Accommodation Market Position Strategy for Living and ... · Accommodation Market Position Strategy...
Transcript of Accommodation Market Position Strategy for Living and ... · Accommodation Market Position Strategy...
Accommodation Market Position
Strategy for Living and Ageing
Well in Northamptonshire 2018/19
Foreword
Northamptonshire’s growing older population is creating a demand for a
different mix of accommodation options going forward. Rising standards in
terms of quality of life, buildings and services are raising expectations and in
turn the demand for suitable solutions. Older people in Northamptonshire
have a variety of requirements and these can increase in complexity and
cost as people age. We want our residents to have good quality
accommodation options to choose from and to support their changing
needs, where possible without the need to continually uproot and relocate
them.
Northamptonshire County Council (NCC) envisages such options being
available across a number of accommodation types and tenures – including
accommodation that meets general needs homes for life, specialist housing
(with and without care), and residential care and nursing homes.
We are inviting engagement with organisations that are involved with, or
interested in moving into these sectors, such as landowners, developers,
house builders, architects, landlords, care providers, researchers, assistive
technology providers and beyond, to encourage innovation in our markets
and offers.
NCC has a key role as a commissioner of affordable housing options, as a
potential provider, and as commissioner of care services. Where it is right do
to so, with sensible investment proposals, NCC will look to invest money or
release land for affordable housing with care schemes. We expect to play a
central role in the development of new affordable ‘housing with care’
schemes, the majority of which will be led by the commercial sector and
which will deliver primarily into the open market. We recognise that all
developments need to be financially sustainable and we will seek evidence
to support this at planning stages.
Across six of Northamptonshire’s seven Districts and Boroughs, three-quarters
of our older people are already home-owners. This is very different to the
current split between homeowners and renters in Corby in the North of the
2 | P a g e
county and we will work with stakeholders to ensure the development in
Corby is fit for purpose and aligned to its resident’s specific needs and
economics.
For general needs housing we want to work with the market to develop
homes that have been designed to be suitable for the changing
requirements and aspirations of older people. We want to increase standards
so that new homes are homes for life and can adapt to and accommodate
their needs. We will work to identify the gaps in provision and will work with
the market to influence development in these areas.
We believe that accommodation for older people presents exciting
opportunities for the Northamptonshire market. We are keen to help
proactively engage and create new partnerships to enable you to bring
innovative solutions that are financially viable and sustainable by sharing our
local knowledge, data and forecasts with you and to actively facilitate and
support innovation. We will continue to refine our forecasting assumptions
around the size and context of the market and will adapt our approach as
new policies are implemented by central government and based on lessons
learnt across the sector.
In addition to looking to the market, we want to jointly consult with, and listen
to residents. We recognise that in the past NCC has taken the lead role
working with Providers in identifying and organising the events and activities
that we thought people would like. We want to move forward to a future
where there is more focus on co-design and where our customers have the
opportunity to contribute to the County’s plans.
Particularly important in achieving positive outcomes for our older population
and avoiding escalating social care need, is creating solutions that support
people staying connected and linked to peer groups within their
communities. We know that social isolation is the cause of many underlying
issues and deteriorating health. NCC wants to help its communities to come
together and to recognise that they all have something to contribute, not
only within our older people’s accommodation, but throughout the local
community too.
We look forward to working collaboratively with you to build the solutions. Northamptonshire County Council envisages options being available across the range of
Councillor Elizabeth Bowen, Adult Social Care and Wellbeing, and Anna
Earnshaw, Managing Director Adults, Children’s and Wellbeing,
Northamptonshire County Council
3 | P a g e
Northamptonshire: The Case for
Investment
Northamptonshire offers beautiful villages, attractive countryside, world class
gardens, magnificent historic houses & churches, a booming motorsport
industry and an award winning regional theatre, along the picturesque Nene
Valley.
We are geographically the central heart of the UK with excellent road and
rail systems, utilised by a large and growing logistics sector, and with easy
access to Luton, Birmingham and East Midlands Airports. Our central location
and connectivity makes Northamptonshire well-connected for accessing
your supply chain, your workforce and importantly for your customers; our
population.
Our Growing County
For strategic planning purposes, Northamptonshire has divided into two
delivery areas, North Northamptonshire, comprising East Northants, Corby,
Kettering and Wellingborough, and West Northamptonshire comprising
Daventry, South Northants and Northampton.
The North Northamptonshire Joint Planning and Delivery Unit has identified a
requirement of 35,000 new homes from 2011-2031 to meet the needs of the
county’s growing population. For 2017-22 a housing supply of 14,423 homes
has been identified. North Northants delivered 7,124 homes during 2011-2016,
missing targets by 1,626.
The West Northamptonshire Joint Planning and Delivery Unit has identified a
requirement of 58,130 homes from 2001-2029 to meet the needs of the
county’s growing population. West Northants delivered 9,875 homes from
2001-2006 and 6,495 homes from 2006-2011. The remaining requirement for
2011-29 is 41,760 homes and planning is well-underway to deliver on this
requirement.
