Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014.
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Transcript of Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014.
Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP
Kermit WiesOctober 2014
Background and History
Trip-Based Models
Trip Generation
Trip Distribution
Mode Choice
Network Assignment
Feedback
Transit
Non-Motorized
Generalized Cost
MSA
Plan for Advanced Modeling at CMAP
• Policy priorities• Data needs• Computing environment
Freight Highway Pricing Transit Modernization
Advanced Freight Model Development
• GO TO 2040 Freight Chapter– National and Regional Policy– Economic development– Infrastructure
• Three-tiered freight analysis– Macro = Economic choice– Meso = Supply chain and logistics– Micro = Network operations
• Implementation strategy– Microsimulation– Agent-based
Progress-to-date• Two rounds of mesoscale development
– Microsimulates commodity flows and predicts distribution channels to, from and through the CMAP region. Also assembles local truck tours.
• Implemented at CMAP for scenario and project tests
cmap.illinois.gov/catmug
Two rounds of development
• UIC Developed original FAME model at national level
• Designed the model and prepared the original code in SAS
• Extended the design and rewrote the code in R
Mesoscale Model: step by step
cmap.illinois.gov/catmug
CMAP Implementation
• Testing model execution• Understanding new concepts• Linking to standard procedures• Results Validation
Data Resources
• Basic demonstration uses currently available data:
– Freight Analysis Framework– County Business Patterns– Make-Use Tables– Regional Model Data– National Freight Networks
• Parameter estimation: – heuristic– empirical
Recent Applications
• Tour Length• Tonnage Comparison• Circle Interchange
Forecasting
• Agent-based Economic Extension– External infrastructure decisions, economic change, policy actions
– Combined effect of independent procurement and logistics business decisions
Activity-Based Models• Application of an Activity-Based Model for Highway Pricing Studies in Chicago
• Transit Beyond Travel Time and Cost• Network Microsimulation Extension to Activity-Based Travel Model
Highway Pricing Model
http://www.cmap.illinois.gov/mobility/roads/congestion-pricing
Transit Modernization Model
Bike Model
ABM/DTA Integration4-step demand model
Static assignment
Trip tables
LOS skims for all
possible trips
Microsimulation ABM
Microsimulation DTA
List of individual
trips
Aggregate LOS skims
for all possible trips
Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP
Kermit WiesOctober 2014