Banking Industry Update Jun14

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Banking Industry Update Jun14

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  • Pakistan Banking IndustryPakistan Banking IndustryKey Trends

    Jun-14

  • Banks 38

    Banking Industry | Profile at end Dec-13

    Branches10,726(YoY: 6%)

    Banks 38Commercial 22 Commercial with Islamic Branches (14)

    Foreign Banks (as branches) 7ATMs7,684(YoY: 23%)( ) o e g s ( ) 7

    Islamic 5Specialized 4

    ( )

    Assets10.5 trn

    (YoY: 6%)

    Deposits8.3 trn(YoY: 14%)

    Advances4.5 trn(YoY: 6%)

    Private Credit3.3trn

    Equity939 bln

    Borrower

    [Includes TFCs](YoY: 6%)

    [Direct Credit: 2.7trn]

    (YoY:6%)

    Government Deposits :732bln [10% of Industry]

    Advances : 407bln [10% of Industry]

    Deposit Accounts

    37mln

    BorrowerAccounts3.3mln

    [CY12: 3.7mln] Advances : 407bln [10% of Industry][CY12: 34mln]

    [ ]

    * Amounts in PKR

  • Players | How old are they?2014 2014

    Since Age (yrs)Oldies > 45Years Habib Bank Ltd. 1941 73 Allied Bank Ltd. 1942 72MCB Bank Ltd 1947 67

    2014Since Age (yrs)

    Teens 20 yearsFi W B k L d 1989 25

    Meezan Bank Ltd. 2002 12 NIB Bank Ltd. 2003 11 SAMBA Bank Ltd. 2003 11 Summit Bank Ltd 2005 9

    First Women Bank Ltd. 1989 25 The Bank of Punjab 1989 25 Askari Bank Ltd. 1991 23 Bank AL Habib Ltd. 1991 23S d d Ch d B k (P ki ) 1991 23

    BankIslami Pakistan Ltd. 2006 8 Burj Bank Ltd. 2006 8 Dubai Islamic Bank Pakistan Ltd. 2006 8JS Bank Ltd. 2006 8 Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan)

    Ltd. 1991 23

    The Bank of Khyber 1991 23 Habib Metropolitan Bank Ltd. 1992 22 Soneri Bank Ltd. 1992 22

    JS Bank Ltd. 2006 8 AlBaraka Bank (Pakistan) Ltd.. 2007 7 Sindh Bank Ltd. 2010 4

    Faysal Bank Ltd. 1994 20 KASB Bank Ltd. 1994 20 Silk Bank Ltd 1994 20

    Average Life of industry players 25

    * Excludes specialized banks and foreign bank branches

    * Source: Banks' www and/or Annual reports

  • Indutsry | CEOs | New Appointments

    Current President / CEO Appointment year Previous President holding Office

    1 1 Faysal Bank Ltd. Nauman Ansari 2014 Naved Abid Khan2 2 First Women Bank Ltd. Tahira Raza 2014 Charmaine Hidayatullah (A) / Shafqat Sultana 3 3 National Bank of Pakistan Syed Ahmed Iqbal Ashraf 2014 Asif Brohi 4 4 Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Ltd. Najam Siddiqui (A) 2014 Ibrahim Elgibali / Mohsin Nathani5 5 The Bank of Khyber Imran Samad (A) 2014 Bilal Mustafa6 6 U it d B k Ltd W j h t H i 2014 Atif B kh i

    y

    6 6 United Bank Ltd. Wajahat Husain 2014 Atif Bokhari

    7 1 Allied Bank Ltd. Tariq Mehmood 2013 Khalid Sherwani8 2 Askari Bank Ltd. Syed Majeedullah Husaini 2013 Muhammad Rafiquddin Mehkari9 3 JS Bank Ltd. Khalid Imran 2013 Kalim-ur-Rahman

