AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final...

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Apartment Investor Academy SUCCEED in 2012! Capitalize on Today’s Market Trends Dawn Dyer, President Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc. CA DRE License #01231389 Ventura, CA (805) 653-8100 [email protected] March 14, 2012 All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Transcript of AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final...

Page 1: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment

Investor AcademySUCCEED in 2012! Capitalize on Today’s Market Trends

Dawn Dyer, PresidentDyer Sheehan Group, Inc.

CA DRE License #01231389Ventura, CA

(805) [email protected]

March 14, 2012

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 2: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartments Outperform

Other Assets

� Strong Fundamentals

� Demographic Trends

� Barriers to Home-Ownership

� Economic Issues

� Lifestyle Choices

� Supply Constraints

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 3: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartments Provide Safe Harbor

with Upside Potential

� Basic Commodity Item

� Short-Term Leases

� Low Vacancy During Recession

� Strong Demand Factors

� Rent Appreciation Anticipated

� Leverage

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

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Demographic Trends

� Generation Y

� Aging Boomers

� Single Person Households

� New Americans

� Alternative Family Structures

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

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Housing Crisis & Mortgage Meltdown

� New Demand from those who Lost or Bailed

� Changes in Consumer Psyche

� Tougher Mortgage Requirements

� Affordability and Flexibility

� Homeownership -vs- Rent & Invest

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

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Lifestyle Choices

� Live/Work/Play

� Eco-Friendly

� Lock and Leave

� Freedom

� Mobility

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

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Source: Construction Industry Research Board

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment Market

March 14, 2012

Ventura County Building Permits

0

500

1000

1500

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3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Tota

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ted

Un

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Single Family Permits Multi-Family Permits

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 8: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Does Your Property Portfolio

need a Tune-Up?

� Optimize Performance

� Conduct Annual Review � Leases

� Operating Statements

� Taxation Issues

� Insurance & Risk Management

� Maintenance & Capital Improvements

� Debt to Equity Position

� Consult with key Investment Team Members

� Make Adjustments at Property or Portfolio level

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 9: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

The Value of Investment Property

is based on the

QUANTITY &

QUALITY

of the Income Stream it produces!

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 10: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Valuation Methods for

Multi-Family Property

� Price per Unit (market comp)

� Price per Square Foot (market comp)

� Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

� Capitalization Rate Analysis (Cap Rate)

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 11: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

CAPITALIZATION RATE

CAP RATE = Annual Net Operating Income (NOI)

Purchase Price (or Market Value)

MARKET VALUE = Annual NOI (excl. mortgage pmt.)

Market Capitalization Rate

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 12: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

NET OPERATING INCOME

NOI = Gross Scheduled Income

- Vacancy & Credit Loss

- Total Operating Expenses

(Excluding Mortgage Payment)

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 13: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Key Elements of

Net Operating Income

� Income (Rents & Other Income)

� Vacancy Reserve

� Operating Expenses

� Replacement Reserves

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 14: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Operating Expenses

(Normalized)

� Property Taxes (Prop. 13 + Assessment Districts)

� Insurance (Adequate Coverage)

� Property Management (Professional & On-Site)

� Maintenance & Repairs (even if DIY)

� Gardening /Pest Control

� Licences/Legal/Accounting

� Utilities (Separate Meters?)

� Replacement Reserves ($250/unit)

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 15: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Property Name: XYZ APARTMENTS # OF UNITS BED + BATH SQ. FT. MO. RENT $/SQ FT Purchase Price: $ 3,240,000

Property Address: 1234 Main Street 12 1 + 1 650 $900 $1.38 Percent Down: 30.00%

Anytown, USA 12 2 + 2 950 $1,200 $1.26 Cash Down: $ 972,000

Cross Street: 1st Street Current Cap: 6.85% No. of Units: 24 Projected Cap: 5.41%

Lot Size: 0.68 acres Current GRM: 10.66

Year Built: 1988 Projected GRM: 10.66

Net Rentable Area: 38,958 sq. ft. Price per Unit: $ 135,000

Thomas Page/Grid: 999 XY Price per sq ft: $ 83.17

E S T I M A T E D A N N U A L E X P E N S E SCURRENT PROJECTED CURRENT PROJECTED 1st 2nd

Property Taxes*: $ 22,000 $ 35,640 Tax & License: $ 950 $ 950 Loan Balance:

Insurance: 9,840 13,635 Electricity: $ 1,500 $ 1,500 Loan Type:

Advertising & Promo: 0 1,200 Water/Sewer: $ 9,480 $ 9,480 Interest Rate:

Property Mgmt: 12,153 18,144 Trash: $ 2,700 $ 2,700 Remaining Term:

Office Expense & Bkpg: 0 900 Gas: $ 1,390 $ 1,390 Monthly Payment:

Maint. & Repairs: 12,153 18,230 Legal/Accounting $ 1,250 $ 1,250 Name of Lender:

Gardener: 2,400 2,400 Reserves: $ 6,000 Assumable:Total of Estimated Annual Expenses: $75,816 $113,419 Comment: Informational only; does not affect analysis

* Based upon Purchase Price. Estimated Annual Expenses per Unit: $3,159 $4,726 calculations.