These aims form part of a county-wide ambition to regenerate the
communities we have and create new, integrated communities, which
contribute to Northamptonshire. Accommodation for older people will be a
key and integral part of both this regeneration and of the development of
new communities. Although NCC is a major purchaser of care, most older
people (88%) of our older residents are self-funders and fund the total cost of
the care and support they need.
Further information on these two strategic delivery units is available in the links
below:
4 | P a g e
http://www.nnjpu.org.uk/default.asp
http://www.westnorthamptonshirejpu.org/connect.ti/website
Our Engagement
As a two-tier authority, NCC will work with its district and borough councils to
identify the need, share data, develop forecasting assumptions and engage
with the market. We will build effective stakeholder relationships, share
information, best practice and lessons learnt.
We welcome engagement with new providers and will work collaboratively
and support them to ensure the county develops successful business models
that deliver the right services, at the right time, in the right place to meet the
needs of the county’s aging population.
NCC is keen to invite and encourage innovation in this area across business
models, building design, access to care, community engagement, assistive
technology and beyond.
Our Economic Growth
The Economy in Northamptonshire is growing at a rate of 3.41% pa
compared to the economic growth rate of 3.16% for Great Britain. The older
person’s population is generally affluent with three quarters of older people
owning their homes and, only 11.4% of adults aged 65+ residing in the top
20% of deprived areas of Northamptonshire.
Our Vision for Older People’s Accommodation
Our vision is to enable a good quality of life for our older people’s population.
We will actively work to deliver this by integrating our approach across
health, social care and the community. We will inform the market about best
practice, and the level and location of demand across the county to ensure
everyone has access to the right support regardless of tenure.
Northamptonshire’s Ambition
NCC will engage with relevant partners and stakeholders to facilitate
redevelopments of existing accommodation and new purpose built housing
stock for older people.
Ambition 1
NCC wants to enable people to stay living independently in their own
homes, with access to health and social care services when they are
required. NCC’s strategy is to ensure older people have timely access to
support within their community, avoiding hospital admissions or
residential care, and that we are helping to return them to
independence following a crisis.
5 | P a g e
Targets–
- Increase the availability of general needs homes for life
- Provide personalised and flexible care and support to enable
long-term independent living even with increasing care
needs
Ambition 2
Where individuals are unable to continue to live in their own homes we
want them to be able to access quality, purpose built, independent
living accommodation with onsite care (extra care/ housing with care)
and support that allows older people to retain their independence as
they age.
Target –
- Develop the market to ensure sufficient supply of
independent living accommodation with onsite care
(housing with care) across a range of tenures.
- Locate new facilities in locations with an identified
growing demand and suitable local facilities to promote
an active, independent lifestyle and access to health
and wellbeing support.
- Increase the physical and environmental standards in
existing and new older people’s accommodation.
Ambition 3
NCC will focus care homes on supporting the people with the most
complex needs to best meet the needs of older people who cannot
continue to live independently in their own home in safety.
Target
- To purchase more residential dementia and nursing
care placements in future and fewer residential care
home placements.
Ambition 4
We recognise that it will be essential for the care workforce to have the
capacity and capability to deliver high quality services to enable
people to maximise their independence. NCC will work with providers to
support them to attract, recruit and retain a care workforce that can
deliver good quality services.
Target
- Workforce development
- Recruitment and retention
Northamptonshire’s Objectives
Based on current best available data (which we will work with our
stakeholders to refine), the four ambitions above translate into the following
objectives:
6 | P a g e
- Facilitate the development of seven affordable extra care schemes by
2028 (one medium scheme in each of the 6 outlying district authorities,
and a seventh larger facility in Northampton where the demand is
highest. These schemes should offer a range of tenure types.
- Share data with stakeholders and the housing and care sector market
to ensure the accommodation developed is of the right variety and
types of tenures to meet the demand across the county.
- By 2023 ensure that current NCC-owned care-homes have improved
modern physical and environmental standards, or are replaced, to
align with the new market supply on both quality of offer and costs.
- Work with private sector care homes to improve their accommodation
standards through remodelling and re-provisioning over time.
- Steer the housing market to build affordable, general needs homes as
part of new residential developments, that are suitable for living and
aging well and are an affordable, attractive option to older people.
Development and Investment Opportunities across Care and
Accommodation in Northamptonshire
Our analysts are working hard to combine our internal social care data, with
ONS survey data and the best available research in the sector to develop
comprehensive market intelligence. We are refining this data with local
knowledge from our colleagues in the seven district and borough authorities
and will share with our stakeholders the assumptions behind our data outputs
to give you the confidence to invest in Northamptonshire. As part of this
process, the information in this document will be reviewed and updated. The
current figures included here are from the recent report published on behalf
of Northants by The Three Dragons Associates, available here.
