Are Global Warming and Climate Change the same thing: how ... · “ It is time we started talking...

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INTERNATIONAL UNION FOR CONSERVATION OF NATURE Are Global Warming and Climate Change the same thing: how do we communicate the issues? Robert Mather Chanthaburi, 02 March 2012

Transcript of Are Global Warming and Climate Change the same thing: how ... · “ It is time we started talking...

INTERNATIONAL UNION FOR CONSERVATION OF NATURE

Are Global Warming and Climate Change the

same thing: how do we communicate the

issues?

Robert Mather

Chanthaburi, 02 March 2012

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“Global Warming” – easy to understand

powerful message, and frightening

Example of climate change in the next 10 – 30 years

Warmer – Trend of increasing average maximum temperature

Future climate projection for Southeast Asia

SEA START RC copyright 2011

Hottest day of the year will be hotter

Example of climate change in the next 10 – 30 years

Future climate projection for Southeast Asia

SEA START RC copyright 2011

Longer summertime – number of ‘hot day’ will increase

Example of climate change in the next 10 – 30 years

Future climate projection for Southeast Asia

SEA START RC copyright 2011

Climate Change better term, but more complex to communicate

It is not just temperature that is changing – Increasing annual Rainfall

Global Climate Change

SEA START RC copyright 2011

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Choice of Words and agenda setting 1

“ It is time we started talking about climate change instead of

global warming….Climate Change is less frightening than global

warming”

Memo from Frank Luntz Republican political strategist advising

George W. Bush Government in 2002

“We should stop talking about climate change and talk instead

about our “deteriorating atmosphere”

EcoAmerica 2009

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Choice of Words and agenda setting 2

Since 2009, the Obama Administration has purposefully started

talking about Carbon Pollution instead of Greenhouse Gas

Emissions

In his 2012 State of the Union address, President Obama

mentioned Climate Change once, but mentioned “energy” and

“clean energy” almost two dozen times

Washington Post 30 January 2012

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Why we should be concerned 1

• These changes in “branding” of the issue, take us further away

from understanding the full causes of the problem, and identifying

appropriate solutions

• If Greenhouse Gas Emissions are only understood as “carbon

pollution” will we start to forget that chopping down trees is “carbon

pollution” too?

• If “clean energy” is the solution – then we can consume as much

as we want – because if it is “clean” it must be good so it doesn’t

matter how much we consume – right?

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Why we should be concerned 2

“The way we talk about the problem affects how we deal with it. We

can use new wording to deflect political heat, but call it “climate

Change” or not, it doesn’t change the fact that the climate is

changing”

Maxwell Boykoff author of “Who speaks for the climate? Making

Sense of Media Reporting on Climate Change”

CHANGES IMPACTS

Sea level rise More coastal flooding, saline intrusion

of coastal aquifers, coastal

ecosystems need to migrate

More intense rainfall

events

More frequent flash flooding, erosion,

dyke failure

Higher peak

temperatures and sea

surface temperatures

Increased disease and parasites,

groundwater use, coral bleaching

Stronger winds, and

more frequent storms

Higher waves, infrastructure damage,

no fishing/no income, coastal erosion,

water turbulence and light penetration

affects sea grass

Gradual changes but shorter and unpredictable events occur

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Species Responses

Plant and animal species are moving/changing • Mackerel sensitive to temperature, – may shift range to cooler seas •Mud crab sensitive to temp, pH, ocean circulation -can shift range by 1,000km •Squid very adaptable, may grow faster and replace other species •Seabass more tolerant of higher temp than grouper or snapper – up to 32°C • Prawns may grow faster but be more susceptible to disease

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Principles for effective adaptation

1. Promote long-term local solutions for people and nature – starting

with “no-regrets” actions

2. Focus on reducing non-climate stresses

3. Involve local communities and address governance and justice

issues

4. Develop multi-partner, multi-sector, multi-scale strategies

5. Build upon existing NRM good practices,recognize climate is not

static

6. Adopt adaptive management approaches and support local

innovation

7. Integrate Ecosystem-based Adaptation with wider climate

adaptation strategies)

8. Communication and education, sharing and exchange