ACCT 332 Lecture 6

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Lecture 06 ACCT 332 – Accounting Thought and Practice The Measurement Perspective and Applications - Chapters 6 & 7 - Concepts No. 7 Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value

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Transcript of ACCT 332 Lecture 6

Page 1: ACCT 332 Lecture 6

Lecture 06

ACCT 332 – Accounting Thought and Practice

The Measurement Perspective and Applications

- Chapters 6 & 7

- Concepts No. 7 Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value

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The Measurement Perspective

• Information Perspective:

- Financial Reporting is useful

• Does not have to be directly about value -- provides information (with full disclosure) that assists in predicting value.

• Research Evidence supports its usefulness (Chapter 5)

• Measurement Perspective- What is the Measurement Perspective to Decision Usefulness?

- Why is Financial Reporting Moving Towards a Measurement Perspective?

- Measurement Oriented Standards

• e.g., FV for security investments and goodwill

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An approach by which accountants undertake the responsibility to incorporate current values (whether it is (1) value-in-use, or (2) fair value) into the financial statements proper, provided this can be done with reasonable reliability.
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I. What is the Measurement Approach (Perspective)?

• Greater Use of Current Values in the Financial Statements

- Recognize an obligation to assist investors to assess firm value and to predict firm performance

- Measurement approach is to increase the decision usefulness over that of information approach

• Two versions of current value

- Exit price (fair value)

- Value-in-use: present value of future cash receipts / payments

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Price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly (arms-length) transaction between market participants at the measurement date
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Discounted present value of cash expected to be received or paid with respect to the use of the asset or liability.
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Disadv of fair value: Markets may be incomplete or illiquidDisadv of Value-in-use: Possible unreliability of projections of CFs, and the intent of management regarding the use of the asset
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II. Attraction of the Measurement Approach

• Securities markets may not be as efficient as previously believed- If markets are not fully efficient, information perspective is not

sufficient and the measurement perspective is needed

• Low R2

- Better measurement may increase accounting !market share" in explaining share price changes

• Ohlson’s clean surplus theory

- A theoretical framework supportive of the measurement approach

• Auditor Liability

- Better measurement may reduce auditor liability

- More fundamental issue: potentially misleading historical cost-based numbers (on B/S)

Amos Lim
Under info perspective, all we need to do is provide the information. Full disclosure is key, and it doesn’t matter how we report it so long as the information is provided.
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Based on R-square
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Measurement approach places more responsibility on auditors in valuation. This then reduces their liability when companies do poorly, because they will have already done what they can with the available market information.
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Lev and Zarowin (1999)

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Over time, R-square has decreased, indicating that earnings and ∆s in earnings are increasingly less able to predict stock returns. The decision usefulness of the information provided is thus lower.
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a2
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The fall in ERC also indicates that earnings ∆s have an increasingly lower . Earnings persistence and earnings quality are thus lower
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Constant sample should be healthier firms, as they are firms which have survived from 1978 to 1996.
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II-A. Accounting / Market Anomalies

• The information approach is based on the Efficient Market Hypothesis

• However, the market is not perfectly efficient:

- Post Earnings Announcement Drift -- Bernard & Thomas (1989)

• EMH says market should respond immediately to news but we observe a drift

- Accruals – Sloan (1996)

• Cash flows are more persistent than accruals but the market treat them as they are equal

- Other (not in Chapter 6):

• Non-earnings information

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Bernard and Thomas (1989)

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Should long firms with the best GN, and short firms with the worst GN
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Shows potential to earn abnormal returns after earnings announcements, reflecting market inefficiency
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Sloan (1996)

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E.g. Company A has Cash Sales of 100, COGS 50Cash +100, Sales Revenue +100, COGS +50, Inventory -50Net Income 50 = Accruals of -50 + Cash Flows of 100
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E.g. Company B has Sales on Account 100, COGS 50Cash 0, AR +100, Sales Revenue -100, COGS +50, Inventory -50Net Income 50 = Accruals of 50 + Cash Flows of 0
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Persistence for cash flows is higher than that of accruals.
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Even though net income is the same for the two examples, because cash flows are more persistent, the rational choice should be to invest in the firm in B. However, Sloan found that investors did not differentiate between them.
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Sloan created a trading strategy where he, for the same amount of overall net income, bought firms with the most CF, and shorted firms with the most accruals, and found that he could obtain abnormal earnings.
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Shows potential to earn abnormal returns after earnings announcements, reflecting market inefficiency
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II-A. Why Are Securities Markets Not Fully Efficient?

