Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in...

44
Annual Results 2017 Presentation to Investors and Analysts Basel, 27 March 2018

Transcript of Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in...

Page 1: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Annual Results 2017

Presentation to Investors and Analysts

Basel, 27 March 2018

Page 2: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information

This presentation was produced by Bâloise Holding AG and/or its affiliates (hereafter "Baloise") with the greatest of care

and to the best of its knowledge based on information available for Baloise in Switzerland on the day of its first

publication. If nothing is indicated to the contrary, all figures are not audited. This presentation contains forward-looking

statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and Baloise might not be able to

achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes Baloise describes or implies in this presentation. A

number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates

and intensions Baloise expresses in this presentation. However, neither Baloise nor any of its members of the board,

directors, officers, employees, advisors or any other person make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or

completeness of the information contained in this presentation. Neither Baloise nor any of its members of the board,

directors, officers, employees, advisors or any other person accept any liability for direct or indirect losses which might

arise from making use of the information of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute an offer or a

recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any shares or other securities of Baloise and does not release the

recipient from exercising his/her own judgment, if necessary with the help of a professional advisor. Furthermore,

Baloise does not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable law. This

document may not be copied, reproduced, altered, offered, sold or otherwise distributed to any other person either in

part or in full without the prior written consent of Baloise.

Copyright © 2018 Bâloise Holding AG. All rights reserved.

2

Page 3: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Agenda

1. Annual Results 2017 – In a Nutshell

2. Cash Remittance, Payout and Capitalisation

3. Non-Life

4. Life

5. Banking and Asset Management

6. Assets

7. Baloise Figures

8. Further Information

3

Page 4: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

1. Annual Results 2017 – In a Nutshell

Page 5: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Annual Results 2017

• 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade,

higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout

• Healthy margins in Life, excellent profitability in Non-Life and

strong balance sheet

• Well on track to achieve strategic targets and many initiatives

launched to diversify further beyond traditional insurance

The trusted choice for

our customers: one

million additional

customers

A leading employer in

the sector

A reliable and attractive

investment: CHF 2 bn

cash remittance to the

Holding

2018

2020

2021

Net Investment Yield (insurance assets)

2.9% (+0.0 pts)

Banking & Asset Mgmt EBIT: CHF 82 mn

Shareholders

Net Income

Cash

Remittance

Capital

Group

Return

4.3% Dividend Yield

Shareholders

CHF 548 mn (+2.5%)

Adjusted*: CHF 602 mn (+12.5%)

CHF 5.60 (+8%) + ongoing share buy-back

Proposed

Dividend

CHF 6.4 bn

Equity

A Positive outlook

S&P

Well above

200%

SST

Growth

2.8%

Growth

-1.6%

Life CHF 415 mn (+43%)

18.2% Δ Market Value

22.5% Total Shareholder Return

14.6%

Investment-type

2017

Net Combined Ratio

92.3%

(+0.1 pts)

Non-Life EBIT: CHF 375 mn

Life EBIT: CHF 306 mn

Margins

33.4% New business

margin

113 bp Interest rate

margin

+ =

*) Adjusted for CHF 54 mn book losses from non-strategic sell-offs in Germany

2019

Page 6: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

'Simply Safe' – Strategic Ambitions 2017 – 2021 Well on track to achieve our strategic targets

6

› Improvements across all business

units resulted in a jump from top

30th to top 25th percentile

› Multiple initiatives launched to

further increase employee

engagement

Ranking amongst

European financials1)

Ambition 2021 top 10%

2017: top 25%

Ambition: a leading employer in the

sector

2016: top 30%

Employees

› Number of customers increased

in all business units in 2017

› Various new customer initiatives

and products launched; benefits

expected to accelerate in the

mid-term

Additional customers

2017: + 118 k

Ambition 2021: + 1 mn

Ambition: 1 mn additional customers

Customers

› Significant increase in cash

remittance year-on-year (+43%),

particularly thanks to improved

contributions from life business

› Well on track to achieve the CHF

2 bn target

Cumulative

cash remittance

2017: CHF 415 mn

Ambition 2021:

