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    Promoting Urban Disaster

    Preparedness and Mitigation: MakingAsian Cities Safer

    By A.J. Rego & Arambepola (ADPC)7th IIASA-DPRI Forum

    Coping with Disaster: Challenges for the 21st Century andBeyond

    20th September 2007 - Stresa, Italy

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    Growing Cities at Risk from Natural

    and Technological Hazards By 2004 half worlds population living in urban areas

    At least 80% of population growth in the 1990s occurred in

    urban areas 17of the 20 largest cities in the world are in developing

    countries - many exposed to EQ, landslide, flooding hazard

    25 largest cities have over8 mill. inhabitants

    Average number of victims in disaster is 150 times greaterin developing world mega city than in a developed countrymega city

    Road accidents, industrial, chemical and transportaccidents are a growing threat

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    Cities are vulnerable to disaster

    risk because of - Rapid urbanization

    Rural - urban migration

    Growing population - already stretched resources

    Poor living standards - build without considerationof safety (time pressures) + in hazard prone areas

    Lack of public awareness to hazards/risks Building codes are poorly enforced or non-existent

    Environmental degradation - resource depletion -lowers resilience

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    Cities are vulnerable to disaster

    risk because of - (2) Increased risk of industrial/technological hazards -

    (secondary impacts eg. fire/radiation)

    Densely packed housing - health risk

    Disruption to draining channels due to uncontrolled urbangrowth - flooding

    Inadequate management or provision of services - waste +sewage disposal, clean water access

    The poor building informal settlements on low qualityland; which are important . banks

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    Vulnerability of the Asian Region

    Asia is famous for its

    great diversities andalso for disparities .

    Half of the total worldpopulation live in Eight

    disaster prone countries

    China, India, Indonesia,Bangladesh, Japan,Philippines, Vietnam,

    Thailand

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    Top Two Worst Disasters in Asia 2004

    Typhoon Nanmadol, Philippines (November) winds of 220

    km/hr - at least 412 deaths

    Indian Ocean Tsunami and EQ (December) - Affecting:

    Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India, Bangladesh, Malaysia,Thailand, Maldives - death toll at least 212,000

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    The 2 deadliest disasters of 2006 were both in Asia

    -Indonesian EQ (May) killing 5,778

    -Typhoon Durian (Philippines, Dec.) killing 1,399

    Top Two Worst Disasters in Asia in 2006

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    Earthquake Vulnerability in Asia

    Exposure (People/year)

    > 100'000

    10'000 - 10'000

    1'000 - 10'000

    100 - 1'000

    10 - 100

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    Earthquakes in Asia

    The Pacific rim experiences 90%of all the worlds earthquakes.

    In 1976, China had the most deadly earthquake ever known. Itkilled 800,000 people.

    More than 50 cities in Asia with apopulation greater than

    1,000,000 are at significant riskfor an earthquake. Recent major events are Iran in 2003, Indonesia in

    2004,2005,2006, Pakistan in 2005,

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    Flood Vulnerability in Asia

    Exposure (People/Year)

    > 100'000

    10'000 - 100'000

    1'000 - 10'000

    100 - 1'000

    10 - 100

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    Flooding in Asia

    The year 2000 saw the worst flooding in 60 years forVietnams Mekong Delta region, 40 years forCambodia, 35 years for Laos, and in a century forwestern Bangladesh and West Bengal, India.

    Year 2007 August Floods in India, Nepal andBangladesh caused significant economic losses

    Recent events in 2007 show major threat is from flashfloods which is evident from Nepal, Bhutan,

    Thailand, Philippines

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    Cyclones/Typhoon Exposure in

    Asia

    Exposure (People/year)

    > 100'000

    10'000 - 100'000

    1'000 - 10'000

    100 - 1'000

    10 - 100

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    Cyclones/Typhoons in Asia

    There were 95 major storms in SE Asia and the Pacificregions between 1980-2000.

