Alabama Graphite Corp. - Crystal Equity...
Transcript of Alabama Graphite Corp. - Crystal Equity...
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Please read the important disclosures on page 11 of this report.
CSPG: TV CSPGF: OTC 1AG: FWB
August 22, 2017 Update Report
Alabama Graphite Corp.
Alabama Graphite Corporation (AGC) is an aspiring graphite materials
company with a vertically integrated business model to mine, process
and market high value-added graphite. AGC has developed a proprietary
process to upgrade and purify graphite materials that command superior
selling prices in the nuclear, defense and battery markets. The primary
graphite product Coated Spherical Purified Graphite and will be trade-
marked ULTRACSPG.
Clearing Hurdles for Commercial Stage
In July 2017, the Company took an important step toward commercial
stage by commissioning a final feasibility study the could confirm the
economic viability of its proposed mine and secondary processing plant.
Permits for additional trenching and drilling tests has already been re-
ceived. The feasibility study is expected to require 8 to 10 months.
The Company has also engaged Thomson Engineering to supervise envi-
ronmental permits required in Alabama to begin commercial production.
Environmental impact of AGC’s graphite mining and processing is ex-
pected to be modest. Coosa graphite project requires surfacing mining
techniques that involve removal of overburden and limited excavation.
AGC’s proprietary process for refining the Coosa graphite requires is a
low-temperature procedure that requires no toxic chemicals.
Successful Product Testing
A series of laboratory tests of AGC’s
CPSG material as well as initial testing by
prospective customers indicate that
AGC’s proprietary process delivers a
graphite material suitable for lithium ion
batteries. Tests conducted in early 2017,
confirm AGC has a achieved a purity level
of 99.99997% carbon by weight.
Successful testing has left the Company
with a backlog of requests from prospective customers for additional
product samples to be used in electrochemical testing and performance
verification. Earlier in 2017, the Company laid out plans to produce a
stockpile of 120 kilograms its primary CSPG and 35 kilograms of Purified
Micronized Graphite, a by-product of the CSPG process.
A second pilot plant is planned to support production of the stockpile as
well as completion of final feasibility study.
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS MARKET DATA
Price: $0.10 (8/21/17)
52 Wk Hi-Lo: $0.17 - $0.09
Ave. Volume: 500K
Short Interest: <1%
Beta: NA
All Market Data in USD$
VALUATION
Price/Sales: na
Price/CFO: neg
Price/EPS: neg
Price/Book Value: 2.8 X
Based on TTM ending 5/31/17
Consensus EPS FY2017: NA
Forward PE: NA
Consensus EPS FY2018: NA
Forward PE: NA
EQUITY SECURITIES
Common Shares Out: 146.4 M
Insiders: 4.5%
Float: 139.8 M
Institutional: 1.0%
5% Holders: na
Warrants and
Options Outstanding: 45.2 M
As of 7/31/17
Source: Company Reports and
Crystal Equity Research estimates
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INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Positives
Growing demand for high-purity graphite intended for lithium-ion
batteries and other advanced technology applications in military and
aerospace industries
Exclusive ownership of previously proven natural flake graphite re-
source in Alabama; potentially first domestic U.S. graphite producer
Experienced management team with successful track record in min-
eral resource development and industrial materials production
Positive preliminary economic assessment of primary mining and
secondary processing of high-purity graphite material based on low
capital requirements and economical operating structure
Consistently positive tests of graphite material product confirming
99.9999% ultra high-purity required for battery-grade applications
Progress toward milestones needed for commercial operation, in-
cluding feasibility study and environmental permitting
Negatives
Numerous competitors to supply high-purity graphite for advanced
applications with numerous new declarations for new graphite mines
Developmental stage company with no historic operations or reve-
nue and expectations for continued net losses in near-term
Limited financial resources and significant capital requirements to
establish mining and processing operations
Additional potentially dilutive issuance of equity or use of leverage
may be needed to finance strategic growth plan
Unseasoned security with modest trading volume and wide bid-ask
spreads that could lead to immediate loss of capital
OUTLOOK
We believe investors may be
overlooking the merits of Ala-
bama Graphite’s strategic po-
sition. As the only domestic
U.S. producer of a critical
material, AGC is presented
with the possibility of signifi-
cant demand for its high-
valued added graphite mate-
rials.