CHF 2 bn

Ambition: CHF 2 bn to the Holding

See page 9 for details

Shareholders

1) based on Korn Ferry Hay database

Page 7: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

'Simply Safe' - Going beyond traditional insurance

7

Voice of

Balois e

Dig ital

Leadership

Programme

Hackathon

The Balois e

S tory

S tory in

Action

The Reflex

Machine

Compens ation &

Benefits Barcamps

Open X Day

S hadow for

a day

Friends 4

Balois e

Culture

Insurdata

Trov

Anthemis

F10

Balois e

S couting

Team

Robo-

advis or

Monvis o

Drivolution

MOVU

FRI:DAY

Mobly

onmi:us

Acquire

Invest

Incubate

Machine

Learning

Chatbot Robotics

Test

youngGo

S ingle Item

Insurance

Omnichannel

On Demand

Insurance

Point of S ale

Cooperations

Third Party

Ass et

Management

Cyberinsurance

S ME Premium

Calculator

Real Estate Fund

White Label

Products

GoodDrive

Online &

Mobile

Mortg ages

360° S ervices for

Pens ion Funds

S afe Home

GoodStart

Optimisation & extension of the core

business

Collaborate

Möbel Pfis ter

TCS

CLER

Fasoon

Picsure

BLKB

› Many initiatives launched to optimise and extend our business portfolio

› Baloise awarded the Swiss Insurance Industry's innovation prize in 2017

› Our approach to going beyond traditional insurance relies on the five dimensions 'acquire',

'incubate', 'invest', 'test' and 'collaborate' and goes hand-in-hand with our cultural change

› Our new initiatives also contribute to optimise and extend our core business

Page 8: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

2. Cash Remittance, Payout and Capitalisation

Page 9: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

415 (290)

548 (535)

769 (707)

273 (260)

273 (260)

273 (260)

273 (260)

Cash Remittance to Holding and Payout

9

201250

65

138

2017

415

27

2016

290

24

Non-Life

Life

Banking

Cash remittance to Holding1)

(in CHF mn, cash remittance in % of net profit)

54% 76%

Free Reserves Attributable free

reserves

in Holding

Cash Remittance to Holding

Profit IFRS net profit

2017 (2016), in CHF mn

Baloise' Cash Radar

Proposed

Cash

Dividend

Ambition to improve

cash quality of IFRS

earnings and to remit

CHF 2 bn cash to the

Holding in 2017 - 2021

Very solid economic

capitalisation, see page 11

Increased retained earnings

Increased cash contributions

in particular from life business

1) dividends, internal debt payments and capital releases

Capital Solvency excess capital

Stronger result

Attractive and reliable payout:

proposed dividend increase

from CHF 5.20 to CHF 5.60

SST: ratio well above 200%

S&P: 'AAA'- capitalization

Learn more about

value management

and the cash radar

Page 10: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Payout

10

Proposed dividend CHF 5.60 (+ CHF 0.40)

Payout ratio (in % IFRS net profit) 50%

Payout ratio (in % Cash remittance) 66%

Dividend

Strong commitment to current dividend level and ambition to

enhance cashflow sources for Bâloise Holding going forward

Share buy-back

Shares to be repurchased up to 3 mn

Expected buy-back period 3 years

Completion rate (16.03.2018) 21%

New share buy-back programme started April 2017

Active management of capital and regular share buy-backs to

return surplus capital to shareholders

Proposed to be paid in 2018 Dividend

growth of 8%

Total Yield

238 250 250 260 273

59 55 63

2017

4.5%

2016

4.9%

2015

4.8%

2014

3.9%

2013

4.2%

Cash dividend

Share buy-back

Total yield (incl. share buy-back)

