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46
Analyst & Investor Update The Leading ASEAN Region Finance Company

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Analyst & Investor Update

The Leading ASEAN Region Finance Company

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DISCLAIMER

T h i s I n v e s t o r P r e s e n t a t i o n h a s b e e n p r e p a r e d b y G r o u p L e a s e P l c f o r i n v e s t o r s ,

s o l e l y f o r i n f o r m a t i o n p u r p o s e s .

T h e v i e w s e x p r e s s e d h e r e c o n t a i n s o m e i n f o r m a t i o n d e r i v e d f r o m p u b l i c l y

a v a i l a b l e s o u r c e s t h a t h a v e n o t b e e n i n d e p e n d e n t l y v e r i f i e d .

N o r e p r e s e n t a t i o n o r w a r r a n t y i s m a d e a s t o t h e a c c u r a c y, c o m p l e t e n e s s o r

r e l i a b i l i t y o f t h e i n f o r m a t i o n . A n y f o r w a r d l o o k i n g i n f o r m a t i o n i n t h i s

p r e s e n t a t i o n h a s b e e n p r e p a r e d o n t h e b a s i s o f a n u m b e r o f a s s u m p t i o n s w h i c h

m a y p r o v e t o b e i n c o r r e c t .

F i n a n c i a l n u m b e r s i f p r e s e n t e d i n o t h e r c u r r e n c i e s o t h e r t h a n T H B a r e s t r i c t l y

f o r i l l u s t r a t i v e p u r p o s e o n l y a n d b a s e d o n p r e v a i l i n g i n t e r b a n k l e n d i n g

e x c h a n g e r a t e a t t h e t i m e o f p r e s e n t a t i o n .

T h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n s h o u l d n o t b e r e l i e d u p o n a s a r e c o m m e n d a t i o n o r f o r e c a s t b y

G r o u p L e a s e P l c . N o t h i n g i n t h i s r e l e a s e s h o u l d b e c o n s t r u e d a s e i t h e r a n o f f e r

t o s e l l o r a s o l i c i t a t i o n o f a n o f f e r t o b u y o r s e l l s h a r e s i n a n y j u r i s d i c t i o n .

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AGENDA

Introduction Business Overview

Future Expansion Plans

Financial Review

Questions and Answers

1.  3

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KEY HIGHLIGHTS

E X PA N D I N G D E A L E R S H I P B A S E I N T H A I L A N D

I M P R O V I N G F I N A N C I A L P E R F O R M A N C E

• Inc reas ing number o f dea le rs in Tha i land f rom 100 in 2011 to 250 by 2013

• Net prof i t grew 66% in 2012 • Revenue is set to grow fur ther whi le funding costs are expected to s tay low • Admin expenses were a l ready spent in 2012 in preparat ion for fu ture growth

• Acqui red Group Lease Hold ings in S ingapore as a base for expansion • Star ted up a whol ly -owned subs id iary in Cambodia in March 2012 • Wi l l look at potent ia l M&A oppor tun i t ies throughout ASEAN

E X PA N D I N G T H R O U G H O U T A S E A N

H I G H U N I T G R O W T H E X P E C T E D O V E R T H E N E X T 5 Y E A R S

With in Thai land, the 100,000 uni ts is expected to double to 200,000 in three years

Cambodia is expected to increase to 300,000 un i ts wi th in the same per iod

The a im is to ach ieve 1 mi l l ion un i ts in f ive years

S T R O N G B A L A N C E S H E E T

• F inanc ia l f lex ib i l i ty a l lows GL to expand capaci ty and investments where necessary

• D/E ra t io remains decent a t 1 .19

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KEY MILESTONES

1986

1990

2004

2007

2012

Establ ished in Thai land as an automobi le h i re purchase bus iness by the Luaengrungsi fami ly

New shareholders acqui red the bus iness to sh i f t to the motorcyc le h i re purchase bus iness

GL l is ted on the Stock Exchange of Thai land

APF Group became a major shareholder represent ing 68% of to ta l issued and pa id-up capi ta l

Partnered wi th Honda to launch operat ions in Cambodia making GL the f i rs t motorcyc le leas ing company in Cambodia Acqui red Group Lease Hold ings Pte Ltd (S ingapore) to expand throughout ASEAN

2004 2012 2013

Registered capital Increased to THB 570 mill ion

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AGENDA

Introduction Business Overview

Future Expansion Plans

Financial Review

Questions and Answers

1.  6

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CATEGORYCATEGORY

GL provides HP for motorcycles in greater Bangkok & upcountry. Avg price per bike is THB 45,000

FAMILY

F-SPORT

SPORT

BUSINESS OVERVIEW

AUTOMATIC

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GL currently has 6 branches in Bangkok (headquarter), Ayutthaya, Chonburi, Rayong,

Nakorn Ratchasima & Bowin

H e a d O f f i c e , B a n g k o k

All locations are in key cit ies where they altogether represent 60% of GDP. Besides, they can serve neighboring provinces as well .