    10 4 KASB Bank Ltd. Bilal Mustafa 2013 Syed Majeedullah Husaini (A)11 5 SAMBA Bank Ltd Shahid Sattar 2013 Tawfiq Husain11 5 SAMBA Bank Ltd. Shahid Sattar 2013 Tawfiq Husain

    12 1 Habib Bank Ltd. Nauman Dar 2012 Zakir Mahmood13 2 MCB Bank Ltd. Imran Maqbool 2012 Atif Aslam Bajwa

    14 1 AlBaraka Bank (Pakistan) Ltd.. Shafqaat Ahmed 2011 Syed Tariq Husain15 2 Bank Alfalah Ltd. Atif Aslam Bajwa 2011 Sirajuddin Aziz16 3 Burj Bank Ltd. Ahmed Khizer Khan 2011 Nikolaus Schwarz17 4 Habib Metropolitan Bank Ltd. Sirajuddin Aziz 2011 Anjum Iqbal18 5 NIB Bank Ltd. Badar Kazmi 2011 Khawaja Iqbal Hassan19 6 Soneri Bank Ltd. Mohammad Aftab Manzoor 2011 Atif Aslam Bajwa / Safar Ali Lakhani

    20 1 Dubai Islamic Bank Pakistan Ltd. Junaid Ahmed 2010 Muhammad Mannan21 2 Sindh Bank Ltd. Mohammad Bilal Sheikh 2010 -

    22 1 Summit Bank Ltd Husain Lawai 2009 Kamal Uddin Khan

    23 1 Silk Bank Ltd Azmat Tarin 2008 Shaukat Tarin 24 2 The Bank of Punjab Naeemuddin Khan 2008 Hamesh Khan

    25 1 B kI l i P ki t Ltd25 1 BankIslami Pakistan Ltd. Hasan A Bilgrami 2006 -26 2 Meezan Bank Ltd. Irfan Siddiqui 2002 -

    27 1 Bank AL Habib Ltd. Abbas Dawood Habib 1994 Rashid Dawood Habib

  • New % of Additions in Branch Network

    Bank Branch NetworkCY12 New additions CY13 overall network

    Large (System share > 5%)Habib Bank 1,496 50 1,546 13.6%National Bank of Pakistan. 1,317 25 1,342 11.8%United Bank Ltd. 1,277 5 1,282 11.3%MCB Bank Ltd. 1,202 15 1,217 10.7%

    BAFL and ABL lead with100+ and 75 additionalbranches respectively

    Allied Bank Ltd. 873 75 948 8.3%Bank Al Falah Ltd. 471 103 574 5.1%Bank Al Habib Ltd. 392 27 419 3.7%[Large Banks: Assets System Share: [64%] 7,028 300 7,328 64.5%

    Medium (System share between 2% to 5%)

    Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Ltd 130 (14) 116 1.0%Askari Bank Ltd. 261 20 281 2.5%Faysal Bank Ltd. 265 4 269 2.4%The Bank of Punjab. 306 28 334 2.9%Habib Metropolitan Bank Ltd. 183 31 214 1.9%Medium Banks: Assets System Share: [17%] 1,145 69 1,214 10.7%Small (System share

  • 280

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300

    MCB B k

    Share Price of Banks | 6th May 201410

    280 180

    171 125

    MCB BankHabib Bank LimitedUnited Bank LimitedAllied Bank Limited

    58 42

    40 31

    NBPBank AlhabibMeezan Bank

    Habib Metro Bank

    27 24

    19 16

    Bank ALFalahStandard Chartered

    Askari Bank LimitedFaysal Bank 16

    14 11 10

    9

    Faysal BankSoneri Bank

    Bank Islami PakistanBank of PunjabBank of Khyber9 8

    6

    4

    Bank of KhyberSamba Bank

    JS BankSummit Bank4

    3 3

    2

    SilkNIB Bank

    KASB Bank2

  • 25.6

    (10) (5) - 5 10 15 20 25 30

    Samba Bank

    Price to Earning Multiple| Banks

    9xs(Based on CY13 earnings)

