Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in...

22
Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering) Princeton University Minneapolis' Bus 2.0 and its Implications for New Jersey Committee for a Smart New Jersey The New Jersey State Chapter of ITS America 2012 Annual Symposium December 14, 2012

Transcript of Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in...

Page 1: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Alain L. KornhauserProfessor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering

Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering)

Princeton University

Minneapolis' Bus 2.0 and its

Implications for New Jersey

Committee for a Smart New Jersey

The New Jersey State Chapter of ITS America2012 Annual Symposium

December 14, 2012

Page 3: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Real Evolution Since the DARPA Challenges..

From the Stanford team…

Feet offHands off

Google Team: ~50 People ~ $15M/yr (chump change)

Page 4: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

They’re Addressing the fact that…

We really don’t want to drive…

Page 6: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Real Evolution by the Auto Makers

• Self-parking systems video (1st version Toyota ’03; US ‘06) MB Park Assist

• Lane Departure Warning Systems – Continental LWDS; Bendix AutoVue LDWS; Ford Driver Alert; Bosch Lane Departure and Lane Keeping Support; Continental Driver Assistance Systems

• Frontal Impact Warning Systems Volvo video

• MBML350 Safety Features *; Mercedes Benz ; MB Lane Keeping Assistance; MB Active Lane Keeping Assist YouTube*• MB Attention Assist YouTube;

Page 7: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Evolution by Specialized Road Vehicles: Snow Plows

• Minnesota: Snowplow Technology Integration for Driver Assistance http://www.cts.umn.edu/Research/ProjectDetail.html?id=1999005

• Alaska: Smart Snowplows http://www.govtech.com/e-government/Smart-Snowplows-Keep-the-Highway-to-Valdez-Alaska-Clear.html

• California: Filed-Ready GPS-Based Guidance Methods and Systems for Winter Maintenance Vehicles http://ahmct.ucdavis.edu/pdf/UCD-ARR-09-09-30-03.pdf

Page 8: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Evolution in Transit Buses

http://www.bus2.me.umn.edu/

Objective: Efficient Utilization of Narrow Bus-Only Shoulders

Methodology: Driver Assistance via • Virtual Images,• Haptic Feedback, and • Tactile Feedback

(It Knows Enough to Steer the Bus, but doesn’t)

Page 9: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Bus 2.0: Initial Demonstration ofTransit-based Driver Assistance

Fleet of 10 Gillig low floor busesMorning and evening express services22 mile (one-way) travel distanceReliable travel times in all weather and traffic conditions

Page 10: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Bus 2.0: Transit-based Driver AssistanceHow Do They Do It?

Page 11: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Bus 2.0: Transit-based Driver AssistanceHow Do They Do It?

It Just Works!

Page 12: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!

• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ Port Authority Bus Terminal

– 223 Departure Gates– Readily Accommodates 700 Buses/hr

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 13: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!

• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus Terminal• Direct Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the

Lincoln Tunnel

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 14: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!

• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus Terminal• Direct Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln

Tunnel• 3+ HOV Lanes on the NJ Turnpike that are, by

default, essentially bus-only

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 15: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System!

• It Consists of:• Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus Terminal• Direct Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln

Tunnel• 3+ HOV Lanes on the NJ Turnpike that are, by default, essentially bus-only • Many Strategically Located Park&Ride Lots

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 16: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Pieces are Connected by:• “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane

(XBL)– 2.5 miles

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 17: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Pieces are Connected by:• “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane

(XBL)– Lane Segregation is by Removable Plastic Peg– Yet exceedingly Safe

» 3 (?) accidents in 41 years, no fatalities.

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 18: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Pieces are Connected by:• “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane

(XBL Movie)– Daily (6am->10am): 1,800 Buses; 65,000 pax– Peak Hour: 700 Buses; 35,000 pax– Peak Hour: At Capacity!

» Physical Driver Limit» Av. 5 sec. headway

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 19: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

– Additional Demand Exists for “BRT 2 NYC”– How to increase capacity of XBL?

• “Take a 2nd Lane”?– Political suicide!

• Widen the Viaduct and Helix?– Very expensive/disruptive

• How about Driver Assistance?– Extend Bus 2.0 Technology

Improving The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 20: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Go Beyond Bus 2.0:– add Intelligent Cruise Control with Lane Assist to the

2,000 buses…• e.g. Daimler Benz Distronic Plus with Traffic Jam Assist• even at an incremental $100,000/bus this is just $200M

• Could achieve sustained 3.0 second headways– Increases practical throughput by 50%

• from 700 -> 1,000 buses/hr; 35,000 -> 50,000 pax/hr

– Increased passenger capacity comparable to what would have been provided by $10B ARC rail tunnel

• Institutionally manageable:– All Express Buses are leased for 1$/yr from PANY&NJ– Facilities (XBL, LT, PABT) are controlled by PANY&NJ DoT

• Ideal test facility available: – Ft. Monmouth

Improving The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 21: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

• Concept Not New:

• Concept Makes Even More Sense Now!

Improving The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Page 22: Alain L. Kornhauser Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering Director, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous.

Thank You