The views and direction of NCC are aligned to the position set out in the
recent ‘Improving Health and Care through the Home’ Memorandum of
Understanding:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/improving-health-and-care-
through-the-home-mou
We have assimilated local data and identified trends under key areas:
Mainstream Housing for Older People ‘Homes for Life’
The largest proportion of our older people live in general needs housing (lived
in by people of any age or ability). NCC supports our older people to remain
living independently in their own homes by offering services in the community
such as domiciliary care (provided in the person’s own home).
As age increases, complexity of needs may increase and health and mobility
can deteriorate. This can make it increasingly difficult for people to remain in
their own home equipped with standard facilities. People often choose to
7 | P a g e
adapt their homes so that they may continue to live there and not face the
upheaval of moving.
Decreased ability to use stairs to access upstairs bedrooms and bathrooms is
the main driver to older people making adaptations or moving house.
Common adjustments to enable people to remain in their own homes for
longer are installing stair lifts, grab rails and wet rooms. There is also an
increasing trend in applications for downstairs bathroom extensions and
‘granny annexes’.
When older people do move house it could be the result of life events or in
anticipation of changes. Everyone’s circumstances are individual to them
and their needs but common themes are:
People proactively planning for increasing care needs, or identifying
that their home can no longer accommodate their current needs.
People looking to downsize if their existing home is a burden,
financially, or to maintain, repair and heat.
People who live in a rural area, isolated from facilities and support
services and with poor transport links.
People who have lost a partner or carer.
People who want a change of environment or lifestyle, perhaps as a
result of retirement, or of increasing care needs.
There is a growing demand from local residents in Northamptonshire who
would like to purchase well-located, attractive, accessible, homes for life,
providing both housing and care at the right price.
Care and Support
As life expectancy increases and people are living longer, the complexity of
people’s needs is increasing. For a significant number of people, advancing
age increases frailty. Currently across Northamptonshire there are over 33,207
people aged 65 and over with a limiting long term illness whose day-to-day
activities are limited a little and by 2030 this is predicted to rise to over 47,379
people.
Numbers of people aged 65 and over with a limiting long term illness whose
day-to-day activities are limited a lot are forecast to increase from 27,929 to
41,805 by 2030.
The rising number of older people with growing care needs across
Northamptonshire is generating considerable demand for care and support
services and this demand is forecast to increase year on year. The existing
provision of services in the County will not meet this growing demand.
8 | P a g e
As both a provider and a commissioner of these services to support our older
people, NCC spends significant amounts annually on direct service provision.
In 2016/17 this was £55,787,979.
Although NCC is a major purchaser of these services, most older people
(88%) or our older residents are self-funders and fund the total cost of the
care and support they need.
Specialist Accommodation for Older People – ‘Housing with Care’
The increasing complexity of care needs, and increasing numbers accessing
care cannot be sustainably met using current models to support older
people. Also, current models do not sufficiently promote enablement and
independence. If older people choose to relocate, NCC wants to enable
moves to homes that will remain suitable if care needs increase, with a
combined offer of ‘housing with care’ so people do not have to move again.
This ‘housing with care’ model for Northamptonshire is defined as purpose
built retirement housing for rent, shared ownership or market sale, providing:
Self-contained apartments (mainly one bed, some two bed)
Communal facilities (e.g. pay as you go restaurant, hairdresser etc.)
which may be part of an offer to the wider community.
Has an onsite care team available 24/7 to meet both response and
planned care needs.
The schemes are designed to accommodate people with a mix of low,
medium and high care needs (but not specifically nursing needs), potentially
including end of life care. The preferred development size for housing with
care is a minimum of 40 units, but may be much larger.
Research shows that living in a housing with care scheme is beneficial to the
health and wellbeing of the residents. The design of these schemes and the
level of care available mean that they can provide an attractive alternative
to residential care. Housing with care schemes enable people to stay active
for longer than residential care and reduce pressure on social care services
and hospitals. Due to the current low-level of provision of housing with care in
Northamptonshire our older residents that can no longer be supported in their
own homes often have no choice but to go into a care home. This can lead
to reduced independence, increasing frailty, and is very costly.
Unlike residential care homes, housing with care can also offer a solution for
couples where one or both have care needs – allowing them to continue
living together in their own home whilst getting the care and support they
need.
There are currently 908 units of housing with care in Northamptonshire
including leasehold, shared ownership and rented accommodation, and an
9 | P a g e
older persons’ community of 92 units, with some of the units having access to
24 hour care but with many of the units being dispersed. These units are
located across three schemes in Northampton, two each in Wellingborough
and South Northants, and one in each of the other districts.
Additionally there are 7,697 units of specialist retirement accommodation
across the county – mainly in sheltered or retirement housing – however they
do not provide 24 hour on site care, or in some cases just have call care and
domiciliary services, with no on-site provision.
