Presented to the Attendance Area Advisory CommitteeJanuary 8, 2019

Attendance Area Adjustment Option E & Options Overview

“Policy Change” Options Overview

In December, Board OK’d Sharing Options that Rely on Policy Changes

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Two new options respond to some AAAC requests and a third addresses diversity criterion in a different way

These are not Board proposed options

The Board has enabled presentation and discussion of these optionsWhether the Board would accept one of these options or the

associated policy changes is another question, assuming they even receive AAAC support

Three Policy-Change Options

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Option C, which would consolidate all K-5 TWI at new Sugar Creek (discussed on 12/19)

Option D, which would not change K-5 TWI, but would create a Country View/Sugar Creek K-2/3-5 pair (also on 12/19)

Option E, which continues to direct most enrollment growth to Country View and Glacier Edge, with expectation that a 5th

standard elementary school would be built to relieve their capacity issues (option to be discussed tonight)

Option E Presentation

Option E Overview

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Continues capacity challenges at Country View and Glacier Edge

Try to extend capacity in those two schools longer by shifting more limited neighborhoods to Sugar Creek and Stoner Prairie

Anticipate construction of 5th standard elementary school near south or east edge of City of Verona by the mid-2020s

Minimize multiple shifts for neighborhoods affected by the 2016-17 shifts

No TWI or charter policy changes from current

Several similarities to Option A

Neighborhoods & ’18-’19 Elementary Attendance Areas

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Neighborhoods temporarily relocated to CV in 2016

Remember what happens at Country View Elementary with no changes?

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program, and the end of “grandfathering” of Glacier Edge students residing in the current County View attendance area.

536521

758

953

1,085

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Sept. 2018 2020 2025 2030

Bldg Capacity Projected Enrollment

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program, and the end of “grandfathering” of Glacier Edge students residing in the current County View attendance area.

427

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Sept. 2018 2020 2025 2030

Bldg Capacity Projected Enrollment

Remember what happens at Glacier Edge Elementary with no changes?

5th School Site Concept

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Potential broad area for 5th

school assumed under Option E

VASD’s “HerfelSite”

Option E Map

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Option E Dashboard

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Option E Dashboard Summary

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Diversity appears comparable to today; diversity challenges may grow with future suburban 5th elementary school in this or any other option

Obvious capacity challenges at Country View and Glacier Edge; could be addressed if neighborhoods 20-22, 26-33 shifted to future south/east 5th

school (~350 “home” students projected there in 2025)

~54% attend closest school, down from ~~65% today

Mixed bussing impact; some bussing past closer school from #26/27

~12% of non-TWI/charter students change schools, ~½ in #58

Two obvious attendance area contiguity breaks

Neighborhood unity arguably better than today

Middle school feeder path appears workable

Option E Discussion

Overview of Options A through E

Options A through E in Brief

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Option Overview

AAttempts to minimize changes from current attendance areas while unifying Verona Road neighborhoods and accounting for Sugar Creek and Stoner Prairie capacity increases.

BAttempts to maximize neighboring Two-Way Immersion (TWI) and non-TWI students attending same elementary school (particularly in Verona Road corridor) while retaining TWI at both Glacier Edge and Sugar Creek.

CConsolidates K-5 TWI at Sugar Creek, providing school with a District-wide attendance area and requiring other schools to absorb current Sugar Creek attendance area for non-TWI students.

D Establishes Country View and Sugar Creek as a K-2/3-5 school pair with a single attendance area / includes no locational changes to TWI.

EAttempts to minimize changes from current attendance areas and sends Country View over capacity sooner and greater, suggesting a 5th elementary school mainly to relieve it (CV) and Glacier Edge before 2025.

Option A Map

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MDRoffers’ Option A Dashboard Summary

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Diversity stats may be more equalized than today New Sugar Creek capacity tested first, though not

significant growth after Probably like all options, Option A suggests need for new

elementary school before 2030 ~57% attend closest school, down from ~~65% today ~20% of students change schools (not inc. TWI/charter) Neighborhood #9 contiguity break continues Neighborhood unity may improve More work on ES to MS path was required

Option B Map

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MDRoffers’ Option B Dashboard Summary

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Diversity stats likely less equalized than today; Verona Road shift significantly affects Country View and Sugar Creek

Stoner Prairie and Glacier Edge capacity tested first, though Glacier Edge down from today and stabilizing

~60% attend closest school, down from ~~65% today ~48% of students change schools (not inc. TWI/charter) Contiguity is good, especially considering MMSD peninsula Neighborhood unity seems to improve; Sugar Creek TWI

and non-TWI neighborhood students unified Reasonable ES to MS path, w/ balanced diversity prospect

Option C Map

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MDRoffers’ Option C Dashboard Summary

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Diversity percentages highest at Sugar Creek; lowest at Glacier Edge even with some effort

Phase-in of more TWI sections at Sugar Creek results in immediate capacity challenges at other schools

~53% attend closest school, down from ~~65% today

Mixed bussing impact: more kids and distance; more efficient routes?

