Automotive Industry Technology Development พัฒนาการด้าน ... · Decade of...
Transcript of Automotive Industry Technology Development พัฒนาการด้าน ... · Decade of...
D e c a d e o f c h a n g e i n a u t o m o t i v e b u s i n e s s
Automotive Industry
Technology Developmentพัฒนาการดา้นเทคโนโลยขีองอตุสาหกรรมยานยนต์
Presented by Mr. Thanawat Koomsin
Executive Vice President of Thailand Automotive Institute
March 27, 2019
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Topics
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Global Automotive Trend
Next Generation Vehicle
TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area
Vehicle Emission Standard
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1. Global Automotive Trend
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1. Global Automotive Trend: Global megatrends
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Global megatrend matrix 2025
Source: Frost & Sullivan (2014), World’s Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business, Society, and Cultures.
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2. Global Automotive Trend: Future of Mobility
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AAutomated
CConnected
EElectrification
SShared
AAutomated
CConnected
EElectrification
SShared
YYearly
Updated
Enablers ofTransformation
Motivators ofTransformation
Source: PWC (2018), Five trends transforming the Automotive Industry.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Electric Vehicle
Source: A guide to electric vehicles, Consumer NZ,2017.
xEV
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: EV policy target
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2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2 emission restriction
China 116 g/kmEU (2021) 95 g/km India (2021) 113 g/kmJapan 114 g/kmKorea 97 g/kmSaudi Arabia 137 g/km
xEV Target
China NEV sale 12%USA (2025) 3.3 million
ZEVs in 8 states combined (California, Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont)
ICE Ban : Norway
xEV Target
India >More than 30% of vehicles are electric
Netherlands New passenger cars, public transport, and city distribution, are zero emission
UK 50-70% new cars are ULEVsUSA, California 5 million ZEVs
ICE Ban : China, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands
xEV Target
Sweden (2045) No net emission
UK All new cars are ZEVs
ICE Ban: France, UK
xEV Target
UK Nearly all cars are ZEVs
Zero Carbon Economy Target
Japan: 80% reduction of GHG emission per vehicles produced by Japanese Automakers
New Zealand: Net Zero CarbonNetherlands: All electric society
Collected by Thailand Automotive Institute
Thailand 25% of xEV production in 2036
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Car maker’s EV target
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2022 20242021 2023 20252020
Ford 16 models
Nissan-Renault-Mitsubishi12 models
BMW 12 BEV models and 13 PHEV models
Chonqing Changan 21 BEV models and 12 PHEV models
Mercedes 10 models VW group 80 modelsToyota All vehicles are
HE, BE, or FCE
General Motors20 models
JaguarAll model
InfinitiAll model
EV Models
Nissan-Renault-Mitsubishi VW Group
ToyotaChonqingBAICGeely
Tesla BMW0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
X 1,0
00 u
nits
Annual global electric sales
Source: ICCT (2018), Power play: How Governments are spurring the electric vehicle industry.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Thailand xEV Production Promotion Measures
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Thailand xEV production promotion measuresendorsed by cabinet on March 28, 2017
Vision Thailand is a motor vehicle production base focusing on clean, save and safety vehicle andalso motor driven vehicle enhancing by an effective testing center to evaluate Thaiindustrial standard toward to international standard.
Target xEV production proportion will be a 25% of the amount of total vehicleproduction in 2036
Investment promotion
Stimulate domestic demand
Infrastructure Standardization Used battery management
Human Resource Development
6 Measures
HEV
PHEV
BEV
FCEV
xEV
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Level of vehicle automation
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Level 0No automation
Level 1Driver assistance
Level 2Partial automation
Level 3Conditional automation
Level 4High automation
Level 5Full automation
Human driver performs part or all of the dynamic driving task; in particular, the driver is responsible for monitoring the environment and any action taken by
the automation system
System performs entire dynamic driving task while engaged, including monitoring and response as well as steering and acceleration
Human driver performs all aspects of dynamic
driving tasks
System can perform either steering or
acceleration e.g. Park assist,
Adaptive cruise control
System can perform both steering and
acceleratione.g. Traffic jam assist
Human driver may be requested to intervene
(fallbacks)e.g. Intersection pilot,
Platooning
Full automation in some driving modes
e.g. Urban automated driving
Full automation in all driving modes
Year 2011 Year 2016 Year 2018 Year 2025 Year 2030
New vehicles40 million
New vehicles15 million
New vehicles5 million
New vehicles2 million
New vehicles1 million
Mind OffEyes Off
Hand OffFeet Off
Brain Off
Source: Transport System Catapult (2017), Market forecast for connected and autonomous vehicle.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: CAV New Model Lunch
2020 2030
Lv. 1 Samsung3 Camera for self driving, DRVLINE
Lv. 2 PSA Group1 (Peugeot, Citroen, DS)Volvo1 & Autoliv2 (2019) V60, S90
Lv. 3 Baidu6 Apollo ModelBMW1 & Intel6 & Mobileye3 iNextDaimler1 & Bosch2 & Tom Tom5
Ford1 within "Geofence*" AreaGM1 & Lyft5 (2019) Driverless TaxiHyundai1 & Aurora3 TestingJaguar1 provide Vehicles for Waymo6's
Fleet
PSA Group1 (Peugeot, Citroen, DS) (2021)
Renault-Nissan1 10 modelsToyota1 AI car featuresVolvo1 & Autoliv2 XC90 for testingVW1 & Aurora3 AV & EV Mobility as a
Service (MaaS) Fleets
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi1
Ride-hailing Car sharing Pilot
Hyundai1 & Aurora3
Autonomous SUV
Lv. 4 Aptiv2 (2019) Start ProductionBayton1 M-Byte, K-Byte ModelBMW1 & Intel6 Uber pilot program
NIO1 EVE ModelTesla1
Lv. 5 Toyota1 & Amazon5 e-Palette Vehicle
Note: 1 OEM2 Tier-X suppliers3 Device Manufacturers4 Telecom Companies5 Online Players6 IT Suppliers *Fenced area base on geographic area
Collected by Thailand Automotive Institute
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Market Penetration Trend
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2020 202X 203X
Source: Kellley Blue Book, Cox Automotive Brand.
