Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632...
Transcript of Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632...
Wolfgang Lübbert, CEO Arctic Paper
Małgorzata Majewska-Śliwa, CFO Arctic Paper
Arctic Paper GroupResults for the Q2 2015
Arctic Paper
DisclaimerPlease read the information below carefully
This presentation (the ‘Presentation’) was prepared by Arctic Paper S.A. (the ‘Company’) for information purposes only for use by investors, banks and the Company’scustomers as well as market analysts and under no circumstances may it be treated as a part of an invitation or offer to purchase securities, an invitation to make investmentsor conduct transactions regarding securities, an inducement to make purchase offers or a recommendation to conclude any transactions, in particular transactions regarding theCompany's securities.
The information contained in the Presentation was taken from publicly available sources which the Company believes to be reliable. However, the Company cannot guarantee itsreliability or completeness, except for the information on the Company and its Group. The Company shall not be held liable for the consequences of decisions made on the basisof or in reliance on the information contained in this Presentation. The information contained in the Presentation has not been independently verified and may be subject tochange at any time. The publication of the data contained in the Presentation by the Company does not constitute a breach of the provisions of the law which apply tocompanies whose shares are listed on the regulated market, in particular the regulated market operated by the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland and NASDAQ OMX Stockholmin Sweden. The information contained herein has been published by the Company in its current and periodic reports, or constitutes a supplement thereto which is not required tobe published by the Company in order to comply with the Company’s reporting requirements as a listed company.
Under no circumstances should information contained in this Presentation be construed as the explicit or implicit submission of a representation or warranty of any type by theCompany or by persons acting on its behalf. Furthermore, neither the Company nor any person acting on its behalf shall be held liable in any respect for any damage which mayarise as a result of negligence or for any other cause as a result of the use of this Presentation or any information contained in it, or for damage which may otherwise arise inconnection with information constituting a part of this Presentation.
The Company is not obliged to publish updates and amendments to the information, data and representations contained in this Presentation as a result of a change of theCompany’s strategy or intentions or the appearance of unexpected facts or circumstances which affect such strategy or intentions of the Company, unless such an obligationarises from the provisions of law.
This Presentation contains information on the paper industry. With the exception of information indicated as originating from a specified source, the market information referredto above has been prepared on the basis of data received from third parties who are named in this Presentation and contains estimates, assessments, corrections and opinionsbased on the Company's experience and knowledge of the sector in which it conducts business. Because the market information referred to above may have been partiallyprepared with the use of estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions and has not been verified by independent entities, to a certain extent, this information is of asubjective nature, with the exception of the information which has been indicated as information originating from third parties from a specified source. It is presumed thatestimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are based on reasonable grounds and that the market information which has been prepared duly reflects the situation of theindustry on the markets on which the Company conducts business. However, there is no certainty that the estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are the mostappropriate basis for drawing conclusions on the market information or that market information taken from other sources may not differ significantly from the marketinformation contained in this Presentation.
The Company would like to point out to the readers of this Presentation that the only reliable source of data on Arctic Paper's financial results, forecasts and events, as well asthe Company’s indicators, is the current and periodic reports submitted by the Company in compliance with reporting requirements under Polish and Swedish law.
This Presentation should be read together with the 2014 consolidated and standalone annual report as well as the report for the 1st half of 2015.
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Arctic Paper
Agenda
Market environmentOperating and financial resultsThe specifics of Profit Improvement Program 2015/16Summary for the Q2 2015
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Arctic Paper
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Market environment
Arctic Paper
1 019
963
908
990
559 544505
546
460419 404
444
200
450
700
950
1 200
Fine papers Uncoated woodfree Coated woodfree
5 9655 836 (-2,2)
2 859 2 9742 861 (-3,8)
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
2014 2015 Q2 14 Q1 15 Q2 15
Deliveries of fine paper
Q2 2015 vs. Q1 2015 – 3,8%
Uncoated woodfree down - 1,9%
Coated woodfree down - 6,1%
Arctic Paper volume down - 11,8%
1H 2015 vs. 1H 2014 - 2,2%
Uncoated woodfree down - 1,0%
Coated woodfree down - 3,6%
Arctic Paper volume down - 0,4%
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Arctic Paper YTD 2015 volume structure
VOLUME380 t TONS
UWF75%
CWF25%
Monthly deliveries of fine paper in Europe
Quarterly deliveries of fine paper in Europe
Source: Arctic Paper based on EuroGraph data.
thou
sand
met
ric
tons
Source: Arctic Paper based on EuroGraph data.
thou
sand
met
ric
tons
Current period Compared period
Arctic Paper
Minimumprice
Averageprice
Maximumprice
Minimumprice
Averageprice
Maximumprice
UWF 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6%
CWF -2,5% -2,8% -3,1% -1,9% -1,7% -1,7%
06 15 vs . 06 1406 15 vs . 03 15
600
700
800
900
1000
UWF 80g Sheets UWF 80g Reels CWF 90g Sheets CWF 90g Reels
Fine paper prices
June 2015 vs. March 2015
UWF segment average price change 2,6%(Arctic Paper + 1,3%)
CWF segment average price change - 2,8% (Arctic Paper - 1,7%)
June 2015 vs. June 2014
UWF segment average price change +2,6% (Arctic Paper + 1,3%)
CWF segment average price change - 1,7% (Arctic Paper - 0,8%)
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Graphic fine paper prices - German market
Change in price for graphic paper in EUR - Western Europe
Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.