Execution risk is often a fac-
tor in early stage companies.
We believe the management
team’s lengthy hands-on ex-
perience in graphite resource
development and materials
processing has been key to
originating and perfecting the
Company’s proprietary refine-
ment process. The steady
march forward with a feasibil-
ity study, environmental per-
mitting and customer testing
also signals management’s
ability to successfully execute
on AGC’s strategic plan.
We are encouraged by the
Company’s successful capital
raise in May 2017. Granted
the Company will need addi-
tional capital to reach com-
mercial stage. However, it
appears investors have be-
come more receptive to the
graphite materials story in
recent months, making it
possible to achieve more fa-
vorable valuation levels.
In our view, AGC’s stock is
undervalued and is an inter-
esting target for risk tolerant
investors with an interest in
materials technology, re-
source commodities or the
renewable energy industry.
STOCK CHART
Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
Source: Toronto Venture Exchange in Canadian Dollars
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Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
Coosa Property - Coosa
County, Alabama - 41,535
acres under renewable 5-year
lease
Chestnut Creek Property -
Chilton County, Alabama -
1,160 acres under 5-year re-
newable lease
Bama Property - Chilton
County, Alabama - 200 acres
under 5-year renewable lease
RESOURCE ASSETS
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Alabama Graphite Corporation (AGC) is a developer of graphite re-
sources with plans to produce ultra-high-purity graphite material using
a cost effective, environmentally-friendly process built on the Com-
pany’s proprietary knowhow. AGC has exclusive control of a qualified
graphite feedstock resource located in Coosa County, Alabama.
AGC plans to mine the flake graphite and process it into spherical
graphite material suitable for use in lithium ion batteries. Recent tests
of graphite sourced from the Coosa site and purified with the AGC proc-
ess achieved 99.99997% carbon by weight.
High-value Added Products
High-purity, spherical graphite commands higher selling prices, poten-
tially offering greater profit margins and more ample returns on capital
investment. Benchmark Minerals Intelligence, an industry research
firm, reports that coated, spheronized purified graphite like the Com-
pany’s CSPG is priced in a range of US$10,000 to US$12,000 per met-
ric ton. Micronized graphite selling prices were near US$7,000 per
metric ton. AGC’s ’process further’ business model should make it pos-
sible for the Company to capture more value in the supply chain than
the typical graphite concentrate producer.
Domestic Supplier of Critical Military Material
As the exclusive domestic producer in the United States, the Company
would command a strong competitive position. The DOD has declared
graphite a critical material for military and defense use. Graphite has
taken on more strategic value as the country shifts to fossil fuel alter-
natives such as electric power stored in high-capacity lithium ion bat-
teries. DOD leaders are keen to support domestic producers to avoid
reliance of foreign suppliers.
Prospective customers have begun sampling what the Company calls
‘Coated Spherical Purified Graphite’ or CSPG. Particular interest is ap-
parently coming from manufacturers of lithium-ion batteries. In early
May 2017, Physical Sciences, an approved government contractor, de-
clared CSPG a “candidate for use in Department of Defense and De-
partment of Energy funded projects.” Physical Sciences is among a
dozen potential customers receiving samples from AGC.
Flake Size Does Not Matter
Conventional wisdom in the graphite materials industry is that the lar-
ger the natural graphite flake, the higher the purity or the greater the
intensity of carbon content in the untreated graphite. There are nu-
merous industry rankings of graphite development projects by flake
measures. For AGC, flake dimensions are irrelevant.
