Australia through the demographic lens
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1 Australia through the demographic lens Presentation to GPT - March
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Transcript of Australia through the demographic lens
1
Australia through the demographic lens
Presentation to GPT - March 2014
2
Significant demographic changes in Australia• Historic levels of population growth• Large increases in overseas migration gain• A reversal in fertility rate trends with decreases
becoming minor increases (more babies)• Continued declining mortality rates (people
living longer)• Different patterns of migration between the
states
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the historical view: 1971-2001
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Population by ageAustralia 1971-2001
Source: ABS Australian Demographic Statistics, 2013
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Population growth by ageAustralia 1971-2001
Source: ABS Australian Demographic Statistics, 2013
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a turning tide: 2001-2013
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Net overseas migrationAustralia, 1976-2013
Source: ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Recent arrivals (2006-2011)Total population
Source: 2011 Census of Population and Housing, ABS
Age structure of migrants Australia,2006-2011
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Fertility and number of birthsAustralia, 1976-2013
Source: ABS, Australian Historical Population Statistics, 2008 ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics
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Fertility ratesSelected countries, 1975-2010
Source: United Nations, Population Division, World Population Prospects
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Population growth by ageAustralia, 2001-2011
Source: ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics 2013
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three growth markets: 2011-2031
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Population growth by ageAustralia, 2011-2031
Source: .id Small Area Forecast Information (SAFI), 2013
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Population changeAustralia 1971-2051
Source: ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics, .id SAFi
1971-76
1976-81
1981-86
1986-91
1991-96
1996-01
2001-06
2006-11
2011-16
2016-21
2021-26
2026-31
2031-36
2036-41
2041-46
2046-51
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
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Population by ageAustralia, 2011-2031
Source: .id Small Area Forecast Information (SAFI), 2013
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the state of the states
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Net overseas migration by stateAustralia, 1976-2013
Source: ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics
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Net interstate migrationAustralia 1976-2013
Source: ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics
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Total growth States, 2006-2011
NSW Vic Qld SA WA Tas NT ACT0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000Absolute growth 2006-2011
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Comparative growthStates, 2006-2011
NSW Vic Qld SA WA Tas NT ACT0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%State % growth 2011 5 year growth %
