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Promoting Urban Disaster
Preparedness and Mitigation: MakingAsian Cities Safer
By A.J. Rego & Arambepola (ADPC)7th IIASA-DPRI Forum
Coping with Disaster: Challenges for the 21st Century andBeyond
20th September 2007 - Stresa, Italy
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Growing Cities at Risk from Natural
and Technological Hazards By 2004 half worlds population living in urban areas
At least 80% of population growth in the 1990s occurred in
urban areas 17of the 20 largest cities in the world are in developing
countries - many exposed to EQ, landslide, flooding hazard
25 largest cities have over8 mill. inhabitants
Average number of victims in disaster is 150 times greaterin developing world mega city than in a developed countrymega city
Road accidents, industrial, chemical and transportaccidents are a growing threat
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Cities are vulnerable to disaster
risk because of - Rapid urbanization
Rural - urban migration
Growing population - already stretched resources
Poor living standards - build without considerationof safety (time pressures) + in hazard prone areas
Lack of public awareness to hazards/risks Building codes are poorly enforced or non-existent
Environmental degradation - resource depletion -lowers resilience
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Cities are vulnerable to disaster
risk because of - (2) Increased risk of industrial/technological hazards -
(secondary impacts eg. fire/radiation)
Densely packed housing - health risk
Disruption to draining channels due to uncontrolled urbangrowth - flooding
Inadequate management or provision of services - waste +sewage disposal, clean water access
The poor building informal settlements on low qualityland; which are important . banks
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Vulnerability of the Asian Region
Asia is famous for its
great diversities andalso for disparities .
Half of the total worldpopulation live in Eight
disaster prone countries
China, India, Indonesia,Bangladesh, Japan,Philippines, Vietnam,
Thailand
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Top Two Worst Disasters in Asia 2004
Typhoon Nanmadol, Philippines (November) winds of 220
km/hr - at least 412 deaths
Indian Ocean Tsunami and EQ (December) - Affecting:
Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India, Bangladesh, Malaysia,Thailand, Maldives - death toll at least 212,000
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The 2 deadliest disasters of 2006 were both in Asia
-Indonesian EQ (May) killing 5,778
-Typhoon Durian (Philippines, Dec.) killing 1,399
Top Two Worst Disasters in Asia in 2006
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Earthquake Vulnerability in Asia
Exposure (People/year)
> 100'000
10'000 - 10'000
1'000 - 10'000
100 - 1'000
10 - 100
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Earthquakes in Asia
The Pacific rim experiences 90%of all the worlds earthquakes.
In 1976, China had the most deadly earthquake ever known. Itkilled 800,000 people.
More than 50 cities in Asia with apopulation greater than
1,000,000 are at significant riskfor an earthquake. Recent major events are Iran in 2003, Indonesia in
2004,2005,2006, Pakistan in 2005,
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Flood Vulnerability in Asia
Exposure (People/Year)
> 100'000
10'000 - 100'000
1'000 - 10'000
100 - 1'000
10 - 100
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Flooding in Asia
The year 2000 saw the worst flooding in 60 years forVietnams Mekong Delta region, 40 years forCambodia, 35 years for Laos, and in a century forwestern Bangladesh and West Bengal, India.
Year 2007 August Floods in India, Nepal andBangladesh caused significant economic losses
Recent events in 2007 show major threat is from flashfloods which is evident from Nepal, Bhutan,
Thailand, Philippines
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Cyclones/Typhoon Exposure in
Asia
Exposure (People/year)
> 100'000
10'000 - 100'000
1'000 - 10'000
100 - 1'000
10 - 100
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Cyclones/Typhoons in Asia
There were 95 major storms in SE Asia and the Pacificregions between 1980-2000.
Since 1970, cyclones have killed an estimated 1.5million in Bangladesh.
The October 1999 storm surge in Orissa, India, affected15 million people, killed 9,500 people, destroyed 3
million homes, and left seven million people homeless. Recent major events were in Karachci Pakistan in 2007,Vietnam and Philippines in 2006
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Volcano Occurrence
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Volcanoes in Asia
Of the 16 largest eruptions inthe last two centuries, fiveoccurred in Asia. Three ofthese, all in Indonesia, killed
130,000 people. The eruption of Mt. Pinatubo
in 1991 was the secondlargest eruption of the 20thcentury.
The Philippines, Indonesia,and Papua New Guinea areall at significant risk for
volcanic eruptions.
Mt. Pinatubo 1991
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Asian Cities at Risk
37%of Asias population lived in
cities by 2000; this will rise to 60%
by 2025
More than 50 citiesin Asia with a
population greater than 1,000,000are
at significant risk from an EQ
Rural to urban migration accounts
for64% of city growth in Asia Of the 10 largest Asian cities; 7 are
prone to multi hazard risks and are
awaiting a catastrophic event
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Making Cities Safer
Promote householdvulnerability reduction measures
Build capacity of local government + emergency services
Decentralization of resources + decision making
Democratic means of DRR planning
Build capacity of community/social groups
Create institutional frameworkfor action
Enforce appropriatebuilding codes + urban planning
guidelines
Hazard assessments - physical/social/economic
Environmental management
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UN-HABITAT Agenda 1996
Agenda actions for disaster prevention:
Appropriate laws & standards for land use, building &planning
Encourage multi stakeholder participation in DM planningespecially vulnerable eg. elderly/disabled
Continued mobilization of domestic & internationalresources for DRR activities
Distribute information on disaster resistant constructionmethods for public works etc.