It is costly to convert large flakes into smaller particles needed for ultra
-high purity graphite material suitable for the lucrative battery market.
AGC management is side-stepping the issue of flake size and avoiding
excess costs through its proprietary secondary process. The AGC proc-
ess can be applied to all flake sizes, but the smaller flake size from the
Coosa project is particularly suitable AGC’s unique methods.
Previously exploited high-
quality flake graphite asset
Extraction through low-cost
surface mining method
Proprietary, low-cost graphite
purification process
Low-cost standard mining and
process equipment require-
ments
Supportive community with
well-qualified labor pool
Availability of water, natural
gas and electrical inputs re-
quired for processing steps
Access to market through well
maintained roads, ports
FOUNDATION
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In July 2017, Alabama Graphite commissioned a feasibility study for its
initial graphite project located in Coosa County, Alabama. The study
will determine whether the Company’s plan is economically feasible to
produce coated spherical graphite from graphitic material in the Coosa
project. An experienced independent engineering firm, AGP Mining
Consultants, has been chosen to complete the study.
AGP engineers are already familiar with the project, having completed a
preliminary feasibility study in 2015. Now additional trenching and
drilling will be completed to retrieve more graphite samples. The new
study will put a finer point on measures of the mineral resource to cal-
culate the size of the indicated mineral resource.
Investors who are well schooled in the mining industry will already be
familiar with the typical feasibility study steps noted below. However,
the study for the Coosa project will differ significantly from most such
studies in the graphite industry. The scope of study for the Coosa pro-
ject will include an analysis of AGCs proprietary secondary processing
steps. After the usually crushing, grinding and flotation work that all
graphite companies complete to produce graphite concentrate, AGC will
refine and purify its Coosa graphite. Those secondary processing steps
include purification, micronization, spheronization, and coating.
The feasibility study will include a materials flow sheet for both primary
and secondary processing steps. Additionally, the cost estimation and
financial evaluation will include the costs and expenses for all steps and
use selling prices for the upgraded and refined materials the Company
plans to sell under the names CSPG, PMG, EXDG and DEXDG. We note
that other graphite developers often tout the revenue opportunity in
battery grade graphite material but fail to include in estimates the full
costs required for in-house or contracted processing.
EXPANDED FEASIBILITY STUDY
Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
FEASIBILITY STUDY STEPS
Geology and Resource - drilling and sampling
Mine Design and Mineable Reserve - most economic resource exploitation
Metallurgy and Process Facilities - selection of most representative mate-
rials samples and development of materials flow sheet for mining, primary
processing and AGC’s proprietary secondary processing
Tailings Disposal - plans for disposal of left over materials
Infrastructure Development - plant buildings, access roads
Power Supply - total power required and cost
Water Supply - water demand, sources and cost
Environmental Impact - clearance by environment authorities
Cost Estimation - capital and operating costs
Financial Evaluation - costs and expenses weighed against revenue
Sensitivity Analysis - impact of changes in selling prices and costs
Coated Spherical Purified Graphite (CSPG)
Purity: 99.9999% wt% C
Conductivity Enhanced Graphite
Purified Micronized Graphite
(PMG)
Expanded Graphite (EXDG)
Delaminated Expanded Graph-
ite (DEXDG)
Battery components
Fuel cell components
Defense technology
Aerospace electronics
Nuclear reactor components
TARGET MARKETS
PLANNED PRODUCTS
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Soft and slippery
Nontoxic with metallic luster
Heat resistant, slows neu-
trons
Good conductor of electricity
Resistant to chemicals
GRAPHITE PROPERTIES
Technology news flow has been dominated in recent months by succes-
sive announcements of plans for large lithium ion battery manufacturing
plants. Dubbed a ‘gigafactory’, at least ten new lithium ion battery
plants were announced in the first six months of 2017. Tesla, Inc.
