Aether Analytics October Conspectus

8/10/2019 Aether Analytics October Conspectus

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ther AnalyticsWeekly Technical ConspectusAll Marketspublish date : 10/17/2014

Author : Alex Bernal, CMT

[email protected]

805.252.7161


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DISCLAIMER

The information in this report is based upon public sources Aether Analytics LLC (we or us ) believes reliable, but no representation is made byinformation is accurate or complete. The views expressed above represent our personal and subject view as of the date of this newsletter, and wto advise you of any change in the reported information or in opinions expressed herein.

This report was prepared and issued by us for distribution to sophisticated investors, and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice, indiviotherwise. Investments involve substantial risk, and the investments referred to herein may not be suitable for each investor. Investors must make tdecisions in consultation with their professional advisors in light or their specific circumstances. The value of investments may fluctuate, and investdenominated in foreign currencies may fluctuate in value as result of exposure to exchange rate movements. Information about past performanis not necessarily a guide to, indicator of, or assurance of, future performance. This report is not an offer to buy or sell any security.

To the maximum extent permitted by law, Aether Analytics LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and / or recommendations in the report prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.

The publisher shall act with integrity, competence, diligence, respect, and in an ethical manner with the public, clients, prospective clients, colleaparticipants in the global capital markets. You may use the information provided at your own risk.

No representation is being made that the information will produce trading profits, or limit trading losses. In no event shall Aether Analytics LLC or itrepresentatives, affiliates or contributing authors be held liable for any special, incidental or consequential damages, whatsoever (including withtrading losses or any other losses incurred) arising from the use or inability to use the information contained herein.

Report Details

Charts : Only markets that have critical trade setups or existing trades will be included. Publishing schedule : Weekly, delivered Sunday evening If any instrument was not covered in this weeks letter but you would still like a technical synopsis Please feel free to skype me at alexbernal0 or

alex@aetheranalytics. Com User Guide Download Link> http://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdf
http://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdfhttp://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdfhttp://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdf


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AUDCAD Weekly1/2 way to target zone


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AUDNZD WeeklyBearish BatLow Pattern Rank


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CADJPYLow Pattern Rank Bearish Gartley


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EURAUDWeekly Copsey Elliot WaveWave 5 underway


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EURAUDWeekly Copsey Elliot WaveWave 5 underway


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EURCADWeekly Elliot WaveWave 5 underway


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EURUSD2/3 the way to target zone


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NZDCADNice move off Bullish Bat support


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NZDJPYLow pattern rank Bat


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USDCADBearish Bat


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Jakarta IndexWeekly Bearish Gartley


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Hong Kong Hang Seng Index1/2 way to target zone


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SPX Index Bullish Shark


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Taiwan IndexDouble Top Confirmed


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CATBullish Butterfly


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CSCO Almost at target zone


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GSLow Pattern Rank Bearish Crab


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IBMPotential Bullish Butterfly


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JPM

Low pattern rank Gartley

Target Achieved


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XLY

Bullish Shark


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Cocoa Futures

Bearish Bat


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CL

Crude Oil

Bullish Butterfly


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Cotton

Bullish Shark


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ES

SP500 Futures Bullish Shark


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Gold Daily

Shallow Bullish Crab


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Gold

Weekly Large Scale Bullish Bat Pattern still in play


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Live Cattle

Bearish Three Drives


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RBOB

Great Chart to study


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Sugar No. 11

Nice Reversal off shark pattern


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TF Russell 2000 Futures

Nice Confirmed Reversal


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Soybean Oil

Weekly

Bullish Deep Crab


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AAPL

Bearish Bat


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ADBE

Bullish Bat


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ADP Weekly

Great Chart to Study


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ADS

Big move off Bullish Bat


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AES

Bullish Butterfly


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AIZ Bullish Crab


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AMAT

Bullish Gartley


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AON

Heres one for the EWavers


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APA

Nice Bearish Crab & Head & Shoulders Pattern


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ATI

Bullish Bat


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AVY

Bullish Deep Crab


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BDX

Bullish Gartley


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BMS

Bullish Gartley


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CAH Weekly Bearish Butterfly


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CBS

Bullish Crab


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CERN

Bearish Bat


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COF Nice follow thought in COF


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COG Weekly Head & Shoulders Confirming


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CVC

Bullish Gartley


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DNB Weekly Bearish Bat


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ESS Bullish Shark


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F Weekly Target Achieved


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FLR Bullish Bat


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GISBullish Gartley


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GTBullish Deep Crab


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IFFBullish Crab


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IRBullish Butterfly


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JBL Weekly


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LBBearish Bat


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METBullish Butterfly


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NTAP Deep Crab


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NUE Bearish Butterfly


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OMCBullish Bat


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PBI Bullish Butterfly


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PCARBullish Bat


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TRIPBullish Bat


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USB Bullish Butterfly

AppendixMethodology & Strategy

Harmonicany component of a periodic oscillation whose frequency is and integral multiple of the fundamental frequency.


