April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

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Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis April 13, 2011 April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder Dr. Bill Elder Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership

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Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership. April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder. Overview. Big Picture Demographics of U.S. & Mo. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

Page 1: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

April 13, 2011April 13, 2011Springfield Area Chamber of CommerceSpringfield Area Chamber of Commerce

Springfield, MissouriSpringfield, Missouri

Dr. Bill ElderDr. Bill Elder

Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and

Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership

Page 2: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Overview• Big Picture Demographics of U.S. & Mo.

– Aging (implications…national and local)– Greater regional interconnectedness– More Diverse Patterns (economics, culture)

• Springfield Regional Economic Partnership– Strong and Continuing Growth…– Evidence of Regional Cooperation…– Sustainability in Challenging, global times.

• For Detailed Data Google “OSEDA”

Page 3: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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• Data Data • Information Information • Knowledge Knowledge • Wisdom Wisdom

“The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.”

-- Kenneth Boulding

Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU

OSEDA…

“..No one of us is as good as all of us…”Dave Steckel

Page 4: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Area 2010 Count Change Pct. ChgMissouri 5,988,927 393,716 7.0Barry County 35,597 1,587 4.7Christian County 77,422 23,137 42.6Dade County 7,883 -40 -0.5Dallas County 16,777 1,116 7.1Greene County 275,174 34,783 14.5Lawrence County 38,634 3,430 9.7Polk County 31,137 4,145 15.4Stone County 32,202 3,544 12.4Taney County 51,675 11,972 30.2Webster County 36,202 5,157 16.6Region 602,703 88,831 14.7

Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership

10% of Mo, 23% of Growth, 2 X State rate

Page 5: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

New Census information …

World: 6,892,893,953U.S.: 311,874,651 (9.7%)Missouri: 5,988,927 (7.0%)

2010 Population Count & Percent Change from 2000

Check out new Censustools at census.gov and OSEDA and….Elsewhere…

Page 6: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

New Census information …

Complete Count DataAmerican Community Survey (ACS)

“Period Estimates by Size”

Just Google “Census” or “OSEDA” for More information

Page 7: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Rapid growth and large states

Five states account for 17% of U.S. Growth

Six states account for 54% of U.S. Growth not just fast but .. Big

37 M

25 M

18.8 M

Page 8: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions

More Regions of growth near regions of decline

Page 9: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 10: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

2000 - 2010

AREA Counties 2010 Count Pct State ChangePct

Change

Metro 34

4,375,510 73.1% 305,548 7.5%

Non-Metro 81

1,613,417 26.9% 88,168 5.8%

Micro 24

803,427 13.4% 64,701 8.8%

Non-Mirco 57

809,990 13.5% 23,467 3.0%

Missouri 115

5,988,927 100.0% 393,716 7.0%

2010 Missouri “Metro” and “non-Metro”

Source: U.S. Census, 2010 Census “Public Law 94 File”

Page 11: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 12: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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“Urban” and “Rural” Connections

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Dots make patterns more apparent

Page 14: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Page 15: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 16: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 17: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 18: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 19: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 20: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Male FemaleMale Female

Population Pyramids of MissouriPercent of Total Population2000 2020

New Pyramids in March

Page 21: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Age Structure in the OREP

Page 22: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Page 23: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 24: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 25: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 26: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Senior Report….

Page 27: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Percent Population Over 65

Same Indicator but Different Implications

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Aging in Place in the North Percent 85+

Page 29: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Brand New Kids Count Information

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Increasing Poverty and Stratification

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Foundational Issues--Expectations

Page 32: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Married Couple Families with ChildrenMissouri married couple families with children declined to 19.4% of households in 2009 -- nearly 29,000 fewer than in 2006 (ACS, 2009)

County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

Page 33: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Commuting….Percent of Working Outside County of Residence, 2005-2009 ACS

County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

Page 34: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Household Income

Missouri median household income increase by 5.3% between 2006 and 2009 from $42,841 to $45,229.

Meanwhile, U.S. Median household income rose 3.5% from $48,451 to $50,221.

Not surprisingly, the five year ACS period estimates show higher incomes associated with urban areas and major transportation routes.

Page 35: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Percent of Population in a Population in aDifferent House Different House Percent PercentOne Year Ago One Year Ago Same County Different County

Branson Micro Area 15,230 19.4 8.4 11.0Springfield Metro

Area 88,433 20.8 13.2 7.6Missouri 950,615 16.1 9.4 6.7

Housing Changes….

Page 36: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Challenging Times….

Page 37: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Challenging Times ... Regional Differences

Page 38: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Page 39: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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Bachelor’s Degrees

The 2009 ACS reported that nearly a million Missourians 25 and older had completed a bachelor’s degree (25.2%). That is up from 17.8% in 1990 and 21.6% in 2000.

The corresponding U.S. number of persons with a bachelor’s degree in 2009 was 53.3 million (27.9%).

Five-Year period ACS Estimates Shows Missourians with higher education are centered in regional trade and service centers

Page 40: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

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From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Bachelor Degrees

Page 41: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

April 13, 2011April 13, 2011Springfield Area Chamber of CommerceSpringfield Area Chamber of Commerce

Springfield, MissouriSpringfield, Missouri

Dr. Bill ElderDr. Bill Elder

Missouri Treads and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and

Challenges in the Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership

Page 42: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 43: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 44: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Associate Degrees

Page 45: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 46: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Page 47: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

High School Completers

The 2009 ACS reported that 1.3 million Missourians 25 and older had a high school education (32.0%).

The corresponding U.S. number is 57.6 million (28.5%).

The ACS five year estimates show relativelylower rates of high school completion in south central Missouri and the “Bootheel.”Regions also associated lower incomelevels and higher poverty rates.

Page 48: April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri    Dr. Bill Elder

Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis

Married-Couple Families

In 2009, married-couple families comprised less than 50% of Missouri households. (Missouri, US Census, 2009 American Community Survey)

County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.