ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals: If
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8/14/2019 ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals: If
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ATTENTION Advanced Investors and Finance Professionals:
If you are reading this you should downloadValuEngine Institutional Software to see how VEs powerfulquantitative tools can increase your productivity and effectiveness.
January 25, 2010
MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued 55.53%
Stocks Overvalued 44.47%
Stocks Undervalued by 20% 26.32%
Stocks Overvalued by 20% 19.81%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector Change MTD YTD ValuationLast 12-MReturn
P/ERatio
Basic Industries 0.48% -2.52% -2.48% 7.54% overvalued 83.18% 25.52
Capital Goods 0.55% 0.48% 0.48% 5.48% overvalued 50.80% 22.74
Consumer Durables -0.21% -0.23% -0.23% 11.54% overvalued 81.48% 21.96
Consumer Non-Durables -0.19% -1.71% -1.74% 0.89% overvalued 68.30% 18.26
Consumer Services -0.19% -0.72% -0.72% 2.87% undervalued 70.06% 22.15
Energy 0.95% -1.60% -1.60% 12.51% overvalued 66.49% 22.19
Finance 0.66% 0.97% 0.97% 1.50% undervalued 32.23% 17.97
Health Care 0.10% -1.17% -1.17% 7.48% undervalued 57.84% 20.82
Public Utilities 0.68% -2.91% -2.91% 1.51% overvalued 38.77% 16.64
Technology -0.09% -1.18% -1.18% 6.56% undervalued 72.13% 25.78
Transportation 0.82% -1.58% -1.58% 0.61% overvalued 43.47% 20.93
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Suttmeier Says--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist RichardSuttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to [email protected]
Banking
The Large Regional Banks have Hidden Bad Loans
BB&T Corp (BBT) charged off $517 million bad loans up 10.5% fromthe third quarter and non performing assets increased 7%. BB&T increased reserves forlosses by nearly $200 million to $725 million. BB&T are slightly overexposed to C&D loanswith a stuffed pipeline at 87.3%. The bank is only projected to match the market by ourmodels--"3-Engine."
BBT Valuation & Rankings
Valuation 19.17% overvalued Valuation Rank 21
1-M Forecast Return -1.20% 1-M Forecast Return Rank 38
12-M Return 44.04% Momentum Rank 55
Sharpe Ratio -0.16 Sharpe Ratio Rank 455-Y Avg Annual Return -7.15% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 46
Volatility 43.69% Volatility Rank 66
Expected EPS Growth 15.51% EPS Growth Rank 39
Market Cap (billions) 18.96 Size Rank 97
Trailing P/E Ratio 23.36 Trailing P/E Rank 55
Forward P/E Ratio 20.23 Forward P/E Ratio Rank 28
PEG Ratio 1.51 PEG Ratio Rank 26
Price/Sales 1.79 Price/Sales Rank 41
Market/Book 1.18 Market/Book Rank 57
Beta 1.14 Beta Rank 47
Alpha 0.08 Alpha Rank 49
Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) described economic outlook as uncertain and fragile. They
set aside $894 million for its loan-loss reserve up 88% from the third quarter. HBAN isoverexposed to C&D loans with a stuffed pipeline at 81.1%. The bank is only projected tomatch the market by our models--"3-Engine."
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HBAN Valuation & Rankings
Valuation 25.90% undervalued Valuation Rank 791-M Forecast Return -1.74% 1-M Forecast Return Rank 21
12-M Return 49.07% Momentum Rank 58
Sharpe Ratio -0.40 Sharpe Ratio Rank 24
5-Y Avg Annual Return -31.94% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 18
Volatility 80.24% Volatility Rank 24
Expected EPS Growth 95.02% EPS Growth Rank 77
Market Cap (billions) 3.43 Size Rank 87
Trailing P/E Ratio n/a Trailing P/E Rank 6
Forward P/E Ratio n/a Forward P/E Ratio Rank n/a
PEG Ratio n/a PEG Ratio Rank n/a
Price/Sales 1.08 Price/Sales Rank 56
Market/Book 0.60 Market/Book Rank 85
Beta 1.32 Beta Rank 38
Alpha 0.07 Alpha Rank 49
SunTrust Banks (STI) described their results as continuing to be affected by recessionarypressures evidenced by soft revenue and weak loan demand from both consumer andcommercial borrowers. The bank is hard hit by home equity and mortgage lending exposuresin the struggling housing market particularly in Florida. Net charge-offs declined 18.7% to
$820.5 million and loan loss provisions declined $217 million to $973.7 million. Noncurrentloans totaled $5.4 billion. STI is not overexposed to C&D or CRE loans but their portfolio of$8.75 billion in C&D loans are 82.9% funded, which is a sign of stress. The bank is onlyprojected to match the market by our models--"3-Engine."