Facilitate voluntary move of people to less disaster proneareas -ensuring access for all
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UN-HABITAT Agenda 1996 (2)
Training on disaster resistant construction forbuilders/designers/contractors
Upgrade resistance of current infrastructure/critical
facilities Risk mapping and vulnerability assessments
Community focused vulnerability reduction programs
Improve information dissemination on potential hazards
Strengthen technological, scientific & engineering capacityfor monitoring -EWS
Decentralization of authority & resources to enablecapacity building for greater resilience
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Asian Urban Disaster Mitigation
Program (AUDMP) 1995-2004Implemented by ADPC in 20 secondary cities of 8 countries-
Bangladesh, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Nepal,
Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand
Aim: reduce disaster vulnerability of urban populations,infrastructure & lifeline facilities & shelter in Asia
facilitate development ofsustainable mechanisms for
disaster mitigation build capacity of all stakeholders to mitigate disaster risks
promote replication and adaptation of successful mitigationmeasures elsewhere
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AUDMP Project Locations
QuickTime and a
TIFF (LZW) decompressorare needed to s ee this picture.
Safer Cities 12: Demonstration Housing
Construction for Landslide and Flood
Prone Areas (Sri Lanka)
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Why Secondary Cities are a Priority for
DRR Programs
Secondary versus Mega Cities -
Greater vulnerability - from rapid uncontrolledurbanization
High migration rates -greater need for housing &services
Economic growth attracts investment
In mega cities problems difficult to identify &
solutions complex to implement Greater chance of success & measurable change
More manageable communities & simplerinstitutionally
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AUDMP Measurable Results
5 of 8 targeted city emergency preparedness & responseplans written or revised
95% of the 75% targeted public & private sectorprofessionals working with AUDMP initiated disastermitigation training
43,000 households benefited from AUDMP sponsoreddisaster vulnerability reduction activities
5 regional networks, 209 organizations & 1,760 disaster
mitigation professionals participating in AUDMP regionalinformation network -started with 33 organizations only
In 2002 ADPCs Urban Strategy Asia 2020 expandedADPCs outreach from 30 to 100 cities
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Program for Hydro-Meteorological Disaster
Mitigation in Secondary Cities in Asia
(PROMISE) 2005-2008 Phase I5 highly vulnerable urbanizing cities: Chittagong (Bangladesh),
Hyderabad (Pakistan), Dagupan (Philippines), Kalutara (Sri Lanka) & Da
Nang (Vietnam) - linked to watersheds, river basins or at risk coastal belts
Aim: to reduce vulnerability of urban communities to hydro-
meteorological disasters in S + SEAsia to measurably alleviate humansuffering, prevent loss of life, and reduce the potential for physical and
economic damage through:
City demonstration projects
Regional + national capacity building
Advocacy for mainstreaming of risk management in urban governance
Regional network + information dissemination
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PROMISE - Philippines:
Dagupan City
Problem: reduced capacity of rivers due toheavy rains, upstream bank erosionclogging channel & transport of laharmaterial - causing floods (eg. 1990)
Solutions:Technical Working Group -plan, monitor,
document, train and maintain
Capacity building of community &
authoritiesWork with stakeholders
Risk Communication Plan
Institutional change - Disaster PreparednessDay (July 16th)
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ADPC Urban Strategy Asia 2020
ADPC and partners working with 100 cities to reduce urban
vulnerability and build disaster resilient communities
through 4 strategies:
Planning and Building Safer Cities
Emergency Management & Response Planning for Cities
Public Awareness Campaigns
Knowledge Development & Capacity Building:
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Specific Action
a) How- to resource toolkitsthat translate awareness intoaction
b) Specific UDRM focussed
courses targeted at city &national officials & privatesector developers
c) Partnerships with urbanauthorities & regional citynetworks (Citynet, ICMA,IULA, ICLEZ)
d) Safer sister city partnerships
& network
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Linking Climate Change to Urban
Risk Reduction Study areas where improvement to governance structure is
needed to enhance resilience of the poor communities inthe urban coastal low-lying areas
Analyse trends in primary (meteorological) events andsecondary impacts (health hazards, slope destabilizationetc) in built up areas to assess consequences of sea levelrise & impact in urban coastal areas
The scientific community in Asia has not yet undertaken
adequate interest in conducting multi- sectoral studies tounderstand & prepare inventories of the climate changeimpacts on coastal ecosystems
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Long Term Strategies for DRR
There is an urgent need to make risk mitigation one of theessential components of urban governance and creating
policy, legal and institutional arrangements to ensure saferurban communities
The city level risk maps, using GPS and RS techniquestransforming the community knowledge into formal
products, can be integrated in other maps to see thechanging risk scenario
Ensure access to information by public
Urban community based approach to convert thevictimized communities to a resource
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Long Term Strategies for DRR (2)
Participatory approach for scenario building, risk
assessment & action planning can also generate much
needed awareness
Ensuring safer housing & shelter, capable of withstanding
hazard events, require quality assurance of housing
construction and infrastructure as an essential part of urban
risk reduction
Making the private sector partner in development means itshould also shoulder some responsibility in urban DRR
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Long Term Strategies for DRR (3)
Activating poor and motivating them to become resilientagainst natural calamities is an answer to the key issue of
poverty reduction
Vulnerability reduction should be integrated into the
development process so that it can contribute tosustainability, empowerment & community resilience
Support the implementation aspects of Hyogo Frameworkof Action & create more awareness about HFA
Advocate strongly for decentralization of disaster riskmanagement functions to local government sector &integrating in other sector based programs as a routine
practice to facilitate building safer communities
Mainstream DRR into local governance