AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon...

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Pareto Securities’ 24 th annual Oil & Offshore Conference AKER BP ASA Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO September 13, 2017

Transcript of AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon...

Page 1: AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be

Pareto Securities’ 24th annual

Oil & Offshore Conference

AKER BP ASA

Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO

September 13, 2017

Page 2: AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be

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Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that

could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about

global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA’s lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as ”expects”, ”believes”,

”estimates” or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among

others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA’s

businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in

currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that

its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved

or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to

the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have

any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

Page 3: AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be

3* Pro forma including Marathon Oil Norway from 1.1.2014 and BP Norge from 1.1.2016

** Cash flow from operating activities, adjusted for working capital changes

COMPANY SNAPSHOT

Aker BP ASA at a glance

Net production1,000 boe per day

504

468

379

313

270

312

63

63

63

Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017

CFFO** CFFI Dividend

2P reserves 711 million boePer 31.12.2016

Strong cash flowUSD million

2014* 2015 2016* Q1-17 Q2-17

67

60

118

145143

Alvheim area, 120

Ivar Aasen area, 69

Valhall area, 84

Skarv area, 67Ula area,

57

Johan Sverdrup,

300 85% liquids

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An entrepreneurial and flexible organisation able to

opportunistically seize new business opportunities

Strong value driven growth in

production and dividend

Maintain a robust balance sheet

and a strong dividend capacity

Become the

cost and capital leading

offshore independent E&P company

A focused portfolio on the NCS

STRATEGIC AMBITION

Create the leading offshore independent E&P company

Always prioritise safety

Safety

Maximise

shareholder

value

Focused

Growth

Cost leading

Robust

Entrepreneurial

and flexible

PO

RT

FO

LIO

FIN

AN

CIA

LS

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AKER BP ASA

Strategic toolbox

Improve

Grow

Execute

Safe

ty

Reorganising the value chain

with strategic partnerships

and alliances

Be at the forefront for

digitizing E&P

Value chain based on a shared

LEAN understanding,

toolbox and culture

Flexible business model

ready for growth and volatility

Page 6: AKER BP ASA · Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be

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Volund infill project subsea alliance

Project delivery model targeting to reduce engineering

hours per ton platform by 50% and a 25% reduction in

execution time

One integrated organization with common KPIs and

incentives

• Sharing of risk, both upside and downside

Increase flow efficiency and reduce costs by avoiding

rework and continuously improving

Goal to sanction new stand-alone projects at break-even

prices below 35 USD/boe

Alliances established for subsea and fixed facilities

AKER BP ASA

Working together with suppliers through strategic partnerships

• Zero incidents

• Project executed in 13 months vs 22 months “traditional”

• Total alliance effect from DG2 to first oil -30%

• Best in class offshore campaign

Traditional

benchmark

subsea

project

(2014)

Budget

subsea

project

(excl. risk

allowance)

-33%

AFE Facility

Actual Cost

before

sharing with

Contractors*

MLC

underrun

execution

MLC + Cost

outside MLC

Alliance

effects

before

execution

Budget

subsea

project

(2016)

Market

effects

-30%

Unrealised

risk

allowance

*Main contributor to underrun is best in class offshore campaign. Contractor RC allocated to Contractors and included in actual cost.

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…and progressing key digital initiatives

DIGITALIZATION

Testing concrete use cases on new data platform…

Working towards our vision of a fully digitized value chain

Data layer

Data

sources

End-user

applications

< FH

<F H

F <H R

R

R

Horizontal data platform with standard

public APIs

Surveillance

& Analytics

of Compact

Heaters

Optimization

of offshore

energy

efficiency

Oil in water

monitoring

Remote operations Ivar Aasen

Unmanned Wellhead Platform Concept

PUSH

Automated well design and autonomous

drilling

Digital logistics

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AKER BP ASA

Exploration

block made

available

Asset

decommissioned

License

awarded

Drilling

decision DiscoveryPDO

approved First oil

7-15 years

Flow efficiency embedded in operational strategy

Develop flow efficient

value streams1 Visualize progress control2

Continuously learn

and improve3

A P

DC

MAXIMIZE FLOW

Our value streams deliver what the

customer wants, at the right time,

amount and quality, with short lead time

Progress is effectively visualized so we

always know how we are doing, and we

detect and respond to deviations quickly

We don’t know what perfect looks like,

therefore we continuously learn and

solve problems to continuously improve

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

New field developments

Upsides and tie-ins to existing hubs

AKER BP ASA

A company set up for growth

Generating cash from diversified asset base

Sanctioned projects have potential to deliver after-tax

operating cash flow* in excess of USD 6 billion to Aker

BP in the period 2020 – 2025 at current forward price

Resource hopper of more than 600 mmboe (2C)

Potential to reach production above 270 mboepd in

2023 (12% CAGR)

Stepping up exploration activity to secure future

production growth

Proven M&A track record - targeting further inorganic

growth

Illustrative organic production potential, mboepd net

Sanctioned

Non-sanctioned

* Cash flow from operating activities (CFFO), before working capital changes

** Including Johan Sverdrup phase 2

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AKER BP ASA

Great savings are possible, but requires a new way of thinking

15880 250

912 6

1425 9

OPEX

[$/boe]

Drilling

[m/day]

CAPEX

[$/boe]

60

35

25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0

5

10

15

20

Historical NCS Current NCS projectexample

Step changeimprovement

OPEX (10 yrs)

Facility CAPEX

Drilling CAPEX

Leveraging extensive improvement agenda and lean

initiatives to revitalize business model

Focusing on waste reduction and flow efficiency has

resulted in significant improvement to date

Further productivity enhancement is likely to include

investments in new technology to reduce cost and

improve HSE performance

Step change improvement has potential to reduce project

break-even prices to 25 USD/boe

Illustrative project economics (USD/boe)

Development cost1 (USDbn) Break-even (USD/boe)

1. Total CAPEX over Life of field and OPEX for 10 operating years. Current base case assumes 20 years of operation, depending on oil price. All numbers in real terms 2017

2. Illustrative for NCS Projects pre-2014 oil price drop and potential for future projects

2 2

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Efficient and safe operations

Sanction projects at 35 USD/boe

OUTLOOK

Closing remarks

Maximize value of our existing hubs

Pursue exploration and value accretive growth

opportunities

Leading on cost efficiency

Structurally change the way we work through

alliances, digitalization and flow efficiency

Skarv

Alvheim

Ivar Aasen

Johan Sverdrup

Ula/Tambar

Valhall/Hod

Stavanger

Oslo / Fornebu

Trondheim

Sandnessjøen

Harstad

Improve

Grow

Execute

Safe

ty

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