Anhinga Sample Client Pres
-
Upload
samuel-benjamin-smolley -
Category
Documents
-
view
143 -
download
1
Transcript of Anhinga Sample Client Pres
36 2ND J CORP DISCUSSION MATERIALS | DECEMBER 2014CARISMA PRINTING PROJECT
2
Occasion
• New York City (NYC) Property Tax Abatement (PTA) Doubled
• 20% of eligible expenditures up to $62,500
• Tax credit applicable over 4 years
• That’s the bottom line
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3
π Your (36 2nd J Corp’s) real estate is a prime candidate for a solar system that can offer attractive returns on capital
π Opportunity to transform an unused asset into a source of steady 10-20+% return, superior to other fixed income investments
π The solar installation process can be complicated, which makes a dedicated project partner like Anhinga, essential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
THE POWER INDUSTRY IS UNDERGOING A TRANSFORMATION
Like the horse & buggy, Walkman and floppy disk, the current power industry
model is inefficient and outdated.
7 Difficult to build and maintain
7 Inflexible7 Ecologically
unsustainable
7 Long distance transmission
7 Losses up to 15%
7 Concentrated risk and vulnerable to failure of a critical resource
Eliminates “Extension Cords” on a Large Scale
Wired Ethernet vs WifiThe inherent promise of solar PV DG
5
AS YOU KNOW, 36 2ND J CORP’S REAL ESTATE IS IDEALLY SITUATED…
NYSERDA Targeted Solar Zones
Carisma is just south of the targeted zone
We may be able to apply for excepted expansion
6
WHY CARISMA PRINTING ?
…WITH FAVORABLE ROOFTOP CHARACTERISTICS 95x95=9000 square feet Unobstructed view Southwesterly direction
Street Address: 43 2nd Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11215
[TBU – factoid]
95x95=9000 square feet Unobstructed view Southwesterly direction
Street Address: 43 2nd Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11215
7
LOCAL INCENTIVES INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
NYC SOLAR PROPERTY TAX ABATEMENT – EXTENDED AND DOUBLED On Sept. 23, 2014 Governor Cuomo extended the Property Tax Abatement (PTA)
for solar electric systems through January 1, 2017
Doubled from 10% to 20% of eligible solar system expenditures
By installing solar, building owners receive a four year PTA of 5% per year of the installed cost for 20% total
Abatements are capped at $62,500 per year or $250,000 total and may not exceed the owner's property tax liability for any given year
Solar in NYC is newly remunerative for you and/or your landlord in addition to its other benefits
8
DRIVING RAPID GROWTH IN NYC SOLAR MARKET
Since the PTA went into effect in 2009, it has helped fuel the exponential growth of the NYC solar market
3 MW-DC to over 32 MW-DC today, a 66% compound annual growth rate
The PTA has been utilized in over 900 solar PV projects accounting for more than $75 million in investment
Now is the right time to invest in a solar system in NYC
COMMERCIAL SCALE INSTALLATIONS INVOLVE NUMEROUS COUNTERPARTIES AND DECISIONS
Installers
Selection active in NYC market
Inverter Vendors Panel Vendors
[Suniva]
Government
NYSERDA
In the typical commercial scale solar installation (250kw-1.5MW) there is
no standardization-- leading to literally millions of potential
equipment configurations/permutations
1. HTTP://WWW.SOLARINDUSTRYMAG.COM/ISSUES/SI1412/FEAT_01_POWER-BLOCKS-ENABLE-SOLAR-EPCS-TO-PIECE-TOGETHER-BIG-UTILITY-PLANT-WINS.HTML
FinancingPPALeaseNY-SUN
“Solarize”Forced Bundling
10
THE SOLUTION
Streamline ProcessImprove Installer Accountability
11
ANHINGA HELPS OWNERS NAVIGATE THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS TO ACHIEVE HIGH RETURNS
Proceed to invest in solar DG
Central Inverter
Microinverter
AC Panel
New 1000V Rooftop?
Standard <600V
Financing Decisions
PPA
Pay Cash
Receive Rent Payment[ ? ]
US-made
European
Low-cost less energy dense thin film?