Active Safety System (Lv 1 – 2) can reduce accident numbers by 20%.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Connected Vehicles
In 2020, 75% of cars produced globally will be able to connect with the internet.
Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/connected-cars-2015-9
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: V2X Technology
Connectivity technology will support autonomous vehicles.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: New business model (Shared and Services)
Blue SG, EV car sharing fleet in Singapore, originate in Paris, France.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: New business model (Shared and Services)
CU Toyota Ha:mo is the first EV car sharing fleet in Thailand.
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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS)
Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) Consumers are focusing on service not car ownership. Car ownership will be decrease. According to MIT, driverless vehicle will be sufficient with 80% less vehicle.
Driverless Shuttle Driverless Taxi
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC
OFFICE
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC
T1
T2
T4
T3
T5
T6
T7
T8T9
T10
T11
T12
L1L3
L4L5
LAYOUT
T7 Wet Handling Track
T1 UN R117 Track
T2 High Speed Track
T3 Braking Track
T4 Test Hill
T5 Dynamic Platform
T8 Skid Pad
T6 Handling Track
T9External Noise Test Track(ISOc10844:2014)
T10Noise Vibration & Harshness(NVH)
T11 Accelerated Fatigue Track
T12 Steering Pad
TEST TRACK LABORATORY
L2
L1 Tire Lab
L4 Certification Lab
L2Passive Safety LabPowertrain Lab
L5 EMC
L3 Battery Lab
1st Phase
2nd Phase
Further Phase
NOTE
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC
T1 UN R117 Track
L3 Battery Lab
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Standardization
• UN R100 Standard testing
• Testing for R&D
• Technical service
TAI’s activities | 1. Set up EV standard master plan
| 2. Battery laboratoryBattery lab testing capabilities
Mechanical integrity
External short circuit protection
Overcharge protection
Over-discharge protection
Over temperature protection
Mechanical shock
Thermal shock
Fire resistance
Vibration
UN R100 Standard testing
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ตวัอยา่งผลจากการทดสอบแบตเตอรี่
ภาพจาก Internet
หอ้งนิรภยัส าหรบัการทดสอบแบตเตอรี่ เซลล ์แบตเตอรีเ่กดิการบวมและอาจตดิไฟไดข้ณะทดสอบ
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Human Resource Development
TAI’s activities | 1. EV Training course
| 2. EV Technology & Innovation Learning center
EV Training course in 2019
1. Fundamentals of Electric Vehicle Technologies
2. Battery Technology for Electric Vehicle
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Human Resource Development
TAI’s activities | 1. EV Training course
| 2. EV Technology & Innovation Learning center EV Technology & Innovation Learning center
It is set up to provide knowledge to entrepreneurs. Recently, There are the study of EV parts disassembly, the design of cooling system of the EV battery, the database of Thai EV entrepreneurs, and many more.
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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Next Generation Automotive Research Center
TAI’s activities | 1. Think-tank of Thailand automotive industry
| 2. Analyze data and provide essential information for both public and private sectors
Next Generation Automotive Research CenterNext Generation Automotive Research Center was established in order to gather essential
information of global automotive industry and automotive technology knowledge and provide analyzed data and information to both public and private sector
Data
Catching up with
Global automotive industry
Automotive technology knowledge
Analyze data and provide essential information for Government to set the appropriate policies for development
of Thai automotive industry Private sectors to plan their business.
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4. Vehicle Emission Standard
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HC
NOx
PMCO
Euro 1
Euro 2Euro 3
Euro 4Euro 51
Euro 61
1.510.500.511.522.530.2
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
1
Diesel Passenger Car Emission Limit (g/km)
1.510.500.511.522.53
PMCO
HC
NOx
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Gasoline Passenger Car Emission Limit (g/km)
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Euro1 Euro2 Euro3 Euro4 Euro5 Euro6
Euro1 Euro2 Euro3 Euro4 Euro5
4. Vehicle Emission Standard: Euro emission Standard for Passenger Car
Euro 3
Euro 52 / 61
Euro 2
Euro 1
1 Include PM quantity limit 6x10^11 particles/ km. 2 Euro 5 = Euro 4 + PM Emission Limit (g/km)
Euro 4Current Use3
3 Source: EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2016 – Update Jul. 2018
Current Use3
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4. Vehicle Emission Standard: Way to reduce Vehicle Tailpipe Emissions
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