Balance of Payments - MANUAL FOOT FILE - Home...1.Balance of trade in goods This measures the...
Transcript of Balance of Payments - MANUAL FOOT FILE - Home...1.Balance of trade in goods This measures the...
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Balance of Payments
Unit 7: Open Economy: International Trade and Finance
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What does it mean to have a “Balance of
Payments?”
● AKA, balance of international payments (BoP)
● The record of all economic transactions between the residents of the country and of the world in a particular period
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BoP should always equal zero when the three accounts are
added together.
The reason being:
● that every credit appearing in the current account has a corresponding debit in the capital account, and vice-versa. ○ If a country exports an
item, it effectively imports foreign capital when that item is paid for.
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How a Nation Balances its Payments:1. Current Account
a. Measures transactions in goods, services, investment income and current transfers.
b. Records monetary gifts or grants that flow into or out of a country.2. Capital (Financial) Account
a. Measures net flow of funds for investment in real assets (factories, land, etc.) and financial assets (stocks, bonds, etc.) into a nation from the rest of the world.
3. Official Reservesa. To balance the two accounts, a country’s official foreign exchange reserves
measures the net effect of all the money flows from other accountsb. The OR determine whether there is a net buildup of foreign currency held
in a country over a period of time.
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The Balance of PaymentsBoP will always equal zero when the three accounts are added together.
● If a country’s current account is in surplus (greater than zero), its capital account + official reserves will be in deficit (less than zero)
● If a country has a current account deficit (less than zero), then its capital account + official reserves will be positive, and the BoP taken as a whole will be zero.
*In practice, statistical discrepancies arise due to the difficulty of accurately counting every transaction between an economy and the rest of the world.
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The Current Account● Measures the flow of goods, services, and income between the
residents of one nation and the residents of other nations. ● The current account balance is known as the balance of trade.
● Hot Tip: The current account is also Net Exports (Xn in AD!)
The current account is made up of Four Components:
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1. Balance of trade in goods● This measures the spending by consumers and firms in one nation on
another nation’s goods○ Ex: everything you, I, and Barro’s buys from China
● Measures spending by consumers in the rest of the world on the recording nation’s goods. ○ Ex: All of the American products other people/countries purchase
Good Credits (+)● Goods exported count as a credit in the
current account○ They require that foreigners make
payments● Both consumer and capital goods count
as credits
Good Debits (-)● Spending by domestic consumers on
goods produced in foreign nations○ They require a payment to foreign
producers
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2. Balance of trade in services● Non-tangible purchases
○ Ex: tourism, banking, consulting, legal services, transportation● Services can be “imported” and “exported” even though there is no
physical transportation of a product involved.
Service Credits (+)● Services bought by foreigners
within the nation or from abroad○ They require that foreigners
make payments to a domestic producer
Service Debits (-)● Services consumed by domestic
households that were purchase from foreigners○ They require a payment to
foreign producers
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3. Income balance● The transfer of incomes earned by citizens of one country from activities
in another country back to the income earner’s country of origin.○ Ex: wages earned by a country’s citizen for employment by foreign
companies abroad.
Income Credits (+)● Wages earned by a country’s workers
employed abroad that are sent home● Interest on a residents’ savings and
investments in foreign banks/financial markets
● Dividends earned abroad from domestic investors in foreign firms○ They require that foreigners make
payments to the domestic resident
Income Debits (-)● Wages paid by firms in one country to
foreign workers that are sent abroad.● Interest paid to foreign investors in
domestic banks● Dividends paid to foreign shareholders
○ We pay foreigners. Commonly referred to as “leakages”
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4. Current transfer balance● A gift; grant; payment made from one nation to another that does not
require the exchange of goods or services. ○ Official transfers: Gov’t foreign aid○ Private transfers: Citizen → foreign citizen
Transfer Credits (+)● Official transfers from foreign
governments to our government● Private transfers from households to
individuals in our country (or the gov’t)○ Foreign $ → domestic○ Increases disposable income at
home○ Reduces disposable income in the
foreign country
Transfer Debits (-)● Official transfers from foreign
governments to their government● Private transfers from households to
individuals in their country (or the gov’t)○ Domestic $ → Foreigners○ Decreases disposable income at
home○ Increases disposable income
abroad
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Positive Current Account Balance: Trade Surplus
Negative Current Account Balance: Trade Deficit
When all of the credits and debits from each of those four components of the current account are added together, they will equal either a positive or a negative number.RECIPROCAL!
