Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, &...

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200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Met 4 Obs ECHAM3 ECHAM4 MOGUNTIA Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe? B Huebert, Jul02

Transcript of Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, &...

Page 1: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

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NSS, pmol/mol

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Month

Met 4 Obs ECHAM3 ECHAM4 MOGUNTIA

Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO

Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii

Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter

When they disagree, which should you believe?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 2: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

QuickTime™ and a

Photo CD Decompressor

are needed to use this picture

QuickTime™ and a

Photo CD Decompressor

are needed to use this picture

Commercial Slide Film A

Commercial Slide Film B

One can derive totally different

conclusions due to slight differences in

calibrationB Huebert, Jul02

Page 3: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Aerosol measurements aren’t easy!

Don’t believe every number you read …Barry J. Huebert

Department of OceanographyUniversity of Hawaii

Honolulu, HI 96822 [email protected]

In what ways are aerosol measurements potentially misleading?

What can you do to ensure the quality of other people’s data that you use?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 4: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Nine Questions You Should Ask Observationalists

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing? 2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar

or different principles?3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this measurement? Any

operational definitions?6. What is the time-response of this measurement?7. What is your detection limit? How are values below this limit

tabulated?8. What are your uncertainties? How were they determined?9. Are there points that need to be flagged for any reason?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 5: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

1. Particles have inertia, so some may not pass through inlets and plumbing and will

then not be analyzed.

Fuselage

AerodynamicParticleSizer

AmbientDistribution

Inlet Efficiency Alone Cannot Guarantee Accurate Sampling

Large Particles May HaveShadow Zones and Enhancement Zones

Turbulent and Inertial LossesMay Occur in Tubes

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 6: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

You don’t have to be moving 100 m/s to lose particles in inlets.

This example from a beach-front tower shows losses starting around 2-3 µm in 7 m/s winds.

One inlet faced the wind, the other faced upward.

M2

M1

Wind

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 7: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

For >1µm Dust& Seasalt, Inlets Are CriticalACE-Asia Used Low-Turbulence Inlets on the C-130 to Sample Large Particles. (Developed by LeFleur and Seebaugh, DU)

LTIs Can Enrich Large Particles

80% of the flow is drawn out through the diffuser walls.

Small particles follow the suction flow (80% are are drawn out), so they are not enriched in the sample flow.The inertia of the largest particles causes them to stay in the sample flow, thereby becoming enriched by up to 5x.

Suction Flow

Sample Flow

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 8: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Enhancement factors for high, median and low core mass flow

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2

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4

5

6

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Aerodynamic Diameter [-]

0.003694kg/s-29%

0.002296kg/s-23%

0.001230kg/s-16%

Fluent Modeling of Enhancement for ACE-Asia LTIs.“They are for high, medium and low pressures: 977 mb, 682 mb, and 380 mb. Enhancements went up at higher altitude because TAS goes up with altitude and maintaining isokinetic flow required more suction. Hence the core flow fraction decreased with altitude.”

-Chuck Wilson, Denver University, 31 Oct 2001

This data is now outdated!!

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 9: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Particles May Also be Lost in Plumbing.

This efficiency has been measured in the lab.

How do we deal with the fact that tubing efficiencies will differ for dust and other

aerosols?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 10: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What processes caused these

deposits to be so different?

We generated pink particles 7 µm in diameter to test

ACE-Asia tubing losses in the lab.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 11: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Impact of C-130 Plumbing and LTI

The red transmission efficiency includes both LTI and tubing losses. However, since some particles do not stick when they hit a tube wall, the actual efficiency will be somewhere between the red and blue.

The magnitude of the error these losses cause depends on the amount

of aerosols in each size range and the radiative impact of each size.

N

V

A

b

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 12: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

2. Instrument Intercomparisons - “Harmony”

ACE-Asia included lots of intercomparisons

C-130

Ron Brown Twin Otter

Kosan

3-5

2

7

3

KingAir: 1P-3: 2

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 13: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Eight Groups that Measured Elemental and Organic Carbon Participated in an Intercomparison Experiment.

Experiments of this type provide realistic uncertainty bounds, even though we don’t know if anyone is right!

Precision: WOW!!4% for OC on particle-loaded filters 12% for OC on backup filters12% for EC on particle-loaded filters

However, there are subtleties ofanalyzing lightly-loaded samplesthat introduce uncertainties intoairborne EC & OC data.

