AIA Chicago Future Sucess
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Transcript of AIA Chicago Future Sucess
TODAYS AGENDA
Panel Introductions Foresight Trends • Drivers Of Change
• 10 Considerations
• Sectors and Markets
Panel Discussion
• Q&A
GEMS World Academy bKL Architecture
TODAY’S PANEL
Tom Kerwin FAIA Principal
bKL Architecture
Craig Schwitter PE Principal
Buro Happold
David Crowell Managing Director, CEO rmc International
Rebecca Nolan Assoc AIA, IIDA Managing Principal HOK Chicago + St. Louis
When you can’t imagine how things are going to change, that doesn’t mean nothing will change. It means that things will change in ways that are unimaginable to you.
FORESIGHT > IMAGINATION
Foresight > blind spots...seeing what others don’t see
8 5 4 9 7 6 3 2 0
Eight
Five
Four
Nine
Seven
Six
Three
Two
Zero
Northwestern InsuranceHeadquarters Courtesy Pichard Chilton
Buro Happold
Foresight Panel 2014 | 2015
Increasing Sophistication of Design and Management Technologies 1
AIA Foresight Report notes doubling the number of projects targeted to use analytics in 2015 from 2014 AIA Foresight Report SEFAIRA
Increasing Sophistication of Design and Management Technologies
New City in China Source: Evolvo
1 Six Algorithms • Commercial • Transit • Boundaries • Density • Building Heights • Recreation
Expansion of Boutique Expert Practices
University of Tennessee Student Life Center
Courtesy Perkins + Will
4
Complexity of Projects Requires an Enhanced Level of Collaboration & Skills
Stanford D School -Fast Company Courtesy -Georgia Tech
AIA Foresight Report
5 Key skills designers will need • Contextual awareness • Creative craft • Rapid Iteration • Empathy • Entrepreneurial Sustainability
Wayne Li – Georgia Tech
6
Globalization is a Two-Way Street
Samsung World Headquarters- China Courtesy NBBJ
Apple Word Headquarters- California Courtesy Foster & Partners
10
Global Highlights
2- 2.5% Predicated GDP Growth Rate annual range from 2013 - 2017
42% Predicated increase in number of high net worth individuals
11 0f 20 Of world’s fastest growing economies are in Africa
10.4% Forecasted 2015 employment rate down from 10.9% in 2013
80% Forecast growth in Number of Chinese billionaires 2013 - 2023
2015 India’s economy over-takes China as fastest growing
Source AIA Foresight Report
Global Context The worldwide operating environment for architecture and design
3.7 to 3.9% global growth 2015 Org. for Co-operation and Development
$657 billion global investment in Commercial property 2015 Real Capital Analytics
Source See AIA Foresight Report
Global Context
By 2030 8.3 Billion people globally 20 cities over 20 million people (all but 4 in developing world) 50% more energy 40% more water 35% more food
Kingdom Tower Smith Gill Architects
Dave Crowell Project Manager
Without change there is no innovation, creativity, or incentive for improvement. Those who initiate change will have a better opportunity to manage the change that is inevitable. William Pollard 1850
Considerations to ask yourself:
Are you more relevant today than in the past?
What must you change next?
Why do you do things the way you do?
How do others do what you do, perhaps better?
Are you moving quickly and deliberately enough?
Where is waste or inefficiency?
Olin School of Management Washington University MRY + Mackey Mitchell Buro Happold
Thank You
Doug Parker, AIA Managing Principal Greenway Group Atlanta/Denver [email protected] (720(841-8581
THANK YOU
Tom Kerwin FAIA Principal bKL Architecture
Craig Schwitter, PE Principal Buro Happold
David Crowell Managing Director, CEO rmc International
Rebecca Nolan Assoc AIA, IIDA Managing Principal HOK Chicago + St. Louis