    20.3

    19.6

    18.0

    14.5

    NIB Bank

    Silk

    Bank Islami Pakistan

    MCB Bank 14.5

    13.0

    11.8

    11.3

    Soneri Bank

    JS Bank

    Allied Bank Limited KSE : P/E 11.0

    10.7

    10.0

    10.0

    Habib Bank Limited

    Standard Chartered

    Faysal Bank

    NBP

    9xs

    9.9

    8.9

    8.9

    8 2

    United Bank Limited

    Bank Alhabib

    Meezan Bank

    Bank ALFalah8.2

    8.2

    8.2

    6.1

    Bank ALFalah

    Bank of Khyber

    Habib Metro Bank

    Bank of Punjab

    5.8

    (3.7)

    (6.1)

    Askari Bank Limited

    Summit Bank

    KASB Bank

  • 100%

    -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

    Standard Chartered

    One Year Stock Returns | Banks | CY13

    49.4%

    61%

    58%

    58%

    54%

    Bank ALFalah

    United Bank Limited

    Samba Bank

    S i B k 54%

    41%

    34%

    33%

    Soneri Bank

    Habib Bank Limited

    MCB Bank

    Habib Metro Bank One year KSE100 Return 49 4%

    31%

    31%

    22%

    18%

    Meezan Bank

    Bank Alhabib

    Allied Bank Limited

    NBP

    : 49.4%

    18%

    7%

    5%

    3%

    NBP

    Faysal Bank

    Bank of Khyber

    Bank of Punjab

    -8%

    -11%

    -19%

    21%

    Silk

    NIB Bank

    Askari Bank Limited

    KASB Bank-21%

    -23%

    -25%

    -28%

    KASB Bank

    JS Bank

    Bank Islami Pakistan

    Summit Bank

  • 95%

    -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Summit Bank

    Year till date Stock Returns | Banks vs KSE-100 | Jan-14 till May14

    12.3%

    75%

    47%

    39%

    39%

    Samba Bank

    Bank Islami Pakistan

    Allied Bank Limited

    F l B k 39%

    36%

    32%

    29%

    Faysal Bank

    Askari Bank Limited

    Soneri Bank

    United Bank Limited

    KSE100 Return : 12.3%

    28%

    23%

    23%

    14%

    JS Bank

    Silk

    Habib Metro Bank

    B k f Kh b 14%

    10%

    8%

    4%

    Bank of Khyber

    HBL

    NIB

    KASB Bank

    2%

    2%

    -1%

    2%

    Bank Alhabib

    Meezan Bank

    NBP

    MCB Bank-2%

    -2%

    -5%

    -8%

    MCB Bank

    Bank ALFalah

    Standard Chartered

    Bank of Punjab

  • 60%30,000

    Industry penetration as % GDP

    20,091

    22,909

    25,402 50%25,000

    13,200 14,867

    18,285

    30%

    40%

    15,000

    20,000

    K

    R

    i

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    b

    l

    n

    8,216 9,240 10,638

    10%

    20%

    5 000

    10,000

    P

    K

    0%

    10%

    -

    5,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14

    GDP | FY Assets Deposits%GDP Advances%GDP Deposits Advances

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14G | | bl 8 216 9 240 10 638 13 200 14 86 18 28 20 091 22 909 2 402GDP | FY | bln 8,216 9,240 10,638 13,200 14,867 18,285 20,091 22,909 25,402

    Deposits%GDP 40% 42% 40% 36% 37% 34% 36% 36% 36%Advances%GDP 31% 31% 32% 27% 25% 21% 21% 20% 20%

  • 53%

    60%Growth Trends

    42%40%

    50%

    22%24%

    19%

    31%30%

    12%9% 9%

    13% 14%

    9%6%

    15% 15%17%

    19%

    11%

    17%

    8% 7% 6%

    14%

    8%10%

    20%

    1%

    6%2%

    -2% -3%

    0%

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    -15%-20%

    -10%

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    CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QCY14