In CHF mn

Page 11: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

-100

-50

-25

0

25

-50% -25% 0% +25% +50%

100

50

D Equity

DIn

tere

st R

ate

s (b

p)

Economic Capitalisation

11

SST ratio and sensitivities as of 1 January 2018 (preliminary values)

>200%

Standard & Poor’s acknowledged Baloise

very healthy 'AAA'-capitalization, strong risk

management, high operational profitability

and robust competitive position in its

profitable core markets

Swiss Solvency Test (SST)

Baloise business units in the EU will publish

their 2017 Solvency and Financial Condition

Report (SFCR) in May 2018

Solvency II

Standard & Poor's Rating

Financial

Condition Report

(SST public

disclosure) to be

published by 30

April 2018

SST still

characterised by

high model

volatility. The new

standard model

for Swiss Group

Life developed by

FINMA and the

Swiss insurance

industry will be

used starting from

1 January 2019

onwards

> 140%

› SST ratio as of 1 January 2018 well above 200%

› SST ratio above 140% even in economic stress events such as if interest rates

would drop by 100 bp and equity markets would simultaneously crash by 50%

› All SII-quotas without transitionals

and without volatility adjustment

'in the green' as of 31 December

2017

› Standard & Poor’s upgraded the

rating for Baloise to ‘A with a

positive outlook' in September

2017

> 140%

> 100%

> 80%

> 33%

≤ 33%

Page 12: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Capital - IFRS Total Equity

12

2017 Per share1)

Total equity at January 1 5,774 123.8

Other comprehensive income 317

Dividends -249

Profit for the period 532

Purchase / sale of treasury shares -10

Change in non-controlling interests 46

Total equity at December 31 6,409 133.2

= 11.0% D = 7.6% D

1) based on consolidated equity (excl. non-controlling interests) and on average shares outstanding

Change in equity Return on Equity

In CHF mn, incl. non-controlling interests

8.9%

11.0%

RoE

unadjusted

RoE

adjusted2)

2) adjusted for unrealised gains and losses

on available-for-sale securities

Page 13: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Capital - Unrealised Capital Gains

13

Gross and net unrealised capital gains

-17

1,598 Gross unrealised gains 2017

Policyholders and shadow accounting -757

Deferred taxes -157

Currency translation differences (incl. hedges) -702

Net unrealised gains 2017

308

371

-608 Participations and other

1,598

Fixed-interest securities

Shares

Alternative financial instruments

1,527

Gross unrealised gains 2017

157

196

20

1,626 Gross unrealised gains 2016

Shares

Alternative financial instruments

-401

Participations and other

Fixed-interest securities

1,598 Gross unrealised gains 2017

Page 14: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

3. Non-Life

Page 15: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Non-Life – Business Volume and Business Mix

15

In CHF mn In % of gross premiums written

Business mix Gross premiums written

+2.8%

2017

3,141

3,229

2016

31.5% 31.8%

6.3% 5.8%

11.7% 11.6%

10.5% 10.6%

32.9%

2.4%2.4%

33.0%

3.7%

1.0%

2016

4.1%

0.8%

2017

Active reinsurance

Accident

Transport

Other

Health

Property

General liability

Motor

Page 16: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Non-Life – Earnings and Combined Ratio

16

In CHF mn 2016 2017

Premiums earned (net) 2,960 3,052

Premiums earned (gross) 3,110 3,214

Reinsurance premiums ceded -150 -163

Claims and benefit paid (net) -1,830 -1,851

Claims and benefits paid (gross) -1,860 -1,881

Reinsurers' share of claims incurred 96 68

Change in technical reserves -67 -38

Technical costs -928 -959

Acquisition costs -440 -468

Operating and administrative expenses -489 -491

Net investment result 243 289

Other -48 -156

EBIT 396 375

Profit & Loss Margin – Net combined ratio

In % 2016 2017

Net combined ratio 92.2 92.3

Loss ratio 60.8 60.7

Claims and benefit paid (net) / premiums earned (net) 61.8 60.7

Adjustment for non-life annuities1) -0.6 -0.5

Adjustment for impending losses2) -0.5 0.5

Expense ratio 31.4 31.6

Technical costs / premiums earned (net) 31.4 31.4

Expense adjustment 0.0 0.2

1) for interest effect from discounted non-life annuity reserves 2) relating to future reporting periods