More on this later….B Huebert, Jul02

Page 14: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

0

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0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 20

Aerodynamic particle diameter, ∝m

Sierra

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MOUDI

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0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 20

BernerThis comparison of 3 common

cascade impactors by

Howell et al. Is striking.

Were they in the same air?!?

yep...

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 15: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Some instruments are less quantitative than others, and “good agreement” needs to be viewed critically.

Laser particle counters in ACE-Asia for example:

Nine orders of magnitude

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 16: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

On a linear scale, Area (left) and Volume (below)

differ by factors of 2 to 10 or more

Beware of log scales on OPC and FSSP

data showing“good agreement”

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 17: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Surprisingly, some such disagreements are also due to the definition of “size.”

Aerodynamic, Geometric, Microscopic size

What “size” is this mineral/soot/OC aggregate?

ACE-AsiaImage by Jim Anderson,ASU

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 18: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

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Diameter, ∝m

: 08 15:54 16:5NUMBER RF to 3

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, Diameter∝m

: 08 15:54 16:5VOLUME RF to 3

.SEM using average diam dddd.SEM using volumebaseddiam APS with ρ = 2.6

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: 08 14:49 15:42NUMBER RF to

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: 08 14:49 15:42VOLUME RF to

After PELTI we compared simultaneous SEM and APS size distributions

These “visual” sizes did not agree well with the aerodynamic size from the APS.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 19: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

3. Flow Measurements & Calibration

Nearly every measurement involves collecting or measuring the aerosol in a particular volume of air. Concentrations are derived as:

[Aerosol] = Analyte amount / air volume

Thus, the aerosol concentration cannot be known more accurately than the integrated flow is known.

Instruments that do not record the flow can cause undetectable problems.

Flowmeters must be calibrated before and after experiments, at a minimum….

against what kind of standard?B Huebert, Jul02

Page 20: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

4. How was your analysis calibrated?

Any round-robin comparisons?2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

Ion Chromatograph Response, µs

1086420Time, min

Standards SampleNa

NH4

K

Mg

Ca

485 ng/ml

1000 ng/ml

Ion Chromatography for Cations

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 21: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

4. How was your analysis calibrated?A variety of problems can make calibration difficult:

Swamping, noise, contamination, degeneration, …

Ion Chromatography for Cations

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

Ion Chromatograph Response, µs

1086420Time, min

Standards Cat1SigNa

NH4

K

Mg

Ca

1000 ng/ml

?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 22: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

5. Are there any artifacts or ambiguities in this measurement? Operational definitions?

What is “Organic Carbon” vs “Elemental Carbon?”

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 23: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

We had many cases during ACE-Asia, however, in which there was very little OC charring, so that did not constrain the split

time well.

Small sample size may contribute to this problem.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 24: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Other groups that do Evolved Gas Analysis (EGA) define things differently:

EGA by Novakov et al. (97) of front and back quartz filters

All CO2 below 290C is defined as due to vapor absorption.

R&P defines EC as all CO2 evolved above 340C.

Operational Definitions

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 25: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Serial filters area an attempt to correct for a vapor-adsorption (positive) artifact.

Flow Meter

Pump

Ambient Air

~Particles & Vapor

~Vapor Only - Same Amt as Above?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 26: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Serial filters area an attempt to correct for a vapor-adsorption (positive) artifact.

Does this really work?

Flow Meter

Pump

Ambient Air

??

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 27: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Many groups now use Denuders to at least

minimize vapor-absorption artifacts.

This PC-BOSS sampler by Delbert Eatough was used on

the C-130 in ACE-Asia.

The denuder strips away adsorbable organic vapors before they can reach the

quartz filter.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 28: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

C-130 PSAP vs EC before correction

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Absorption Submicron, Mm-1

543210EC, µg/m3

Slope = 4.8 if constainedto go through zero

This data is now outdated!!

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 29: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

New PSAP vs EC: Note the Impact of using a correct DL!

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Absorption Total, Mm-1

1086420EC (no dust), µg/m3

C-130 EC data w/o dust or questionable splitsUW PSAP averaged to EC Times

This data is now outdated!!

