Afton AirPark DIGIBIP · s s p t t-t-t 4000 5000 6300 6300 7100 6500 7300 7300 5800 2500 17
Transcript of Afton AirPark DIGIBIP · s s p t t-t-t 4000 5000 6300 6300 7100 6500 7300 7300 5800 2500 17
Afton Airpark Estates
AFTON AIRPARK ESTATES – AFTON, WY
MARKET REPORT
April 2007
Afton Airpark Estates
TABLE OF CONTENTS
i.
General Limiting Conditions………………………………
Introduction…………………………………………………
Project Description………………………………………..
Summary of Findings & Recommendations .....………
Site Location ..…………………………………………………
Afton Airpark Development Features …………………..…
Market Analysis ………………………………….……………
Supply Factors……………. …………………………………..
Demand Influences…….. ……………………………………….
Lot Sales Program……………………………………………..
Appendix ……………………………………………………….
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Afton Airpark Estates
GENERAL LIMITING CONDITIONS
Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that the data contained in this Market and Financial Analysis Report reflect the most accurate and timely information possible as of the date the primary research was collected. The information contained in this report is based on estimates, assumptions, and other information developed by Norton Consulting and from their independent research and analysis effort and general knowledge of the industry. No responsibility is assumed for inaccuracies in reporting by Norton Consulting’s representatives or by any other data source used in the preparation of this report. No warranty or representation is made that any of the projected values or results contained in this study will be achieved.
This study does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any state or other jurisdiction in which such sale, or any related offer or solicitation, would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of that state or other jurisdiction. 1
Afton Airpark Estates
Norton Consulting was retained by Barr/More LLC to produce a market and financial analysis report.
The Afton Airpark Estates project is an airpark residential development located in Afton, Wyoming.
The project originally envisioned Barr/More LLC, has become one the premier airpark residential developments in the US.
This market report and master plan has been created to document the vision for the final phases of Afton Airpark Estates and provide recommendations for lot pricing.
The market research process included visiting the site, collecting data from existing airpark communities in the US and analyzing aviation trends and other market data.
This report was produced by Richard L. Norton and Darrin B. Davis of Norton Consulting’s North Palm Beach, Florida office.
INTRODUCTION
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Afton Airpark Estates 3
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Barr/More owns approximately 75 acres of land adjacent to and a part of the Afton, WY regional airport, which land is zoned for approximately 56 lots to be used for private residences, private airplane hangars and other related uses.
The property is located in the town Afton, Wyoming and is approximately 60 miles south of Jackson Hole.
With all the necessary permits and approvals in place, approximately one-half of the lots and hangar properties were sold during 2006.
The project is unique in that it is the first Denver FAA supported private residential project adjacent to a federally maintained airport. The Afton Regional Airport budget for maintenance exceeds $250,000 / year.
A full service Fixed Based Operation (FBO) is owned by a partnership. The FBO provides fuel and other aviation services.
Afton Airpark Estates
PROJECT DESCRIPTION (continued)
Summer Activities• White water rafting & kayaking on the Snake River
• Drift Boat Trips along the scenic Salt River
• Fly and Bait Fishing
• Hiking, ATVs and Mountain Biking on Extensive US Forest Service lands
• 18-Hole Johnny Miller designed golf course in Afton and 36 holes (Star Valley)
• Water Skiing on the Palisade’s Reservoir
Winter Activities
• World class Elk and Deer Hunting (Fall)
• Snowmobiling
• Cross Country Skiing
• Snowshoeing
• Skiing at Jackson Hole and Grand Targhee
The property is located in the middle of an extensive outdoor recreation paradise (3.4 million acres Bridger-Teton National Forest). Nearby activities include:
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Afton Airpark Estates
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
• The Afton Airpark Estates is a full service TTF (through the fence) supported airpark
• One of only a few FAA supported Airparks in the Rocky Mountain region (Denver)
• Private plane ground storage and hangar access is at a premium in Jackson Hole
• Afton Wyoming is central to thousands of acres of year-round recreational activities
• Real Estate in Jackson Hole is at premium
• 1-acre plus direct access hangar homes are marketable in western Wyoming
• Based on National and Regional comparables and recent sales patterns, pricing in excess of $150,000 to $250,000 per acre is supportable at the Afton Airpark Estates location. 5
Afton Airpark Estates
SITE LOCATION
The project is
located on State
Highway 89
within the city
limits of Afton,
Wyoming.
