Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

download Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

of 10

Transcript of Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    1/10

    1

    Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D

    A. Folch

    Volcanic Ash Awareness Workshop, Catania, June 23-24, 2009

    Barcelona Supercomputing Center(BSC), Barcelona, Spain

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    2/10

    2

    Overview

    Eulerianmodelbasedontheadvectiondiffusionsedimentationequation.

    Multipurposemodel:

    Computesthedeposit(ashfalloutforecast,elaborationofhazardmaps,etc).

    Computesairborneconcentration(FL,integrated,etc.).

    Canbeusedtoforecastortostudypastevents.

    Admitsdifferentparameterizationsfor:

    i)Verticalandhorizontaldiffusion(atmosphericturbulence).

    ii)Terminalsettlingvelocities(severalsemiempiricalmodelsavailable).

    iii)Sourceterm(e.g.buoyantplumetheory).

    Multiscalemodel:runsatscalesfromsynoptic(1000skm)toverylocal(fewkm).

    Followsanoff-lineapproach.However,NMMb(NCEP)on-linecouplinginprogress...

    Multipleclassesorbins(fromtephratoveryineash;lithicsorjuvenilecomposition).

    Testedfor:Ves.(44),MSH(80),Chichn(86),Spurr(92),Etna(98;01;02),Chaitn(08).

    Soonoperationalat:BsAsVAAC,COPAIRE(Quito),IGN(Spain).

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    3/10

    3

    Meteorological inputs

    Global

    Mesoscale

    Local

    Database

    FALL3D

    0.5o2.5o

    220km

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    4/10

    4

    Postprocessstrategy

    1)Resultsatground:

    Depositload.Depositthickness.

    PM10,PM5,PM2.5.

    2)Resultsonair:

    Columnmass(load).

    Concentrationatlightlevels.3DConcentration.

    *Cuts.

    *Verticalproiles.

    3)Trackingatselectedpoints:

    (e.g.anairport).

    Ashaccumulationrates.

    AirQuality.

    FALL3D

    NetCDF Tracking

    Images

    Animations

    GoogleEarth

    GRD GIS

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    5/10

    5

    Numericalperformance

    Serialandparallelversions.

    Solvingalgorithm:

    Finitedifferences.

    Terrainfollowing.

    Secondorderschemewithlimiters.

    Parallelizationattwolevels(speedupacceptable125proc.,block256proc.):

    i)Classes(bins).ii)Domain.

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    6/10

    6

    VAACs:

    Regionalashcloudtracking/forecast.Largedomains,lowresolutionmodelling.

    Europe:Denselypopulatedareas(localeffectsalsoimportant!!).

    Likelytohavesmallscaleevents.

    e.g.Etna,Vesuvius,Aores,Tenerife

    Teide

    2kmheightplume.Considerthesmallestexplosiveevent24h

    WRFwindsat2kmresolution(PBL,localeffects,etc.)

    Whyamultiscalemodelisnecessary?

    1x1

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    7/10

    7

    Tenerife

    airport

    airport

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    8/10

    8

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    9/10

    9

  • 7/29/2019 Ash cloud modelling using FALL3D - BSC.pdf

    10/10

    10