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The Financial (Capital) Account● Measures exchanges between a nation and the rest of the world
involving ownership of financial and real assets● The purchasing of assets leads to ownership of assets, not the
purchase of a nation’s goods or services● Assets won’t be brought back to the purchaser’s home country, so it
stays in the foreign country
The financial account measures two types of investments:
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1. Direct investment● Acquiring significant ownership in a foreign business.● Foreign direct investment: the buying and selling of a minimum
of 10% of a company’s shares by by a foreign investor in the domestic economy or by a domestic investor in another nation’s economy
Direct investment abroad: Investors from one country may buy or sell ownership stakes in foreign firms.
Credits (+)● Domestic investors selling shares in
foreign firms● There is an inflow of financial capital
Debits (-)● Domestic investors buy shares in
foreign firms, acquiring ownership● There is an outflow of financial capital
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Direct investment at home: Foreign investors may buy or sell ownership stakes in domestic firms.
Credits (+)● Foreign investment in shares of
domestic firms increases● There is net inflow of financial capital
Debits (-)● Foreigners sell their ownership in
domestic firms to domestic investors● There is outflow of financial capital
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2. Portfolio investmentPortfolio investment measures investments that result in less than 10% of a foreign firm, by ● the investments of foreigners in businesses in the domestic economy● Domestic investors investing in business and government debt abroad
Portfolio investment abroad: the money spent by domestic investors in foreign equity and debt. An asset to the investor’s home country, and a liability to the foreign country.
Credits (+)● When investors sell those assets,
foreigners make a payment to the domestic investor○ + to financial account
Debits (-)● When domestic investors buy foreign
assets○ - from financial account since the
money goes to a foreign stakeholder
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Portfolio investment at home: The money spent by foreigners on domestic stocks, shares, and bonds.● Liability for the home country● Asset for the foreign country
Credits (+)● Foreign investor buying domestic
securities makes a payment to the home country○ + in financial account
Debits (-)● Foreigners investor sells his domestic
securities, domestic country makes a payment to him○ - from the financial account
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3. Other investment Assets to home country:● Loans made by banks to foreign borrowers● Savings by domestic households in foreign banks
Credits (+)● Foreign borrower pays back a loan to a
domestic bank○ Inflow in financial account
Debits (-)● Domestic bank makes loan abroad
○ Outflow in financial account
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Liabilities to home country:● Borrowing from foreign banks● Savings by foreign households in domestic banks
Credits (+)● Money borrowed from a foreign bank
○ Payment from abroad to a domestic interest
○ Inflow in financial account
Debits (-)● When a loan is repaid to a foreign bank● Outflow in financial account
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The Official Reserves AccountForeign Exchange Reserves: the assets of other nations held by a country’s central bank. ● Reserves usually consist of government bonds and foreign currency
★ When the inflow of money into a country in a given year exceeds the outflow of money going to foreign countries, the difference is added to the central bank’s official reserves of foreign exchange.
↳ In America, the reserves are in U.S. Treasury, not the Federal Reserve
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★ If there is a net outflow of money in a year, the difference is made up by a withdrawal from the central bank’s reserves of foreign exchange, and the reserves decrease.○ A net deficit in the current and financial accounts results in an
inflow in the official reserves account.■ Net deficit in CA and FA = X < M
○ If a country has a net balance of payment surplus (X > M), then the change in the foreign exchange reserves is recorded as a negative ■ More domestic money is placed into foreign assets
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Hence this slide from the beginning:● If a country’s current account is in surplus (greater than zero), its
capital account + official reserves will be in deficit (less than zero)
● If a country has a current account deficit (less than zero), then its capital account + official reserves will be positive, and the BoP taken as a whole will be zero.
*In practice, statistical discrepancies arise due to the difficulty of accurately counting every transaction between an economy and the rest of the world.
#FBF
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Purpose of Foreign Exchange Reserves★ The presence of foreign exchange reserves in a nation’s central bank
allows the government to draw on these reserves to intervene in the market for their nation’s currency to:○ Influence the exchange rate○ Balance out the financial account in years where the current and
financial accounts aren’t balanced
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