~35% of non-TWI/charter students change schools, plus Glacier Edge TWI shifts to Sugar Creek

Contiguous but large attendance areas because there is one less area

Neighborhood unity arguably better, but TWI/non-TWI neighbors never in same school

Middle school feeder path is a bit cloudy, but probably workable

Option D Map

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MDRoffers’ Option D Dashboard Summary

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Diversity percentages even closer than today, except perhaps ELLs

Imperfect capacity difference between Country View & Sugar Creek accelerates capacity issues at other schools

Unlike Option C, no clear path for possible expansion of TWI

~67% attend closest school, about the same as today

Bussing: option takes advantage of overlapping walking zones and has contiguous attendance areas, but they are large

~14% of non-TWI/charter students change schools, but students assigned to County View and Sugar Creek would also have change

Neighborhood unity arguably better than today

Middle school path seems doable

AAAC Preliminary Evaluation of Options A-D

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Preliminary Ranking Against “Student Diversity” Criterion Option D (ave. 5.0 “yes” votes per group) Option A (2.75) Option C (1.0) Option B (0.25)

Preliminary Ranking Against All Other 7 Criteria Combined Option D (24.25 “yes” votes per group) Option B (22.5) Option A (21.25) Option C (14.25)

Rankings are preliminary, imperfect, and do not include Option E!

Option E Map

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MDRoffers’ Option E Dashboard Summary

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Diversity appears comparable to today; diversity challenges may grow with future suburban 5th elementary school in this or any other option

Obvious capacity challenges at Country View and Glacier Edge; could be addressed if neighborhoods 20-22, 26-33 shifted to future south/east 5th

school (~350 “home” students projected there in 2025)

~54% attend closest school, down from ~~65% today

Mixed bussing impact; some bussing past closer school from #26/27

~12% of non-TWI/charter students change schools, ~½ in #58

Two obvious attendance area contiguity breaks

Neighborhood unity arguably better than today

Middle school feeder path appears workable

Foundational Information

Enrollment Projections—Elementary Schools (K-5)

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693 more VASD elementary school students between 2018 & 2030 Assuming 2018-2019 attendance areas & no charter school changesCountry View enrollment would continue to increase dramaticallyGlacier Edge would continue to have capacity issues Stoner Prairie and Sugar Creek would have excess capacity for years “K-wing” building would have excess capacity for charter schools

New elementary school will likely be required sometime between 2025 and 2030

Projections vs. Capacity—Country View Elementary

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program, and the end of “grandfathering” of Glacier Edge students residing in the current County View attendance area.

536521

758

953

1,085

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Sept. 2018 2020 2025 2030

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Projections vs. Capacity—Glacier Edge Elementary

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program, and the end of “grandfathering” of Glacier Edge students residing in the current County View attendance area.

427

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594

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Sept. 2018 2020 2025 2030

Bldg Capacity Projected Enrollment

Projections vs. Capacity—Stoner Prairie Elementary

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, and no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program.

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Projections vs. Capacity—New Sugar Creek Elementary

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, and no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program.

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Projections vs. Capacity—New K-Wing Charter Elementary Schools

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NOTE: This chart is based on several assumptions, including no changes to 2018-19 attendance areas, no changes in existing school capacity or construction of new schools, and no changes in participation in VASD’s charter schools and TWI program. New Century Charter School and Verona Area International School will be housed in the K-Wing building.

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K-5 Enrollment Projections Map

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Scenic Ridge Cathedral Point

School Diversity StatisticsAll Students, Fall 2018

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School Free &

Reduced Lunch

English Language Learners

Students of Color

All Elementary Schools (K-5) 27% 18% 39% Country View 30% 11% 44% Glacier Edge 19% 21% 29% Stoner Prairie 36% 22% 49% Sugar Creek 39% 30% 48% New Century Charter 7% 3% 11% Verona Area International (Charter) 7% 10% 37% Core Knowledge Charter (K-5 only) 15% 9% 29%

All Middle Schools (6-8) 27% 15% 39% Core Knowledge Charter (6-8 only) 19% 11% 26% Badger Ridge 32% 15% 42% Savannah Oaks 25% 15% 39%

Current Elementary to Middle School Transitions

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All of current Glacier Edge and Stoner Prairie ES attendance areas are in Savannah Oaks MS attendance area

All of current Sugar Creek ES attendance area is in the Badger Ridge MS attendance area

The Country View ES attendance area is currently split between the two middle school attendance areas—meaning that Country View “graduates” attend different middle schools depending on where they live