Assetz Fund Management Commercial Property No 1 LP.
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Transcript of Assetz Fund Management Commercial Property No 1 LP.
Assetz Fund Assetz Fund ManagementManagement
Commercial Property No 1 LPCommercial Property No 1 LP
UK Commercial Property FundUK Commercial Property Fund
Other MarketsOther Markets
*249% growth since 1989*249% growth since 1989
Why Commercial PropertyWhy Commercial Property
Source: IPD Index. Growth 240% and assumes UNGEARED investmentSource: IPD Index. Growth 240% and assumes UNGEARED investment
All Commercial Property Index
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CompoundGrowth,TotalReturns
Why Commercial PropertyWhy Commercial PropertyAll Commercial Property Index
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60001970
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CompoundGrowth,TotalReturns
Source: IPD Index. Growth 4949% Source: IPD Index. Growth 4949% and assumes UNGEARED investmentand assumes UNGEARED investment
All Commercial Property Index
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CompoundGrowth,TotalReturns
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund FRI (Full Repairing Insuring) leasesFRI (Full Repairing Insuring) leases Less volatile and more predictable due to long leasesLess volatile and more predictable due to long leases Buy Offices and Industrial off plan + tactical opportunitiesBuy Offices and Industrial off plan + tactical opportunities 9%+ prospective yield9%+ prospective yield Once tenanted the building can be worth 25% moreOnce tenanted the building can be worth 25% more Hold for 5 years and then renew/ replace lease and sellHold for 5 years and then renew/ replace lease and sell Repayment mortgage of 70% will be just 40% after 5 Repayment mortgage of 70% will be just 40% after 5
years – rent increases returnsyears – rent increases returns Finally if there are commercial property rises then even Finally if there are commercial property rises then even
better – we expect 5-7% pa for the next 5 years on these better – we expect 5-7% pa for the next 5 years on these type of propertiestype of properties
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund High quality locationsHigh quality locations
AirportsAirports Major citiesMajor cities Near other large business parksNear other large business parks
Arterial roadsArterial roads Small developments (8-12 units)Small developments (8-12 units) Small units – 2500-8000 sq ftSmall units – 2500-8000 sq ft SME’s are 98%+ of the market SME’s are 98%+ of the market Prices 20% discounted with a 9.5% prospective yieldPrices 20% discounted with a 9.5% prospective yield Fast selling units to Owner OccupiersFast selling units to Owner Occupiers Limited sales to investorsLimited sales to investors
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund
20% discount to market value when tenanted20% discount to market value when tenanted How is this ‘lease premium’ calculated ? How is this ‘lease premium’ calculated ? 9.5% prospective yield9.5% prospective yield Say building is £100,000 – rent would be £9,500Say building is £100,000 – rent would be £9,500 Rent is the driverRent is the driver Once tenanted the building can be sold on a 7.5% yieldOnce tenanted the building can be sold on a 7.5% yield £9,500 / .075 = £126,666 a gain of £26,666£9,500 / .075 = £126,666 a gain of £26,666
If you 50% gear that is a 53% gainIf you 50% gear that is a 53% gain If you 75% gear that is a 107% gainIf you 75% gear that is a 107% gain Less purchase and sales costsLess purchase and sales costs
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BuildingValue
Costs etc
Profit
Other Costs
Sale Costs
PurchaseCostsDeposit
Mortgage
Premium
Building Cost
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund
9.5% yield is £9,500 rent per £100,000 of property9.5% yield is £9,500 rent per £100,000 of property 9.5% is set by the developer as a reasonable 9.5% is set by the developer as a reasonable
prospective yield on a property price that still makes prospective yield on a property price that still makes them money whilst leaving around 2% in it for the them money whilst leaving around 2% in it for the investorinvestor
The 7.5% yield is ‘set’ by the investor market, what they The 7.5% yield is ‘set’ by the investor market, what they are willing to receive as a yield on a tenanted property.are willing to receive as a yield on a tenanted property.
As the rent is constant, £9,500 per annum the property is As the rent is constant, £9,500 per annum the property is worth £100,000 at 9.5% prospective yield when sold by worth £100,000 at 9.5% prospective yield when sold by the developer and worth £126,666 to the investor buying the developer and worth £126,666 to the investor buying it with a tenant at 7.5% yieldit with a tenant at 7.5% yield
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund
£9,500 / 9.5% = £100,000 £9,500 / 9.5% = £100,000 Yield is only prospective – no actual tenantYield is only prospective – no actual tenant
£9,500 / 7.5% = £126,000£9,500 / 7.5% = £126,000 Yield is real – signed up tenantYield is real – signed up tenant
Premium is the value of the leasePremium is the value of the lease The better the tenant the lower the tenanted yieldThe better the tenant the lower the tenanted yield
Property PriceProperty Price
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund
Property PriceProperty Price
Property P
rice P
lus
Property P
rice P
lus
Rental Profit
in 5-7
Rental Profit
in 5-7
YearsYears
Lease PremiumLease Premium
Rental Income/ ProfitRental Income/ Profit
Price IncreasesPrice Increases
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund Risks :Risks :
Prices do not risePrices do not rise Fund already bought at discount and the lease premium plus the Fund already bought at discount and the lease premium plus the
rental profit will still give gains.rental profit will still give gains. Prices fallPrices fall
Fund bought at discount and with the lease premium once tenanted Fund bought at discount and with the lease premium once tenanted should have around 20% protection built into purchase prices.should have around 20% protection built into purchase prices.
Tenants not found quicklyTenants not found quickly Small units do find tenants quickly but significant voids would be in Small units do find tenants quickly but significant voids would be in
some units would be countered by others having very profitable rental some units would be countered by others having very profitable rental income. Can always sell to recover costs at least to the owner income. Can always sell to recover costs at least to the owner occupier market.occupier market.
Interest rate risesInterest rate rises Fund will use interest rate hedging / fixed rates if thought necessary.Fund will use interest rate hedging / fixed rates if thought necessary.
UK Commercial FundUK Commercial Fund
Fund can gain in four ways :Fund can gain in four ways : Buying at a discount pre-completion – helps developers fundingBuying at a discount pre-completion – helps developers funding Tenanting the new building brings c 25% uplift in value according Tenanting the new building brings c 25% uplift in value according
to tenant quality, rental level and lease durationto tenant quality, rental level and lease duration Rental yield is high – 8%-9.5% - pays down mortgage increasing Rental yield is high – 8%-9.5% - pays down mortgage increasing
equityequity General price growthGeneral price growth
Note price growth is the last of the profit leversNote price growth is the last of the profit levers Objective of 20%+ growth per annum if assumptions metObjective of 20%+ growth per annum if assumptions met
Thank YouThank You
Stuart LawStuart Law Assetz Fund Management LtdAssetz Fund Management Ltd