Future Demand for Housing with Care
The demand for housing with care essentially comes from three sources:
• Diverting people who would otherwise move into standard
residential care home (high care need)
• Moving people with home care packages who need a safe
environment (medium care need)
• People who want to plan for the future and want the assurance of
24 hour cover but have low or no care needs (low care need)
Most new housing with care schemes have a mix of units for sale and units for
rent. This means that self-funders will also move into these schemes.
The table below notionally applies a ratio 50 housing with care flats per 1,000
people aged 75 and over, which has been derived from the data in the 2015
Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA) for the demand for housing with
care.
Projected demand for housing with – number of units
SHMA 2015 2017 2020 2025
Corby 195 210 225 275
Daventry NK 335 395 515
East Northants 366 400 470 615
Kettering 320 390 440 565
Northampton NK 725 795 1,000
South Northants 528* 395 465 610
Wellingborough 255 315 350 440
Total 2,770 3,140 4,020
*The data from South Northamptonshire came from the State of District
Housing 2014
NCC is pro-actively facilitating the development of new housing with care for
self-funders and social renters. NCC is engaging across all Borough and
District Councils to identify the need, tenure, location, developer and care
provider for future housing with care developments across the county.
10 | P a g e
As three-quarters of our older residents own their homes there is a
considerable demand for open market, housing with care apartments and
NCC is keen to work with organisations interested in delivering this type of
accommodation, and in getting the balance right between outright
ownership, shared ownership, private rented and social rented models.
NCC recognises that a small number of older residents will require a level of
care that can only be met in a residential or nursing care home. As more
alternative accommodation for older people is developed, residential and
nursing care homes will increasingly focus on people that have complex
physical or medical care needs. In particular they will need to provide care
for those with moderate or severe dementia. In Northamptonshire as at
February 2018 there are 90 residential care homes and 53 nursing care homes
offering a total of 5247 places.
Rising expectations
NCC wants a good quality of life for its residents, and older people have
expectations about maintaining the living standards they are used to. We
want today’s older residents and future generations to have access to a
modern living environment as well as good quality care. Local and national
research shows that older people value the following design characteristics in
their accommodation:
Space: sufficient living space in which to sit, eat, do hobbies and host guests.
Older couples have a preference for accommodation with 2+ bedrooms.
Location: safe, attractive area, good transport links, easy access to local
services and facilities, and integration with the wider community.
Design: accessible, adaptable, attractive, comfortable, energy efficient, and
manageable with access to well-maintained outside space and welcoming
communal areas. It is important it does not look or feel institutional.
Services: tailored, personalised, flexible, varied, and a pay when used model.
Other important factors are:
• Maintaining independence – in well-designed homes where there is easy
access to care and support services.
•Opportunities for both peer supported, and staff supported activities to
promote community cohesion and reduce isolation.
• Permission for pets.
• Upfront and ongoing costs.
• Protect family inheritance.
• An ability to release equity at the time of purchase or in future.
• The impact of moving on relationships with family, friends and community.
• Opportunities to meet people and participate in hobbies, exercise etc.
11 | P a g e
• Provision for help with the move.
In light of rising customer expectations and new specialist accommodation
for older people being built, NCC will review its own accommodation.
As replacement care home capacity becomes available we aim to
decommission NCC-owned care homes, where buildings are approaching
the end of their economic life and do not meet customer expectations or
modern standards.
We will work in partnership with new providers to share the risk and develop
sustainable care homes at a price that is affordable to NCC but still allows
investors to make a return on their investment. NCC is willing to discuss using
its own land. Some privately owned and operated older care homes in
Northamptonshire face the issue of outdated standards and we are keen to
work with operators who wish to improve conditions in their homes.
Living with Dementia
There are around 8,622 people living with dementia in Northamptonshire and
this number is predicted to rise to 14,818 by 2030. Dementia is a progressive
condition and the levels of care required increase over time. According to
Alzheimer’s UK people often live with dementia for 8 to 10 years from the time
first symptoms emerge and two-thirds of people living with dementia live in
the community and wish to continue doing so. Organisations like Housing LIN
have established design principles that make buildings more dementia
friendly. NCC is keen to work with the market to incorporate these in new and
upgraded facilities.
Tenure of Older People in Northamptonshire
Northamptonshire is a relatively affluent area where the majority of older
residents (76.42%) own their home. Of the remainder 17.29% rent from a social
landlord, 3.01% privately rent and 3.28% live rent free. We know that older
people prefer to retain the same tenure arrangement if they move. Residents
that own their home do not generally receive financial assistance from NCC
and many make their own housing and care arrangements. As these
residents makeup the majority of the market, more expensive residential and
nursing care homes make a higher proportion of places available to them
than NCC-funded customers. This trend is not reflected in housing with care
provision, where the majority of current schemes in Northamptonshire are
affordable or intermediate housing, with some assisted living. Nationally only
23% of housing with care apartments are for purchase. The primary reason is
that mainly local authorities and housing associations are investing in extra
care housing. There are models of open market housing for older people,
some of which include care, but outside of coastal ‘hotspots’ there are very
few providers in this market.
