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Transcript of Baku, 2013 1. 2 2 Real Time Delphi 2012 - 2013 3 Advances 73% Versions in English and Spanish.
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Baku, 2013
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2 Real Time Delphi
2012 - 2013
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Advances 73% Versions in English and Spanish
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2 C o n t e s t s :
• 1 5 V i d e o g a m e s p r o d u c ti o n
• P l a y e r s
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FUTURES ROOM Presidency Office
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MEXICAN POLITICAL SITUATIONM E X I C A N P A C T
95 commitments
5 S T R U C T U R A L R E F O R M S . E d u c a ti o n , L a b o u r, Te l e c o m m u n i c a ti o n s ,
E n e r g y a n d F i s c a l
F U T U R E S R O O M , P R E S I D E N C Y o f t h e R E P U B L I C
1. S t a t e o f t h e F u t u r e I n d e x
2. I m p a c t s a n d R i s k s o f t h e M e x i c a n P a c t
3. G l o b a l F u t u r e s I n t e l l i g e n c e S y s t e m
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National Energy Strategy
2013-2027
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Structure
The ENE 2013-2027 takes as its starting point the role that the energy sector should play in supporting the growth and economic and social development of the country,
promotes the social inclusion of the population in the benefits arising from the use of energy,
long-term sustainability of the sector
and mitigate the harmful impacts of energy production and consumption may have on health and the environment.
National Energy Strategy
2013-2027
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Structure
Strategic objectives
GDP GrowthEnergy for economic growth
Social inclusion Energy for all
GDP growth
Social Inclusion
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Structure
Integration elements
System renovation
Environmental and energy efficiency
Best practices with least environmental impact
Sustainability
Energy security
Energy sufficiency
GDP growth
Social Inclusion
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Policy measures
Unify and consolidate infraestructure
Refining Processing and generation
Strengthen transformation capacity
Transport, storage and distribution
Oil productionSustainable production for the long run
Energy Transition
Natural gas for the energy transition
Structure
GDP growth
Social Inclusion
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• Energy for economic growth
• Energy transition
• Keep a surplus of energy
Expected outputs
Security
• Reduce energy intensity
• Unify and strengthen the energy infrastructure
• To ensure the integrity and efficiency in facilities
Efficiency
• Inclusive development
• Supporting disadvantaged populations
• Reducing the carbon footprint of the sector
Sustainability
Energy for development Energy for all
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T H E F U T U R E S O F WO M E N ’ S L EA D E R S H I P A G A I N S T T R A N S N AT I O N A L O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E
S c e n a r i o s 2 0 3 5
S t ra te g i e s a n d a c ti o n s t o p r e v e n t c r i m e fo r p e o p l e ’s w e l fa r e w o r l d w i d e
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M e x i c a n S e n a t eT h e N a ti o n i s fi r s t
A M O N G I N D I V I D U A L S A S A M O N G N A T I O N S T H E R I G H T S R E S P E C T O F O T H E R S I S P E A C E
T H E N A T I O N I S F I R S T .