Mono or poly crystalline
Asian
Tilt Rooftop
Flat Rooftop
SOLAR PV DECISION TREE
Emerging i.e. Tile
Rooftop Suitable
IRR makessense+
Emphasize / Represent LT IRR %
Throughout
kwHr growth rate 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 7.5%
Years 1-5 44,898$ 46,247$ 47,633$ 49,055$ 52,775$ Years 6-10 47,860$ 51,763$ 55,952$ 60,447$ 73,151$ Years 11-15 51,018$ 57,937$ 65,725$ 74,485$ 101,393$ Years 16-20 54,384$ 64,846$ 77,205$ 91,782$ 140,539$ Years 21-25 57,972$ 72,580$ 90,690$ 113,097$ 194,798$ Years 30-35 61,796$ 81,236$ 106,530$ 139,362$ 274,602$ Years 26-30 65,873$ 90,925$ 125,136$ 171,727$ 432,493$
Cumulative Returns, Gross (No NPV Applied)Data Point CUNY Map Tool
Anhinga Estimate
Building Footprint 9,692 9,000Project Usable Area 7,933 8,100PV System Size (kW-DC) 63.46 30.00 W/ft2 Total Footprint 6.55 3.33 W/ft2 "Usable Area" 8.00 3.70Comps NYC Avg. 3.91 3.91 BK Avg. Anhinga Analysis (1) 3.49 3.49FDNY Setbacks apply? Yes YesAll zoning M2-1 ?Empowerment Zone? No ?
Source: NYSERDA DG CHP Database
OUR PROPRIETARY ANALYSIS ENHANCES & ASSURES THE OUTCOME OF YOUR PROJECT
12
Project Returns are based on assumptions namely growth rate of the underlying commodity, all in project costs (to a lesser extent the timing of those costs in early years) and finally discount rate applied to the future
Talking Points• Relevant to “payback period”• Payback Period depends on
assumptions
Value Stream Analysis Talking Points• By convention we assume 30 year
useful equipment life• Most components are under 30 year
manufacturer warranty• Ongoing O&M costs should be as
close to $0 as possible
Capacity Dimensions
2.0% 95,053$ 67,944$ 48,950$ 35,532$ 25,977$ 2.0% 126,000$ 70,860$ 40,392$ 23,322$ 13,633$
3.0% 103,099$ 73,696$ 53,094$ 38,539$ 28,176$ 3.0% 144,320$ 81,164$ 46,265$ 26,713$ 15,615$
4.0% 111,934$ 80,011$ 57,644$ 41,842$ 30,590$ 4.0% 165,882$ 93,290$ 53,177$ 30,704$ 17,948$
5.0% 121,637$ 86,946$ 62,640$ 45,469$ 33,242$ 5.0% 191,296$ 107,582$ 61,324$ 35,408$ 20,697$
7.5% 150,285$ 107,424$ 77,393$ 56,178$ 41,071$ 7.5% 276,790$ 155,663$ 88,731$ 51,233$ 29,948$
3.0% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 13.0% 3.0% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 13.0%
2.0% 134,911$ 67,299$ 34,122$ 17,572$ 9,184$ 2.0% 139,608$ 63,271$ 29,212$ 13,727$ 6,561$
3.0% 158,964$ 79,297$ 40,206$ 20,705$ 10,822$ 3.0% 168,350$ 76,298$ 35,226$ 16,553$ 7,911$
4.0% 188,297$ 93,929$ 47,625$ 24,525$ 12,819$ 4.0% 204,426$ 92,648$ 42,774$ 20,101$ 9,607$
5.0% 224,152$ 111,815$ 56,693$ 29,195$ 15,260$ 5.0% 249,849$ 113,233$ 52,278$ 24,567$ 11,741$
7.5% 355,288$ 177,230$ 89,861$ 46,276$ 24,187$ 7.5% 441,726$ 200,194$ 92,427$ 43,434$ 20,758$
3.0% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 13.0% 3.0% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 13.0%
Cumulative Value of Cash Flows at Year 15 Cumulative Value of Cash Flows at Year 25
Cumulative Value of Cash Flows at Year 30 Cumulative Value of Cash Flows at Year 35
Com
mod
ity G
row
th
Rate
(Esc
alat
or)
Com
mod
ity G
row
th
Rate
(Esc
alat
or)
Discount Rate Discount Rate
Com
mod
ity G
row
th
Rate
(Esc
alat
or)
Discount Rate
Com
mod
ity G
row
th
Rate
(Esc
alat
or)
Discount Rate
Value Stream Analysis
13
ANHINGA EMPLOYS BEST PRACTICES TO ENSURE A SUCCESSFUL OUTCOME
Potential Solar Project Risks