6Subject site
Afton Airpark Estates
SITE IMAGES
Afton Airpark – Images
Located in southwestern Wyoming’s Star Valley, Afton Airpark offers convenient access to majestic mountains, rivers and abundant wildlife habitat
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Afton Airpark Estates
Afton Area Images
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Afton Airpark Estates
SITE LOCATION
Regional Perspective
The site is, within a 1
hour drive of Jackson
Hole. The drive between
Afton and Jackson Hole
has been enhanced by
the widening of State
Road 89 to
accommodate passing
lanes up the Snake River
Canyon. The Highway is
all weather and regularly
maintained.
Afton
Jackson Hole
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Afton Airpark Estates
DEVELOPMENT FEATURES
Development Features• Majority of the lots are at least 1.1 acres
• 34 lots have sold
• 20 lots are still available
• Direct taxi way access to a 7200 foot runway
• Runway maintained both winter and summer• Asphalt
• Lights
• Logistics and Service• Full service FBO (Fixed Based Operation)
• FBO staff will be available to provide full range of services including fuel, oxygen, water etc.
• Home owner will be able to arrange for event catering, home cleaning, aircraft maintenance and other needs through FBO
• Travel needs of home owners and guests will be met including (rental car services, fishing guides, white water rafting tours, hunting guides, etc.)
The property includes 47 available lots.
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Afton Airpark Estates
DEVELOPMENT FEATURES (continued)
Development Features• Afton is the home of AVIAT specialty
airplane manufacturer; As a result mechanics are available at a reasonable cost
• Competitive Fees (Especially VS Jackson Hole)
• No landing fees
• No ramp fees
• Market best fuel prices
• Anticipated Covenant, Codes and Restrictions will be reasonable in context with an airpark
• Homes and full hangars allowed• Place to store all winter and summer
recreational vehicles, boats and equipment
• Owner or crew can stay in the home
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS
Supply Factors• Overview of National Airpark Supply (US)
• Number of Airparks
• Location
• Airpark characteristics
• Available lots
• Pricing
• Regional Competitive Supply
• Alpine, WY
• Driggs, ID
• Market Implications of Restrictions on Jackson Hole
• Airport restrictions
• Real Estate
Demand Factors• Growth in aircraft handled by the FAA
• Growth in General Aviation Activity
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Supply Factors
There are roughly 250
Airparks in the US.
Florida has the largest
number of airparks
In the US.
In comparison to other
parts of the country,
the Inter-mountain west
has very few airparks
despite the proximity of
World class recreation.
The term airpark means
residential associated
with aviation / air strips.
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Supply Factors
US Airparks by Use
Private57%
Unknown13%
Commercial10%
Public20% Commercial
N/A
Private
Public
The 250 airparks are:•Mostly private
•Very few have commercial services
•Those that are public allow general access
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Supply Factors
• Most US Airparks are small (12 lots or less)
• 75 percent of all airparks have less than 50 total lots
• 75 percent of all airparks have less than 41 lots with direct taxiway access
Direct Access Lots Total Lots Direct Access Homes Total Homes25th Percentile 0 0 0 0Median 12 14 0 075th Percentile 41 50 11 1390th Percentile 81 100 30 45
Residential Composition at US Airparks (n=249)
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Supply Factors
US Airparks - Runway Length Distribution
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
< 2,000 2,001-2,500 2,501-3,000 3,001-3,500 3,500-4,000 4,001-5,000 5,000 +
Runway Length
Air
pa
rks
Only six airparks have runways longer than 5,000 feet. Afton Airpark is one of only three airparks in the country with a runway of 7,000+ feet.
