Airbus Defence and Space - Unmanned Cargo Aircraft · PDF file• A400M, A330 MRTT, CN235,...

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Airbus Defence and Space One mission, one team, one direction Julian Hasinski CEng, Senior Expert (Aeronautics) 11 Feb 2014 / First International Unmanned Cargo Aircraft Conference, Holland.

Transcript of Airbus Defence and Space - Unmanned Cargo Aircraft · PDF file• A400M, A330 MRTT, CN235,...

Airbus Defence and Space

One mission, one team, one direction

Julian Hasinski CEng, Senior Expert (Aeronautics)

11 Feb 2014 / First International Unmanned Cargo Aircraft Conference, Holland.

This presentation represents the views

of the Author/Speaker and not

necessarily those of Airbus Defence and

Space.

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Airbus Defence and Space

Europe’s No. 1 in defence

World’s No. 2 in space

More than 40,000 employees

Approximately €14 billion in revenue

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Global

innovation leader

spending more

than €3 billion

in R&D

each year.

Airbus Defence and Space: A unique international leader

Being strong together – 3 turn into 1

One Parent Company

Three Brands

Multiple Business Segments

One Company

One Brand

Four Business Segments

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Airbus Defence and Space: Management Team

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Military Aircraft Space Systems Comm., Intelligence

& Security (CIS) Electronics

Operations

Integration Management Marketing & Sales Finance Human Resources

Pilar Albiac Murillo Christian Scherer Julian Whitehead Lars Immisch

Domingo Ureña Raso François Auque Evert Dudok Thomas Müller

CEO

Bernhard

Gerwert

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Germany 1. Manching

2. Ulm

3. Friedrichshafen

4. Unterschleißheim

5. Ottobrunn

6. Bremen

France 7. Toulouse

8. Elancourt

9. Les Mureaux

10. Aquitaine

11. Suresnes

Spain 12. Getafe

13. Barajas

14. Seville

15. Cadiz

UK 16. Stevenage

17. Portsmouth

18. Newport

Luxembourg Mielec

Oostkamp

Brussels

Torino

Warsaw

Bratislava

Budapest

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8

11

10

7

13 12

14 15

3 5

4

1 2

17

18 16

6

Leiden

Eik

Helsinki

Jyväskylä

Athens

Ankara

Airbus Defence and Space: Our locations in Europe

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Airbus Defence and Space worldwide

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Airbus Defence and Space: Market leading products

Eurofighter A400M A330 MRTT (Multi-Role Tanker Transport)