  • PKR in bln CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13Total Assets 4,353 5,172 5,628 6,516 7,117 8,171 9,761 10,537 Investments (net) 833 1,276 1,087 1,737 2,157 3,055 4,009 4,305 Deposits 3,255 3,854 4,218 4,786 5,451 6,244 7,301 8,318 p , , , , , , , ,Equity 402 544 563 660 695 784 882 939 Gross Advances 2,604 2,906 3,532 3,686 3,914 3,941 4,375 4,632

    Growth % CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 Dec-13Total Assets 19% 19% 9% 16% 9% 15% 19% 8%Investments (Net) 4% 53% -15% 60% 24% 42% 31% 7%Deposits 15% 18% 9% 13% 14% 15% 17% 14%Gross Advances 20% 12% 22% 4% 6% 1% 11% 6%

    PKR in bln Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13Total Assets 9,735 10,090 9,759 10,537 Investments (net) 4 160 4 253 4 029 4 305

    Mar-1410,752 4 662Investments (net) 4,160 4,253 4,029 4,305

    Deposits 7,236 7,756 7,698 8,318 Equity 864 901 903 939 Gross Advances 4,344 4,343 4,352 4,632

    QoQ Growth% Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13

    4,662 8,151

    956 4,483

    Mar-14Q Q pTotal Assets -0.3% 3.7% -3.3% 8.0%Investments (Net) 3.8% 2.2% -5.3% 6.9%Deposits -0.9% 7.2% -0.7% 8.1%Gross Advances -0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 6.4%

    2Q and 4Q : are seen ashappening quarters for banking

    industry

    2.0%8.3%

    -2.0%-3.2%

  • Incremental Growth | Funding & DeploymentCY12 CY13 1QCY14

    QoQ

    YOY Growth in Total Assets 19% 8% 2%Incremental Growth

    PKR in bln

    ASSETS 1,554 776 215 I 954 296 356Investments 954 296 356 Advances 440 306 (23) Cash and Placements 110 133 (106) Others 49 41 (12)

    LIABILITIES & EQUITY 1,554 776 215 Depsoits 1,063 1,017 (167) Borrowing from FIs 355 (312) 282 Sub odinated debt (3) (15) 2 Others 41 29 80 Equity 98 57 18

  • 1 Habib bank 1,610,474 16.6% 1,715,271 16.3% 2 National Bank 1,309,528 13.5% 1,364,341 12.9%

    3 U it d B k 896 535 9 2% 1 009 761 9 6%

    Large Banks (System Share: Total Assets >5% of Total banking Insudtry)

    Dec-12 Dec-13Total Assets (PKR in mln)

    Large 1 Habib bank 1,610,474 16.6% 1,715,271 6.5% 2 National Bank 1,309,528 13.5% 1,364,341 4.2% 3 United Bank 896,535 9.2% 1,009,761 12.6%

    4 MCB 767 075 7 9% 815 508 6 3%

    Total Assets (PKR in mln) | Growth compared to preceeding Year endDec-12 Dec-13

    3 United Bank 896,535 9.2% 1,009,761 9.6% 4 MCB 767,075 7.9% 815,508 7.7% 5 Allied 633,706 6.5% 734,196 7.0% 6 Bank AlFalah 536,568 5.5% 610,614 5.8% 7 Bak Alhabib 453,106 4.7% 460,727 4.4%

    6,206,991 63.9% 6,710,419 63.7%

    Medium Banks (System Share: Total Assets >2% and

  • Banks Ratings (As of 07-May-14)LT Rating

    1 Habib Bank Ltd. 16.3% AAA

    Large Banks (sorted in terms of System Share)Dec-13

    2 National Bank of Pakistan 12.9% AAA 3 United Bank Ltd. 9.6% AA+ 4 MCB Bank Ltd. 7.7% AAA 5 Allied Bank Ltd. 7.0% AA+ 6 Bank Alfalah Ltd. 5.8% AA 7 Bank AL Habib Ltd. 4.4% AA+

