
Elected TraditionalRole
Replacementafter Death
Replacementafter
Resignation
SpecialDelegation
Other
Figure 6.1: How did village chiefs assume power? (% of village chiefs)
55 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
6.3 Chief roles The following graphs and tables illustrate the chiefs’ positions within their respective villages and
communities. Just over a third of chiefs (34.4%) are part of a local development organization. Some
32.5% belong to producer organizations, showing chiefs’ interests in economic matters, which is
somewhat out of synch with the relatively low importance accorded to commerce in the household
survey. 30% belong to women and youth groups, even though 94% percent of chiefs are men aged an
average of 50.6 years. As observed in the commune questionnaire, the village chief survey also suggests
relatively low importance of unions, with only 2.5% of chiefs belonging to a union.
Figure 6.3.1: Chiefs’ participation in community groups
Source: village chief survey
The vast majority (92%) of chiefs do not hold another administrative position in addition to their, and
only 7% are engaged at the commune level. Almost none of the chiefs surveyed belonged to a political
party, with 95.6% responding that they have no political affiliation. It is possible, however, that this
result is due in part to respondents’ reluctance to reveal political party affiliation to enumerators.
Table 6.3.1: Other administrative positions of village chiefs
Administrative position at… %
Does not hold position 92%
Commune Level 7%
Prefecture Level 1%
National Level 1%
Military 0%
Source: Village chief survey
34,4
32,5
30,0
19,6
18,0
14,5
11,0
7,3
2,5
Local Development Association
Producer Organization
Women and Youth Group
Local Political Comittee
Other
Sports Club
Cultural Group
Business Association
Union
Figure 6.2.1: Chiefs' participation in social groups (% of chiefs participating)
56 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Table 6.3.2: Party membership of village chiefs (%)
Proportion of chiefs reporting affiliation to political party
Not Member 95.6%
KNK 3.8%
KNK (BDR) 0.3%
Source: Village chief survey
In general, village chiefs do not appear to be highly politically connected. As shown in Table 6.3.3, 76%
of respondents report not having relatives holding public office. A combined 20% stated that they have
relatives at national, commune, or prefecture levels that hold an administrative position and a small
group of chiefs reported to have relatives in the military (3%).
At the commune level, only 10% of respondents are members of the commune council. 2% and 1%,
respectively, are vice-president or president of their commune council (see figure 6.3.2).
Table 6.5: Relatives in office
Proportion of chiefs with relative holding an administrative position %
No relative in office 76%
At national Level 13%
At commune level 4%
At prefecture level 3%
Source: Village Chief Survey
57 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Figure 6.3.2: Village chief membership in commune council
Source: Village chief survey
6.4 Village conflict Village chiefs have the important task of mediating and mitigating conflicts among villagers. They are
also at the center of administrative decision-making, and therefore play an integral part in setting the
agenda for conflict resolution mechanisms and policies. Figure 6.4.1 illustrates the prevalence of conflict
in villages as reported by village chiefs. Adultery, reported by 28% of chiefs, is the main cause of conflict.
Conflicts over theft of goods (26%) and water, theft of livestock, and debt (25% each) are also major
causes of intra-village conflict. Conflict over waste and mugging (3% each) were least reported.
Figure 6.4.1: Village conflict
Source: Village Chief Questionnaire
90%
7%
2% 1%
Figure 6.3.2: Village chief membership in commune council
Is not member Member Vice-President President
28
26
25
25
25
20
15
15
12
11
3
3
Adultery
Theft of Goods
Water
Theft of Livestock
Debt
Land
Fights between Neighbors
Employment
Inheritance
Fraud
Waste
Mugging
Figure 6.4.1: % of village chiefs reporting conflict in the last 12 months concerning...
58 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
7. Commune Mayor Survey The commune mayor questionnaire was administered to 64 community mayors (or their deputies) from
10 prefectures. It captures their attitudes, socio-economic information, and connections to their
particular villages/communes.
7.1 Demographics The average commune mayor is 50.1 years old and has been living at his/her present location for 33.2
years, though there is considerable variation around these averages.