• Behavioural finance

- Behavioural characteristics that question market efficiency

• Limited attention: not using all new information

• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IGQmdoK_ZfY

• Overconfidence: overestimate the precision of self-collected data

• Representativeness: give more weight to some kinds of evidence

• Self-attribution bias: ascribe successes to own ability

• Transaction costs too high

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Streak of results are weighted more heavily, recency effects, etc.
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II-A. Implications on Investor Rationality and Market Efficiency

• Rational decision theory model of investment is still the most useful model to guide accountants about investor decision needs- Securities markets are not fully efficient, but close

enough so that accountants can be guided by its reporting implications

• Implications of potential market inefficiency on measurement perspective- To the extent that markets not fully efficient, the role of

financial reporting increases- Current value accounting helps to fulfil this increased role

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II-B. The Clean Surplus Model

• The measurement approach can be justified by Ohlson!s Clean Surplus Model

• Discussed in detail in other courses

- Corporate Reporting and Analysis

- Ohlson!s Clean Surplus Model has many applications

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II-B. Ohlson!s Clean Surplus model

• Firm value = Book value + Premium- Start with the value that is in the balance sheet and then add the value

that is not recognized

• Premium is based on abnormal earnings: - Abnormal earnings = Actual earnings – required return

• the earnings that exceed the required return

- The required return will be cost of capital x net capital investment (!accretion of discount" covered in Chapter 2)

• Firm value = Book value + Present value of expected abnormal earnings- The basic idea: firms create extra !value" when they generate a return

on assets that is greater than their cost of capital (i.e. have positive abnormal earnings)

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A.k.a Residual Income Model
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In the past, when book value was largely based on historical cost and therefore lower, there were higher abnormal earningsNow, as book values are largely based on current values and therefore higher, there are lower abnormal earnings
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III. Application of the Measurement Approach

• Two primary examples

- Accounting for intangibles

- Fair value accounting for financial instruments

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III-A Current Value Accounting

• Value-in-Use

- The present value of future receipts or future payments wrt the use of the asset

- Relevance: high

- Reliability:

• Error and possible bias in estimating inputs

• Management may change the intended use of the assets

- Concept of Business Model in IFRS 9

• May value certain financial assets at value-in-use if firm’s business model is to hold the assets to generate future cash flows from interest and principal

• Controls: management ability to change intended use

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III-A Accounting for Intangibles

• Purchased intangibles

- Goodwill arising from an acquisition

• Accounted for at cost

• No amortization

• Subject to the impairment test

• Can lead to major writedowns

• Self-developed intangibles

- Self-developed goodwill, e.g., from R&D

• Hard to reliably determine fair value

• Costs written off as incurred

• Recognition lag: the value shows up over time on income statement

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No market value for Goodwill or R&D
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Research component of R&D expensed, but there are future inflows of benefits from R&D that will eventually show up on the Income Statement
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III-B Current Value Accounting

• Fair Value

- Exit price: Ideally, market value, but market incompleteness complicates the measurement

• It measures the opportunity cost of retaining asset/liability in firm

- Fair value hierarchy

• Level 1

• Level 2

• Level 3

- Effect on reliability as we move from level 1 to levels 2 and 3?

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Down
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III-B Financial Instruments

• Definition

- A contract that creates a financial asset of one firm and a financial liability or equity instrument of another firm

• Why use fair value for financial instruments?

- To increase the decision usefulness

• Relevant

• Many financial instruments traded on well-working markets → reasonable reliability

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Increase relevance and reliability
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III-B Financial Instruments

• Applies to debt and equity securities

! Financial asset categories

• Trading

- Fair valued, gains/losses in net income

• Available-for-sale

- Fair valued, gains/losses in OCI

• Held-to-maturity, Loans & receivables

- Valued at cost, subject to impairment test

- May be written up again if fair value rises

! Two financial liabilities categories

• Trading, valued at fair value

• Other, valued at cost or amortized cost

- E.g., bonds outstanding, demand deposits

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Not exceeding carrying if unimpaired.
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Summary

• Assuming reasonable reliability, current value accounting can increase the decision usefulness relative to information perspective

• Reasons for the increased use of current value accounting in financial reporting

- Markets not fully efficient

- Low explanatory power of net income for share returns

- Ohlson clean surplus theory

- Auditor liability

• Standard setters continue to favour current value measurements in financial statements

• Accountants recognize an increased obligation to measure and report on firm value and risk

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Group Questions

• 40 minutes to complete group questions

• Assignment of discussion-leading groups

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Midterm on SaturdayTime: 1300 - 1515Location: Ngee Ann Kongsi AuditoriumMaterial: Chapters 1~5Practice midterm on elearnCalculators required