12 | P a g e
Northamptonshire’s Local Districts
and Boroughs
Northamptonshire combines idyllic villages, busy market towns and attractive
countryside. With a total population of 723,000, Northants is made up of
seven district councils, each with their own unique locality and geography.
With the exception of Corby, all the districts have high levels of owner
occupation (Corby has a much greater proportion of renters), reasonable
levels of affluence, and a growing number of older people. They also have a
significant number of older people funding their own care.
In 2017, 131,700 people living in Northamptonshire were over 65 years of age.
This represents 17.94% of the county’s total population.
This chapter looks at the specific opportunities and challenges in each
locality. It also includes existing and forecast supply and demand for housing
with care accommodation, plus residential and nursing home placements.
The map below outlines current housing with care provider locations across
the county:
Rural areas such as Daventry,
South Northamptonshire, East
Northamptonshire and
Wellingborough have a higher
proportion of older people,
though actual numbers are
lower than Northampton.
The over 65 population of
Northamptonshire is 97% white.
The gender split is 49.2% male,
50.8% female. The gender split
of older people accessing
support from Adult Social Care
is around 66% female.
Life expectancy at birth and at
age 65 in Northamptonshire is
close to the UK and regional
averages, from birth the life
expectancy for
Northamptonshire is 79.1 for
males and 82.7 for females
(slightly lower than the national
13 | P a g e
averages of 79.5 and 83.2 respectively). Peak demand for support from Adult
Social Care services occurs around age 75.
Northamptonshire is amongst the fastest growing areas in the country and
this trend is replicated by the older population of the county. People are
enjoying longer lives, but with this increase in life expectancy comes an
increase in need amongst an older population who will be becoming
increasingly frail, susceptible to diseases and incapacity.
This trend in the growth of the older population is illustrated in the graphs
below for those aged 65 and over and those aged 80 and over.
The table below shows the distribution of the supply of care homes across the
Districts and the Borough and the provision per of 1000 of people aged 65
and over:
Summary of key facts The fastest growth in older populations is anticipated in Daventry,
South Northamptonshire and East Northamptonshire
The growth in older populations will generate increases in demand
for all services, particularly in the above areas
The highest number of older people are in Northampton
Around 37% of over 65s live alone, nearly 26,000 of these are over 75.
Living alone increases the risks associated with falls, functional
impairment, poor diet and isolation
In September 2016, there were 7,086 people receiving long term
support from Northamptonshire’s adult social care service. Of these
4,322 were aged 65 and over.
The age of peak demand for adult social care is 75. Two thirds of this
over 65 cohort are female
The number of self-funders in Northamptonshire are estimated at
around 5,000 based on data in the JSNA
District/BoroughTotal care homes
for older people
Total care home beds for
older people
2017 OP Population
(POPPI)
Care Home beds per
1,000 of the population
aged 65 and over
Corby 10 410 9,700 42.27
Daventry 14 637 16,600 38.37
East Northants 26 850 19,200 44.27
Kettering 19 708 18,500 38.27
Northampton 44 1653 34,000 48.62
South Northants 17 546 18,800 29.04
Wellingborough 13 443 15,100 29.34
Total 143 5,247 131,900
14 | P a g e
Northampton
Summary
The borough of Northampton is home to Northampton, the county town of
Northamptonshire. It lies on the River Nene, about 67 miles (108 km) north-
west of London and 50 miles (80 km) south-east of Birmingham.
Northampton has a shortage of housing with care accommodation
particularly that available for private purchase and shared ownership, a
shortage of nursing homes in place to meet planned need and a shortage of
suitable mainstream housing for older people who wish to live as part of a
mixed community in non-specialist housing. The shortage in nursing homes
may be managed through an increase in housing with care, rather than
through an increase in nursing home capacity.
Demography
As one of the largest towns in the UK, Northampton had a population of
227,300 (ONS 2014-based Subnational population projections) and has the
county’s most densely populated locality. Of Northampton’s total
population, based on 2016 mid-year population estimates 33,170 or 14.7% of
the population are over 65. The graph below shows the projected increasing
population of older people in Northampton from 2014 to 2039:
Housing
There are 88,731 dwellings in Northampton. There is a requirement for 25,758
new homes in Northampton from 2011-2029. The tenure mix for households
only occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
Northampton
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
15 | P a g e
67.06% owned, 18.23% social rented, 9.28% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 2.36%private rented, 3.07% rent free
Current Developments
One new housing with care facility, Foxfield’s opened in September 2017 in
Northampton and another, Balmoral, is scheduled to open in October 2018
providing 80 housing with care apartments. NCC is currently working closely
with Housing & Care 21 to allocate the right residents to this facility in Upton.
