ASX Energy - Daily Spot Market Report3 ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICE AVERAGES Table 4: Spot Price Averages...
Transcript of ASX Energy - Daily Spot Market Report3 ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICE AVERAGES Table 4: Spot Price Averages...
ASX Energy - Daily Spot Market ReportMarch 12, 2014
1 AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL CITY WEATHER FORECAST
Table 1: Capital City Weather Forecast
Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday13/03/2014 14/03/2014 15/03/2014 16/03/2014 17/03/2014
State max min max min max min max min max minSydney 27 20 28 20 28 20 30 21 25 15Melbourne 24 12 27 13 31 16 20 16 19 11Brisbane 29 19 29 19 30 19 34 19 33 21Adelaide 27 13 28 14 27 18 20 11 21 13Hobart 23 11 22 12 27 14 20 17 18 10
Source: www.bom.gov.au
2 FUTURES CLOSING PRICES
(4PM PREVIOUS TRADING SESSION)
1. 10 minute-delayed intraday data showing best prices including implied
prices available from: https://asxenergy.com.au/futures
2. 10 minute-delayed intraday data showing additional detail of outright prices
available from: https://asxenergy.com.au/futures_actual#A
Tabl
e2:
Futu
res
Pric
es(N
SW
and
VIC
).Leg
end:
0.00
Act
ualp
rice,
0.00
Impl
ied
pric
e
NS
WV
ICba
sepe
akof
fpea
kca
psba
sepe
akof
fpea
kca
psB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleJa
n20
14Fe
b20
14M
ar20
1448
.92
46.4
1A
pr20
1453
.90
51.0
048
.92
May
2014
54.9
451
.73
Jun
2014
54.9
451
.73
Q1
2014
50.1
550
.70
50.4
553
.25
54.5
053
.50
46.8
648
.77
0.04
0.54
0.15
56.0
556
.50
56.2
571
.00
72.5
072
.50
43.9
645
.84
6.00
6.75
6.15
Q2
2014
54.5
054
.75
54.6
058
.85
59.3
059
.10
51.0
451
.79
1.00
1.50
1.25
50.8
050
.94
50.8
056
.25
56.7
556
.75
46.5
147
.11
0.65
0.70
0.65
Q3
2014
43.1
543
.25
43.2
551
.35
2.35
2.85
2.45
37.0
037
.25
37.0
541
.25
42.2
541
.70
32.7
334
.00
1.10
1.75
1.50
Q4
2014
38.6
039
.00
38.6
549
.50
2.25
3.10
3.00
32.1
032
.40
32.4
037
.25
38.5
037
.75
27.3
128
.77
1.70
2.05
2.05
Q1
2015
40.6
040
.75
40.6
153
.00
5.25
5.30
40.1
040
.55
40.4
055
.50
56.5
029
.56
7.00
7.75
7.50
Q2
2015
38.3
538
.75
38.3
648
.50
2.25
32.3
532
.55
32.3
537
.75
38.2
528
.80
1.30
2.00
1.65
Q3
2015
39.2
539
.30
39.2
547
.80
3.20
4.50
3.40
32.3
532
.85
32.4
038
.75
2.00
2.60
2.45
Q4
2015
37.9
538
.21
49.7
94.
205.
504.
4031
.00
31.5
031
.30
38.0
02.
252.
802.
65Q
120
1640
.65
41.0
040
.68
55.5
08.
008.
508.
0039
.95
40.6
040
.01
59.2
57.
258.
25Q
220
1638
.30
38.5
038
.30
47.1
83.
203.
753.
5032
.25
32.6
032
.25
41.0
01.
66Q
320
1640
.00
40.9
540
.40
48.1
35.
0032
.25
33.5
033
.50
47.0
02.
77Q
420
1639
.50
40.5
040
.30
44.2
56.
2531
.75
33.0
033
.00
51.0
03.
87Q
120
1749
.00
49.0
077
.38
14.9
648
.00
48.0
013
5.75
13.9
0Q
220
1737
.50
43.0
043
.00
47.3
84.
0032
.00
38.0
038
.00
51.2
02.
10Q
320
1745
.55
48.1
36.
7539
.40
39.4
058
.20
3.50
Q4
2017
46.4
642
.13
7.75
37.9
737
.97
66.5
55.
15C
al20
1446
.56
46.8
81.
422.
0143
.90
44.1
951
.12
52.1
837
.66
38.9
62.
352.
80Fi
n20
1540
.18
40.4
435
.40
35.6
042
.86
30.1
32.
763.
37C
al20
1539
.10
39.2
533
.92
34.1
03.
123.
77Fi
n20
1639
.05
39.1
04.
645.
5633
.88
34.2
0C
al20
1639
.61
40.2
434
.40
34.7
03.
604.
40Fi
n20
1743
.33
38.0
7C
al20
1740
.81
Tabl
e3:
Futu
res
Pric
es(Q
LDan
dS
A).L
egen
d:0.
00A
ctua
lpric
e,0.