    63.7%

    LT Rating 1 Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Ltd. 3.8% AAA 2 Askari Bank Ltd. 3.7% AA- 3 Faysal Bank Ltd. 3.4% AA 4 The Bank of Punjab 3.3% AA-

    Dec-13Medium Banks (sorted in terms of System Share)

    j 5 Habib Metropolitan Bank Ltd. 3.0% AA+

    17.2%

    LT Rating 1 NIB Bank Ltd. 1.7% AA-

    2 S i B k Ltd 1 6% AA

    Dec-13Small Banks (sorted in terms of System Share)

    2 Soneri Bank Ltd. 1.6% AA- 3 Summit Bank Ltd 1.2% A- [RW] 4 JS Bank Ltd. 1.1% A+ 5 The Bank of Khyber 1.0% A 6 Silk Bank Ltd 0.9% A- 7 Sindh Bank Ltd. 0.7% AA- 8 KASB Bank Ltd. 0.7% BBB

    9 SAMBA Bank Ltd 0 4% AA 9 SAMBA Bank Ltd. 0.4% AA- 10 First Women Bank Ltd. 0.2% A-

    4.9%

    LT Rating

    1 M B k Ltd 3 1% AA

    Islamic Banks (sorted in terms of System Share)Dec-13

    1 Meezan Bank Ltd. 3.1% AA 2 AlBaraka Bank (Pakistan) Ltd.. 0.8% A 3 BankIslami Pakistan Ltd. 0.8% A 4 Dubai Islamic Bank Pakistan Ltd. 0.8% A 5 Burj Bank Ltd. 0.5% A

    6.1%* All Ratings carry Stable outlook except Summit which is under RW Developing

  • Industry ADR and IDR Advances and Investments to Deposits Ratio | Industry Trend

    72%

    81%

    8,000

    9,000

    Advances and Investments to Deposits Ratio | Industry Trend

    54%

    63%

    6,000

    7,000

    27%

    36%

    45%

    3 000

    4,000

    5,000

    P

    K

    R

    i

    n

    b

    l

    n

    9%

    18%

    27%

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QCY14Deposits 3,255 3,854 4,218 4,786 5,451 6,244 7,301 8,318 8,151 Advances (net) 2,428 2,688 3,173 3,240 3,358 3,349 3,760 4,047 4,014

    0%-

    Investments (net) 833 1,276 1,087 1,737 2,157 3,055 4,009 4,305 4,662 Investments % Deposits 26% 33% 26% 36% 40% 49% 55% 52% 57%Advances % Deposits 75% 70% 75% 68% 62% 54% 52% 49% 49%

  • 90%

    100%

    Industry | Advances Composition

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Mar-140%

    10%

    20%

    Others (incl. Staff Loans) 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%Agriculture Sector 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%SMEs Sector 9% 8% 7% 6% 6%Consumer sector 7% 6% 6% 6% 6%Commodity financing 12% 12% 12% 11% 10%Commodity financing 12% 12% 12% 11% 10%Corporate Sector 63% 65% 66% 67% 68%

    Industry after having a bad experience in SMEs (Infection ratio as high as 43% in Sep-12) is focusing on corporate segment

  • G Ad

    Sector wise Advances Composition

    % of Total PKR in mln % of Total PKR in mln % of Total PKR in mln

    Others 1,780,573 1,917,127 1,783,342 Textile 17 1% 767 054 17 3% 778 868 16 7% 699 342