This high profile development generated over 800 enquiries from potential
occupants, emphasising the untapped demand for this type of housing. NCC
has also started an early engagement process for a development in
Kingsthorpe, Balmoral Court, scheduled to open in October 2018. In the
private sector Avery Healthcare is opening an over 55’s all-inclusive facility,
The Hawthorns in April 2018 with apartments for private rent.
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
Northampton currently has three housing with care facilities (Foxfields, St
Crispin Village and Wardington Court which is a private scheme) offering a
total of 467 flats, with a fourth, Balmoral court opening in October 2018.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
Northampton currently has 959 residential care home places in 28 homes. 110
of these places are in Eleanor Lodge, Obelisk House and Southfields House
(Olympus Care Services Limited) which is owned by NCC. Northampton
currently has 694 nursing home places in 16 homes.
16 | P a g e
Wellingborough
Wellingborough is a market town and county situated about 11 miles (18km)
from Northampton, on the north side of the river Nene.
Demography
ONS 2014-based Subnational population projections states the borough has a
population of 77,700, which the town itself accounts for 49,087. Of the
borough’s total population, based on 2016 mid-year population estimate,
14,750 or 18.9% of the population are over 65. The graph below shows the
projected population of older people in Wellingborough from 2014 to 2039:
Housing
There are 32,057 dwellings in Wellingborough. There is a requirement for 3,754
new homes in Wellingborough from 2017-22. The tenure mix for households
only occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
66.69% owned, 18.95% social rented, 8.66% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 2.70% private rented, 3.00% rent free
Current Developments
There are pipeline plans for …
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
Wellingborough currently has two housing with care facilities (Langdale Court
and Rosewood Court) offering a total of 80 flats.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
Wellingborough
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
17 | P a g e
Wellingborough currently has 284 residential care home places in 10 homes
and 159 nursing home places in three homes.
18 | P a g e
Kettering
Kettering is a town in Northamptonshire, 15 miles (24km) from Northampton.
The borough of Kettering has a population of 99,700 (ONS 2014-based
Subnational population projections).
Demography
Of Kettering Borough’s total population, based on 2016 mid-year population
estimates, 18,066 or 18.3% of the population are over 65. The graph below
shows population projection for older people in Kettering Borough from 2014
to 2039:
Housing
There are 39,701 dwellings in Kettering Borough. There is a requirement for
4,294 new homes in Kettering Borough from 2017-22 The tenure mix for
households only occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
69.80% owned, 14.81% social rented, 7.71% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 3.84% private rented, 3.85% rent free
Current Developments
There are pipeline developments for a 42 bedroom housing with care facility
on Carey Street in Kettering (50% of which is likely to be for older people).
There are also plans for a 66 bedroom residential care home, and a 77
bedroom care home with an additional 42 bedroom dementia care
specialist facility.
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
Kettering has one housing with care facility (Sunley Court) offering 40 flats.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
Kettering
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
19 | P a g e
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
Kettering currently has 482 residential care home places in 14 homes and 226
nursing home places in five homes.
20 | P a g e
Corby
Corby is a town and borough in the north of the county. It is located 23 miles
(37km) north-east of the county town of Northampton. Corby has a
population of 69,000 (ONS 2014-based Subnational population projections).
Demography
Of Corby’s total population, based on 2016 mid-year population estimates
9,582 or 14.1% of the population are over 65. The graph below shows the
projected population of older people in Corby from 2014 to 2039:
Housing
There are 25,215 dwellings in Corby. There is a requirement for 3,711 new
homes in Corby from 2017-22. The tenure mix for households only occupied
by people aged 65 is shown below:
60.28% owned, 24.23% social rented, 8.83% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 2.44% private rented, 4.23% rent free
Current Developments
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
Corby has one housing with care facility (Swan Gardens) offering 35 flats.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
Corby currently has 162 residential care home places in six homes. 14 of these
places are in Pine Lodge (Olympus Care Services Limited) which is owned by
NCC. Corby currently has 248 nursing home places in four homes.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
Corby
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
21 | P a g e
East Northants
East Northamptonshire is a district to the north east of Northampton. The
largest town in the district is Rushden with a population of 29,272 as at the
2011 census. East Northants has an overall population of 90,400 (ONS 2014-
based Subnational population projections).
Demography
Of East Northamptonshire’s total population, based on 2016 mid-year
population estimates 18,406 or 20.2% of the population are over 65. The
graph below shows that the projected population of older people in East
Northamptonshire is forecast to increase significantly from 2014 to 2039:
Housing
There are 35,662 dwellings in East Northamptonshire. There is a requirement
for 2,664 new homes in East Northamptonshire from 2017-22. The tenure mix
for households only occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
68.91% owned, 16.56% social rented, 8.15% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 3.40% private rented, 2.97% rent free
Current Developments
One new housing with care facility, is currently being planned as part of the
SUE in Rushden East. A 56 bedroom nursing care facility is in development,
and a new garden village being developed at Tresham is likely to have some
accommodation provision for older people. Abbott House residential care
home in Oundle has applied to build 20 additional bedrooms and associated
ancillary spaces and eight, two-bedroom housing with care apartments, in
the grounds of the existing residential care home. New housing with care
facilities are also being considered at Kings Cliffe.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
East Northamptonshire
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
22 | P a g e
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
East Northants currently has two housing with care facilities (Imperial Court
and Townsend Court which is a private scheme, both in Rushden) offering a
total of 110 flats. Similar facilities are needed in other parts of the East
Northants District.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
East Northants currently has 488 residential care home places in 18 homes
and 362 nursing home places in 8 homes.