00Im
plie
dpr
ice
QLD
SA
base
peak
offp
eak
caps
base
peak
offp
eak
caps
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Bid
Ask
Set
tleB
idA
skS
ettle
Jan
2014
Feb
2014
Mar
2014
54.5
752
.29
Apr
2014
54.5
057
.50
56.6
960
.61
May
2014
58.4
164
.96
Jun
2014
57.8
265
.94
Q1
2014
67.4
067
.65
67.5
077
.75
12.7
514
.00
12.7
565
.00
68.0
066
.50
90.7
57.
258.
258.
00Q
220
1457
.40
57.8
057
.65
62.2
562
.75
54.6
83.
754.
253.
7563
.60
64.2
563
.85
84.7
575
.80
48.3
53.
504.
904.
40Q
320
1447
.20
47.5
047
.25
52.0
057
.00
53.0
039
.45
43.9
43.
355.
003.
7553
.75
54.7
053
.75
59.7
54.
505.
255.
00Q
420
1447
.00
47.7
547
.00
60.0
061
.50
38.3
35.
856.
506.
1544
.50
45.2
558
.25
5.65
6.00
5.65
Q1
2015
59.7
560
.00
59.8
583
.00
83.0
042
.61
12.6
012
.70
12.6
057
.25
88.5
013
.50
Q2
2015
44.4
044
.50
44.4
050
.00
3.75
44.5
053
.00
4.75
Q3
2015
44.7
544
.90
44.8
252
.55
4.00
46.0
053
.00
4.75
Q4
2015
48.7
048
.95
48.7
559
.10
60.1
041
.14
5.75
7.25
44.0
054
.00
7.50
Q1
2016
61.0
061
.20
61.0
989
.54
13.0
015
.00
13.0
057
.37
100.
0016
.75
Q2
2016
45.3
045
.40
45.3
846
.50
46.5
044
.56
3.25
5.50
4.15
45.2
246
.50
4.75
Q3
2016
46.7
547
.20
46.7
858
.00
4.50
49.3
546
.00
4.75
Q4
2016
50.7
551
.20
50.7
970
.50
8.00
52.0
648
.00
9.00
Q1
2017
69.6
012
8.00
14.4
079
.50
79.5
010
0.00
24.3
5Q
220
1748
.65
43.3
82.
7554
.45
36.5
04.
00Q
320
1746
.50
61.3
83.
5054
.45
36.5
04.
25Q
420
1747
.50
71.3
87.
0057
.45
36.5
09.
00C
al20
1454
.67
55.1
06.
407.
4156
.65
5.22
6.09
Fin
2015
49.5
549
.90
Cal
2015
49.3
649
.45
Fin
2016
49.9
550
.10
Cal
2016
51.0
051
.10
Fin
2017
Cal
2017
3 ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICE AVERAGES
Table 4: Spot Price Averages
QueenslandType Base Peak Offpeak $300 Cap
Average to Date Minimum PayoutMonth to Date (MTD) 47.44 50.26 42.29 0.00 0.00Quarter to Date (QTD) 70.08 83.71 47.11 15.03 0.17
New South WalesMonth to Date (MTD) 47.59 49.37 44.36 0.00 0.00Quarter to Date (QTD) 50.68 53.21 46.43 0.00 0.00
VictoriaMonth to Date (MTD) 43.44 45.84 40.03 0.00 0.00Quarter to Date (QTD) 58.60 68.05 43.30 7.63 0.08
South AustraliaMonth to Date (MTD) 47.97 51.27 43.28 0.00 0.00Quarter to Date (QTD) 69.89 83.98 47.07 9.13 0.10
TasmaniaMonth to Date (MTD) 47.89 44.56 53.95 3.77 0.12Quarter to Date (QTD) 40.53 39.45 42.49 1.58 0.02
Source: www.aemo.com.au
4 NEM SPOT FORECAST
Source: www.aemo.com.au
Figure 1: NEM Spot Forecast (QLD)
Figure 2: NEM Spot Forecast (NSW)
Figure 3: NEM Spot Forecast (VIC)
Figure 4: NEM Spot Forecast (SA)
Figure 5: NEM Spot Forecast (TAS)
Figure 6: Actual and Forecast RRP for all Regions
5 7-DAY DEMAND AND CAPACITY FORECAST
Source: www.aemo.com.au
Figure 7: 7-Day Demand and Supply Forecast (QLD)
Figure 8: 7-Day Demand and Supply Forecast (NSW)
Figure 9: 7-Day Demand and Supply Forecast (VIC)
Figure 10: 7-Day Demand and Supply Forecast (SA)
Figure 11: 7-Day Demand and Supply Forecast (TAS)
6 YESTERDAY’S DEMAND AND GENERATOR BID STACKS
OVERLAYED ON TODAY’S DEMAND FORECAST
Source: www.aemo.com.au
Figure 12: Yesterday’s Generator Bid Stacks Overlayed on Today’s DemandForecast (QLD)
Figure 13: Yesterday’s Generator Bid Stacks Overlayed on Today’s DemandForecast (NSW)
Figure 14: Yesterday’s Generator Bid Stacks Overlayed on Today’s DemandForecast (VIC)
Figure 15: Yesterday’s Generator Bid Stacks Overlayed on Today’s DemandForecast (SA)
Figure 16: Yesterday’s Generator Bid Stacks Overlayed on Today’s DemandForecast (TAS)
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