Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9...

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Future Power Markets Platform Auctions for Intraday Trading Introduction to the Meeting Karsten Neuhoff Paris, 2.10.2016

Transcript of Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9...

Page 1: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Future Power Markets Platform

Auctions for Intraday Trading

Introduction to the Meeting

Karsten Neuhoff

Paris, 2.10.2016

Page 2: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday trading arrangements in European countries

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Karsten Neuhoff, Carlos Batlle, Gert Brunekreeft, Christos Vasilakos Konstantinidis, Christian Nabe, Giorgia Oggioni,

Pablo Rodilla, Sebastian Schwenen, Tomasz Siewierski, Goran Strbac (2015) Flexible Short-Term Power Trading:

Gathering Experience in EU Countries

Page 3: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Introduction of intraday auctions increases liquidity

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.20123

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Page 4: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday auction increases market depth

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.20124

3Order book depth on the

15min continuous

intraday market

Aggregated supply and demand in

early 2015 auctions

Page 5: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday auctions provide functioning

reference point for contracts to support flexibility

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4

In 5% of the transactions the basis risk is more than 86 €/MWh.

Referenced to an index based on continuous trading only offers limited hedge.

Volume weighted price index for the cap futures Jan 2014 – April 2015 (2,5 Mio. Trades)

Page 6: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday auctions allow for pricing and efficient us

of cross-zonal transmission capacity

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.20126

Pricing of T capacity in continuous trading difficult

- ex-ante set price inhibits efficien trades / can violate T

- ex-post set price – trading risk limits arbitrage

Allocating T capacity on first come first serve (for free)

- gives scarcity value to traders not consumers

- inefficient use of scarce resource in flow based approach

-> politics changed as robots not traders capture margin

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Page 7: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday auctions support effective participation of players

of all scale and technologies (including flexibility)

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.20127

•Capability (unit based) bidding possible

•Reflecting start-up times/costs, ramps, minimum runs ..

•Ensures non-discriminatory participation of small players

•Allows all generation / demand options to enter

•Provide full value to system

•Receive remunaration for full value to system

•Aggregation remains option

•To reduce transaction costs

•But not required to match standardized products

6.1

Page 8: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

6.2 Performance of Price Coupling Algorithm (so far only day ahead)

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Time to first solution of Euphemia

Graph from presentation „Euphemia performance” to European stakeholder committee SEP 2015

Multiple types of block bids very challenging for solution algorithm:

-> further argument for moving to common formats of capability bids

Page 9: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.20129

•Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges

-> higher trading speeds, turnover rates, order-to-trade ratios

• Intraday exceeding 100.000 orders per day (only Germany)

•Risk of back-logs and ultimately secure operation

•Challanges would increase with block-bids / more

sophisticated cross-boder clearance ..

7

Matching a 3MW hourly order with hourly, half-hourly or quarterly order combinations.

Page 10: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Auctions can support more reliable flow-forecasts of TSOs

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.201210

•Unit based bidding results in early & reliable schedules (also

consistent with outcome of real-time/balancing markets)

• Improves flow-forecasts in countries with diverse actors

•Reduces

•Volume of unannounced loop-flows

•Amount of reserves needed for balancing & re-dispatch

•Risks from unanticipated flow patterns

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Page 11: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday auctions to align intraday and balancing

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.201211

•Flexibility options require real-time/balancing market

•Should be based on marginal clearing (demand side …)

•Risks in case of continuous intraday (inherent pay as bid)

•Shift of liquidity from intraday to balancing -> inefficient

•Arbitrage/gaming between different clearing algorithms

• Importance to align (not only within Terre/explore) but

•between time-frames

•across EU to share flexiblity / generation adequacy

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Page 12: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Challenges for use of intraday auctions

Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.201212

Regenerativwirtschaft im europäischen Verbund?

Multiple intraday auctions with capability based bids have

advantages – but:

•Are they a sufficient step – or do we ignore further needs?

•How to align with real-time/balancing markets?

•What are implications of different design choices?

•How to avoid regional lock-in with different choices?

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Page 13: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Intraday implicit auction design

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• What bid formats to allow?

