An IHS Report March 2014 - API /media/Files/Policy/Jobs/IHS... · PDF file...
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March 2014
Minority and Female Employment in the Oil & Gas and Petrochemical Industries
An IHS Report
Prepared for:
Minority and Female Employment in the Oil & Gas and Petrochemical Industries
Prepared for:
American Petroleum Institute
By: IHS Global Inc.
1150 Connecticut Ave, NW, Suite 401 Washington, D.C. 20036
March 2014
CONTACT INFORMATION JAMES GILLULA Managing Director, Consulting Services 1150 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 401 Washington, DC 20036 +1 202-‐481-‐9217 james.gillula@ihs.com RICHARD FULLENBAUM Vice President, Consulting Services 1150 Connecticut Ave., NW Suite 401 Washington, DC 20036 +1 202-‐481-‐9212 richard.fullenbaum@ihsglobalinsight.com
TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................... 1 TOP OCCUPATIONS IN THE OIL & GAS AND RELATED INDUSTRIES ...................... 5 I. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................... 6 II. SOURCES AND METHODS OF EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES .................................. 8
DEFINITION OF INDUSTRY SEGMENTS ............................................................................................. 8 1. Upstream Oil and Gas Industry ......................................................................................................... 9 2. Midstream Oil and Gas Industry ....................................................................................................... 9 3. Downstream Oil and Gas Industry .................................................................................................. 10 4. Petrochemical Industry .................................................................................................................... 10 5. Capital Investment in the Petrochemical Industry ........................................................................... 11 6. Capital Investment in Oil & Gas Industry Transportation and Storage Infrastructure .................. 12
OCCUPATIONAL CATEGORIES ...................................................................................................... 13 TRENDS IN MINORITY EMPLOYMENT GROWTH .............................................................................. 14 TRENDS IN FEMALE EMPLOYMENT ............................................................................................... 14 REPLACEMENT EMPLOYMENT ...................................................................................................... 17 DEFINITION OF REGIONS ............................................................................................................. 17
III. MINORITY AND FEMALE EMPLOYMENT IN THE OIL & GAS AND PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES IN 2010 ..................................................................... 19
EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY ........................................................................................................ 19 EMPLOYMENT BY GENDER .......................................................................................................... 20 EMPLOYMENT BY OCCUPATION .................................................................................................... 21 EMPLOYMENT BY REGION ........................................................................................................... 26
IV. ESTIMATED MINORITY AND FEMALE JOB GAINS TO 2030 IN THE OIL & GAS AND PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES .......................................................................... 30
OIL & GAS AND PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY OPERATIONS ............................................................. 32 REPLACEMENT EMPLOYMENT ...................................................................................................... 39 BASELINE PLUS REPLACEMENT EMPLOYMENT .............................................................................. 41 EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT ......................................................................... 43 PRO-DEVELOPMENT POLICY FOR THE UPSTREAM OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY ..................................... 46
V. SUMMARY .................................................................................................................. 47 APPENDIX A. UPSTREAM OIL & GAS INDUSTRY ..................................................... 49 APPENDIX B. MIDSTREAM OIL & GAS INDUSTRY ................................................... 56 APPENDIX C. DOWNSTREAM OIL & GAS INDUSTRY .............................................. 59 APPENDIX D. PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY ............................................................. 62 APPENDIX E. CAPITAL INVESTMENT IN OIL & GAS INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE ....................................................................................................... 65 APPENDIX F. CAPITAL INVESTMENT IN THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY ........ 68 APPENDIX G. SELECTED OCCUPATION DESCRIPTIONS ....................................... 70
DISCLAIMER: THE EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS ESTIMATED HEREIN ARE BASED UPON PUBLIC DATA AND IHS GLOBAL INSIGHT DATA AND MODELS AND CONFORM TO ESTABLISHED METHODOLOGY CONSISTENT
WITH STANDARD INDUSTRY PRACTICES. ALL RESULTS AND OBSERVATIONS ARE BASED UPON INFORMATION AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT. TO THE EXTENT THAT ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE OR THE FACTORS UPON WHICH OUR ANALYSIS IS BASED CHANGE, OUR RESULTS COULD BE SUBSEQUENTLY AFFECTED. NO EXPRESS GUARANTEE OF EMPLOYMENT, EITHER DIRECT OR INDIRECT, IS IMPLIED BY THESE FORECASTS.
1
Executive Summary
This report examines the employment outlook of African American and Hispanic workers and employment by gender in the oil and natural gas and petrochemical industries over the period 2010 to 2030. Four types of job opportunities are considered:
• New jobs that are projected to be created under a baseline forecast of the expected growth of these industries,
• Job opportunities that will likely be created due to the need to replace workers who retire or otherwise leave these industries over this period,
• Jobs created by projected capital investment in the transportation and storage infrastructure of the oil & gas industry and in the petrochemical industry, and
• Jobs that would be created under a scenario for more accelerated development of the upstream oil and gas industry.
The report first presents data on employment by occupation, race/ethnicity, gender, and region in the upstream, midstream and downstream segments of the oil & gas industry and in the petrochemical industry in the base year of our forecast period (2010).1 Principal findings of this analysis are as follows:
• The three segments of the U.S. oil & gas industry and the petrochemical industry together employed a total of 1.2 million people in 2010.
• The upstream segment, with employment of 721 thousand, accounted for 60% of the total, followed by the downstream segment with 23%.
• African American workers held 98 thousand jobs in these industries in 2010, accounting