• Bangkok and v ic in i ty

• Ayut thaya

• Chonbur i

BUSINESS OVERVIEW

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• Rayong

• Nakorn Ratchas ima

• Bowin

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Growth escalating to 8.5%YoY in Jan-Feb 13

Source: Department of Land Transport

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MOTORCYCLES SALES OUTLOOK REMAINS PROMISING

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2M12

2M13

YoY

Newly registered motorcycles Growth

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SOLID GROWTH BOTH IN BANGKOK & PROVINCES

Newly registered motorcycles in Thailand

Source: Department of Land Transport

10

-30%

-15%

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% 20

02

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2M12

2M13

YoY

Bangkok Provinces Bangkok growth Provinces growth

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UNDERPINNED BY HIGHER AFFORDABILITY

•  Minimum wages have been increased significantly in 2012 and will continue into this year

•  Salaries of lower-ranking government officers and private-company staff have also been raised

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-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1Q02

3Q02

1Q03

3Q03

1Q04

3Q04

1Q05

3Q05

1Q06

3Q06

1Q07

3Q07

1Q08

3Q08

1Q09

3Q09

1Q10

3Q10

1Q11

3Q11

1Q12

3Q12

YoY

Average monthly wages / salary Growth

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BREAKDOWN OF LEASED MOTORCYCLE BY BRANDS

Source: Department of Land Transport

GL s leased motorcycles in 2012 Thailand s newly registered motorcycle in 2012

•  Proportion of GL's leased motorcycles per brand is in line with national motorcycle sales

•  Honda remains the market leader with 5 new products launched this year and targets to expand its __market share to 72% in 2013

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Honda 73%

Yamaha 26%

Kawasaki 0%

Suzuki 1%

Honda 70%

Yamaha 23%

Kawasaki 2%

Suzuki 3%

Others 2%

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AGENDA

Introduction Business Overview

Future Expansion Plans

Financial Review

Questions and Answers

1.  13

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GROWING HIGH QUALITY HP PORTFOLIO

•  Abundant room for growth both in Thailand and Cambodia

•  NPL declined following ongoing recovery from the 2011 floods

•  NPL as of Dec 2012 was 3.3% of gross loans

14

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Target

YoY THB m

Gross loans Growth

5-yr CAGR = 16% p.a.

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

0 500

1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

THB m

Gross loans NPL % NPL to gross loans % Provision to gross loans

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WHY EXPAND THROUGHOUT ASEAN?

Thailand’s age demographics are still very appealing for the motorcycle hire purchase business as the majority of the population is within the age of 20-40 years old

Thailand 2010

Thailand 2025 Thailand 2050

Thailand 1975

0-4 15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Thailand 1950

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ASEAN HAS VERY ATTRACTIVE DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURES

Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and Indonesia all still have very young populations thus implying strong growth potential for Group Lease

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Japan 1990 Thailand 2010

0-4

20-24

40-44

60-64

80-84

100+

Indonesia 2010

Cambodia 2010 Laos 2010 Vietnam 2010

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ASEAN HAS VERY ATTRACTIVE DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURES

And each of the markets will remain attractive for the next 40 years

17

Japan 1990 Indonesia 2050

Cambodia 2040 Laos 2050

Thailand 2020

Vietnam 2040

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MARKET CHARACTERISTICS

Indonesia 3r d largest motorcycle market in the world Motorcycle sales have been growing rapidly 2009 5 mi l l ion 2010 7.5 mi l l ion 2011 8 mi l l ion

Vietnam Populat ion 87.8 mi l l ion (2010) GDP 103.5 bi l l ion US$ (2010) GDP per capi ta 1,173 US$ (2010) Urban Populat ion 27.0 mi l l ion (2010)

Cambodia Populat ion 14.1 mi l l ion (2010) GDP 11.6 bi l l ion US$ (2010) GDP per capi ta 813 US$ (2010) Urban Populat ion 3.0 mi l l ion (2010) New Motorcycle Sales in 2011 = 160,000 uni ts.