(TSLA: Nasdaq), which originated the idea, is already well along in
building its first gigafactory in Nevada. When completed it will have the
largest footprint of any manufacturing facility in the world. Now Tesla’s
CEO Elon Musk has suggested Tesla may build as many as four addi-
tional battery plants. As consequence global battery-making capacity is
expected to more than double by 2021, reaching 278 gigawatt hours per
year. This compares to a current capacity just over 100 gigawatt-hours.
Selection of gigafactory announcements in first half 2017:
Daimler Chrysler’s Accumotive announced it will expand its current
production capacity of 80,000 lithium-ion battery units to 320,000
units per year.
Boston Energy and Innovation has assembled a team for its gigafac-
tory, including graphite resource developer Magnis Resources. The
group plans a factory in New York with a 15 gigawatt hour capacity
and may team up with Eastman Kodak for another plant of a similar
size in Queensland, Australia.
Energy Absolute is planning a new factory in Thailand with initial ca-
pacity for 1-gigawatt hour per year followed by expansion to 50 gi-
gawatt hours by 2020.
Energy Renaissance revealed plans for a one gigawatt-hour factory
near Darwin in Australia’s Northern Territory.
Most of the new battery production capacity is expected to be soaked up
by demand for electric car batteries. Along with added capacity, battery
makers are expected to achieve critical cost reductions through econo-
mies of scale. According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance, the current
average price per kilowatt hour is near US$275. Lithium ion attery
prices are expected to fall to as low as US$75 per kilowatt hour by
2030. The efficiencies that battery producers deliver to the electric ve-
hicle supply chain will likely accelerate adoption of vehicle electrification.
GIGAFACTORY FEVER
Page 5
Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
Electric vehicle adoption us-
ing lithium ion batteries with
high graphite content
Expanding use of graphite in
fuel cells
Adoption of nuclear reactor
design with high-purity
graphite in ‘pebble-bed’
New applications for graphite
in defense technology using
advanced metal allows
Intensifying applications in
wind energy technology
Increasing use of graphite in
electronic devices
GROWTH DRIVERS
Source: Heitkamp & Thumann Group, contractor to Tesla, Inc.
Tesla Gigafactory Production Floor
BATTERY GRAPHITE
Large electric vehicle batter-
ies require as much as 25
kilograms (55 pounds) of
graphite material for the an-
ode battery component. An-
ode materials need to have
excellent porosity and con-
ductivity, which is why
graphite is the go-to mate-
rial used by battery produc-
ers. Graphite is also com-
patible with common cath-
ode materials. The anode
material has to be durable
for good length of use and
light weight to give end-
users more design flexibility.
Low cost is another factor
that makes graphite popular
for batteries.
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Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
GRAPHITE MARKET GROWTH
Graphite selling price developments
may have helped boost the invest-
ment case of natural flake graphite
resource developers around the
world. As noted on page 7 of this
report, several graphite developers
have been successful in raising capi-
tal. In May 2017, Great Lakes
Graphite raised CDN$177,000 at
CDN$0.08 per share through the
sale of 2.2 million shares. Although
the actions of Alabama Graphite are
not included on the list, in the same
month AGC raised CDN$1.1 million
(US$965,000) through the sale of
8.8 million stock-warrant units.
Following news of higher graphite
selling prices it appears investors are
becoming more receptive to the
graphite story. In early August
2017, SRG Graphite raised CDN$3.0
million and Focus Graphite raised the
first CDN$2.9 million of a planned
CDN$5.0 million private placement.
Great Lakes Graphite also came back
to the capital markets with a much
larger offering of 4.0 million equity
units for CDN$2.0 million.
Even early-stage resource developer
Global Li-Ion Graphite found a
friendly reception for its Chedic pro-
ject near Carson City, Nevada. Its
proximity to Tesla’s gigafactory most
likely added embellishment to an
otherwise highly speculative story.