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Transnational Organized Crime 19 crime types
1. C o u n t e r f e i ti n g 1 1 . M i g r a n t s m u g g l i n g
2. C o r r u p ti o n 1 2 . M o n e y l a u n d e r i n g
3 . C r e d i t c a r d f r a u d 1 3 . M u r d e r f o r h i r e
4 . C y b e r c r i m e s 1 4 . N u c l e a r m a t e r i a l s t r a ffi c k i n g
5 . D r u g t r a ffi c k i n g 1 5 . P e o p l e ’ s t r a ffi c k i n g
6 . E n v i r o n m e n t a l c r i m e s 1 6 . P i r a c y
7 . E x t o r ti o n 1 7 . S m u g g l i n g
8 . H a z a r d o u s c h e m i c a l t r a ffi c k i n g 1 8 . Te r r o r i s m
9 . H u m a n o r g a n s t r a ffi c k i n g 1 9 . W e a p o n s t r a ffi c k i n g
1 0 . K i d n a p p i n g
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T T R A N S N A T I O N A L O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E M A I N C O U N T R I E S
1. U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A m e r i c a2. C h i n a3. M e x i c o4. S p a i n5. I t a l y6. J a p a n7. C a n a d a8. U n i t e d K i n g d o m9. R u s s i a10.G e r m a n y
1 1 . S o u t h K o r e a1 2 . I n d o n e s i a1 3 . P e r u1 4 . P h i l i p p i n e s1 5 . T u r k e y1 6 . B r a z i l1 7 . I n d i a1 8 . C o l o m b i a1 9 . V e n e z u e l a2 1 . T h a i l a n d2 2 . P a r a g u a y2 3 . M o r o c c o2 4 . I r a n2 5 F r a n c e
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2 0 1 2 W o r l d G D P , T O C , P o p u l a ti o nGDP TOC WORLD POPULATION
dollars people
74 153 883 925 000100%
1 938 467 000 000GDP: 2.6%
7 052 858 248 100%
MAIN 10 TOC COUNTRIES
45 244 727 000 00061%
1 584 000 000 000 GDP: 3.5% TOC: 82%
2 346 302 00033.3%
GDP per capita $ 30 777
MAIN 25 TOC COUNTRIES
57 510 984 000 00077%
1 827 530 000 000GDP: 3.2 % TOC: 94%
4 665 380 00066%
GDP per capita 20 508
MILLENNIUM PROJECT 37 COUNTRIES
59 676 906 984 00080%
1 789 885 000 000 GDP: 3% TOC: 92%
4 801 366 19068%
GDP per capita 23 936
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Millennium Project 37 Countries
1. U n i t e d S t a t e s2. C h i n a3. M e x i c o4. S p a i n5. I t a l y6. J a p a n7. C a n a d a8. U n i t e d K i n g d o m9. R u s s i a10. G e r m a n y11. S o u t h K o r e a12. P e r u13. T u r k e y14. B r a z i l15. I n d i a16. A u s t r a l i a17. C o l o m b i a18. V e n e z u e l a19. F r a n c e
2 0 . I s r a e l2 1 . S o u t h A F r i c a22. E g y p t23. G r e e c e24. M a l a y s i a25. R o m a n i a 26. K u w a i t27. U n i t e d A r a b E m i r a t e s28. A r g e n ti n a29. P o l o n i a30. K e n y a31. N e w Z e a l a n d32. C z e c h R e p u b l i c33. C h i l e34. B o l i v i a35. B e l g i u m36. F i n l a n d37. D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c
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191 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
C R I M E V A L U E S
1. Drugs
2. Counterfeiting
3. Prostitution
4. Ilegal gambling
5. Piracy
6. Ilegal trafficking
7. Oil theft
8. Illegal tobacco
9. Smuggling and
others
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 370
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
M I L L E N N I U M P R O J E C T G D P p e r c a p i t a
1. United States 2. China3. Mexico4. Spain5. Italy6. Japan7. Canada8. United Kingdon9. Russia
10. Germany11. South Korea12. Peru13. Turkey14. Brazil15. India16. Australia17. Colombia18. Venezuela
19. France20. Israel21. South Africa22. Egypt23. Greece24. Malaysia25. Romania26. Kuwat27. United Arab Emirates
28. Argentina29. Polonia30. Kenya31. New Zealand32. Czech Rep.33. Chile34. Bolivia35. Belgium36. Finland37. Dominican Rep.