Vietnam

Cambodia

Indonesia

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CAMBODIA IS GL’S FIRST ASEAN EXPANSION

Cambodia is considered by many to be high risk but GL sees the opportunity to capture a young and growing market

Source: World Bank 19

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

10,000 12,000 14,000

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

US$ m

GDP (current US$)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

US$

GDP per capita (current US$)

8 9

10 11 12 13 14 15

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

m

Population

15%

16%

17%

18%

19%

20%

21%

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

Urban population

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15 10 5 0 5 10 15 0-4

15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Cambodia 2025

10 5 0 5 10 0-4

15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Cambodia 2050

CAMBODIA IS GL’S FIRST ASEAN EXPANSION

Cambodia is a young market with strong viability towards long-term growth

20

20 10 0 10 20 0-4

15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Cambodia 1950

20 10 0 10 20 0-4

15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Cambodia 1975

20 10 0 10 20 0-4

15-19 30-34 45-49 60-64 75-79 90-94

Cambodia 2010

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GL will use its recent acquisition in Singapore, Group Lease Holdings, as the main vehicle for expansion throughout ASEAN

•  GL acquired Singaporean Group Lease Holdings Pte Ltd (GLH) on 29th March 2012 to be i ts ARFC (ASEAN Regional Finance Company) vehicle

•  GLH provides GL the f lexibi l i ty in tapping mult iple capital markets in ASEAN for funding

•  Growing numbers of populat ion and higher GDP per capita

•  ASEAN motorcycle market of 15 mil l ion units per year and is expected to increase to 20m motorbikes

•  Aim to increase overseas revenue by 8 t imes

ASEAN Regional Finance Company (ARFC)

Singapore Economic and financial infrastructure as regional hub

Thailand Highly profitable finance business know-how

Japan International deployment of know-how and capital strength

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GL HAS ALREADY ESTABLISHED GL FINANCE PLC IN CAMBODIA

•  Incorporated on 14 March 2012

•  The First and Only Financial Lease Company in Cambodia

•  Financial Leasing Business Licensed by NBC on 17 May 2012

•  GL Cambodia has signed an exclusive contract wi th Honda for 7 years to be the f i rst and only f inance company for Honda motorbikes in Cambodia

•  GL’s numbers in Cambodia are expected to reach 300,000 uni ts by 2016 given Cambodia’s t remendous growth opportuni t ies

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•  GL has 11 locations establ ished in Cambodia as of October 2012

•  Each location is located in a Honda Showroom

•  GL expects 3,000 new units f inanced monthly start ing 2013

GL HAS ALREADY ESTABLISHED GL FINANCE PLC IN CAMBODIA

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HONDA SHOWROOM AT MONIVONG

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HONDA SHOWROOM AT AIRPORT

1.  25

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HONDA SOK HY

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HONDA LY KONG

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HONDA CHING SUNG HEY

1.  28

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HONDA VAN SEU HENG

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HONDA POK PHALRA

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HONDA HENG SAMBO

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HONDA CHHAY LY

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HONDA CHHOEM NEANG

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HONDA CHEA SAMBO

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GRAND OPENING AND PRESS CONFERENCE

1.  35

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GLF SUPPORTS FOOTBALL CLINIC

1.  36

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GLF SUPPORTS CAMBODIAN TENNIS

1.  37

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AGENDA

Introduction Business Overview

Future Expansion Plans

Financial Review

Questions and Answers

1.  38

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FINANCIAL SUMMARY

•  Achieved 64% net profit growth in 2012

•  Growth was driven by both higher revenue and lower costs despite a massive increase in admin expenses to support future __expansion and the increase in minimum wages

39

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

THB m

Revenue Services & admin exp As % of revenue (RHS)

(THB '000) 2012 2011 %YoY 4Q12 4Q11 %YoY 3Q12 %QoQ

Hire purchase interest income 837,221 824,154 1.6% 243,010 183,180 32.7% 220,108 10.4% Finance cost (63,004) (74,658) -15.6% (22,615) (16,350) 38.3% (16,233) 39.3% Net interest income 774,217 749,496 3.3% 220,395 166,830 32.1% 203,875 8.1% Bad debts and doubtful accounts (45,253) (205,362) -78.0% (5,120) (87,293) -94.1% (8,591) -40.4% Net interest income after provision 728,964 544,135 34.0% 215,275 79,538 170.7% 195,284 10.2%