Table 7.1.1: Commune mayor demographics
Average Standard deviation Maximum Minimum
Age of respondent 50.1 9.4 66 29
Number of years living in present location 33.2 17.8 66 0
Source: Commune mayor Questionnaire
Figures 7.1.1 and 7.1.2 illustrate the ethnic and religious affiliations of commune mayors. More than half
the commune mayors belong to either the gbaya (37%) or banda (22%) ethnic groups. A combined 41%
belong to other ethnic groups. Figure 7.1.1 compares ethnicities of commune mayors to households. It
shows that the sampled commune mayors represent the household sample fairly well.
Figure 7.1.1: Commune mayor and household ethnicity
Source: Household & commune mayor surveys
37,5
37,5
28,2
29,7
22,4
21,9
5,4
4,7
3,7
4,7
2,8
1,6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Households
Commune mayors
Figure 7.1.1: Commune mayors and household ethnicity (% of mayors/households)
g'baya other banda mandja g'baka other
59 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Religious affiliation of commune mayors is shown in figure 7.1.2. More than three quarters of the
mayors are Christian, divided almost evenly between Protestants (38%) and Catholics (39%). An
additional 14% are Muslim. Figure 7.1.2 also shows that the household and mayor survey results are not
as balanced as in the case of ethnicities. For example, relatively more households are Protestant.
Figure 7.1.2: Commune mayor and household religion
Source: Household and commune mayor surveys
54,1
37,5
32,1
39,1
6,4
14,1
7,5
9,4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Households
mayors
Figure 7.1.2: Commune mayor and household religion (% of mayors/households)
Protestant Catholic Muslim Other
60 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
7.2 Education Only 14% of commune mayors did not receive any formal schooling. 28% completed primary school
while at further 45% completed secondary school (see figure 7.2.1). This is in contrast to the average
household head, who had only a 32% chance of having completed primary or higher levels of schooling
(see figure 7.2.2)
Figure 7.2.1: Education of commune mayors
Source: Household and commune mayor surveys
Figure 7.2.2: Comparison of commune mayor and household head education levels
Source: Household and commune mayor surveys
45%
28%
14%
6% 3% 2% 2%
Figure 7.2.1: Highest level of education completed by commune mayors
Secondary Primary None Higher Other Professional Religious
32,0
85,9
68,0
14,1
0 20 40 60 80 100
Household heads
Mayors
Figure 7.2.2: Education levels of commune mayors and household heads (% of mayors/household heads
reaching level)
primary education or more no primary education
61 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
79% of mayors said they could write a letter in French. 68% stated they are able to draft a letter in
another language.
Table 7.2.1: Literacy of commune mayors
Respondent can read and write letter in French 79%
Respondent can read and write letter in any other language 68%
Source: Commune mayor survey
7.3 Commune council membership and other leadership functions Of the 36% of respondents that were regular council members, 34% are presidents and 26% are vice-
presidents. Only 4% fulfill other functions (treasurer or other). Of mayors that serve on commune
councils, 92% were nominated to their position. 6% are so-called special delegates.
Figure 7.3.1: Mayors’ role in commune council
Source: Commune mayor survey
Figure 7.3.2: Mayors’ assumption of office in commune council
Source: Commune mayor survey
92%
6% 2%
Figure 7.3.2: Proportion of mayors assuming commune council positions through...
Nomination Special Delegation Other
36%
34%
26%
2% 2%
Figure 7.3.1: Mayors' role in commune council
Council Member President Vice-President Treasurer Other
62 PDCAGV IE Baseline Survey Report
Table 7.3.1 includes statistics on traditional chieftaincy and length of tenure of commune mayors. 33%
of members had been mayor since 2005, i.e. for more than 5 years. 32% of respondents also serve as a
chief or other traditional authority
As with village chiefs, commune mayors rarely hold other public positions. 52 of 64 (81%) respondents
report not to hold an additional position. 71.9% of mayors belong to the KNK party and 23.4% have no
party. 59.4% report not to have relatives in administrative positions.
Table 7.3.2: Political party membership and family involvement in public administration
Respondent is member of a political party N in %
KNK 46 71.9
Not Member 15 23.4
MDI 1 1.6
PAD 1 1.6
PSD 1 1.6
Whether someone from the respondent’s family is involved in public administration N in %
No relatives in administration 38 59.4
National level 13 20.3
Commune level 7 10.9
Military 5 7.8
Prefecture level 1 1.6
Source: Commune mayor survey
Table 7.3.1: Traditional chieftaincy and length of tenure
Respondent was mayor before 2005 33%
Whether respondent is also a traditional chief/authority 32%
Source: Commune mayor survey