Ariane 5 Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) Satellites

Airbus Defence and Space: 4 Business Lines �

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Military Aircraft

• A400M, A330 MRTT, CN235,

C212, Orlik

• Eurofighter, Tornado

• Barracuda, Atlante, Harfang,

Euro Hawk, Future European

Male, Tracker, Tanan, Survey

Copter

Electronics

• Mission Data Transfer Systems,

Optics for Spectrograph

Instrumentation, Identification

Friend or Foe (IFF) Systems,

Space Platform Electronics,

Space Payload Electronics

Space Systems

• Ariane 5, Automated Transfer

Vehicle, Eurostar E3000,

Pléiades, Gaia, Skynet,

observation satellites (Spot,

TanDEM-X, TerraSAR-X, M51,

MetOp, Swarm), International

Space Station ISS,

interplanetary probes (Herschel,

Mars Express, Solar Orbiter),

Lunar Lander

Communication,

Intelligence

& Security (CIS) • Surveillance and Security

Solutions, Secure

Communications Solutions,

Cyber Security, Coastal

Surveillance Systems, NATO

SATCOM Post-2000, Wireless

Intranet Solutions in Theatre,

Farmstar Expert, Tetra Systems

Unmanned Cargo Aircraft

• A Brief History

• Unmanned Aircraft or Operational Concept, a Chicken and

Egg Problem

• Pre/Post Single European Skies

• SKYTUNNELS or Full Autonomy

• The Economic Decision Factors

• The Industry Decision Factors

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Carrier Pigeon

• In use for at least 2600 years

• Capable of fully autonomous flight

• Capable of sense and avoid

• Can carry 20% of its take off Mass as

Payload

• Celestial/magnetic positioning system

• Fuelled by pure Bio Fuel

• Capable of Pigeongram type services

• Virtually unlimited range and duration

with the ability to refuel enroute

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A study in Economcs

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KMAX and other derivatives

• After many millions of dollars invested

in a variety of ISTAR and offensive

roles for UAS Forces have begun to

realise that unmanned resupply is the

easiest application and the one most

likely to provide military utility and save

lives.

• Different VTOL airframes have been

used in this role and it is known to be

expanding

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2013 Small UAS emerge

• Amazon, Waterstones and DHL all

announced their interest in using small

UAS in parcel deliveries using small

Uas

• Usually high value cargo such as first

edition books or medecines

• All the announcements provoked

debate around:

• Competition

• Landing facilities

• Permissions

• Descrimination

• etc

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What Comes First? The Aircraft or the Operational Concept

Many Phrases come to mind:

• Build it and they will come

• Answer the question Stupid

• Money Talks

• Paralysis by Analysis

To name a few…

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What Comes First? The Aircraft or the Operational Concept

The Operation First?

• Operational Concepts are supposed to

provide the basis of an Operation

• Which in turn is the basis of a

Business Plan

• But does the provider of an

Operational Solution also the

Operation owner…Generally not.

The Aircraft First

• One Business cannot write a Business

plan for another Business

• If you want a facility to execute an

operation you look to a market place to

satisfy your needs..ideally.

• If you need to be a pioneer you still

look to businesses with a track record

of success to reduce your own risk

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Pre or Post Single European Skies?

• The advent of Single European Skies

Operations across Europe, and Next

Gen in the USA have been both a help

and hindrance to progress.

• Whilst the prospect exists for UAS to

operate in the 4D open environment

UAS pre se have only been given

attention in the later stages of the

development of SESAR/Next Gen.

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Pre or Post Single European Skies?

Post SES

• The Environment is more congruous

with the way automatic and

autonomous aircraft will be

programmed

• The timescales, being in the future, will

naturally suggest that the population of

UAVs will be greater than at present.

• If there are no Pre SES services, then

suggesting confidence in a service

may be difficult

Pre SES

• In unmanned operations there is no

substitute for getting on and

experimenting and doing practical

demonstration.

• Waiting for every aspect of SES to be

a reality may be counter productive.

• Its frequently easier for decision makes

to defer to SES timescales as a way of

shifting the critical path

• SES does not necessarily ensure

commercial benefit for operations, and

waiting for SES may add cost and

make benefits more marginal.

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Restriction or Autonomy?

Restriction

• UAS restricted to unpopulated areas

such as over the sea

• UAS likely to operated on single route

convoys for economy of scale

• Makes setting up of routes require a

relatively high investment

• The Systems involved are mostly

existing technology and proven

• Operating under the ‘old’ rules will

provide a de-risking for Autonomous

operations

Autonomy

• The Technology of the vehicle is likely

to be State of the Art

• There will be no restrictions as to

where the vehicles can navigate as

long as the airframes and systems are

certified.

• Low cost of setting up routes, balanced

by the higher cost of the aircraft and

systems

• Vehicles will be dispersed and not

reliant on pre defined routes

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Economic Decision Factors, To Fly or not to Fly?

• A Choice now faces most

organisations that offer some sort of

transiting service as the possibility of

unmanned aerial logistics becomes a

reality.

• The Choice will be based on a variety

of business factors that may initially

elude the aircraft designer

• The obvious ones are:

• Payload

• Distance

• Utilisation

• Mode Mix

• Urgency

• Cost

• And so on

• The Future Business Development of

Cargo UAS will be based on

interpreting these factors for the end

users and stakeholders.

• A Simple Test should demonstrate to a

business whether there is a true

benefit for and aerial service.

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Industrial Decision Factors

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Questions?

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