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Afton Airpark Estates
Runway Length Requirements
Cessna 402 TwinProp
Gates Learjet 35 Jet
Canadair
RJ 200 Jet
Boeing 757-200 Jet
Boeing 737-300/400 Jet
4000
50006300
71006300
73006500
73005800
2500
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Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Selected Air Park Properties
Source: www.airpark.com
In the appendix to this report Norton Consulting has profiled selected airparks in the
US.Although these airparks have been developed and organize somewhat differently than
what is anticipated for Star Valley, they provide a benchmark sense of market parameters.
Conclusions from those tables are as follows:
• The sample set includes upscale airparks in a resort / residential setting
• Runways types and lengths vary considerably; none offer the length and breadth of services promised at Afton.
• The larger developments do not offer direct taxiway service for but a a small proportion of their lots
• Afton, in contrast will offer 100 percent direct taxiway access/egress.
• Lot sizes range from 0.5 to 3 acres; the majority of the Afton Airpark lots will be in the 1.1 acre range, sufficient room for both a hangar and a home.
• Lot pricing ranges from $50,000 to $1.2 million depending on the quality of the development and the
location; the median or central tendency of lot pricing is $250,000 range; current lot pricing at Afton
ranges from $150,000 to $325,000. 18
Afton Airpark Estates
MARKET ANALYSIS Regional Airparks and Air Strips Supply Factors
There are two airpark
properties that have
limited comparability to
the proposed Afton
Airpark property.
These are located in
nearby Alpine,
Wyoming and Driggs,
Idaho.
19Afton
Driggs
Alpine
Jackson
Afton Airpark Estates
•Alpine Airpark is located on the north end of Star Valley on the northwest side of the town of Alpine, WY
•Runway is narrower and shorter than Afton (5,600 ft)
•Not maintained during winter
•Can only accommodate smaller aircraft
•Real estate opportunities at Alpine Airpark include a variety of condominiums attached to or adjacent to individual hangars
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Alpine Airpark – Competitive Benchmark
Afton Airpark Estates
Alpine Airpark
• Lakeview Villas (sold as condominiums)
• Single family villas surrounding a pond; approximately 75-100 yards from hangars
• Building pads 3,000 to 4,000 Sq Ft
• Eight units total; 4 sold at pre-construction prices
• Hangar sizes from 2,000 to 3,200 Sq Ft
• 2 BR / 2 BA villas from $375,000 to $525,000.
Lakeview Villas
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Afton Airpark Estates
Alpine Airpark
• Executive Hangar Condominiums are 800 Sq Ft multi-level units attached to the individual hangars
• These eight units vary in price from $390,000 to $450,000
• Prices start in this range and only include exterior finishes (interior finishes are additional)
• The included hangars range from 2,500 to 3,000 Sq Ft
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Executive Hangar Condominiums
Afton Airpark Estates
Alpine Airpark
Windsock Condominiums
• Four unit condominium; 2 available
• Three bedroom 2.5 bath two level units
• Prices starting at $750,000
• Build to suit interior finishes
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Afton Airpark Estates
Driggs, Idaho – Additional Regional Residential Airpark