See page 19 for

details

"Other" includes in 2016 and 2017 one-off effects from IAS 19 and in 2017

start-up financing costs of mobile insurer 'Friday'

Page 17: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Non-Life – Analysis of Change

Net combined ratio and underlying loss ratio

In % of net premiums earned

17

60.8%

92.2%

31.4%

Combined ratio 2016 Claims current

accident year

1.2%

Combined ratio 2017

31.6%

60.7%

Costs

0.2%

Prior year loss dev't.

0.0%

Large claims

-1.3%

59.8%

Large claims

Underlying loss ratio

Prior year loss dev’t.

-3.9%

2.9%

Reported loss ratio 60.8% 60.7%

60.9% Underlying loss ratio

Reported loss ratio

-2.6%

2.9%

Large claims

Prior year loss dev’t.

Loss ratio

Expense ratio

Loss ratio incl. surplus sharing

92.3%

Page 18: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Net combined ratio

Switzerland Germany Belgium Luxembourg Group

In % of net premiums earned

Loss ratio 56.6 72.1 57.3 61.5 60.7

Expense ratio 26.9 36.2 34.6 30.0 31.6

Combined ratio 2017 83.5 108.3 91.9 91.5 92.3

Change vs. FY 2016 (in pts)

∆ Loss ratio 1.6 -0.7 -1.6 -2.5 -0.1

∆ Expense ratio 0.7 -0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2

∆ Combined ratio 2.3 -1.4 -1.5 -2.4 0.1

Non-Life – Margins by Country

18

Loss ratio incl. surplus sharing

Accumulation of large claims

(in particular liability insurance)

and nat-cat events in Q4 2017

resulted in Germany in an

increase of the net combined

ratio to above 100%

Page 19: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

In CHF mn

2017

Current

investment

income

2017

Impairments

2017 Gains and losses through

income statement 2017

Net

investment

result

2016

Net

investment

result

On

underlying

On

derivatives Net

Fixed-income securities1) 100 - 28 - 28 128 163

Equities 41 -5 58 -26 32 69 30

Investment property 40 - 33 - 33 73 49

Other2) 33 -2 13 - 13 43 41

Total before FX and

investment expenses 213 -7 132 -26 107 313 282

FX: gains / losses

and hedging costs 11 -8 3 -17

Investment expenses -27 -23

Net investment result 289 243

Average investments 9,386 9,163

Net investment yield 3.1% 2.6%

Non-Life – Investment Result

19

Investment income and yield

1) incl. senior secured loans 2) incl. mortgages and loans

Page 20: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

4. Life

Page 21: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Life – Business Volume and Business Mix

21

In CHF bn, gross, excl. unit-linked and investment type In CHF mn Gross premiums written

2017

Gross premiums written

6,032

Investment-type premiums

5,770

3,571

2,520

3,512

2016

2,199

Swiss

Group

Life

Individual

Life

2016

31%

2017

29%

69% 71%

59% 56% 53%

41% 44% 47%

2016

No / time-limited guarantee

Guarantee

2017 2015

7.4

8.6

3.9

18.7

38.6

26.1

Mandatory

Non-mandatory

Annuitized and other

Switzerland

Germany

Belgium &

Luxembourg

5.3

6.1

26.1

7.3

18.7

Ambition

2021:

