Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big...

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Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal Shawn M. Chartrand Geophysical Scientist Balance Hydrologics Vanderbilt University 2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Transcript of Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big...

Page 1: Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big Picture 1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions. Climate - hotter,

Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal

Shawn M. ChartrandGeophysical ScientistBalance Hydrologics Vanderbilt University

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Page 2: Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big Picture 1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions. Climate - hotter,

Webinar Topics

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Part 1: General Overview of Routine Maintenance, Adaptive Management

and Remediation

Part 2: Dam Removal Case Study

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.○ Climate - hotter, wetter, drier, more extreme?○ Vegetation - species transition, pace of transition?○ Wildlife - extinction, dominance of new species?○ Political/Legal - water rights modifications, new laws?○ Land-use - change of regional or local planning trajectory?

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 73

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 73

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 73

?

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.2. Identify the risks [uncertainties] and examine whether the proposed

design approach addresses the risks as best as possible.

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

?CFAAR

Chartrand and Hassan, 2017, https://eartharxiv.org/eus6c/

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Transparent Design Process Identify Key Design Risks

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.2. Identify the risks [uncertainties] and examine whether the proposed

design approach addresses the risks as best as possible. 3. Encourage practitioners to build an overall strategy to address risk

through potential post construction direct actions:○ Routine maintenance○ Adaptive management○ Remediation*

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 75

Page 8: Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big Picture 1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions. Climate - hotter,

Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions.2. Identify the risks [uncertainties] and examine whether the proposed

design approach addresses the risks as best as possible. 3. Encourage practitioners to build an overall strategy to address risk

through potential post construction direct actions:○ Routine maintenance○ Adaptive management○ Remediation*

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Help achieve the design intent, goals

and objectives

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Routine Maintenance

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Actions typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance

Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Routine Maintenance

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Actions typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance

Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase.

Chartrand and Hassan, 2017, https://eartharxiv.org/eus6c/

Routine maintenance involves direct actions that are consistent

with the expectations of post construction site evolution and

maturity.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Routine Maintenance

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Actions typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance

Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase.

Chartrand and Hassan, 2017, https://eartharxiv.org/eus6c/

Routine maintenance involves direct actions that are consistent

with the expectations of post construction site evolution and

maturity.

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?CFAAR

Transparent Design Process Identify Key Design Risks

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

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Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Actions are not typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase. But actions could be discussed as possibilities.

Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

On the ground changes are not, however, radically different from expectation.

Actions are not typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase. But actions could be discussed as possibilities.

Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

7

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

On the ground changes are not, however, radically different from expectation.

Actions are not typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase. But actions could be discussed as possibilities.

Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

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?

CFAAR

Transparent Design Process

Identify Key Design Risks

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

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Source:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320934215_Meaning_and_Action_in_Sustainability_Science_Interpretive_approaches_for_social-ecological_systems_research/figures?lo=1

On the ground changes are not, however, radically different from expectation.

Actions are not typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase. But actions could be discussed as possibilities.

Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Adaptive Management

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

On the ground changes are not, however, radically different from expectation.

Proactive Strategies

Provide as much detail as possible within design documentation to facilitate awareness and general support for possible actions - i.e. plan ahead with the regulatory permitting staff.

Agree to an expedited permitting process for adaptive management actions.

Encourage project owners to line item budget allocations for adaptive management actions over a 2-5 year post-construction period.

Pre-qualify contractors for work.

Actions are not typically covered by an Operations and Maintenance Manual (OMM) developed within the design and permitting phase. But actions could be discussed as possibilities.

Actions are the result of adjusting the constructed site condition to adapt to on the ground changes that diverge from expectation, which is detailed within the design documentation.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Remediation

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Actions [or Inaction] are the result of evolving site conditions that were not anticipated or expectedby the design documentation or the regulatory permits. Could be due to weather or natural landscape events at the limit of historical events, or inadequate planning [understanding site context], design development, design analysis and review, and/or inadequate construction.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Remediation

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Source:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320934215_Meaning_and_Action_in_Sustainability_Science_Interpretive_approaches_for_social-ecological_systems_research/figures?lo=1

Actions [or Inaction] are the result of evolving site conditions that were not anticipated or expectedby the design documentation or the regulatory permits. Could be due to weather or natural landscape events at the limit of historical events, or inadequate planning [understanding site context], design development, design analysis and review, and/or inadequate construction.