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 30: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

6. Time-Response

Image by Steve Howell

5000

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1000

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8070605040302010XTSG10

40003000200010000SO2_1_sec_pptv

605040302010XTSG1

Total Scattering <10um SO2_1_sec_pptv Submicron Scattering

is critical for some applications. What is the

altitude of the lowest layer?

The SO2 trace (red) in the ascent profile peaks at a lower altitude than the light scattering (blue & green) measured by TSI nephelometers.

Why?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 31: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

6. Time-Response

Image by Steve Howell

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

8070605040302010XTSG10

40003000200010000SO2_1_sec_pptv

605040302010XTSG1

Total Scattering <10um SO2_1_sec_pptv Submicron Scattering

The SO2 trace (red) in the ascent profile peaks at a lower altitude than the light scattering (blue & green) measured by TSI nephelometers. Why?

The faster time-response of the SO2 instrument.

The nephs have to fill a ~5 liter volume at 30

l/min, so they take half a minute to settle to a new

value.B Huebert, Jul02

Page 32: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

7. What is the Detection Limit (DL) of this measurement?

Every instrument will produce some kind of response even when the ambient concentration is below the DL.

How can the value of the DL be established? Field Blanks: analyze a “sample” that has not had any real exposure. This blank must be handled and treated exactly the same as every real sample. Often the blank

value is subtracted from the sample values. Filter DL = 2-3 x Standard Deviation of the blanks

For continuous instruments blanking is often accomplished by filtering the input air, so no particles

reach the detector. B Huebert, Jul02

Page 33: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

7. How are samples below the Detection Limit tabulated?

These are real values, and must be included in averages!!

Using only above-blank values would introduce a bias.

Actual Value DL Reported Biased Avg

6 6 6 6

10 5 10 10

2 5 <5

4 5 <5

3 5 <5

Avg: 5 Avg: 8

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 34: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

8. Uncertainties? How were they determined?

Hopefully by propagation of errors:

Flow, Analysis Range, DL, Blank variability

Random (precision) vs Systematic (averaging won’t help)

Uncertainty is NOT the same as the statistical variation of a set of data!

One is instrumental, the other geophysicalB Huebert, Jul02

Page 35: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

9. Should this data be flagged?

Photo courtesy of Tai Chen

This 1 um impactor (used by Tad Anderson and Sarah Masonis in front of a TSI nephelometer to measure sub-

micron scattering) collected so much dust on ACE-Asia C-130 RF13 that raised deposits probably

changed its cut size from 1 µm.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 36: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

If so, how?

By direct measurement or by estimate from the literature or a manufacturer?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 37: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 38: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

3. How did you calibrate flow rates?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 39: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?

Were there any round-robin intercomparisons?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 40: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this

measurement? Any operational definitions?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 41: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this

measurement? Any operational definitions?6. What is the time-response of this measurement?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 42: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing?

2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar or different principles?

3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this

measurement? Any operational definitions?6. What is the time-response of this measurement?7. What is your detection limit? How are values below

this limit tabulated?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 43: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing? 2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar

or different principles?3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this measurement? Any

operational definitions?6. What is the time-response of this measurement?7. What is your Detection Limit? How are values below this limit

tabulated?

8. What are your uncertainties? How were they determined?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 44: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

What Can You Ask of Observationalists?

1. Do you know the upper-size cut of your inlet and plumbing? 2. Has this instrument been intercompared with others that use similar

or different principles?3. How did you calibrate flow rates?4. How was your analysis calibrated?5. What artifacts or ambiguities are there in this measurement? Any

operational definitions?6. What is the time-response of this measurement?7. What is your Detection Limit? How are values below this limit

tabulated?8. What are your uncertainties? How were they determined?

9. Are there points that need to be flagged for any reason?

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 45: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

As a last resort:

learn how the instrument works!

You’re a smart person.

You know lots about science.

Even though you may not be a chemist or an engineer, you can understand the

measurements you use well enough to see where they might be weak.

B Huebert, Jul02

Page 46: Annual Cycle of Sulfate at MLO Measurements by Huebert, Univ. Hawaii Models by Rodhe, Kjellstrom, & Feichter When they disagree, which should you believe?

Even though observations are subject to a wide range of

uncertainties, they are still the best check on the reality of

models.

But you must use them wisely:

Not all observations are equally sound.

Work WITH the people who generated the data you use,

question them thoroughly, and give the greatest credence to that data with the best quality

control.

B Huebert, Jul02