    CY13

    Gross Advances

    CY12Sectors

    1QCY14

    Textile 17.1% 767,054 17.3% 778,868 16.7% 699,342 Production/Transmission of Energy 12.4% 554,432 10.9% 493,122 11.7% 492,814 Individuals 9.0% 401,785 8.5% 383,162 7.9% 333,309 Agribusiness 7.5% 335,485 7.6% 340,342 8.4% 354,343 Chemical & Pharmaceuticals 3.6% 159,245 3.3% 150,256 3.6% 150,101 , , ,Financial 2.3% 105,125 2.7% 121,013 1.9% 81,725 Sugar 3.9% 175,431 2.7% 120,274 2.5% 105,558 Automobile/Transportation 1.4% 62,062 1.3% 60,794 1.3% 56,329 Electronics 1.5% 67,461 1.3% 58,877 1.4% 57,003 Cement 1.1% 48,803 1.2% 54,679 1.4% 58,351 Shoes & Leather garments 0.6% 25,008 0.6% 26,628 0.6% 23,742 Insurance 0.0% 225 0.0% 354 0.0% 340 Total 4,482,690 4,505,495 4,196,299

    Commentary: Textile remained the largest credit exposure of the industry. Whilethere was an increase in %share of textile sector, absolute exposure increased by closeto PKR 80bln. Personal loans, lending to Financial sector and sugar businessi d d i CY13increased during CY13.

  • Sectors Absolute Growth Infection Ratio

    Sector wise Advances Composition and Asset Quality

    CY13 CY12 CY13 CY12Others 133,784 122,885 10.7% 11.5%Textile 79,526 42,256 26.2% 29.6%Individuals 49,853 (7,188) 12.3% 16.2%

    PKR in mln PKR in mln

    Individuals 49,853 (7,188) 12.3% 16.2%Financial 39,288 2,602 6.8% 10.5%Sugar 14,717 (22,768) 5.2% 10.3%Automobile/Transportation 4,465 19,048 17.2% 19.8%Shoes & Leather garments 2,886 (168) 11.3% 12.8%Electronics 1 874 21 536 41 3% 41 9%Electronics 1,874 21,536 41.3% 41.9%Production/Transmission of Energy 308 3,202 3.0% 3.7%Chemical & Pharmaceuticals 155 11,193 8.9% 9.9%Insurance 13 (3,344) 0.2% 13.0%Cement (3,673) (2,873) 25.3% 29.3%A ib i (14 001) 263 769 10 2% 9 1%Agribusiness (14,001) 263,769 10.2% 9.1%Total 309,196 450,150 13.0% 14.5%

    Commentary: During CY13 the industry saw a significant improvement inasset quality of Textile, Individuals, financial, sugar, and auto sector (Inpercentage terms)

  • 21%700

    Industry | Credit Risk | Asset Quality

    15%

    18%

    500

    600

    9%

    12%

    300

    400

    K

    R

    i

    n

    b

    l

    n

    6%200

    P

    K

    CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QCY14NPLs 177 218 359 446 556 592 615 585 602

    0%

    3%

    -

    100

    NPLs 177 218 359 446 556 592 615 585 602 Provision 138 188 250 312 371 410 439 459 468 Infection ratio % 7% 8% 10% 13% 15% 16% 14% 13% 13%

    Commentary: We should be happy to see industry infection ratio dropping for recent three yearsCommentary: We should be happy to see industry infection ratio dropping for recent three years. However, in terms of absolute money we can see CY13 as the first year where absolute NPLs have decreased.

  • Weighted average Lending & Deposit Rates | Oustanding Advences & Deposits | Spreads

    11.3

    12.5

    14.013.4 13.6

    12.8

    11.311 2 12

    13

    14

    12

    13

    14

    p | p

    10.5

    11.3 11.2

    9

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    11

    12

    9

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    11

    12

    6.55.9 6.0

    5 8

    7.4 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.57.6

    7.06.2 6.0

    6

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    3.14.0

    5.25.8

    5.1 5.1

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    CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QCY14

    Yield Cost of Funds Spread

  • Weighted average Lending & Deposit Rates |Fresh Disbursements & Deposits | Spreads