share of

products

with

guarantee

< 45%

Technical reserves Business volume

Policyholder reserves

2017

Switzer-

land Group

Life

Individual

Life

-1.6%

14.6%

Individual Life Improving business mix

Page 22: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Swiss Group Life

Life – Volume and Value of New Business

22

Margin

in % APE

2016 2017

CH D B Lux1) Group CH D B Lux1) Group

Margin (in % APE) 23.7% 25.1% 32.4% 11.5% 21.3% 26.9% 43.8% 85.4% 12.7% 33.4%

Volume (APE) 115 39 58 110 322 130 46 62 139 377

Value (MCVNB) 27 10 19 13 69 35 20 53 18 126

1) excl. Baloise Life Liechtenstein

# total companies

Ambition 2021:

share of products with

guarantee < 15%

Volume

APE, in CHF mn

Business mix

Individual Life, in % APE

+12.1 pts

2017

33.4

2016

21.3

27% 25% 21%

70% 68% 70%

9%

Guarantee

No / time-limited

guarantee

Risk / biometry

2017 2016

7%

2015

3%

749

466

177

0

2017 2016 2015 2014

Swiss

Group Life

Individual

Life

2017

377

26%

74%

2016

322

26%

74%

New business

Semi-autonomous solution

«Perspectiva»

Improved

margin due to

disciplined

pricing and

improved

business mix

For further

details see

MCEV Report

2017

Page 23: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Life – Earnings and Value

23

IFRS, in CHF mn In CHF mn

2016 2017

CH Intern.1) Group CH Intern.1) Group

VIF 1,945 446 2,391 2,102 702 2,804

SNA 1,225 793 2,019 1,211 882 2,093

MCEV 3,170 1,239 4,409 3,313 1,584 4,897

1) Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Liechtenstein as well as consolidation effects

Market Consistent Embedded Value

For further details see

MCEV Report 2017

-313-81

296199

341

340

-127-85

-25

2016

226

-13

+35%

2017

306

+11%

Shareholders’ net assets

Value of in-force

2017

4,897

2,093

2,804

2016

4,409

2,019

2,391

EBIT Life – Profit by sources

Interest rate effects

Policyholder participation

Cost result

Risk result

Savings result

EBIT increase mainly due to lower

reserve strengthening compared to

previous year

In CHF mn 2016 2017

Reserve strengthening -317 -83

DAC, PVFP -15 0

Interest rates derivatives 19 1

Interest rate effects -313 -81

Risk result included positive one-off

in 2016 and includes negative one-

off in 2017 from claim reserves

Increase of MCEV

driven by operational

improvements and

positive impacts from

economic environment

Page 24: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Life – Average Guarantees and Interest Rate Margin

24

Reserve strengthening -10 bp

Non-mandatory group life CH -4 bp

FX translation effects 3 bp

Business mix -4 bp

Total -15 bp

1) Current investment income (IFRS) in % of statutory reserves, excl. realised capital gains / losses and FX

hedging cost, incl. investment costs

2) Average guarantee (statutory basis), as at 1.1. next year

CH

Ind.

Life

CH

Group

Life

CH

D

B

Lux

Group

Technical reserves3)

As at 31.12. current year, in CHF bn

2016 8.1 16.6 24.7 5.9 5.3 0.5 36.4

2017 7.9 16.9 24.8 6.4 6.1 0.5 37.8

Average guarantees

As at 1.1. next year

2015 1.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 1.9%

2016 1.7% 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 1.6%

2017 1.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.5%

Current yield and guarantees

Resilient

interest rate

margin due to

active

guarantee

management

Technical reserves and average guarantees

Additional reserving in

line with German

interest rate reserve

("Zinszusatzreserve")

Active

management

of guarantees

Reserve strengthening and lower guarantees

(mandatory minimum rate at 1.0% and non-

mandatory rate at 0.25% in Swiss Group Life)

Statutory basis

3) excl. unit-linked

1.65%

+ 113 bp

1.50% -15 bp

+ 117 bp

2.63%

1.90%

2015 2017

2.83% 2.98%

2016

+108 bp

Current yield1)