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The periods of neighboring waves in price action tend to be related by the small whole number. - J.M. Hurst

Our aim with this report is to only focus on identifying the best possible trading patterns that are occurring in any given market. We utilize a variety

find specific geometric ratio wave patterns that have favorable r isk to reward projected movements. Most of our trades are harmonic patterns an

elliott waves in the tradition of H.M. Gartley, Larry Pesavento, Ross Beck, Scott Carney, R.N. Elliot, Ian Copsey & Bryce Gilmore. We blend all the be

we have studied and thoroughly tested from each of the noted analysts and have also developed some proprietary tools of our own for trade qu

and management. In terms of Elliot Wave theory we analyze waves in isolation for our primary trading time periods (daily & weekly). We dont be

subjective nature of manually counting elliott waves but rather only focusing on 5 and 3 wave patterns that have perfect symmetry in regards to t

essence we focus only on waves we recognize to have high probability fractal structures. Meaning only if specific geometric symmetry is identifie

investigate for a trade entry point. When the market is creating wave fractals that are not amongst our high probability pattern repertoire no trad

forecasted.

Common Newsletter Nomenclature

Pattern RankOur proprietary measurement system ranks patterns based on many variables within the internal structure as well as the macro tech

(longer term waves & trend). We will highlight these patterns but if the rank is too low we will not recommend a trade.

PRZPotential Reversal Zone, is also defined as our clearly defined level that a pattern must reach / test at least once in order to qualify as a harm

Pattern NamesBAT, BUTTERFLY, GARTLEY, GARFLY, CYPHER, SHARK, ALTBAT, CRAB, DEEP CRABThese labels refer to specific harmonic 5 point f

that appear in the markets. Please refer to the USER GUIDE here> http://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdfor full sp

for each pattern

Detrended OscillatorOne of the only 2 indicators we will refer to in our charts is the Detrended Oscillator this is a proprietary calculation and is ve

RVALUE indicator laid out by Mark W. Helweg & David C. Stendahl in there book Dynamic Trading Indicators. We have found this to be a great too

over extending to the up and downside of a markets normal behavior. It is also very useful for finding divergence point between price and mom

Appendix

These standing wave patterns represent the lowest energy vibrational modes of the object or complex system. While there are countless way by

can vibrate (each associated with a specific frequency), objects favor only a few specific modes or patterns of vibrating. The favored modes (pa

are those which result in the highest amplitude vibrations with the least input of energy. -AE
http://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdfhttp://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdfhttp://aetheranalytics.com/images/AetherConspectusUserGuide.pdf


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Trade Management

We primarily recommend trades that have a minimum of 3 to 1 risk reward ratio. Initial risk (stop loss) levels we often utilize are (ATR 14, 1.618), (ATR

14, 2.5) (ATR 21, 3.0) from the entry price. Then a trailing stop from the current price is used with the ATR measures previously outlined. Entry techni

somewhat subject process in our trading methodology. Users should always be aware that if a trade risk to reward ratio is less than 3:1 then the en

or minimum targets need to be revised. We always show 2 potential target areas for each trade. Once Target 1 has been reached we recomme

putting the trade stop loss at break even. Typically we take 1/2 the position off at Target 1 and trail stops until target 2 is reached or we get stoppe

Position Sizing

There are many different ways we suggest utilizing position sizing for your portfolio. For the purpose of this newsletter we will simply suggest our con

the context of each trade. When we mention Normal position size this is size that you have determined to be most optimal position size for your s

tolerance and trade management style. We will suggest 1/2 (50%) normal or 3/4 (75%) normal for trades we have sl ightly less confidence in & 6/4 (

(200%) for trades we have more confidence in. This is only a suggestion and should only be considered as opinion or commentary from us for each

ever recommend betting the farm or going all in in any trade because it surely leads to ruin. One of our favorite Portfolio position sizing formula

recommend is the following:

Percent Volatility Sizing -{ Position Size = (CE * %PE) / SV}- Where CE is the current account equity (NAV of portfolio, %PE is percentage of portfolirisk per trade (2%, 3% and 4% are recommended), SV is the stocks 14 day ATR

Author Bio

Alex Bernal CMT


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Alex Bernal, CMT

Alex Bernal is a Chartered Market Technician with many years of industry experience in the equity, commodity, currency, interest rate and derivat

also holds a degree in Economics from the University of Southern California. Alex started his career at the Beverly Hills branch of Bear Stearns & Co

management division. Then in 2007 he moved over to M&N Trading, LLC. where he joined the prop trading desk where he specialized in statistical

such as global yield curve spreads and STIR futures. Here he was mentored by Veteran Trader, Anthony Lazzara, who was once the largest 5 year

trader at the Chicago Board of Trade and executed as much as $100 billion in interest rate futures contracts annually. Alex founded Aether Analy

the intent on providing premier technical analysis research to his clients with a focus only on the methods that have been proven to produce qua

through he scientific research process. Aether Analytics deploys an approach that emphasizes on the objective not the subjective and aims to re

repeating market fractal patterns that traders or portfolio manager can utilized to manage risk or speculate for profit.

Alex has also been featured on many prominent news & financial blog networks such as CNBC, Bloomberg, CBOE TV, Fxstreet.com, Seeitmarket.c

Benzinga.com, MTA.org, Yorba Media Radio & First Business News Network.

Contact

aetheranalytics.com

[email protected]

+1.805.252.7161

Skype : alexbernal0

Aether Analytics October Conspectus

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