EUR /
ton
Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.
Arctic Paper
0
100
200
300
NBSK vs. BHKP
831
762
810837
861 871
922 926 931 932
880853
784752
775801
821
774 765742
725743
759797
700
900
1 100
750 781 751 781
+4,2 +4,0
AverageQ1 15
AverageQ2 15
AverageQ2 14
AverageQ2 15
905 855924
854
-5,6 -7,6
AverageQ1 15
AverageQ2 15
AverageQ2 14
AverageQ2 15
Pulp prices
Average price Q2 2015 compared to Q1 2015
NBSK (long fibre) 5,6% lower
BHKP (short fibre) 4,2% higher
Arctic Paper costs 2,1% higher (measured in PLN)
Average price Q2 2015 compared to Q2 2014
NBSK (long fibre) 7,5% lower
BHKP (short fibre) 4,0% higher
Arctic Paper costs 18,5% higher (measured in PLN)
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Arctic Paper YTD JUN 2015 Structure of pulp consumption
CONSUMPTION365 t TONS
BHKP65%
NBSK18%
Pulp PIX Indexes Europe
USD
/ t
on
Source: Arctic Paper based on Foex data.
NBSK vs. BHKP NBSK PIX USD BHKP PIX USDGROUNDWOOD
10%CTMP8%
Arctic Paper
0,6
0,9
1,2
2012 2013 2014 2015
6,0
7,5
9,0
2012 2013 2014 2015
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
2012 2013 2014 2015
Currency exposure
Average exch. rate Q2 2015 compared to Q1 2015
EUR/PLN -2,5%
EUR/SEK -0,9%
EUR/USD -1,8%
Average exch. rate Q2 2015 compared to Q2 2014
EUR/PLN -1,9%
EUR/SEK +2,7%
EUR/USD -19,5%
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Arctic Paper YTD JUN 2015 Revenue and Costs Structure
REVENUE1 076 mln
PLN
PLN11%
EUR67%
EUR/PLN changes
GBP8%
SEK6%
COSTS1 050 mln
PLN
EUR/SEK changes
EUR/USD changes
30/064,19
30/069,20
30/061,11
EUR28%
USD38%
SEK18%
PLN14%
Arctic Paper
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Operating and financial results
Arctic Paper
194 202 191 199 182 185 189 188 184 197 186 194171
98% 97%94%
98%
91% 90%93% 93% 93% 94% 93% 95%
87%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
150
300
450
185 178191
203191
206190
204183 188
182197
185 192 186202
178
0
60
120
180
240
Production capacity and sales volume
Q2 2015 average use of production capacity 87%
8,2% lower than Q1 2015
6,1% lower than Q2 2014
Q2 2015 total production volume 171’ tons
12,2% lower than Q1 2015
7,3% lower than Q2 2014
1H 2015 total production volume 365’ tons
1,8% lower than 1H 2014
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Production and use of production capacity for all paper mills*
Prod
uction
in t
hous
and
tons
Paper sales volume*
% o
f no
min
alca
paci
ty
Thou
sand
tons
* in Q3 2013 one paper machine at Arctic Paper Mochenwangen with the yearly capacity of 20.000 tonswas closed
Arctic Paper
576 554577
641674 680
632673
614 641574
603 576617
576644
554
0
200
400
600
800
3,52
3,35 3,32 3,27 3,24 3,223,13 3,13 3,17 3,13 3,11 3,08
3,17 3,183,11
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
Paper sales revenue and revenue per ton
Q2 2015 (PLN 554m) down 14,0 % compared to Q1 2015
Q2 2015 down 3,8% compared to Q2 2014
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Paper sales revenue
Mill
ions
PLN
Paper sales revenue per ton
Thou
sand
PLN
Q2 2015 (PLN 3,11k) decrease of 2,4% comparedto Q1 2015
Q2 2015 equal to Q2 2014
Arctic Paper
(PLN thousands)Q2
2015Q1
2015*Q2
20141H
2015*1H
2014
Paper sales volume (000' tonnes) 159 181 164 340 339Pulp sales volume (000' tonnes) 94 91 88 185 173Revenues 688 249 771 103 693 135 1 459 352 1 436 062Gross profit on sales 80 220 131 939 97 944 212 159 197 223% margin 11,7 17,1 14,1 14,5 13,7EBITDA 38 899 77 999 54 329 116 898 102 562% margin 5,7 10,1 7,8 8,0 7,1EBIT 11 865 50 959 26 185 62 825 46 257% margin 1,7 6,6 3,8 4,3 3,2Net result 13 098 12 846 13 475 25 944 22 383% margin 1,9 1,7 1,9 1,8 1,6Net result from continuing operations 25 200 26 690 14 290 51 890 24 178% margin 3,7 3,5 2,1 3,6 1,7Net result from discontinued operations -12 102 -13 844 -814 -25 946 -1 795% margin -1,8 -1,8 -0,1 -1,8 -0,1
Net operating cash flow 17 912 37 978 29 936 55 890 61 321Capital expenditures 31 300 12 893 13 154 44 193 34 656Cash and equivalents 184 698 159 956 95 216 184 698 159 956
Total assets 1 832 862 1 800 860 1 725 072 1 832 862 1 725 072Capital employed 1 183 451 1 142 433 1 074 365 1 183 451 1 074 365Total equity 737 378 728 206 678 665 737 378 678 665Net debt 261 828 245 473 375 455 261 828 375 455
Eearnings per share (PLN) 0,19 0,19 0,19 0,37 0,32Equity / assets ratio (%) 40 40 39 40 39Net debt / equity ratio (%) 36 34 55 36 55Net debt / EBITDA (times) 0,98x 0,90x 2,70x 0,98x 2,70x* - included one-off transactions related to reserve for outstandinginvoices to PaperlinX UK in amount of 14,2m PLN
Key consolidated figuresPage 12
1H 2015 EBITDA on the level of PLN 116,9m, Net result of 25,9m PLN.