Average guarantee2)

Page 25: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Life – Investment Result

25

1) incl. senior secured loans 2) incl. mortgages and loans

In CHF mn

2017

Current

investment

income

2017

Impairments

2017 Gains and losses through

income statement 2017

Net

investment

result

2016

Net

investment

result

On

underlying

On

derivatives Net

Fixed-income securities1) 591 - 210 -19 191 782 872

Equities 80 -10 122 -43 79 150 69

Investment property 222 - 78 - 78 300 256

Other2) 194 -11 113 - 113 295 307

Total before FX and

investment expenses 1,087 -21 523 -62 461 1,527 1,504

FX: gains / losses

and hedging costs 102 -203 -101 -83

Investment expenses -94 -84

Net investment result 1,333 1,336

Average investments 47,074 45,706

Net investment yield 2.8% 2.9%

Investment income and yield

Page 26: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

5. Banking and Asset Management

Page 27: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Banking and Asset Management – Earnings

27

IFRS Earnings Baloise Bank SoBa

Local GAAP, in CHF mn 2016 2017

Profit for the period 23 23

Dividend 20 22

RoE (based on required capital) 7.4% 7.5%

Mortgage portfolio 6,158 6,213

High and reliable

contribution

Lower due to a

positive one-off effect

in 2016 (amendment

of Baloise Bank

SoBa pension plan)

Banking

operation

provides very

high

reinvestment

rate and

access to up

to CHF 2.0 bn

of potential

new insurance

business

39

28

54

53

Banking

Asset Management

2017

82

2016

92

EBIT, in CHF mn

Mortgage

portfolio of

excellent

quality

820 884 930 938 969

Client assets

Loan assets

2017 2016

2,823

1,885

2015

2,721

1,791

2014

2,613

1,729

2013

2,476

1,656 2,000

2,969

Development of loan & client assets from insurance sales forces

Page 28: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

6. Assets

Page 29: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Current and New & Re-Investment Yield (Insurance Assets)

29

Current yield New & re-investment yield

3.7%

Investment

property

Mortgage

loans, policy

loans and

other loans

2.8%

Fixed

income1)

2.0%

2.3%

Equity Group

2.1%

Investment

property

Mortgage

loans, policy

loans and

other loans

Fixed

income1)

2.1%

3.0%

1.2%

2.0%

3.3%

Equity Group

70.5% 13.4% 15.5% 0.6% 100%

1) incl. senior secured loans

Non-Life: 2.3% Life: 2.3%

2017, before FX hedging costs

Split of new and re-invested assets

2017, before FX hedging costs

1) incl. senior secured loans

Page 30: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Investment Performance (Insurance)

30

2017, excl. the German run-off portfolio sold in 2017

2.3%

Net capital

gains and losses1)

Investment

performance 2.7%

Net

investment yield

-0.2%

2.9%

Unrealised gains

and losses

0.8%

Investment

management costs -0.2%

Current

investment yield

Non-Life: 3.1%

Life: 2.8%

1) incl. FX gains / losses and hedging costs

Page 31: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Split of Assets and Insurance Asset Allocation

31

Split of total assets Insurance asset allocation

11%

11%

8%

8%

12%

13%58%

57% 7%

6%2017

3%

2%

2016 2%

2%

Other short-term investments

Alternative financial investments

Shares & funds

Investment property

Mortgage loans

Policy & other loans

Fixed-interest securities1)

1) 2017: incl. direct investments in senior secured loans

Net new assets in 2017: CHF 406 mn

(Ambition 2017-2021: CHF +5 bn)

In CHF mn 2016 2017

Insurance assets 55,173 57,747

Non-life 9,167 9'606

Life 46,006 48,141

Banking assets 8,121 7,398

Investment-linked life

insurance 12,337 15,027

Other and elimination -401 -466

Assets on Balance Sheet 75,229 79,706

Third party assets 7,985 8,959

Page 32: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Insurance Assets: Fixed-Interest Securities (1/3)