STI Valuation & Rankings
Valuation 7.09% overvalued Valuation Rank 34
1-M Forecast Return -2.03% 1-M Forecast Return Rank 16
12-M Return 63.15% Momentum Rank 67
Sharpe Ratio -0.31 Sharpe Ratio Rank 31
5-Y Avg Annual Return -21.51% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 26
Volatility 70.21% Volatility Rank 32
Expected EPS Growth 67.35% EPS Growth Rank 70
Market Cap (billions) 11.98 Size Rank 95
Trailing P/E Ratio n/a Trailing P/E Rank 19
Forward P/E Ratio n/a Forward P/E Ratio Rank n/a
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STI Valuation & Rankings
PEG Ratio n/a PEG Ratio Rank n/a
Price/Sales 1.12 Price/Sales Rank 55
Market/Book 0.53 Market/Book Rank 88
Beta 1.23 Beta Rank 42
Alpha 0.24 Alpha Rank 61
Courtesy of Google Finance
The ValuEngine Quarterly FDIC Report UPDATED
Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is an expert on the banking system, and hehas been closely following the banking and credit crisis for several years now. In fact, hepredicted the current difficulties YEARS before they began. Every quarter, he takes theFDIC's own Quarterly Banking profile, combines it with VE's powerful quant tools, addsadditional proprietary data from the FDIC on loan exposures, and collates the info into anexhaustive report on the state of the US banking system.
We have updated the FDIC Report to include the latest VE datapoints on all problem banksas well as Suttmeier's latest predictions for the US banking system and economy.
There are currently 759 publicly traded FDIC insured financial institutionsoverexposed to CD Loans or Nonfarm Non-Residential Real Estate loans as per the
FDIC's own guidelines.
http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=0&chdd=0&chds=0&chdv=0&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chdet=1264539600000&chddm=98141&chls=IntervalBasedLine&cmpto=NASDAQ:HBAN;NYSE:STI&cmptdms=0;0&q=NYSE:BBT&ntsp=0http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=0&chdd=0&chds=0&chdv=0&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chdet=1264539600000&chddm=98141&chls=IntervalBasedLine&cmpto=NASDAQ:HBAN;NYSE:STI&cmptdms=0;0&q=NYSE:BBT&ntsp=http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=0&chdd=0&chds=0&chdv=0&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chdet=1264539600000&chddm=98141&chls=IntervalBasedLine&cmpto=NASDAQ:HBAN;NYSE:STI&cmptdms=0;0&q=NYSE:BBT&ntsp=0 -
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As of January 8, 2010, there were 221 banks overexposed to C&D and/or CRE loans in theValuEngine database with full data coverage. Of these overexposed banks, 82 were rated 1-Engine Strong Sells, 73 were rated 2-Engine Sellsall of which are predicted to underperform the markets as a whole, 63 were rated 3-Engine Holdswhich are predicted toroughly match the overall market, 3 were rated a 4-Engine Buy, and none held our highestrating of 5-Engine Strong Buywith the 4 and 5-Engine stocks predicted to out perform theoverall market.
This means thatthere are currently 155 banks rated Sell or Strong Sell that are alsooverexposed to C&D and/or CRE loans.
There are 198 overexposed institutions with only partial ValuEngine coverage and thusthose banks have no rating--these are included in the problem bank list.
There are 341additional institutions carrying C&D and/or CRE loans in excess of theFDIC guidelines that do not appear in the ValuEngine database. These are also listed in
the report following the VE List of Problem Banks.
For more on the ValuEngine Quarterly FDIC Report, Click the Image Below
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