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M I L L E N N I U M P R O J E C T C o u n t r i e s T O C i n c o m e s
US $ 1 789 885 000 000
1. United States 2. China3. Mexico4. Spain5. Italy6. Japan7. Canada8. United Kingdon9. Russia
10. Germany11. South Korea12. Peru13. Turkey14. Brazil15. India16. Australia17. Colombia18. Venezuela
19. France20. Israel21. South Africa22. Egypt23. Greece24. Malaysia25. Romania26. Kuwat27. United Arab Emirates
28. Argentina29. Polonia30. Kenya31. New Zealand32. Czech Rep.33. Chile34. Bolivia35. Belgium36. Finland37. Dominican Rep.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 370
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
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M I L L E N N I U M P R O J E C T C o u n t r i e s p o p u l a ti o n
4 8 0 1 3 3 6 1 9 0
1. United States 2. China3. Mexico4. Spain5. Italy6. Japan7. Canada8. United Kingdon9. Russia
10. Germany11. South Korea12. Peru13. Turkey14. Brazil15. India16. Australia17. Colombia18. Venezuela
19. France20. Israel21. South Africa22. Egypt23. Greece24. Malaysia25. Romania26. Kuwat27. United Arab Emirates
28. Argentina29. Polonia30. Kenya31. New Zealand32. Czech Rep.33. Chile34. Bolivia35. Belgium36. Finland37. Dominican Rep.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 370
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
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D r u g s : 2 8 % U S $ 4 1 1 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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1. M a r i j u a n a 3 4 . 5
2. C o c a i n e 2 0 . 6
3. P r e s c r i p ti o n d r u g s 1 7 . 64. H e r o i n 1 6 . 55. M e t a m p h e t a m i n e 6 . 96. E c s t a s y 3 . 9
%
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C o u n t e r f e i t : 2 5 %US $ 369 517 000 000
1. D r u g s2. F o o d3. A u t o p a r t s4. T o y s5. S h o e s6. C l o t h i n g7. S p o r ti n g g o o d s8. P e s ti c i e s
%54131293322
9. A i r c r a ft10. A r m s11. W a t c h e s12. M o n e y13. Identity docs. & passports14. B a g s15. L i g h t e r s16. b a tt e r i e s
%0.50.50.30.20.20.20.20.1
1 23 45 67 89 1011 1213 1415 16
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I l l e g a l g a m b l i n g : 9 . 5 % US $ 140 000 000 000
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P i r a c y : 6 . 7 %US $ 98 600 000 000
1. S o ft w a r e 6 4 . 02. M u s i c 1 2 . 73. W i r e s 8 . 6
4. V i d e o g a m e s 8 . 2 5. M o b i l e e n t e r t a i n m e n t 3 . 4
6. F i l m s 2 . 57. B o o k s 0 . 6
%
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I l l e g a l Tr a ffi c k i n g : 3 . 5 %U S $ 5 2 0 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
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1. H u m a n s2. W i l d l i f e3. W e a p o n s4. O r g a n s
%6 13 6 2 1
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S m u g g l i n g : 2 %US $ 29 700 000 000
• H u m a n s• L i q u o r s• C o s m e ti c s• M i n e r a l s & m e t a l s• N u c l e a r
%6 71 51 0
7 . 70 . 3
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O t h e r s : 2 . 7 % US $ 79 100 000 000
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I l l e g a l l o g g i n gI l l e g a l fi s h e r yW a s t e c h u t eA r t t h e ftK i d n a p a n d R a n s o mI n t e r n a ti o n a l a d o p ti o n s
%4 03 01 41 321
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S t u d yM E T H O D O L O G Y1. R e a l T i m e D e l p h i
2 . S c e n a r i o s 2 0 3 5
O U T C O M E S2. T o e n c o u r a g e w o m e n ’ s a c ti v e r o l e o n c r i m e
p r e v e n ti o n .
2. U N W O M E N & U N O D C p r o m o ti o n a n d i m p l e m e n t a ti o n o f S t u d y r e s u l t s .
3. U N l a u n c h g l o b a l m e d i a c a m p a i g n s o f W o m e n L e a d e r s v i s i o n s , a c ti o n s a n d m e s s a g e s .
4 . R e d u c e t h e s p e c t r u m a n d e ff e c t s o f T O C .
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