57.5%2017 57,747

in CHF mn

32

Not rated

0%

<BBB

0%

BBB

10%

A

18%

AA 35%

AAA 36%

Sub-

ordinated

0%

Senior 25%

Covered

14%

Sovereign & public debt

61%

Currency exposure By quality and ordination1)

71%

54%

56%

20%

39%

36%8%

7%

10%

Other USD EUR CHF

Total 0%

Life

Non-life 0%

0%

FX-risk mainly hedged

2017

Fixed-interest securities 33,215

Senior secured loans 1,394

Total investments 34,609

1) excl. senior secured loans

Page 33: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Insurance Assets: Fixed-Interest Securities (2/3)

33

61% 20% 19%

Sovereign & public debt Financials Corporates1)

2017

14% Belgium

9% France

6%

Netherlands 9%

Supranational

0%

USA

Germany

32%

Switzerland 10%

11% Central Eastern

Europe

RoW 2%

7%

Other core EU 7%

A

6%

AA

36% AAA

50%

Not rated

0%

< BBB

0%

BBB

Senior

29%

Covered

Sub-

ordinated

2% 69%

0.3%

Senior

99.7%

Sub-

ordinated

Issuers

By country By rating By ordination By ordination

1) excl. senior secured loans

57.5%2017 57,747

Page 34: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Duration by classification 2016 2017

Years in % Years in %

Duration bonds available-for-sale (AFS) 8.6 60.9% 8.5 61.2%

Duration bonds held-to-maturity (HTM) 10.4 24.3% 10.0 25.5%

Duration promissory notes 8.9 14.8% 9.4 13.3%

Duration portfolio 9.1 100% 9.0 100%

Duration by line of business 2016 2017

Years in % Years in %

Duration life bonds (incl. promissory notes) 9.6 85.8% 9.5 84.9%

Duration non-life bonds (incl. promissory notes) 5.8 14.2% 6.0 15.1%

Duration portfolio 9.1 100% 9.0 100%

Duration: Fixed-Interest Securities (3/3)

34

Duration of bonds and promissory notes1)

57.5%2017 57,747

1) excl. senior secured loans

Page 35: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Insurance Assets: Policy Loans, Mortgages, Investment Property

35

2017

Total investments 6,469

Belux

9%

Germany

7%

Switzerland

83%

Other 0%

Commercial

30%

Residential

70%

11.2% 7.6% 12.9%2017 57,747

Policy & other loans Investment property In CHF mn

By country By type

2017

Total investments 7,455

In CHF mn

2017

Total investments 4,369

Mortgages

In CHF mn

Page 36: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Insurance Assets: Shares & Funds

36

Regional exposure

2017

Total investments 3,620

in CHF mn

Shares & funds

IFRS equity exposure

Equities 4.6%

Other equity classified assets1) 1.7%

Shares & funds 6.3%

Private equity 1.2%

Hedge funds (equity related) 0.2%

Equity derivatives -0.7%

IFRS equity exposure 7.0%

6.3%2017 57,747

Funds

CH

EU

Other

28%

39%

1%

33%

9%

40%

Equity funds

Other funds 52% Real estate

funds

1) e.g. bond & property funds treated as equity under IFRS

Page 37: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Insurance Assets: Alternative Financial Investments

37

2017

Total investments 389

Misc. / Cash

14% Managed futures

4%

Global macro 18%

Event driven

21%

Relative value 24%

Equity hedged

19%

1.9% 57,747 2017

Hedge funds Private equity in CHF mn

By style

2017

Total investments 724

in CHF mn

12%

Venture

capital

69%

Buyout

19%

Misc.