23 | P a g e
Daventry
Daventry is a market town and district in the West of Northamptonshire. The
town is situated 13.9 miles (22.4 km) west of Northampton, with a population
of 25,026 and a district population of 80,200 (ONS 2014-based Subnational
population projections).
Demography
Of Daventry districts total population, based on 2016 mid-year population
estimates 16,438 or 20.2% of the population are over 65. The graph below
shows the projected population of older people in Daventry from 2014 to
2039:
Housing
There are 31,647 dwellings in Daventry. There is a requirement for 6,984 new
homes in Daventry from 2011-2029. The tenure mix for households only
occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
68.89% owned, 15.89% social rented, 8.45% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 3.45% private rented, 3.32% rent free
Current Developments
Crown Care has plans for a new housing development at Middlemore to
include an 83 bed residential care home and a housing with care facility
comprising 44 one bedroom and 32 two bedroom apartments. A further
facility is being developed at Welton Road to provide an 85 bedroom
residential care home and 24 housing with care apartments.
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
Daventry
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
24 | P a g e
Daventry currently has one housing with care facility (Spring Gardens)
offering 35 flats.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
Daventry currently has 204 residential care home places in six homes. 75 of
these places are in Boniface House and Evelyn Wright House (Olympus Care
Services Limited) which is owned by NCC. Daventry currently has 433 nursing
home places in eight homes.
25 | P a g e
South Northamptonshire
South Northamptonshire is a district to the south and west of Northampton
with a population of 90,000 (ONS 2014-based Subnational population
projections). The largest town in the district is Brackley with a population of
14,000 in 2008.
Demography
Of South Northamptonshire’s total population, based on 2016 mid-year
population estimates, 18,194 or 20.2% of the population are over 65. The
graph below shows the population of older people in South
Northamptonshire from 2014 to 2039:
Housing
There are 34,717 dwellings in South Northamptonshire. There is a requirement
for 9,018 new homes in South Northamptonshire from 2011-2029. The tenure
mix for households only occupied by people aged 65 is shown below:
70.79% owned, 14.40% social rented, 8.54% mortgage/loan/shared
ownership, 3.25% private rented, 3.03% rent free
Current Developments
A 62 bedroom care home is currently being developed in Brackley..
Culworth House nursing home in Culworth is undergoing a
change of use from a 35 bed nursing care home (Class C2) to single dwelling
(Class C3) accommodation.
Housing with Care Supply & Demand
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
Tho
san
ds
South Northamptonshire
65 to 74 75 to 84 85+
26 | P a g e
South Northamptonshire currently has four housing with care facilities
(Candleford Court, Leeson Court, Richmond Court and St Rumbolds Court)
offering a total of 141 flats.
Residential Care and Nursing Home Supply & Demand
South Northamptonshire currently has 208 residential care home places in
eight homes. 46 of these places are in Ridgway House (Olympus Care
Services Limited) which is owned by NCC.
South Northamptonshire currently has 338 nursing home places in nine
homes.
27 | P a g e
Housing Design Standards for
Older People’s and Dementia
Friendly Accommodation
Intelligent and thoughtful design standards can help the sector deliver
improvements in quality of life, falls prevention, enablement and keeping
people fitter, in their own homes for longer. This can reduce pressure on more
expensive residential care and nursing placements, on hospital beds and
deliver long-term financial benefits.
The following design standards are our preferred approach for new housing
for older people.
General Needs Homes
With good design, mainstream housing can be suitable for older people at
little or no additional cost. Appropriate design features include:
• Ground floor/avoiding stairs (provision for stair lift or platform lift)
• Smaller manageable homes, with two+ bedrooms and small
gardens that are easy to maintain.
• En-suite bathrooms or an easy route from bedroom to bathroom.
• Level access throughout.
• Layout, width of doors and corridors to allow for wheelchair access
and turning circles in living rooms.
• Walls able to support adaptations such as grab rails.
• Sockets, switches and other controls at a convenient height.
• Manageable, but full kitchens encouraging people to maintain
independence and shop, plan and cook their meals.
• Low window sills for natural light and wheelchair user visibility.
• Sufficient sized parking space close to the house.
• Bathrooms to include easy access shower facilities.
• Level or gently sloping approaches and accessible thresholds.
