American Foreign Policy and East Asia

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American Foreign Policy and East Asia Spring, 2014

description

American Foreign Policy and East Asia. Spring, 2014. (North)East Asia ?. Relationship. Rising China?. Energy issues?. Trade Deficit?. Human Rights?. Relationship. After World War ‖. Bilateral Approach (hub-and-spoke) The U.S. & Japan (1951), South Korea(1953), - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of American Foreign Policy and East Asia

Page 1: American  Foreign Policy and East Asia

American Foreign Policy and East

Asia

Spring, 2014

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(North)East Asia?

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Relationship

Trade Deficit?Rising China?

Energy issues?

Human

Rights?

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Relationship

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After World War ‖

Bilateral Approach(hub-and-spoke)

The U.S. &

Japan (1951), South Korea(1953),

Nationalist China (1954)

NATO

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Why the bilateral approach?

• Relative Size of the Regional Actors• Geographic Characteristics • State-level Factors: Japan’s Characteristics

• Diversity• Institutional Path-dependence

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Relationship

China-Taiwan-US

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China-Taiwan-US• Current Relationship between China and

Taiwan? Couldn’t be better!

- In February, the first official direct talk since 1949.- A possible summit in November?

- Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (June, 2013)

- Allowing Chinese tourists to visit Taiwan - Direct flight between China and Taiwan

Since Ma, Ying-Jeou became the president in 2008

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China-Taiwan-US• Trade: (in hundred million dollars)* Year Total Export to

TaiwanImport fromTaiwan

2007 1245 235 10102008 1292 259 10332009 1062 205 8572010 1454 297 11572011 1600 351 12492012 1690 368 13222013 1972 406 1566

*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

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China-Taiwan-US• People visiting each other’s territory (in ten thousand)*

Year Taiwanese toMainland

Chinese to Taiwan

Total

2007 463 23 4862008 437 28 4652009 448 94 5422010 514 166 6802011 526 184 7102012 534 263 7972013 516 292 808

*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

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China-Taiwan-US

• 1950: During Korean War, Deployment of The Seventh Fleet • 1954-55/1958: The First and Second Taiwan Strait Crisis • 1979: U.S. Recognition of The PRC & The Taiwan Relations Act• 1995-1996: The Third Taiwan Strait Crisis• 2005: China passed the Anti-Secession Law

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1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis

The Trigger--U.S. approval of a visa for Lee Teng-hui to visit the United States (May, 22, 1995)

What happened:Series of Missile Tests by China and Taiwan

China: July, 1995 / August, 1995 /March, 1996

Taiwan: September, 1995

The U.S. :Deployment of two carrier battle groups

March, 1996

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1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis

• Taiwanese Domestic Politics

Taiwan

ChinaUS

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Relationship

China-Japan-US

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China-Japan-US• Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ)• BBC Interview

From CNN

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Relationship

Japan-Korea-US

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Japan-Korea-US

• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes

/West Sea

Dokdo / Takeshima

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Japan-Korea-US

• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes

2) History : Yasukuni shrine, Comfort women,

and history textbook.

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Relationship

North Korea-US-Others

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North Korea

-1st Nuclear Crisis (1993-1994)

North Korea Threatened to

withdraw from NPT

Carter’s mediation

Agreed Framework

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North Korea-2nd Nuclear Crisis (2002-)

October, 2002: North Korea admitted that

it had a secret nuclear weapons program

August, 2003: Six-Party Talk

October, 2006: North Korea tested its first

nuclear weapons

May, 2009: the second test

Feb, 2013: the third test

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North Korea• Divergent Interests?

Source: Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks by John S. Park

Issue U.S. PRC Japan ROK

High priority

Nuclear Proliferation

Refugees

Ballistic Missiles

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North Korea

• Change of Leadership in North Korea

• Change in Chinese perception of North Korea?

• Recent events:

- Unofficial meeting between North Korea and Japan regarding the investigation on kidnapped Japanese

-North Korea threatened to conduct another nuclear test

-Efforts to resume six-party talks

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Conclusion

• Pivot to Asia?• Complicated relationship between states in

East Asia• Pay attention to news this week! 23-25: Japan 25-26: Korea (Malaysia / Philippines)