Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13) Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation ...

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Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13) Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River Review of SNOTEL Snow Water Equivalent Comparisons of April through July Runoff Forecasts Forecasting predictions for temperature and precipitation for the upcoming summer Discussion and questions

Transcript of Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13) Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation ...

Page 1: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Animas River Current Conditions

(as of 5/3/13)

Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation

Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Review of SNOTEL Snow Water Equivalent Comparisons of April through July Runoff

Forecasts Forecasting predictions for temperature and

precipitation for the upcoming summer Discussion and questions

Page 2: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River
Page 3: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River
Page 4: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Animas River at Cedar Hill and Farmington NM

1-Nov

13-N

ov

25-N

ov

7-Dec

19-D

ec

31-D

ec

12-Ja

n

24-Ja

n

5-Fe

b

17-F

eb

1-Mar

13-M

ar

25-M

ar

6-Apr

18-A

pr

30-A

pr

12-M

ay

24-M

ay5-

Jun

17-Ju

n

29-Ju

n

11-Ju

l

23-Ju

l

4-Aug

16-A

ug

28-A

ug

9-Se

p

21-S

ep3-

Oct

15-O

ct

27-O

ct0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2013 Cedar Hill2013 Farmington2002 Cedar Hill2002 Farmington

Page 5: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Animas River at Cedar Hill, NMDaily Flows

1-Nov

13-N

ov

25-N

ov

7-Dec

19-D

ec

31-D

ec

12-Ja

n

24-Ja

n

5-Fe

b

17-F

eb

1-Mar

13-M

ar

25-M

ar

6-Apr

18-A

pr

30-A

pr

12-M

ay

24-M

ay5-

Jun

17-Ju

n

29-Ju

n

11-Ju

l

23-Ju

l

4-Aug

16-A

ug

28-A

ug

9-Se

p

21-S

ep3-

Oct

15-O

ct

27-O

ct0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013

Water Year2001 through 2013

Daily F

low

, cfs

Page 6: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Animas River at Cedar Hill, NMDaily Flows

1-Nov

13-N

ov

25-N

ov

7-Dec

19-D

ec

31-D

ec

12-Ja

n

24-Ja

n

5-Fe

b

17-F

eb

1-Mar

13-M

ar

25-M

ar

6-Apr

18-A

pr

30-A

pr

12-M

ay

24-M

ay5-

Jun

17-Ju

n

29-Ju

n

11-Ju

l

23-Ju

l

4-Aug

16-A

ug

28-A

ug

9-Se

p

21-S

ep3-

Oct

15-O

ct

27-O

ct0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

200220122013

Water Year

Flo

w,

cfs

Page 7: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Animas River at DurangoSNOTEL SWE

Page 8: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

Historic Runoff Volumes for April – July` Animas River @ Durango

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Runoff

Infl

ow

, A

F

Page 9: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

1/1/2013 2/1/2013 3/1/2013 4/1/2013 5/1/2013

Max Prop (10%) 370 420 400 360 290

Most Prop (50%) 260 295 280 250 210

Min Prop (90%) 182 185 160 162 160

25

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

Runoff

Volu

me,

k-a

f

May 1, 2013 Runoff Forecast for April – July` Animas River @ Durango

Page 10: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

May 1, 2013 Runoff Forecast Comparisons` Animas River @ Durango

Average 2002 2011 2012 2013 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

Runoff

Volu

me,

AF

Page 11: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

April – July Forecast

Page 12: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

April – July Forecast

Page 13: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River
Page 14: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River
Page 15: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

The snowpack is below average for current water year.

Forecasting indicates greater chance of below average precipitation for current water year.

Current conditions indicate that 2013 runoff volume is similar to 2012 runoff volume.

Forecasting shows peak runoff has yet to occur for the Aminas River.

And a big THANK YOU to the BOR for use of their slides and providing pertinent information.

Summary

Page 16: Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River

How You Can Access Information

Animas Watershed Partnershipwww.animaswatershedpartnership.orgBureau of Reclamation www.usbr.gov/ucUSGShttp://water.usgs.gov/nwisColorado Basin River Forecast Centerwww.cbrfc.noaa.gov