ARDA 2016 November slideshare
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Transcript of ARDA 2016 November slideshare
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US Economy
Stay Positive!
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Problems and Solutions
US & Intl Economic Situation
2016 Outcome & Implications
Future Growth
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51yrs old
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2.9%
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2.1%
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4.9%
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+161K
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-1.5MM
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<2.0%
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$11T<0%Quiz Time!
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Productivity=Growth
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Fed solution summary
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Policy solutions for growth
Free Trade=lower tariffs
Reg. Relief=reduced costs
Tax reform=capital formation w/incentives
Infrastructure=efficiency
Energy Production
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His econ & tax planCut Corp Tax to 15%
Limit Pass Thru 15%
1x 10% Repat Tax
Ag TPP and NAFTAImpose tariffs on imported goods
Big Drop in InterestDeductibility
New $500B infrastructure
Full expensing!
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100 day energy & reg plan
Save coal industry, Pass Keystone, Lift moratorium for energy on Fed. lands
Cancel Paris Climate Agreement
Rescind and Reform:Dodd-Frank
Obama executive actions, Climate Action Plan,
WOTUS, Obamacare,
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Trump plans help/hurt
Help: big tech & big pharma
Hurt: debt heavy balance sheets
Help: industrials & manufacturers
Hurt: free trade
Help: energy production
Help: Transportation/Engineering
Help: financial sector
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Trump 2017 Plans
biz tax cutsreduce regs
full expensingagainst free trade big hydro carbon
big infraenforce immigration
curtail CFPB
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What is the hope?
Trump is a “businessman”
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Polling before
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1,200 Advice & Consent jobs
SCOTUSCabinet
SECCFTCCFPB
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“First thing out of the gate is a budget that gets tax
reform, that gets this debt and deficit under control
and gets our military what they need. Then we've got to go work on regulations. I
want to work on poverty and welfare. I want to work on the rest of this agenda (Better Way), effectively.”
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Policy solution summary
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Future Growth Solutions
AI, Big Data, Analytics
Tech: disruptive vs. collaborative
Millenials: visual, social, digital
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Big Data, Analytics, AI
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Big Data, Analytics, AI
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… tech startups don’t care about regulations.
They want to get a groupof clients and thenfigure it out later
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Tech challenges
Collaborative: TUG, Redweek,Timeshare Marketplace
Disruptive: VRBO, airbnb, HomeAway
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Big challenge, big opportunity
Digital natives, distrust of big, community focused
Giving HOPE
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Final Thoughts…