18%

USA

RoW

47%

36%

EU

By type By region

Page 38: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

7. Baloise Figures

Page 39: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Business Volume Matrix FY 2017

39

Non-life 1,324.6 41.0% 783.0 24.2% 999.0 30.9% 122.3 3.8% 0.4 0.0% 3,229.3 100.0%

30.5% 57.2% 62.9% 6.2% 100.0% 34.9%

Life 2,904.3 82.7% 379.2 10.8% 148.8 4.2% 79.6 2.3% - - 3,512.0 100.0%

66.9% 27.7% 9.4% 4.1% - 37.9%

Investment-type 111.6 4.4% 207.1 8.2% 439.3 17.4% 1,761.6 69.9% - - 2,519.5 100.0%

premiums 2.6% 15.1% 27.7% 89.7% - 27.2%

Total life 3,015.9 50.0% 586.3 9.7% 588.1 9.8% 1,841.2 30.5% - - 6,031.5 100.0%

69.5% 42.8% 37.1% 93.8% - 65.1%

Total 4,340.6 46.9% 1,369.3 14.8% 1,587.1 17.1% 1,963.5 21.2% 0.4 0.0% 9,260.8 100.0%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Rest Totalin CHF mn Switzerland Germany Belgium Luxembourg

Page 40: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Growth Matrix FY 2017

40

Non-life 0.7% 3.6% 5.5% 5.0% -92.0% 2.8%

(1.6%) (3.4%) (3.0%) (-92.2%) (1.6%)

Life 0.9% -18.7% 3.7% -2.7% - -1.6%(-20.3%) (1.7%) (-4.6%) - (-2.0%)

Investment-type -0.4% -0.9% -6.7% 25.2% - 14.6%

premiums (-2.9%) (-8.5%) (23.3%) - (12.8%)

Total life 0.8% -13.2% -4.3% 23.6% - 4.5%

(-14.9%) (-6.1%) (21.8%) - (3.6%)

Total 0.8% -4.3% 1.6% 22.3% -92.0% 3.9%

(-6.2%) (-0.3%) (20.4%) (-92.2%) (2.9%)

Totalin % in CHF

(in % in LC)Switzerland Germany Belgium Luxembourg Rest

Negative growth in

Germany Life due to

sale of closed book

portfolio in 2017

Continuously strong

growth of the investment-

type premiums in

Luxembourg

Page 41: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

EBIT Matrix FY 2017

41

Non-life 289.3 -34.5 117.1 10.8 -0.4 -7.5 374.7

(-4.1) (-34.3) (-18.7) (13.7) (n.a.) (-19.4) (-5.5)

Life 317.6 11.0 23.7 15.8 -18.9 -43.2 306.0

(43.3) (-19.7) (-14.4) (16.2) (190.8) (-1.8) (35.3)

Banking & AM 24.2 -1.8 - - 21.0 38.4 81.8

(-32.2) (0.0) (n.a.) (n.a.) (14.1) (-3.5) (-11.2)

Other -12.6 -50.7 - 0.8 -28.3 12.3 -78.5

(1.6) (149.8) (n.a.) (300.0) (137.8) (-8.9) (153.2)

Total 618.4 -76.0 140.8 27.5 -26.6 - 684.1(13.1) (24.8) (-18.0) (18.0) (n.a.) (n.a.) (0.1)

Total in CHF mn

(change in %) Switzerland Germany Belgium Luxembourg Rest Eliminated

EBIT Germany affected

by book losses from non-

strategic sell-offs in

Germany

Page 42: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

8. Further Information

Page 43: Annual Results 2016 - stockproinfo.comAnnual Results 2017 • 2nd highest shareholders net income in the last decade, higher cash remittance and higher proposed payout • Healthy

Reporting Agenda and Contact Details

43

Investor Relations: +41 58 285 81 81

www.baloise.com/investors

[email protected]

Media Relations: +41 58 285 84 67

www.baloise.com/media

[email protected]

Reporting agenda Contact details

Annual General Meeting 27 April 2018

Half-year results 2018 28 August 2018

Q3 2018 interim statement 14 November 2018

Full-year results 2019 28 March 2019