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Summary• Not well executed development plans• Land not being marketed professionally• Lax Covenant Codes & Restrictions• Parcels generally available for $80,000 per acre (unimproved)
Afton Airpark Estates
DRIGGS Continued
Connected subdivisions include:
Mustang Ranch
Flying Saddle
Flying T
and in the future Sweetwater – roughly $80,000 per acre
(unimproved)
Driggs Fly-In (in planning; Eric Bedford/developer)
Unnamed (in planning; mixed use/hangars and industrial/
south side of airport / Melenes Bros; Alta Construction)
Available Property in TTF Subdivisions
Mustang Ranch; Lot 2 – 2.02 acres for $159,000 ($80,000 per
acre)
Flying Saddle; 6 adjacent lots approx. 1 acre each for $80,000
per acre
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Afton Airpark Estates
JACKSON HOLE MARKET
The market for airpark and aviation related services in Afton is greatly enhanced by the restricted nature
of the Jackson Hole Airport and the Jackson Hole Real Estate market
Jackson Hole Airport• Foot print cannot grow
• Only have two hangars
• Airport Authority reports over 100 requests for Hangar Space since January of 2004
• With no hangar space there is no place to store recreational vehicles and equipment
• During the summer months planes are allowed to park on the ramps; fees for private jets run from $250 to $725 per night
Jackson Hole Real Estate Market• Specific constraints on future development
• Resale home and land prices at all time highs
• The residential real estate average transaction value was over $800,000 in 2004 as reported through MLS listings and closings
Supply Factors
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Afton Airpark Estates
JACKSON HOLE Access/Use Fees
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Type Landing Fee Ramp FeeHangar Rental
Rate/Night
King Air 200 $16.00 $30 $295
CJ's $13.31 $40 $250
Citation 10s $40.70 $70 $625
Gulfstream IV $74.88 $70 $725
Hawker 800 $29.44 $60 $425
Leer 35 $19.58 $40 $250
Westwind $24.32 $45 $295
Access/Use Fees for Common Airplane Types
Afton Airpark Estates
FACTORS INFLUENCING DEMAND
General aviation continues
to grow.
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Growth Forecasts in Aviation Activity
Aircraft Handled by FAA ARTCC's (Millions)
Actual
FY 2003
Forecast
FY 2007 Change
Air Carrier 22.7 25.8 13.7%
Air Taxi / Commuter 9.1 10.6 16.5%
General Aviation 8 8.6 7.5%
Military 3.9 3.7 -5.1%
43.7 48.7 11.4%
Source: APO-110;
http://www.atctraining.faa.gov/site/library/factbooks/2005/mar05.pdf
Afton Airpark Estates
FACTORS INFLUENCING DEMAND
Hours flown, jet fuel
and aviation gasoline
are projected to grow
rapidly.
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Growth Forecasts in Aviation Activity
Actual FY
2003
Forecast FY
2007 Change
General Aviation
Hours Flown (millions) 26.7 28.7 7.5%
Active Aircraft (000s) 211.2 230.6 9.2%
Jet Fuel (millions of gallons) 989.0 1484.0 50.1%
Aviation Gas (millions of gallons) 276.0 290.0 5.1%
Source: APO-110;
http://www.atctraining.faa.gov/site/library/factbooks/2005/mar05.pdf
Afton Airpark Estates
Lot Sales
Afton Airpark Lot Sales Prices
Afton Airpark Average Sales Price Per Acre
$50,000
$70,000
$90,000
$110,000
$130,000
$150,000
$170,000
$190,000
$210,000
8/05 6/05 9/05 10/05 1/06 2/06 3/06 4/06 6/06 7/06 8/06 9/06
!After an initial period of pre-construction price discounting, per acre lot pricing has climbed through the $150,000 to $200,000 per acre level.
!Afton Airpark lot pricing levels compare favorably with other real estate products in the regional and national market.