• Capability bids - what information to provide on

operational point, balancing/re-dispatch commitments?

• Additional products – for flexibility/storage needs?

• How to treat discrete nature of units?

• Minimum uplift payments

• How to facilitate consistency with real-time / balancing?

• Virtual bids

I

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What bidding formats for intraday auctions?

Karsten Neuhoff, 27.10.201514

I-1

Capability bids

Page 15: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

How to align intraday auctions with continuous trading?

Karsten Neuhoff, 27.10.201515

• How can intraday auctions (also foreseen by CACM as

complementary regional measures) interface with

continuous trading (platform)?

• How can intraday auctions be integrated with different

pre-existing intraday market designs?

II

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11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 … 21:00 22:00 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00

23:00

23:15

23:30

23:45

00:00

00:15

00:30

00:45

01:00

01:15

01:30

01:45

02:00

02:15

How to align intraday auctions with continuous trading? (scenario hourly)II-1Day ahead capacity calculation

Continuous intraday trading

Day ahead auction*

Intraday auctions

TSO activity (redispatch etc.)

Real time balancing (market)Time slot

considered

Page 17: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Time slot

considered

11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 … 21:00 22:00 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00

23:00

23:15

23:30

23:45

00:00

00:15

00:30

00:45

01:00

01:15

01:30

01:45

02:00

02:15

Day ahead capacity calculation

Continuous intraday trading

Day ahead auction*

Intraday auctions

TSO activity (redispatch etc.)

Real time balancing (market)

How to align intraday auctions with continuous trading? (multi-hourly+closing)II-2

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Alignment with system needs

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• Can capability based bidding (unit specific) enhance

reliability of generation schedules for TSOs?

• How to allocate transmission capacity between bidding

zones if continuous and auction based trading co-exist?

• Are PXs and TSOs able to better integrate energy trading

algorithms with other system needs?

• How can intraday auctions be integrated with short-term

procurement of reserve and multi-lateral remediate

actions for redispatch?

III

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III-1 Spatial clearing structure of countries in different time frames

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Blue energy markets, white relating to transactions to address transmission constraints

Karsten Neuhoff, Carlos Batlle, Gert Brunekreeft, Christos Vasilakos Konstantinidis, Christian Nabe, Giorgia Oggioni,

Pablo Rodilla, Sebastian Schwenen, Tomasz Siewierski, Goran Strbac (2015) Flexible Short-Term Power Trading:

Gathering Experience in EU Countries

Page 20: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

DIW Berlin — Deutsches Institut

für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V.

Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin

www.diw.de

Karsten Neuhoff, 27.10.201520Wie viel Steuerung braucht die Energiewende? Nächste

Schritte für den Strommarkt

Page 21: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Motivation for intraday auctions

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Increased need for short-term adjustments (Wind , solar …)

• Enhanced liquidity

• Enhanced market depth

Increased need for flexibility (Functioning energy market)

• Reference price for derivative products

• Open for all flexibility options

Closer alignment with system operation (EU integration)

• Early & reliable information on flow patterns

• Facilitate consistency with real-time market

• Efficient & market based allocation of cross-zonal capacity

0

Page 22: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Response to T constraints

Self

activation

Balancing

bids

Tendered

Reserves

Non Redispatch Shadow

nodal

Nodal

Italy

Poland

Germany

Netherlands

Belgium

France

Energy only bids

Multi-part bids

Access to

flexiblity

Illustration of different balancing approaches

Page 23: Auctions for Intraday Trading2016/10/04  · Auctions resolve challenges of intraday matching 9 Karsten Neuhoff, 22.3.2012 •Penetration of algorithmic trading in intraday exchanges->

Balancing reserves differ significantly between EU countries

Karsten Neuhoff, 27.10.201525

9.2

Capacity

and

var

cost

Energ

yprice

&

uniform

pricin

g

Reserve

auctions

Portfolio

based

Energy&reserve

auctions

Germany

NetherlandsSpain

Poland*

Energ

y

price

&

pay

as

bid

Wie viel Steuerung braucht die Energiewende? Nächste Schritte für den Strommarkt