    12.7

    14.2

    13.514.1

    12.4 13

    14

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    p | p

    10.5 10.6 10.310.7

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    10

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    4.9 5 4

    7.3 7.77.2 7.4

    6.76.5 6 3

    6.76

    7

    8

    9

    6

    7

    8

    9

    %%

    5.4 5.7 6.05.5

    5.2 5.4

    6.5 6.35.7

    4.6 4.8

    3

    4

    5

    6

    3

    4

    5

    6

    0

    1

    2

    0

    1

    2

    CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QCY14

    Yield Cost of Funds Spread

  • PKR bln31-Mar-13 30-Jun-13 30-Sep-13 31-Dec-13 31-Mar-14 YoY Growth

    Investment Portfolio | GoP Securities

    PIBs 1,119 1,322 1,302 1,380 2,365 111%GoP Ijara Sukuk 459 459 459 370 323 -30%Market T-Bills 3,144 3,151 2,940 3,181 2,759 -12%Total 4,722 4,932 4,701 4,931 5,447 15%

    Banking Industry Investment in GoP SecuritiesPIBs 615 728 682 744 1,522 147%GoP Ijara Sukuk 415 413 413 335 289 -30%jMarket T-Bills 2,676 2,682 2,458 2,736 2,304 -14%Total 3,705 3,822 3,552 3,815 4,115

    Banking Industry holdings % in GoP SecuritiesBanking Industry holdings % in GoP SecuritiesPIBs 55% 55% 52% 54% 64%GoP Ijara Sukuk 90% 90% 90% 91% 90%Market T-Bills 85% 85% 84% 86% 84%Total 78% 77% 76% 77% 76%Total 78% 77% 76% 77% 76%

  • Structure of Interest Rates

    12.0

    12.5

    12.0

    12.5

    Structure of Interest Rates

    11.0

    11.5

    11.0

    11.5

    10.0

    10.5

    10.0

    10.5

    %%

    8.5

    9.0

    9.5

    8.5

    9.0

    9.5

    8.58.5 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14

    Discount Rate 6M T-bills Cutoff Yield 3Yrs PIBsDiscount Rate 6M T bills Cutoff Yield 3Yrs PIBs

  • Industry Profitability Trend

    120

    140 y y

    100

    60

    80

    P

    K

    R

    i

    n

    b

    l

    n

    40

    -

    20

    CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 1QCY13 2QCY13 3QCY13 4QCY13 Dec 13 1QCY14CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 1QCY13 2QCY13 3QCY13 4QCY13 Dec-13 1QCY14

    Profit After Tax (ytd)

  • CET 1 Tier I Tier II CAR 2013 CAR 2012 1 Habib bank 12.9% 12.9% 2.5% 15.4% 15.3% 2 National Bank 10.6% 10.6% 4.7% 15.2% 15.5%

    3 United Bank 10 0% 10 0% 3 3% 13 3% 15 0%

    Large BanksCapital Adequacy at end Dec-13

    3 United Bank 10.0% 10.0% 3.3% 13.3% 15.0% 4 MCB 20.9% 20.9% 1.4% 22.3% 22.2% 5 Allied 15.5% 15.5% 2.4% 17.9% 16.2% 6 Bank AlFalah 8.4% 8.4% 3.6% 12.1% 12.6% 7 Bak Alhabib 10.8% 10.8% 3.6% 14.4% 15.9%

    Medium Banks (System Share: Total Assets >2% and

  • Glossary & Data References

    Data References:

    1. Financial Soundness Indicators and Quarterly1. Financial Soundness Indicators and Quarterly Compendium of the Banking System :

    [Mar-14, Dec-13 M 13]13, Mar-13]

    2. National Data Summary Page, SBP :

    Glossary:

    ADR Advances to Deposits RatioIDR Investments to Deposits RatioCAR Capital Adequacy RatioCAR Capital Adequacy RatioCET I Common Equity Tier I

  • Samiya [email protected] number: +92 42 3586 9504

    DISCLAIMERDISCLAIMERPACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained from sourceswe consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The information in thisdocument may be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source is dulyacknowledged. The presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice.