Annex 1. The urbanisation of Europe and the World...1 Annex 1. The urbanisation of Europe and the...
Transcript of Annex 1. The urbanisation of Europe and the World...1 Annex 1. The urbanisation of Europe and the...
1
Annex
1. The urbanisation of Europe and the World More than half of the world population lives in urban areas although not all regions of the world
have reached this level of urbanisation; Asia is expected to reach 50% urban population by 2020 and
Africa in 2035. World population is expected to increase by 2.3 billion by 2050, in the same period
urban areas will gain 2.6 billion and rural areas will lose 300 million people. Most of the population
growth expected in urban areas will be concentrated in the cities and towns of the less developed
regions. Asia, in particular, is projected to see its urban population increase by 1.4 billion, Africa by
0.9 billion, and Latin America and the Caribbean by 0.2 billion. In the developed world the annual
growth rates of urban agglomerations is slowing down compared to the previous 40 years. 1
Europe already became predominantly urban in the beginning of the 1950s. In the last century
Europe transformed itself from a largely rural to a predominantly urban continent. Today,
approximately 359 million people - 72 % of the total EU population - live in cities, towns and suburbs.
Although the speed of transformation has slowed down, the share of the urban population continues
to grow. However, Europe is characterised by a more polycentric and less concentrated urban
structure compared to, for instance, the USA or China. There are 26 cities of more than 1 million
inhabitants and additional 373 cities of more than 100 000 inhabitants in the European Union,
representing around 165 million people. Only 7 % of the EU population live in cities of over 5 million
inhabitants compared to 25 % in the USA.
2. The potential and threats to a sustainable urban development The concentration of consumers, workers and businesses in a place or area, together with the formal
and informal institutions that make an agglomeration ‘thick’ and cohesive, has the potential to
produce externalities and increasing returns to scale. Sixty-seven per cent of Europe’s GDP is
generated in metropolitan regions,2 while their population only represents fifty-nine per cent of the
total European population. A comparison of European cities’ economic performance also indicates
that the major cities are doing better than the rest.3 Capitals and larger metropolitan regions have
also performed better during the economic crisis than smaller metropolitan and non-metropolitan
regions4. However, there is marked difference in performance between capital and non-capital cities.
It is hard to distinguish the effects of agglomeration alone from the positive externalities of being a
capital city and centre of both public and private administrations. There is also an even bigger
difference between Western and Eastern non-capital cities that cannot be explained by size alone.
1 ‘World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision’, United Nations Department of Economic and Social
Affairs/Population Division, New York 2012 2 Metropolitan regions are defined as ‘larger urban zones’ with more than 250 000 inhabitants (Source: DG REGIO).
3 ‘State of European Cities Report’, European Commission 2010;
4 ‘8th Progress Report on Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion’, European Commission 2013
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A concentration of activity is neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for high growth. Small and
medium sized cities also possess a significant potential for development which Europe needs to fully
unlock to achieve its strategic objectives.
Although cities are generators of growth, the highest unemployment rates are found in cities.
Globalisation has led to a loss of jobs — especially in the manufacturing sector. As an effect of the
crisis the share of the population at risk of poverty and in low work intensity households has
increased. Many cities face a significant loss of inclusive power and cohesion and an increase in
exclusion, segregation and polarisation. Cities contribute to the reduction of energy consumption
and CO2 emissions as the density of urban areas allows for more energy-efficient forms of housing,
transport and service provision - people living in an urban area use less energy and less land for their
transport and housing compared to people living in other areas, and service provision is also more
efficient in cities. But uncontrolled urban sprawl is countering the positive impacts on resource
efficiency of compact urban settlements.
The starting points, potential and development trajectories of cities across Europe are very different.
In addition, the policy levers, such as policy competences and taxation powers also show significant
variation across Europe and do not always mirror cities' responsibilities for implementation of
policies, directives and regulation set at higher government levels. There are many examples of
public budget cuts at national level with devolved responsibilities for cities without additional
budget. The economic crisis has amplified such tendencies and led to diminished opportunities for
longer-term investments. Shrinking and ageing populations have put public services under strain to
operate oversized infrastructure with reduced tax bases. Coupled with the negative effects on local
economies, many cities find themselves in vicious circles, which seriously undermine their
capabilities to exploit their full potential and contribute to EU objectives.
Figure 1: At-risk-of-poverty rate by degree of urbanisation, 2012
Source: 8th
Progress Report on Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion, European Commission 2013
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5
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-28
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Sp
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Cyp
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Italy
Ma
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% of population at
risk-of-poverty by degree of urbanisation
CitiesTowns and suburbs, Rural areas
* IE, 2011
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Table 1: Cities of Tomorrow main urban challenges5
Smart Growth challenges
1. Support a transition towards a knowledge society: e.g. smart cities as technology-enhanced urban development (FI); building on social, organisational and technical innovation and on community competencies; new educational pathways; develop a favourable entrepreneurial environment; develop local & social economy;
2. Develop city resilience to economic pressure and financial crises e.g. ensure social services, maintain a viable manufacturing sector, maintain social capital.
Green Growth challenges
3. Ensure sustained investment for public transport and shift to a more sustainable urban mobility; Energy-efficient building and energetic urban renewal (DE); Achieve greater energy and resource efficiency and manage the transition towards a carbon-neutral city;
4. Sustainable management of natural resources (e.g. water, waste, air, soil and land), safeguard against physical and environmental degradation, urban sprawl, etc.;
5. Accelerate transition towards a sustainable city given the inherent inertia of infrastructure provision (e.g. housing, transport, water and energy systems).
Inclusive Growth challenges
6. Counter social/spatial segregation/polarisation; acting for urban deprived areas (FR); reduce child poverty in urban areas (BE); ensure social & functional mix and cohesion; allow a cultural mix; affordable housing for all (NL); address urban sprawl (e.g. mitigation of gentrification effects, fair distribution of income and welfare);
7. Develop capacities for social and economic integration of newcomers, especially migrants and the socially disadvantaged; combat youth unemployment (under discussion during IE Presidency);
8. Manage and adapt to demographic changes due to ageing, age imbalances, intra-EU mobility6 (LT), trans-national mobility, migration strategies (e.g. attract qualified migrants) as a solution to labour shortage.
Transversal Challenges / an integrated approach to urban development
9. Foster cities' attractiveness e.g. develop public open spaces; education, culture, sports, creativity
and cultural/industrial heritage; safety and security;
10. Ensure territorial coherence and cohesion e.g. urban/peri-urban cooperation, cooperation between the metropolis and its hinterland and manage urban/rural linkage.
5 As part of the Cities of Tomorrow reflection process a synthetic list of 10 key urban challenges was agreed by the urban
experts and used as a basis for the discussions. These are listed above under four headings: smart growth; green growth; inclusive growth and transversal challenges. The list also includes major urban challenges put forward by Member States in the context of the intergovernmental cooperation on urban development (as discussed in the meeting of Directors-General responsible for Urban Development organised by the Lithuanian Presidency).
6 LT suggest using the term intra-EU migration whereas at European level migration refers to third country flows.
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3. EU urban policy Economic, social and territorial cohesion all have a strong urban dimension. As the vast majority of
Europeans live in or depend on cities, their developments cannot be isolated from a wider European
policy framework and the EU has had a growing impact on the development of cities over recent
decades, notably through the Cohesion Policy.
In terms of aims, objectives, and values, there is an explicit agreement on the character of the
European city of the future and the principles on which an ideal European city should be based.
These principles can be found in the objectives of the Treaty, in the Charter of Fundamental Rights of
the European Union, in the European Social Model. There is also a consensus among the ministers
responsible for urban development on more specific city objectives and values - as reflected in the
Leipzig Charter – as well as how these objectives should be attained and the instrumental role cities
can play in implementing Europe 2020 as expressed in the Toledo Declaration. The same goes for the
principles of urban development in the European territory as expressed in the Territorial Agenda of
the European Union 2020 (TA2020). Cohesion policy, through the URBAN Community Initiatives7 and
the subsequent mainstreaming of integrated sustainable development, has fed the
intergovernmental process with practical experience. Together they form what is known as the
‘Acquis Urbain’.
The European Cities of Tomorrow are places of advanced social progress; they are platforms for
democracy, cultural dialogue and diversity; they are places of green, ecological or environmental
regeneration; and they are places of attraction and engines of economic growth.
The future European urban territorial development should reflect a sustainable development of Europe
based on balanced economic growth and balanced territorial organisation with a polycentric urban
structure; it should contain strong regional centres that provide good accessibility to services of general
economic interest; it should be characterised by a compact settlement structure with limited urban sprawl;
and it should enjoy a high level of protection and quality of environment around cities. [Cities of Tomorrow,
European Union 2011]
However, if there is an agreement of the principles that should guide urban development in Europe,
there is a lack of explicit objectives, targets and instruments. There is no explicit urban dimension in
the Europe 2020 strategy and its targets.
The addition of Urban Policy in the name of the Directorate General for Regional and Urban Policy
came in 2012 and was partly a response to the strengthening of multilevel governance in the Lisbon
Treaty, but above all a recognition of the importance of the local level in general and cities in
particular as key actors for European development. One of the objectives of DG Regional and Urban
Policy is to ensure that cities play their full part in the economic, social and territorial development of
the EU. In the 2014-2020 programming period a minimum 5% of national ERDF allocations have been
earmarked for integrated sustainable development to ensure that it is a priority in all Member States.
7 URBAN I (1994–99) and URBAN II (2000–2006) were two Community Initiatives of the European Regional
Development Fund (ERDF) focused on the sustainable integrated development of deprived urban districts.
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City networking and exchange will continue to be promoted by the next generation URBACT
programme. In addition to these resources dedicated to integrated sustainable urban development,
an estimated 50% of the ERDF, around 80-90 billion Euro, will be invested in urban areas through the
mainstream operational programmes.
An increasing number of EU policies explicitly target urban areas; Education and Culture, Transport,
Energy, Information Society, Environment, Climate Change, etc. support initiatives such as European
Capital of Culture, Smart Cities and Communities European Innovation Partnership, Green Capital
Award, Covenant of Mayors. Many other EU initiatives or directives implicitly target urban areas, e.g.,
noise and air quality directives, migration policies, etc., which although not urban per see de facto
chiefly concern urban areas.
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Table 2: European Commission initiatives with an urban dimension
DG/ Agency Policy/ Regulation Targeting Cities/ local Local projects Studies/ research Tools
Climate Action Renewable Energy Directive
Climate and Energy package
Competition State aid control in SGEI / public services
Communication, Networks, Content & Technology
Digital Agenda for Europe
Smart Cities and Communities EIP
Digital technologies in providing public services
Green Digital Charter
FP7/CIP projects - pilot sites across Europe
ICT for Energy Efficiency – Local and Regional Initiatives (SMART 2009/0073)
Wiki developed under the study SMART 2009/0073
Green Digital Charter tool kit (NiCE project)
Education and Culture Cultural and creative industries for smart specialisation
Inter-cultural dialogue
European Capitals of Culture
European Heritage Label
European Environment Agency
TERM 2013 report
SOER
Air Implementation Pilot
CORINE Land Cover project
Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion Social exclusion
Urban poverty and social exclusion
ESF investments
Energy Energy Efficiency Directive
Smart Cities and Communities EIP
Covenant of Mayors
Connecting Europe Facility
ELENA Facility
Environment Air and water quality
Noise reduction
Waste treatment
Biodiversity
7th
EU EAP priority objective 8
Green infrastructures
Thematic Strategy on the Urban Environment
LIFE programme 2014-2020
Horizon2020 Societal Challenges
European Green Capitals Award
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Eurostat
Urban Audit: statistics on European cities
Study on comparable Labour Market Areas
Typologies of Metropolitan areas (NUTS-3) and Degree of Urbanisation (LAU-2)
Classifications of Core cities, Larger urban zones (LUZ), Sub-city districts (SCD) and Kernels
Home Affairs Immigration
Organised crime and human trafficking
Integration of non-EU migrants
Crime prevention and reduction
Asylum, Migration and Integration Fund 2014-2020
European Web Site on Integration
Joint Research Centre
Sustainable Urban Living
Strategic Activity
Modelling framework for integrated assessment
Indicators and trends for EU urban areas; Outlook of EU cities
Scientific and technical support to EU regional and urban development policies; H2020
Justice Anti-discrimination Ethnic diversity of urban areas
Mobility and Transport Transport White Paper
TEN-T
Urban Mobility Package
Smart Cities and Communities EIP
Connecting Europe Facility
CIVITAS 2020
Sustainable urban mobility plans
ELTIS portal on urban mobility
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Regional and Urban policy
Integrated approach to sustainable urban development
Green Paper on Territorial Cohesion
ITI, CLLD, ≥5% of national ERDF allocations integrated sustainable urban development (ERDF Art.7)
ERDF investment priorities specifically targeting urban areas
Innovative Actions in the field of integrated sustainable urban development
URBACT city networking programme
50-60% of ERDF invested in urban areas
Cities of Tomorrow,
Perception survey on the quality of life in cities
ESPON research
Reference Framework for Sustainable Cities (RFSC)
Research and Innovation
Innovation Union
Horizon 2020
Horizon 2020 research areas
Health and Consumers Health programme
European Consumer Agenda
Health inequalities in urban areas
Empowering consumers
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Table 3: The urban dimension of Europe 2020
Policy objectives Territorial focus Promoting exchange of
knowledge and
experience
Awarding good practices
SMART GROWTH
Smart Specialisation Strategies
Innovative application of integration of
energy, transport and ICT technologies
Smart Cities and
Communities EIP
Investing in culture European Capitals of
Culture
European heritage label
Accessibility of retail services
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
7th Environmental Action Programme
Sustainable urban planning & design
Tackling air pollution Urban areas exceeding EU
air quality standards
Green infrastructure solutions
European Cities European Green Capitals
Award
Climate change mitigation measures (clean
urban transport, energy efficiency, limiting
urban sprawl)
Metropolises
SMCs for skills and
capacity building
Climate change adaptation measures (sea
level rise, high temperatures, extreme
weather events)
Coastal cities,
Large cities in South,
Cities along main
rivers
Energy efficiency in urban transport, public
infrastructure, district heating, buildings
Cities in EU13 Covenant of Mayors
ELENA facility
Sustainable urban mobility plans Small & medium size
cities (SMCs)
CIVITAS award
Deliver on the EU climate objectives
through the use of Information and
Communication Technologies (ICT)
Cities Green Digital Charter
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
Tackling spatial segregation in terms of
access to quality public services
Connections between
centre and suburbs
Eliminating substandard housing
Tackling health inequalities HU, SK, RO, BG, PL, CZ, LV
Active inclusion
Partnerships with employers
Migrants, marginalised
communities
Decreasing early school leaving
Services for childcare and dependants
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4. Maps and tables Map 1: Population density in Europe, 2001
Note: Colours and peak heights represent population density by 1 km2 raster cells. Sources: Eurostat, JRC, EFGS, REGIO-GIS.
Table 4: Population share by degree of urbanisation in %, 1961-2011
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011
EU-15 Cities 42.4 43.6 43.4 42.9 42.2 42.3
Towns and suburbs 27.8 29.5 31.0 31.8 32.5 32.6
Rural areas 29.8 26.9 25.6 25.3 25.3 25.0
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EU-13 Cities 25.4 29.0 32.6 34.2 33.9 33.8
Towns and suburbs 19.7 21.4 23.1 24.5 25.1 25.7
Rural areas 55.0 49.6 44.3 41.4 41.0 40.4
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EU-28 Cities 38.6 40.3 40.9 40.9 40.4 40.5
Towns and suburbs 26.0 27.7 29.2 30.1 30.8 31.2
Rural areas 35.5 32.0 29.9 29.0 28.8 28.3
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Note: Only partial data for Portugal and Slovenia
Source: Time series of LAU2 population data, NSI, DG REGIO / Spatial Foresight
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Table 5: Population by degree of urbanisation in the EU-28, 2011
* Cities with an urban centre of 50 000 inhabitants or more
** Towns and suburbs have the majority of their population in an urban cluster of 5 000 inhabitants or more and do not
have an urban centre of at least 50 000 inhabitants
Source: European Commission (JRC, EFGS, DG REGIO).
Degree of urbanisation Population Number of cities*
absolute in %
Rural areas 154 125 040 28.3
Towns and suburbs** 155,900,491 31.2
Cities* 203,078,408 40.6 811
Cities* by urban centre size
50 000 – 100 000 38,067,398 7.6 412
100 000 – 250 000 47,494,019 9.5 263
250 000 – 500 000 25,336,401 5.1 71
500 000 – 1 000 000 29,104,398 5.8 39
> 1 000 000 63,076,191 12.6 26
Total EU-28 500,432,969 100
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Map 2 Population size and density of major cities in Europe (2006)
Note: Population and density calculated for an area corresponding to a radius of 15 Km around each city centre.
Elaboration: JRC/REGIO