!The unique value of whole ownership estate airpark living in the outlying Jackson Hole market suggests continued price escalation. 30
Afton Airpark Estates
APPENDIXAppendix
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Afton Airpark Estates
Selected Airparks – General Description
Source: www.airpark.com
RunwaysFacility Location Type Access Acres Type Length Lighting Add'l Info
Jumbolair Aviation Estates Ocala, FL Residential Private Asphalt 7,5503 intensity radio controlled
Spruce Creek Fly-In Daytona Beach, FL Residential Private 117 Asphalt 4,756Medium/Dusk to Dawn
14 Miles Taxiways
Heaven's Landing (Under Constr) Clayton, GA Residential Private Concrete 5,000 N/A100 LL/Jet A Fuel
Lajuitas-The Ultimate Hideout Lajitas, TX Resort Private 25,000 Asphalt 7,500
Stellar Airpark Estates Chandler, AZ Residential Private 50 Concrete 4,200 Yes - VASI 100 LLA Fuel
Mabel Lake Resort & Airpark Enderby, BC, Canada Resort Private Turf 2,900
Bourland Field Cresson, TX Residential Public Asphalt 4,150Yes-MicrophoneControlled
100LL/ Jet A Fuel, Pilot Lounge, Kitchen
Cannon Creek Airpark Lake City, FL Residential PrivateAsphaltTurf
3,500 2,400 Yes
Madden's on Gull Lake Brainerd, MN Resort Public 7 TurfWater 2,168
Westgate River Ranch Resort Lake Wales, FL Resort Private 5,000 Yes 32
Afton Airpark Estates
Selected Airparks –Residential Characteristics
Source: www.airpark.com
Facility Acres Total Lots Type Lot Prices Home Prices
Jumbolair Aviation Estates 550 125Estates/ Phase I $350,000 +
Spruce Creek Fly-In 1,200 Condo, Single Family, Estate
$50,000 - $400,000 +
Condo $135k+Taxiway S.F. $365k+
Heaven's Landing (Under Constr) 500 200 Estate
Lajuitas-The Ultimate Hideout 500 Single Family $250,000-$1.2mm
Stellar Airpark Estates 50 65 Single Family $155,000-$355,000 $360,000-$480,000
Mabel Lake Resort & Airpark 183 S.F. & Condo $130,000 + $500,000 +
Bourland Field 57 Single Family $65,000-$120,000 $300,000 +
Cannon Creek Airpark 500 153 $40,000-$350,000 $350,000(duplex) +
Madden's on Gull Lake
Westgate River Ranch Resort 1,700
CabinsTownhomesVillasAirport HomesCondo Hotel 33
Afton Airpark Estates
Selected Airparks –Residential Characteristics
Source: www.airpark.com
AmenitiesFacility Location Clubhouse Swimming Equestrian Golf Tennis Other
Jumbolair Aviation Estates Ocala, FL Jumbolair CC Yes Yes No Yes5-Suite Inn, Fitness Center, Indoor/ Outdoor Dining, 9,000 sq. ft. Ballroom
Spruce Creek Fly-In Daytona Bch, FL
Heaven's Landing (Under Constr) Clayton, GAPlanned amenities: clubhouse, tennis Yes Yes No Yes
Lajuitas-The Ultimate Hideout Lajitas, TXGolf clubhouse, driving range, practice greens Yes Yes Yes Yes
Jeep Tours, River Rafting, Mountain Bbiking, Hunt Club, Shopping, Agavita Spa, Art Gallery
Stellar Airpark Estates Chandler, AZ None No No No No 1 mile from new Chandler Fashion Mall
Mabel Lake Resort & Airpark Enderby, BC Golf clubhouse, Yes No Yes (9-Hole) NoSport fishing, boat launch, resort store, cabin rentals
Bourland Field Cresson, TX Yes Yes-Trails No Yes Bike Trails, Ball Fields, Creeks, Lakes
Cannon Creek Airpark Lake City, FL No No No Yes
Madden's on Gull Lake Brainerd, MNGolf Clubhouse, Restaurant, Yes No
Yes (63 holes) Yes (7 )
Marina, Spa, Trapshooting, Beach, Croquet, Volleyball, Golf School, Mtg. Rooms, Full service resort
Westgate River Ranch Resort Lake Wales, FL Yes Yes9-H (27-H
UC) Yes
Petting Zoo, Video Arcade, Marina, Rodeo, Saloon, Trap & Skeet Range, Restaurant, Basketball Court, Campsites
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