Nouveau Monde Graphite appears
encouraged by the warm breezes
coming off the capital markets. In
early August 2017, Nouveau an-
nounced plans for a CDN$10 million
private placement of common stock
and warrants at CDN$0.30 per
share. Scheduled to close in Sep-
tember 2017, the proceeds will sup-
port development of the company’s
Matawinie graphite mine.
In April 2017, Allied Market Research released a report predict-
ing US$18.8 billion market value for graphite industry by 2022,
implying compound annual growth near 5.4%. Industry growth
predictions appear to be driven largely by new demand from the
lithium ion battery market. Benchmark Minerals Intelligence, an
industry research firm, recently issued new estimates of de-
mand for graphite for lithium ion batteries at 230,000 metric
tons by 2020, compared to current demand near 130,000 metric
tons.
CAPITAL MARKET SENTIMENT
GRAPHITE PRICING TRENDS
Graphite prices appear to be firming up mid-year 2017. Devel-
opments in the China graphite market have been favorable
given the dominance of China in the global graphite market.
Supply of natural flake graphite from China continues to be con-
strained, but selling prices are rebounding and exports are up
year-over-year. The encouraging news appears to be the result
of a let up in environmental inspections that had been restrict-
ing mining activity and suppressing prices. The China central
government also cancelled an export tax applied to flake graph-
ite concentrate. Average prices were $632.00 per metric ton in
June 2017, which was lower compared to last year but higher
than the previous month. Concentrate price changes typically
filter through value-added derivative graphite over time.
In July 2017, Benchmark Minerals Intelligence, an industry re-
search firm, reported that coated, spheronized purified graphite
was selling for US$10,000 to US$12,000 per metric ton. Mi-
cronized graphite pricing was near US$7,000 per metric ton.
Prices appeared to have firmed up slightly in recent months as
China has worked through its inventory.
The next shoe to drop for China
as the dominant graphite pro-
ducer is an anticipated environ-
mental levy. China production
may remain constrained as min-
ers must invest to clean up op-
erations or pay an expensive
tax. The new pollution tax is
expected to come into effect on
January 1, 2018.
We note that while the export duty applied to only flake graphite
concentrate and not to the value-added derivatives such as
spherical graphite, the environmental levy will impact all graph-
ite production. This the impact of the environmental levy may
have a different impact on selling prices when the tax bills begin
coming through in 2018.
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Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
GRAPHITE INDUSTRY PEERS
Bass Metals (formerly Stratmin;
BSM: ASX)
Eagle Graphite (EGA: TSX)
First Graphite Ltd. (FGR: ASX)
Focus Graphite (FMS.T)
Global Li-Ion Graphite (LION:
CSE)
Graphit Kropfmuhl (AMG: GK)
Graphite India (GRAPHITE.BO)
Graphite One (GPH.T)
Great Lakes Graphite (GLK.T)
Imerys Graphite & Carbon
(NK.PA)
Kibaran Resources (KNL: ASX)
Leading Edge Materials (LEM:
TSX.V)
Lincoln Materials (LML: ASK)
Lomiko Metals (LMR.T)
Magnis Resources (MNS: ASX)
Mason Graphite (LLC.T)
NextSource Materials (formerly
Energizer Resources, NEXT: TSX)
Northern Graphite (NGC.T)
Nouveau Monde (NOU.V)
SGL Carbon SE (SGL.GR)
Sovereign Metals (SVM: ASX)
Syrah Resources (SYR.AX)
Talga Resources (TLG: ASX)
Triton Minerals (TON: ASX)
Valence Industries (VXL: ASX)
Zenyatta Ventures (ZEN: TSX.V)
August 2017 - Focus Graphite announces closing of private
placement of common stock to raise CDN$3.0 million
August 2017 - SRG Graphite announces non-brokered private
placement of 7.5 million common stock and warrant units for
CDN$3.0 million in gross proceeds
August 2017 - NextSource Materials trademarks
‘SuperFlake’ in European Union for its graphite concentrate
product; similar applications planned in North America and Asia