    Since 1970, cyclones have killed an estimated 1.5million in Bangladesh.

    The October 1999 storm surge in Orissa, India, affected15 million people, killed 9,500 people, destroyed 3

    million homes, and left seven million people homeless. Recent major events were in Karachci Pakistan in 2007,Vietnam and Philippines in 2006

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    Volcano Occurrence

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    Volcanoes in Asia

    Of the 16 largest eruptions inthe last two centuries, fiveoccurred in Asia. Three ofthese, all in Indonesia, killed

    130,000 people. The eruption of Mt. Pinatubo

    in 1991 was the secondlargest eruption of the 20thcentury.

    The Philippines, Indonesia,and Papua New Guinea areall at significant risk for

    volcanic eruptions.

    Mt. Pinatubo 1991

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    Asian Cities at Risk

    37%of Asias population lived in

    cities by 2000; this will rise to 60%

    by 2025

    More than 50 citiesin Asia with a

    population greater than 1,000,000are

    at significant risk from an EQ

    Rural to urban migration accounts

    for64% of city growth in Asia Of the 10 largest Asian cities; 7 are

    prone to multi hazard risks and are

    awaiting a catastrophic event

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    Making Cities Safer

    Promote householdvulnerability reduction measures

    Build capacity of local government + emergency services

    Decentralization of resources + decision making

    Democratic means of DRR planning

    Build capacity of community/social groups

    Create institutional frameworkfor action

    Enforce appropriatebuilding codes + urban planning

    guidelines

    Hazard assessments - physical/social/economic

    Environmental management

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    UN-HABITAT Agenda 1996

    Agenda actions for disaster prevention:

    Appropriate laws & standards for land use, building &planning

    Encourage multi stakeholder participation in DM planningespecially vulnerable eg. elderly/disabled

    Continued mobilization of domestic & internationalresources for DRR activities

    Distribute information on disaster resistant constructionmethods for public works etc.

    Facilitate voluntary move of people to less disaster proneareas -ensuring access for all

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    UN-HABITAT Agenda 1996 (2)

    Training on disaster resistant construction forbuilders/designers/contractors

    Upgrade resistance of current infrastructure/critical

    facilities Risk mapping and vulnerability assessments

    Community focused vulnerability reduction programs

    Improve information dissemination on potential hazards

    Strengthen technological, scientific & engineering capacityfor monitoring -EWS

    Decentralization of authority & resources to enablecapacity building for greater resilience

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    Asian Urban Disaster Mitigation

    Program (AUDMP) 1995-2004Implemented by ADPC in 20 secondary cities of 8 countries-

    Bangladesh, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Nepal,

    Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand

    Aim: reduce disaster vulnerability of urban populations,infrastructure & lifeline facilities & shelter in Asia

    facilitate development ofsustainable mechanisms for

    disaster mitigation build capacity of all stakeholders to mitigate disaster risks

    promote replication and adaptation of successful mitigationmeasures elsewhere

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    AUDMP Project Locations

    QuickTime and a

    TIFF (LZW) decompressorare needed to s ee this picture.

    Safer Cities 12: Demonstration Housing

    Construction for Landslide and Flood

    Prone Areas (Sri Lanka)

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    Why Secondary Cities are a Priority for

    DRR Programs

    Secondary versus Mega Cities -

    Greater vulnerability - from rapid uncontrolledurbanization

    High migration rates -greater need for housing &services

    Economic growth attracts investment

    In mega cities problems difficult to identify &

    solutions complex to implement Greater chance of success & measurable change

    More manageable communities & simplerinstitutionally

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    AUDMP Measurable Results

    5 of 8 targeted city emergency preparedness & responseplans written or revised

    95% of the 75% targeted public & private sectorprofessionals working with AUDMP initiated disastermitigation training

    43,000 households benefited from AUDMP sponsoreddisaster vulnerability reduction activities