Other income 115,081 67,109 71.5% 29,067 13,788 110.8% 36,551 -20.5% Services and administrative expenses (248,457) (136,289) 82.3% (70,818) (24,506) 189.0% (70,686) 0.2% Loss on disposals of foreclosed assets (140,251) (132,599) 5.8% (37,120) (29,308) 26.7% (29,688) 25.0% EBT 455,337 342,355 33.0% 136,404 39,511 245.2% 131,461 3.8% Income tax expenses (102,094) (127,278) -19.8% (28,695) (36,431) -21.2% (30,602) -6.2% Net profit 353,243 215,078 64.2% 107,709 3,081 3396.4% 100,859 6.8%

EPS (THB) 5.13 3.12 64.2% 1.56 0.05 2890.0% 1.46 6.9%

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REVENUE AND PROFIT GROWTH

•  Changes in allowance for doubtful accounts contributed to an increase in net profits of THB 28.7 mn. Excluding these changes, net profit would still have increased 51% in 2012.

•  Revenue has continuously been on the rise with HP interest income achieving a 5-year CAGR of 11% per annum.

40

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

THB m HP interest income

HP interest income

0 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

THB m Net profit

Net profit

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ACCOUNTING CHANGES

•  Accounting adjustments made to better accurately reflect GL's current business circumstances

•  Net impact is a decrease in allowance of doubtful accounts by THB35.9m, a decrease in deferred tax by THB7.2m, and an increase in net profit by THB28.7m

Outstanding AR as of 31 Dec 12 (Bt)

Allowance for doubtful accounts

Previous New Change

% Bt % Bt Bt

Current 2,604,418,221 1 26,044,184 1 26,044,182 (2)

Overdue 1 month 185,488,778 1 1,854,888 10 18,548,878 16,693,990

Overdue 2-3 months 196,973,280 2 3,939,465 20 39,394,656 35,455,191

Overdue 4-6 months 117,784,030 100 117,784,030 40 47,108,942 (70,675,089)

Overdue 7-9 months 37,709,295 100 37,709,295 60 22,616,795 (15,092,499)

Overdue 10-12 months 10,571,186 100 10,571,186 80 8,441,073 (2,130,113)

Overdue > 12 months 12,763,960 100 12,529,151 100 12,388,856 (140,295)

Total 3,165,708,750 210,432,199 174,543,382 (35,888,817)

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- Allowance for doubtful accounts

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HP PORTFOLIO RECEIVABLES

Gross Loans Net Loans

* As of 31 Dec 2012

42

94%

4% 2%

Current - 3 months Overdue 4-6 months Overdue >6 months

•  This demonstrates GL's ability to acquire good quality customers and maintain a high collection ratio

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LOW FUNDING COSTS & HIGH RETURNS

•  Optimizing balance sheet to maximize returns

•  GL's low debt to equity ratio will allow the company to __continue to expand further

•  Larger scale and stronger credibilityresult in lower costs of debt

•  GL's improving financial performance __has allowed it to attain lower cost of __debt

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3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

0 250 500 750

1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Total debt Cost of fund MLR

THB m

Cost of debt

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0

15%

17%

19%

21%

23%

25%

27%

29%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ROE D/E (RHS)

x

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CONSISTENT DIVIDEND PAYMENTS

•  Dividend payout policy is not less than 40% of net profit

•  Past actual dividend payouts have been greater than 60% over the past 6 years

•  2012 Payout equates to 70% of net profit

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Actual payout Payout policy

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RECENT CAPITAL DEVELOPMENTS

9,248,828 units of GL-W2 exercised on the

2nd exercise date

• 9,248,828 ordinary shares at THB 35

• Total = THB 323.71 m

12,967,439 units of GL-W2 remaining • Ratio = 1:1 at THB 35

Increased registered capital from

THB 570 m to THB 675 m • To reserve for stock dividend payment, warrant exercise

ratio adjustment, and for the purpose of general mandate

(right offering)

Announced an interim dividend (3Q12) of THB 1.00/share (XD: 29 Mar 13)

Proposing a change of par value

from THB 5.0 to THB 0.5/share

Proposing a final dividend of THB 1.020/share (XD: 9 May 13)

Stock dividend:

ratio = 5.45 : 1 equivalent to THB 0.9180/share at THB 5 par or THB 0.0918/share at THB 0.5 par

Cash dividend:

THB 0.1020/share at THB 5 par or THB 0.0102/share at THB 0.5 par

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AGENDA

Introduction Business Overview

Future Expansion Plans

Financial Review

Questions and Answers

1.  46