August 2017 - Northern Graphite releases metallurgical test
results showing improved yield of large flake graphite from its
Bissett Creek project
August 2017 - Nouveau Monde Graphite signs lead agent for
syndicated sale of CDN$10 million common stock and warrants
July 2017 - Syrah Resources Ltd. enters long-term R&D pact
with Cadenza Innovation for graphite anode technology; claims
90% construction of Balama mine project, Mozambique
June 2017 - Graphit Kropfmuhl GmbH, a division of Ad-
vanced Metellurgical Group NV (AMG: GK) commissions its An-
cuabe graphite mine in Mozambique
June 2017 - Lincoln Minerals granted 21-year lease for
Kookaburra Gully natural flake graphite project in South Austra-
lia’s Eyre Peninsula; targets 40,000 metric ton product annually
June 2017 - NextSource Materials updates feasibility study
of its Molo project in Madagascar to reflect reduction in graphite
prices over last two years
June 2017 - Great Lakes Graphite ships 50 kilograms of high
-purity micronized natural flake graphite for customer testing
May 2017 - Imerys Graphite & Carbon sets new target pro-
duction goal of 20,000 tons per year at its Olijiwarongo graph-
ite mine in Namibia after production begin in April 2017
May 2017 - Magnis Resources signs supply agreement with
developers of gigafactory planned in state of New York
April 2017 - Kibaran Resources increases estimate of its
Epanko graphite project in Tanzania by 40% to total of 31 mil-
lion metric tons at 9.9% total graphite content
March 2017 - Syrah Resources Ltd. signs non-binding agree-
ment to supply graphite to BTR New Energy Materials, a pro-
ducer of battery anode materials
February 2017 - Japanese battery anode producer, Nippon
Power Graphite, is acquired by Imerys Graphite & Carbon
January 2017 - First Graphite announces US$3 million capital
raise to support graphene development work
INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS
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BALANCES
BALANCES
Alabama Graphite recently reported financial results for the
quarter and nine months ending May 2017. Of course, the net
loss of CDN$696,266 (US$511,960) in the quarter was as ex-
pected for the early stage company that has not yet begun to
generate revenue. Net loss for the year-to-date was CDN$2.6
million (US$1.9 million) or CDN$0.02 (US$0.02) per share.
Cash flow from operations provides a more valuable measure
for the Company. In the first nine months of fiscal year 2017,
AGC has used CDN$2.0 million (US$1.4 million) to support op-
erations. The difference between the net income loss and cash
used by operations is largely attributable to the inclusion of
$721,265 in non-cash expenses related to share-based pay-
ments. The Company also used cash to pay down certain cur-
rent liability accounts.
Additional cash was used to move its Alabama graphite project
forward. In the first nine months of the fiscal year the Com-
pany used CDN$437,930 (US$322,007) to support exploration
and evaluation of the Company’s graphite resources. This
compares to CDN$1.2 million (US$903,876) in the same period
the year before. Total cash usage in the first nine months of
fiscal year 2017 was CDN $1.1 million (US$805,184).
CASH USAGE
Page 8
OPERATING COMPARISONS
The Company ended the May 2017 quarter with CDN$1.2 mil-
lion (US$875,525) in cash. The cash was provided by the pri-
vate sale of common stock valued at a total of CDN$3.4 million
(US$2.5 million) over the first nine months of fiscal year 2017.
The issuance of common stock brought total share capital to
CDN$16.8 million (US$12.4 million) by the end of May 2017.
The Company also has CDN$4.2 million (USD$3.1 million) in
contributed surplus that is related to the fair value of out-
standing warrants and options. If the derivatives are exercised
the contributed surplus will be transferred to common stock.
In the meantime, it helps offset the Company’s accumulated
deficit of CDN$12.8 million (US$9.4 million). Total equity was
CDN$8.2 million (US$6.1 million) at the end of the most re-
cently reported quarter.