S C H E D U L E D G R O S S I N C O M EC U R R E N T P R O J E C T E D 1st 2nd

Total Monthly Rent: $ 25,200 • • • $ 25,200 • • • Loan Amount: $ 2,268,000 $ 0

Monthly Laundry Income: 120 • • • 120 • • • Loan Type: Conv./Variable Conv./Variable

Other Monthly Income: • • • • • • Interest Rate: 5.00% 5.00%

Total Monthly Gross Income: 25,320 • • • 25,320 • • • Loan Term: 30.00 Years 30.00 Years

Annual Gross Income: 303,840 • • • 303,840 • • • Monthly Payment: $ 12,175.11 $ 0.00

Less Annual Vacancy Reserve: 6,077 2.00% 15,192 5.00% Name of Lender: XYZ Bank XYZ Bank

Gross Annual Operating Income: 297,763 • • • 288,648 • • • Balloon Payment: $ 0 $ 0

Less Annual Expenses: 75,816 24.95% 113,419 37.33% Comment: Net Annual Operating Income: 221,947 • • • 175,229 • • •

Less Annual Loan Payments: 146,101 • • • 146,101 • • • Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow: 75,846 7.80% 29,128 3.00%

Plus Annual Principal Reduction: 0 • • • 0 • • • Note: All information provided herein is from sources deemed to

Total Annual Pre-Tax Return: $75,846 7.80% $29,128 3.00% be reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied.

Comments: For additional information, please contact:D Y E R S H E E H A N G R O U P , I N C .

808 E. Santa Clara Street, Suite A Ventura, CA 93001(805) 653-8100 • Fax: (805) 653-8105

E X I S T I N G F I N A N C I N G

N E W F I N A N C I N G

M U L T I - F A M I L Y I N V E S T M E N T P R O P E R T Y I N F O R M A T I O N

G E N E R A L I N F O R M A T I O N A N A L Y S I SU N I T M I X & C U R R E N T R E N T D A T A

Page 16: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Optimize Performance of Your

Investment Real Estate Portfolio

� Update Market Valuation Regularly

� Depreciation Schedule

� Debt to Equity Ratio

� 1031 Exchange as Wealth-Building Tool

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 17: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

2011 Multi-Family

Sales

Parker ShawCA DRE License # 01740891

Multi-Family Investments

Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.March 14, 2012All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 18: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

2011 Multi-Family Transactions

2011 National Data 2011 Ventura County

Data

Total Sale Volume $57,000,000,000 $181,375,500

YOY Change 27% 25%

Average Cap Rate 6.5% 6.27%

Average Price/Unit $102,000 $132,802

Average Monthly Rent $1,064 $1,435

YOY Change 2.4% 2.9%

Vacancy Rate 5.2% 3.4%

YOY Change 1.4% .73%

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 19: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Ventura County Total Transactions(5+ units)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 2011

Yearly Transactions 10-Year Average

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 20: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Ventura County Transactions by City

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 21: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

2011 Ventura County Multi-Family Transactions(5+ Units)

All 2011 Sales

2011 Sales

w/o Alara & Parc Rose

Total Transactions 21 19

Total Sale Volume $181,375,500 $51,275,500

Average Sale Price $8,639,929 $2,698,711

Average Cap Rate 6.27% 6.5%

Average Price/ SF $168 $162

Average Price/Unit $132,802 $121,647

Total Units 919 381

Average # of Units 44 20

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 22: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Ventura County Average Cap Rate

4.5%

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

6.5%

7.0%

7.5%

8.0%

8.5%

9.0%

'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 2011

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 23: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 24: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Parker ShawMulti-Family Investments

Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.

[email protected]

March 14, 2012

Page 25: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

January 2012

Ventura County Rent Survey

Dawn DyerPresident

Dyer Sheehan Group, Inc.

March 14, 2012

Page 26: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012February 23,

2011

Ventura County Vacancies

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Jan

ua

ry C

ou

nty

wid

e V

aca

ncy

Ra

te

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 27: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Average Ventura County Rents

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Mo

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ly R

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t in

Do

lla

rs

$0.00

$0.20

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

$1.80

$2.00

Re

nt

in $

oe

r S

F

Average Monthly Rent Average Rent in $ per SF

All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 28: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012February 23,

2011

Average Two Bedroom Apartment Rents

Ventura County, January 2012

Ca

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$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

$1,300

$1,400

$1,500

$1,600

$1,700

Av

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Mo

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All information provided above is from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee or warranty is stated or implied herein.

Page 29: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Supply Constraints

� Access to Development Capital

� Land and Production Costs

� Entitlement Hurdles, Delays, and Litigation

� Fees, Infrastructure, and Offsite Improvements

� Parking Standards

� Limited land zoned for Multi Family

� SOAR, GOD and MS4

� NIMBYs and BANANAs

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 30: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Multi-Family Investment Outlook

� Strong Market Fundamentals

� Supply/Demand Imbalance

� Most Affordable Housing Type

� Low Vacancy Rates

� Changing Demographics

� Market Elasticity

� Opportunities to Add Value

Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura County Apartment MarketMarch 14, 2012

Page 31: AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides - dyersheehan.com · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - AIA 3 14 12 -Final Slides [Compatibility Mode] Author: pshaw Created Date: 3/19/2012 11:42:31 AM

Questions?

Dawn DyerDyer Sheehan Group, Inc.

[email protected]

March 14, 2012Apartment Investor Academy | Ventura

County Apartment Market