Cash on the level of 184,7m PLN.
Net debt on the level of 261,8m PLN.
1H 2015 Results impacted by reserve for outstanding invoices to PaperlinX UK in amount of 14,2m PLN.
1H 2015 Net result from discountinuedoperation of - 25,9m PLN.
Arctic Paper
33
0,25
2028
32 33
5045
26
0,2
Q2 2015 Operating result and EBITDA (excluding Rottneros)
Operating result for the Q2 2015 - 19,1 m PLN
- 26,0 m PLN lower than Q1 2015
- 31,2 m PLN lower than Q2 2014
Q2 2015 EBITDA 0,2m PLN
- 25,9 m PLN lower than Q1 2015
- 32,6 m PLN lower than Q2 2014
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Q2 Operating result bridge
EBITDA evolution
Mili
onPL
NM
ilion
PLN
Arctic Paper
54
39
3
2414
4854
8169
78
39
Q2 2015 Consolidated operating result and EBITDA (including Rottneros)
Operating result for the Q2 2015 11,9 m PLN
- 39,0 m PLN lower than Q1 2015
- 14,3 m PLN lower than Q2 2014
Q2 2015 EBITDA 38,9m PLN
- 39,1 m PLN lower than Q1 2015
- 15,4 m PLN lower than Q2 2014
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Q2 Operating result bridge
EBITDA evolution
Mili
onPL
NM
ilion
PLN
Arctic Paper
1H 2015 Consolidated operating result and EBITDA (including Rottneros)
Operating result for the 1H 2015 62,8 m PLN
16,6 m PLN higher than 1H 2014
1H 2015 EBITDA 116,9m PLN
14,3 m PLN higher than 1H 2014
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1H Operating result bridge
EBITDA evolution
Mili
onPL
NM
ilion
PLN
Arctic Paper
Profit Improvement Program 2015/2016
Background:
Aim of the Program - to further increase the speed of our structural changes and thereby our profitability;
Reasons of the Program:
The continued complicated paper market;
The dramatic strengthening of the US Dollar;
Main pillars of Profit Improvement Program 2015/16:
Total target is to lessen cost by 50 MPLN annually;
Involves all units;
Individual mill profitability improvements – thorough and complete analysis started;
Complete company audit of external service costs;
Enhanced shared service centres
To use our experience in creating cost-efficient centres, where synergies can be accumulated, in more fields than just logistics;
Unification in all IT solutions;
Specific and decisive moves concerning Arctic Paper Mochenwangen;
Two alternatives are being explored/negotiated - possible cease of production or sale of the mill;
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Arctic Paper
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Summary for the 1H 2015
Arctic Paper
Q2 2015 in briefMarket environment:
Very unfavourable level of EUR against USD, if compare to Q1 2015 change by – 1,8% but if compared to Q2 2014change by – 19,5%;
Graphical papers prices in Europe during Q2 2015 a little bit up for UWF segment but still down for CWF;
Deliveries of high quality papers in Europe lover compared to Q1 2015, with average drop by approx. 3,8%;
Unfavourable pulp prices changes (BHKP, short fibre + 4,2% and NBSK, long fibre – 5,6%, in USD);
Arctic Paper Group:
Negative impact on pulp costs due to strong USD especially if compare to Q2 2014;
Q2 2015 EBIDTA of the Arctic Paper Group reached the amount of 38,9m PLN, due to excellent Rottneros result;
Rottneros result was driven by favourable currency exchange rates and due to forceful internal actions;
Production at the Arctic Paper Kostrzyn mill was stopped for 10 days because of the investment process carried out there;
Implementation of the Profit Improvement Program 2015/2016, with the aim to lessen costs by about PLN 50m annually, including decisive moves concerning Arctic Paper Mochenwangen—possible cease of production or sale of the mill;
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Wolfgang Lübbert, CEO Arctic Paper
Małgorzata Majewska-Śliwa, CFO Arctic Paper
Thank you!