Subsequent to close of the May 2017 quarter, warrants expired
for a total 1.1 million common shares. We estimate that there
are now approximately 31.7 million warrants outstanding with
an average exercise price of CDN$0.23 per common share
(US$0.17 per share). Additionally, there are 13.5 million op-
tions outstanding with an average strike price of CDN$0.18 per
share (US$0.13 per share). We estimate potential dilution
from derivatives is 31% of the current share base.
Canadian Dollars 8/31/16 5/31/17
Cash $ 0.096 $1.191
Current assets $ 0.315 $1.326
Exploration assets $ 6.866 $7.304
Equipment $ 0.002 $0.002
Total assets $ 7.184 $8.633
Accts. Payable $ 0.521 $0.392
Current Liabilities $ 0.521 $0.392
Notes Payable $ -0- $ -0-
Deficit ($10.174) ($12.759)
Total Equity $ 6.663 $ 8.241
Shares Outstanding 119.3 145.3
Warrants/Options 24.8 46.3
Dollars, shares and derivatives in millions
Source: Company Reports and Crystal Equity
Research Estimates
Canadian Dollars
As Reported
9 Mos 16 9 Mos 17
Sales $ -0- $ -0-
Oper. Loss ($1.333) ($2.596)
Net Loss ($1.310) ($2.584)
CFO ($0.945) ($1.968)
LPS ($0.01) ($0.02)
As Adjusted for Non-cash Charges*
9 Mos 16 9 Mos 17
Sales $ -0- $ -0-
Oper. Loss ($1.086) ($1.874)
Net Loss ($1.063) ($1.862)
CFO ($0.945) ($1.968)
EPS ($0.01) ($0.02)
Dollars in millions; Fiscal year end 8/31
*Company Reports and Crystal Equity Research
Estimates
Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
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BALANCES
As AGC moves forward with a feasibility study, environmental
permitting and a second pilot plant for its Coosa graphite pro-
ject, the Company’s capital requirements become more impor-
tant elements than ever in our investment case.
Near-term Budget
We have estimated that the current development activities may
require as much as US$6.0 million to complete. This includes
an estimated US$2.0 million for the ongoing feasibility study
and another $500,000 for environmental permitting. The Com-
pany has also set a goal of establishing a second pilot plant and
producing a sufficient quantity of graphite materials for cus-
tomer testing and validation. The pilot plant and production
could each require another US$1.0 million. These steps will
require eight to ten months to complete, during which time the
Company will need adequate working capital for general and
administrative expenses. Based on the Company’s recent pace
of cash usage to support operations, we estimate the Company
will need as much as US$1.5 million for working capital.
Management Confidence
The capital raise completed in May 2017, in which the Company
raised approximately US$975,000, fell far short of our budget
estimates. Management has recently expressed confidence in
finding economies that would allow the Company to reach de-
velopment milestones with a more modest budget than our es-
timates suggest. In our view, management’s confidence in
moving forward with relatively modest financial resources, pro-
vides shareholders an important cue regarding AGC’s pros-
pects, at least in the eyes of management. We believe only
strong interest by potential customers and encouraging product
test results could give management the conviction to move
ahead with the next development steps on a limited budget.
Construction, Commissioning and Operations
Completion of a feasibility study and environmental permitting
will open the doors to extraction of graphite from the Coosa
project. With that milestone just months away, the AGC man-
agement must begin preparing for the next phase of its strat-
egy - constructing and commissioning its mining and process-
ing operation. The preliminary feasibility study outlined a
budget of US$43.2 million in initial capital required to set up
surface mining operations, power and transportation infrastruc-
ture and the primary and secondary materials processing steps.
The budget is based on a plan for an annual production capac-
ity of 5,000 metric tons of high purity graphite. We expect the
Company to use both new equity and equipment financing.