Risk of Project Problems Cost Overrun (Change Order) Lack of availability of ideal hardware Delay Dispute with Contractor Subsidy Deadlines Missed
Potential Adverse Results Underperforming System Excess Maintenance Required – Downtime Financial Hurdles Not Met Payback Period Extended Project Success Jeopardized or Actual Loss
(Negative IRR) Occurs All Value Goes to Installer / Developer / Leasing
Company
System Production too Low
Net Costs too High
Value of kwHrs produced
disadvantageously split
-% IRR
Too much management attention and effort required
Anhinga Mitigation Strategy
Identify GoalsQuantify Financial ModelCompare Alternatives Aggressively Explore proven technologies
that are newly cost competitive or effective innovations that shift the value equation
Exert Leverage Throughout Process Financial Model Ask What If Contract thoroughly Maintain moral upper ground
Win as Team
VENTURE’S MANAGEMENT
14
S. Ben Smolley, Founder Professional Background
Track record of selecting excellently performing investmentsStudying the solar industry since 2005 (9 years)Integrity
REPUTABLE INNOVATOR
Background
Harvard College Venture Capital in China Lehman Brothers Winslow Management / Winslow Green Funds (sold
to Brown Advisory 2010) Sunlight General Capital
15
CONCLUSION
1
2
4
3
Your real estate is a prime candidate for solar
A solar system offers an attractive return on capital
Opportunity to transform an unused asset into a source of steady 10-20+% return, superior to other fixed income investments
The solar installation process can be complicated. Anhinga’s project management methodology reduces risk for partners and increases their ROI
CARISMA PRINTING DISCUSSION MATERIALS | NOVEMBER 2014
Supplementary Materials
17
OVERVIEW OF PROJECT PHASES
Planning Engagement Detailed Consultation
Vendor Selection and Due Diligence
Installation1 2 3 4 5
SELECTION OF COMPARABLE NYC PROJECTS
18
Selected NYC Producing Solar Project Statistics
Developer Facility Address Location Facility Type Installed Capacity (kW)
Approx Sq. Ft W/ft2
Mercury Solar Systems LADS Avenue Associates, LLC960 Alabama Ave 11207 Brooklyn, NY Office Building 341.3 100,000 3.41 Solar Energy Systems, LLC Architectural Grille 48 2nd Ave Brooklyn, NY Manufacturing 312.6 65,109 4.80 Solar Energy Systems, LLC Film and Audio Recording stage359 Kingsland Brooklyn, NY Film and Audio Recording stage282.2 114,000 2.48 Absolutely Energized Solar Electric, Inc.Sunlight Clinton Realty 744 Clinton St 11231 Brooklyn, NY Distributor 220.0 59,095 3.72 OnForce Solar RiteLite 333 Stanley Ave 11207 Brooklyn, NY Whole Sale Durable Goods172.0 48,960 3.51 Safari Energy, LLC Extra Space Storage Brooklyn312 3rd Ave 11213 Brooklyn, NY Self Storage Units 126.0 41,715 3.02 Average 3.49 Median 3.46
Bright Power Information 1948 Troutman St. Queens, NY Information 352.6 59,432 5.93 Solar Energy Systems, LLC Forest City Enterprises 87-25 Queens BLVD Elmhurst, NY Construction 319.0EnterSolar Dykes Lumber 43-01 10th St LIC 11101 Long Island City, NY Lumber Yard 196.4 Average 5.93 Median 5.93
SolarCity GAL Manufacturing Bronx, NY Manufacturing 237.1Safari Energy,LLC Extra Space Storage Bronx 2875 Edson Ave Bronx, NY Self Storage Units 189.0 43,132 4.38 Average 4.38 Median 4.38
Average 3.91 Median 3.62
Broo
klyn
Quee
nsBr
onx
NYC