Air Quality Modeling for SAMI: July 1995 Episode Talat Odman, Ted Russell, Jim Wilkinson, Yueh-Jiun...
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Transcript of Air Quality Modeling for SAMI: July 1995 Episode Talat Odman, Ted Russell, Jim Wilkinson, Yueh-Jiun...
Air Quality Modeling for SAMI:July 1995 Episode
Talat Odman, Ted Russell,
Jim Wilkinson, Yueh-Jiun Yang,
Jim Boylan, Alberto Mendoza
Modeling Domain and Grid
Results• July 11-19, 1995 episode
– ozone– particulate matter– wet deposition
• Same episode with 2010 emissions– ozone
• Sensitivities– to NOx, VOC and SO2 emissions (2010) in two subdomains
• Results also posted on our web site:– http://environmental.gatech.edu/SAMI
O3: July 12, 1995 14:00
O3: July 13, 1995 14:00
O3: July 16, 1995 14:00
O3: July 17, 1995 14:00
12km/60 ppb cutoff
Normalized bias (%)
-30-25-20-15-10
-505
1015202530
9-Ju
l
10-J
ul
11-J
ul
12-J
ul
13-J
ul
14-J
ul
15-J
ul
16-J
ul
17-J
ul
18-J
ul
19-J
ul
12km/60 ppb cutoff
Mean bias (ppb)
-30-25-20-15-10
-505
1015202530
9-Ju
l
10-J
ul
11-J
ul
12-J
ul
13-J
ul
14-J
ul
15-J
ul
16-J
ul
17-J
ul
18-J
ul
19-J
ul
12km/60 ppb cutoff
Normalized error (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
409-
Jul
10-J
ul
11-J
ul
12-J
ul
13-J
ul
14-J
ul
15-J
ul
16-J
ul
17-J
ul
18-J
ul
19-J
ul
Ozone Performance - July 13
AIRS Station 01-027-0001; Clay Co, AL (rural)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 13-089-0002; South DeKalb, DeKalb Co, GA (urban)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 37-021-0030; Asheville, Buncombe Co, NC (rural)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 37-087-0036; Purchase Knob, Haywood Co, NC(high elevation)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 37-119-1009; Co Line, Mecklenburg Co, NC (urban)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 47-099-0101; Look Rock, Blount Co, TN(high elevation)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
AIRS Station 47-163-2002; Blountville, Sullivan Co, TN (rural)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216
Time (starting July 11, 1995)
Ozo
ne (p
pb)
IMPROVE Monitoring Stations
1. Brigantine (NJ)
2. Dolly Sods/Otter Creek (WV)
3. Great Smoky Mountains (TN)
4. Jefferson/James River Face (VA)
5. Lye Brook (VT)
6. Mammoth Cave (KY)
7. Okefenokee (GA)
8. Cape Romain (SC) 9. Shenandoah (VA) 10. Shining Rock (NC) 11. Sipsy (AL) 12. Upper Buffalo (AR) 13. Washington, D.C.
Fine Sulfate AerosolsJuly 12, 1995
0.00
8.00
16.00
24.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(ug
/m3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Sulfate AerosolsJuly 15, 1995
0.008.00
16.0024.0032.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Sulfate Aerosols
Great Smoky Mt. National Park
0.08.0
16.024.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Sulfate Aerosols
Shenandoah National Park
0.08.0
16.024.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Sulfate Aerosols
Shining Rock Wilderness
0.08.0
16.024.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Organic AerosolsJuly 12, 1995
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(ug
/m3)
Model
Obs.
Fine Organic AerosolsJuly 15, 1995
0.002.00
4.006.00
8.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(ug
/m3)
Model
Obs.
PM 2.5July 12, 1995
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(ug
/m3)
Model
Obs.
PM 2.5July 15, 1995
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Station
Co
nc.
(u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
PM 2.5
Great Smoky Mt. National Park
0.020.040.060.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
PM 2.5
Shenandoah National Park
0.020.040.060.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
PM 2.5
Shining Rock Wilderness
0.020.040.060.0
July 12 July 15 July 19Con
c (u
g/m
3)
Model
Obs.
NADP Monitoring Sites 1. Lilley Cornett Woods (KY) 2. Coweeta (NC) 3. Mt. Mitchell (NC) 4. Walker Branch Watershed (TN) 5. Charlottesville (VA) 6. Horton’s Station (VA) 7. Shenandoah National Park (VA) 8. Babcock State Park (WV) 9. Parsons (WV)
Wet Deposition - July 18, 1995Sulfate
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Station
Ma
ss
Flu
x
(mg
/m2
)
Model
Obs.
Wet Deposition - July 18, 1995Nitrate
0.0025.0050.0075.00
100.00125.00150.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Station
Ma
ss
Flu
x
(mg
/m2
)
Model
Obs.
Wet Deposition - July 18, 1995Ammonia
0.005.00
10.0015.0020.0025.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Station
Ma
ss
Flu
x
(mg
/m2
)
Model
Obs.
Performance Summary
• Ozone performance is good particularly in the region covered by the 12-km grid.
• PM performance is good at most IMPROVE sites (e.g., Shining Rock and Great Smoky Mt.) in the 12-km grid.– Sulfate was underestimated at Shenandoah. on July 15th.– The model overestimates crustal material.– Ammonium performance will be re-evaluated after correcting
ammonia emissions.
• Acid deposition performance is not very good.– In part, related to our ability to model precipitation
O3: July 12 at 14:00
O3: July 14 at 14:00
O3: July 16 at 14:00
Domain Average O3 Difference (1995-2010)
Domain with Sensitivity Regions
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 11, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 12, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 13, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 14, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 15, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 16, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 17, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Point Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 18, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 11, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 12, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 13, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 14, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 15, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 16, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 17, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Surface Source NOx of West and
South Inner Regions, July 18, 2010 at 14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 11, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 12, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 13, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 14, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 15, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 16, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 17, 2010 at
14:00
Ozone Sensitivity to Total VOC of West and South Inner Regions, July 18, 2010 at
14:00