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
Page 9
EARNINGS COMPARISONS
Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
US Dollars 8/31/16 5/31/17
Cash $0.071 $0.881
Current assets $0.233 $0.981
Exploration assets $5.081 $5.405
Equipment $0.002 $0.002
Total assets $5.316 $6.388
Accts. Payable $0.386 $0.290
Current Liabilities $0.386 $0.290
Notes Payable $ -0- $ -0-
Deficit ($7.529) ($9.442)
Total Equity $4.931 $6.098
Shares Outstanding 119.3 145.3
Warrants/Options 24.8 46.3
Dollars, shares and derivatives in millions
Source: Company Reports and Crystal Equity
Research Estimates
US Dollars
As Reported
9 Mos 16 9 Mos 17
Sales $ -0- $ -0-
Oper. Loss ($0.986) ($1.921)
Net Loss ($0.969) ($1.912)
CFO ($0.699) ($1.456)
LPS ($0.01) ($0.02)
As Adjusted for Non-cash Charges*
9 Mos 16 9 Mos 17
Sales $ -0- $ -0-
Oper. Loss ($0.804) ($1.387)
Net Loss ($0.787) ($1.378)
CFO ($0.699) ($1.456)
EPS ($0.01) ($0.02)
Dollars in millions; Fiscal year end 8/31
*Crystal Equity Research Estimates
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Alabama Graphite Corporation August 22, 2017
Page 10
OWNERSHIP
Common Stock (in Millions)
Insiders:
Baxter, CEO 2.9
Bolton, CFO 0.1
Dinwoodie, EVP 1.5
Edmundson, SG 0.2
Pamplin, VP 1.1
Depatie, Chairman 0.6
Goffaux, Director 0.1
Hatch, Director 0.1
Total Insiders* 6.6 M
As % of Shares
Outstanding 4.5%
*Insiders hold warrants and options
for an additional 11.2 million shares
Source: Company Reports and
Crystal Equity Research Estimates
LEADERSHIP CAPITALIZATION
Recent Price: $0.10
Shares Out: 146.4 M
Market Capital: $14.6 M
+ Preferred Stock -0- M
+ Debt -0- M
- Cash 0.9 M
Enterprise Val: $13.7 M
Book Value: $ 6.1 M
Working Capital: $ 0.7 M
Balances as of 7/31/17
All figures in US Dollars
KLM Geoscience - geophysical survey and engineering services
ActLabs - mineral assay services
SGS Labs - engineering services, including pilot plant design, construction
and operation in Lakefield, Ontario
AGP Mining Consultants, Inc. and Metal Mining Consultants - eco-
nomic feasibility study and assessment of graphite resources
Thomson Engineering - environmental permitting
RELATIONSHIPS
Don
Baxter
President,
CEO Engineering
Douglas
Bolton CFO
Finance,
Accounting
Tyler
Dinwoodie
Executive
VP
Business
Development
Jean
Depatie
Chairman,
Director
Mining and
Engineering
Daniel
Goffaux Director
Mining and
Engineering
Gareth
Hatch Director
Mining and
Engineering
Alabama Graphite held its annual meeting at the end of May 2017. The
vast majority of shareholders re-elected the board of directors. The
firm UHY McGovern, Hurley LLP were approved as auditors.
Perhaps more important than the formalities of the shareholder meet-
ing are recent actions by the Company related to advisory relation-
ships. In late June 2017, Dr. Robert Cook was appointed as strategic
advisor to the Company. Cook is a widely recognized geologist with
knowledge of the geology of Alabama and the surrounding region. His
specialties are mineral exploration, environmental geology and mining.
Cook is Professor Emeritus at in the geology department at Auburn Uni-
versity in Alabama.
Cook joins other distinguished mining, engineering and technology ex-
perts advising AGC, including Randy Moore, CEO of ZAF Energy Sys-
tems, a producer of advanced batteries. The Company appears to be
building a team with expertise highly specific to its business model.
CORPORATE UPDATE
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