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Anticipating the UnexpectedThe Big Picture

Remediation

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Chartrand and Hassan, 2017, https://eartharxiv.org/eus6c/

Adaptive Management

Routine Maintenance

Anticipated and planned post-construction work

Anticipated but not planned post-construction work

Not anticipated and not planned post-construction work

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Chartrand and Hassan, 2017, https://eartharxiv.org/eus6c/

?CFAAR

Transparent Design Process Identify Key Design Risks

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Webinar Topics

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Part 1: General Overview of Routine Maintenance, Adaptive Management and Remediation

Part 2: Dam Removal Case Study

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Basic Problem Statement

How does one take down this dam and:

1. Provide immediate fish passage conditions?

2. Provide immediate resting andholding conditions?

3. Minimize release of reservoir sediments to downstream reaches?

4. Meet specific channel stabilitydesign criteria?

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Former San Clemente Dam, Carmel River, California

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Project Location and Geography

• 30 km upstream of mouth at Carmel• Warm, dry summers and cool, wet winters• Wildfires occur roughly every 10 years• Drainage area of 75 square kilometers• Hydrology affected by ENSO • Supports runs of Steelhead*

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Factors Leading to Dam Removal

• Dam safety order issued early 1990’s• 25+ km of steelhead habitat upstream• Re-build/ buttress cost was high for water supply benefits• Sediment release risk deemed to high for downstream

flooding impacts• Water storage reduced to 70 acre-feet• Sediment removal failed environmental review

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Dam and Reservoir Historical Details

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• Dam constructed in 1921• Concrete arch dam – 32 meters• Supply water to Carmel Valley• Large supply pulses due to fire and granitics• Reach-average slope of 2.6%• Local grain size distribution: 0.1–1000+ mm• System exhibits recurrent corridor resetting events

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Dam and Reservoir Historical Details

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Dam and Reservoir Historical Details

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Dam and Reservoir Historical Details

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Dam and Reservoir Historical Details

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Design OverviewRelocate the mainstem Carmel to the adjacent valley

Bedrock cut to move the river

Applicable Design Criteria• Maximum credible earthquake: 7.1M

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drainage divide

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Retain all reservoir sediment on site

Diversion Dike

Applicable Design Criteria• 500-year flood• Maximum credible earthquake:

7.1 magnitude

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Design Overview

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Construct new channel with step-pools

Resting pools every 60 meters

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Design Overview

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Applicable Design Criteria

• Step crest boulders stable up to 50-year flood

• Maximize adult steelhead passage potential up to the 1.5-year flood

• Maximum slope of 5%

• Diversify step-pool geometry✔ Width: 8-12 meters✔ Spacing: 6-10 meters

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Design OverviewConstruct new channel

with step-pools

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Stabilized Sediment Slope

Provide boulder and cobble source piles

Boulder source pile

Applicable Design Criteria• Maximize volume of boulder

count within overbank staged substrate piles

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Design Overview

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Constructed Condition

Photo: M. Whitman

Former Dam Location

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And Then Water Year 2017 Hit…

• 10-year flood in January 2017• 45-year flood in February 2017• Large wildfire in contributing basin

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 726

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March 2017

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And Then Water Year 2017 Hit…

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December 2016

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December 2016

March 2017

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And Then Water Year 2017 Hit…

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December 2016 Photo: B. Cluer

Former Dam Location

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

And Then Water Year 2017 Hit…

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Photo: B. Cluer

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So What Happened Next?

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Actions [or Inaction] are the result of evolving site conditions that were not anticipated or expected by the design documentation or the regulatory permits. Could be due to weather or natural landscape events at the limit of historical events, or inadequate planning [understanding site context], design development, design analysis and review, and/or inadequate construction.

○ Routine maintenance○ Adaptive management○ Remediation*

Page 41: Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big Picture 1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions. Climate - hotter,

Photo: B. Cluer

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

So What Happened Next?

29

Actions [or Inaction] are the result of evolving site conditions that were not anticipated or expected by the design documentation or the regulatory permits. Could be due to weather or natural landscape events at the limit of historical events, or inadequate planning [understanding site context], design development, design analysis and review, and/or inadequate construction.

○ Routine maintenance○ Adaptive management○ Remediation*

Was the Constructed Reach Functional?

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Closing Thoughts• Providing the proper ingredients is more important the

getting the recipe correct. [CFAAR].

• Prepare the public, stakeholders and clients for the unexpected at any time in the post construction period [SET EXPECTATIONS]

• Work early and cooperatively between project owners and regulatory staff [BUILD TRUST].

• Remediation does not always mean new direct actions -unanticipated change can offer a path to achieve project goals and objectives [P.C. CHANGE ≠ FAILURE].

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 730

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Thanks for Your Time!

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Shawn M. ChartrandGeophysical ScientistBalance Hydrologics Vanderbilt University

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Dam Removal Primary Objectives1. Minimize downstream flooding impacts2. Provide immediate fish passage3. Meet specific channel stability criteria4. Provide ingredients to promote natural river evolution5. Provide riparian and upland habitat

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Page 45: Anticipating the Unexpected in the Context of Dam Removal · Anticipating the Unexpected The Big Picture 1. It is IMPOSSIBLE to anticipate all future conditions. Climate - hotter,

• Project studies began in 1992• Draft EIR/EIS released in 2006; certified in 2007• Project design began in 2008 (independent review panel)• Design-build contractor selected in 2013• Largest dam removal in California history [through 2019]• Primarily a geotechnical design and construction effort• Project design and construction = ~82 million USD

Project Overview

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

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Applicable Design Criteria• Design consistent with:

✔ Whittaker and Jaeggi, 1982; ✔ Thomas et al., 2003; and✔ Chartrand et al., 2011

Chartrand et al., 2011, Geomorphology 129

2019 Compensatory Mitigation Webinar Series, Webinar 7

Design OverviewConstruct new channel

with step-pools