    5 regional networks, 209 organizations & 1,760 disaster

    mitigation professionals participating in AUDMP regionalinformation network -started with 33 organizations only

    In 2002 ADPCs Urban Strategy Asia 2020 expandedADPCs outreach from 30 to 100 cities

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    Program for Hydro-Meteorological Disaster

    Mitigation in Secondary Cities in Asia

    (PROMISE) 2005-2008 Phase I5 highly vulnerable urbanizing cities: Chittagong (Bangladesh),

    Hyderabad (Pakistan), Dagupan (Philippines), Kalutara (Sri Lanka) & Da

    Nang (Vietnam) - linked to watersheds, river basins or at risk coastal belts

    Aim: to reduce vulnerability of urban communities to hydro-

    meteorological disasters in S + SEAsia to measurably alleviate humansuffering, prevent loss of life, and reduce the potential for physical and

    economic damage through:

    City demonstration projects

    Regional + national capacity building

    Advocacy for mainstreaming of risk management in urban governance

    Regional network + information dissemination

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    PROMISE - Philippines:

    Dagupan City

    Problem: reduced capacity of rivers due toheavy rains, upstream bank erosionclogging channel & transport of laharmaterial - causing floods (eg. 1990)

    Solutions:Technical Working Group -plan, monitor,

    document, train and maintain

    Capacity building of community &

    authoritiesWork with stakeholders

    Risk Communication Plan

    Institutional change - Disaster PreparednessDay (July 16th)

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    ADPC Urban Strategy Asia 2020

    ADPC and partners working with 100 cities to reduce urban

    vulnerability and build disaster resilient communities

    through 4 strategies:

    Planning and Building Safer Cities

    Emergency Management & Response Planning for Cities

    Public Awareness Campaigns

    Knowledge Development & Capacity Building:

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    Specific Action

    a) How- to resource toolkitsthat translate awareness intoaction

    b) Specific UDRM focussed

    courses targeted at city &national officials & privatesector developers

    c) Partnerships with urbanauthorities & regional citynetworks (Citynet, ICMA,IULA, ICLEZ)

    d) Safer sister city partnerships

    & network

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    Linking Climate Change to Urban

    Risk Reduction Study areas where improvement to governance structure is

    needed to enhance resilience of the poor communities inthe urban coastal low-lying areas

    Analyse trends in primary (meteorological) events andsecondary impacts (health hazards, slope destabilizationetc) in built up areas to assess consequences of sea levelrise & impact in urban coastal areas

    The scientific community in Asia has not yet undertaken

    adequate interest in conducting multi- sectoral studies tounderstand & prepare inventories of the climate changeimpacts on coastal ecosystems

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    Long Term Strategies for DRR

    There is an urgent need to make risk mitigation one of theessential components of urban governance and creating

    policy, legal and institutional arrangements to ensure saferurban communities

    The city level risk maps, using GPS and RS techniquestransforming the community knowledge into formal

    products, can be integrated in other maps to see thechanging risk scenario

    Ensure access to information by public

    Urban community based approach to convert thevictimized communities to a resource

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    Long Term Strategies for DRR (2)

    Participatory approach for scenario building, risk

    assessment & action planning can also generate much

    needed awareness

    Ensuring safer housing & shelter, capable of withstanding

    hazard events, require quality assurance of housing

    construction and infrastructure as an essential part of urban

    risk reduction

    Making the private sector partner in development means itshould also shoulder some responsibility in urban DRR

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    Long Term Strategies for DRR (3)

    Activating poor and motivating them to become resilientagainst natural calamities is an answer to the key issue of

    poverty reduction

    Vulnerability reduction should be integrated into the

    development process so that it can contribute tosustainability, empowerment & community resilience

    Support the implementation aspects of Hyogo Frameworkof Action & create more awareness about HFA

    Advocate strongly for decentralization of disaster riskmanagement functions to local government sector &integrating in other sector based programs as a routine

    practice to facilitate building safer communities

    Mainstream DRR into local governance