• Energy efficient buildings, heating and electricity systems.
Housing with Care
Good design is important to maximise the prevention offer and attractiveness
of housing with care. Appropriate design features include:
• Self-contained homes built with older people in mind, which can be
easily adapted to accommodate increasing frailty.
• Hardwiring and wi-fi enabled Telecare and Telehealth equipment.
• A restaurant to give residents the option to eat a hot meal with
friends and visitors.
• Modern building standards and energy efficient design to help to
keep energy costs as low as possible.
28 | P a g e
• En-suite bathrooms or an easy route from bedroom to bathroom.
• Level access throughout.
• Layout, width of doors and corridors to allow for wheelchair access
and turning circles in living rooms.
• Walls able to support adaptations such as grab rails.
• Sockets, switches and other controls at a convenient height.
• Manageable, but full kitchens encouraging people to maintain
independence and shop, plan and cook their meals.
• Maximise natural light through windows with low window sills to
allow people who are seated or in bed to see out.
• Low window sills for natural light and wheelchair user visibility.
• Sufficient parking provision and access.
• Bathrooms to include easy, level access shower facilities.
• Equipment, signage, décor and landscaping to promote
independence with physical, sensory or cognitive impairments.
• Fully accessible, landscaped outside space that is stimulating,
contains seating and opportunities to be active.
• Communal facilities that are sufficient for the size of the scheme
(ideally no less than 25% communal space), complimenting those
available in the local community and facilitating an active lifestyle.
• Located close to amenities to enhance opportunities for residents to
participate in the community. Residents should have easy access to
shops, doctors, pharmacists and leisure activities.
Care Homes
Good care home design can provide a better quality of life for residents and
reduce running costs. Appropriate design features include:
• En-suite facilities for all residents, including level access showers.
• Bedrooms that are no smaller than 12m².
• Bedroom layout to provide sufficient space for visitors and allow
carers to access both sides of the bed.
• Fully wheelchair accessible, with lifts to allow easy access
• Attractive, comfortable and homely shared spaces, including dining
facilities, sitting areas, activity spaces and space for receiving visitors
in private.
• Ceilings to support an overhead hoist and layouts that can
accommodate hoists.
• Equipment, signage, décor and landscaping to promote
independence with physical, sensory or cognitive impairments.
• Maximise natural light through windows with low window sills to
allow people who are seated or in bed to see out.
• Fully accessible and secure outdoor space that is designed and
landscaped to provide residents with useable space in which to
relax or take part in activities, with balconies to provide outdoor
access for residents living on the upper floors.
• Lighting that is domestic in character but sufficiently bright to
facilitate reading and other activities.
29 | P a g e
• Hardwiring and wi-fi enabled Telecare and Telehealth equipment.
• Ability for residents to control the temperature in their rooms.
• Design and layout should make it easy for the building to be
maintained and decorated.
Housing with Care
Commissioning Intentions
NCC is committed to a progression model across all groups including those
who may traditionally have not been considered as having potential for living
independently.
We plan to work in partnership with a range of providers to increase the
range of housing with Care housing options to our older people, as an
alternative to residential care. Due to the growing older person population,
over the next 5 years NCC plans to increase this provision.
A significant increase in housing with care is needed in Corby, Kettering,
Wellingborough, East Northants, South Northants and Daventry to meet
estimated demand. A specialist dementia housing with care should also be
considered for each District, including in Northampton – this type of scheme
tends to be smaller and specifically designed for dementia.
We would prefer Older Person’s accommodation to be delivered by the
District and Borough Councils or Registered Providers with a separate care
contract (though the Registered Provider for the accommodation could also
deliver this care contract). We will also work in partnership with private
developers and will agree on a case by case basis how the care will be
commissioned. NCC requires housing with care providers to engage early so
that contractual arrangements can be agreed well in advance.
Finance and Funding
With units for sale most housing with care schemes can be self-financing in
terms of capital. However NCC could potentially provide loans through its
Prudential borrowing facility to Registered Providers, whereby each proposal
will be considered on its own merits. Homes England (Previously The Homes
and Communities Agency) can also allocate funding to Registered Providers
for housing with care.
The care costs of eligible people for housing with care referrals will be met
from NCC’s home care budget as individuals are living in their own homes.
There are different models for funding care costs in housing with care
including a core and 1:1 model, spot purchasing and block contracts.
30 | P a g e
People who aren’t eligible will have options to fund their own care whilst
living in housing with care accommodation, across a range of tenure types.
The government has withdrawn proposals to cap rents and service charges
for housing with care at the Local Housing Allowance and instead a
‘sheltered rent’ will be introduced for housing with care. NCC intends to work
with stakeholders to better understand this proposal, what this means for our
care provision and better understand the financing options for care.
Key messages for providers Key messages
Vision & Overview
We want to enable people to stay living independently in their
own homes as long as possible.
In the future we envisage purchasing more residential dementia
and nursing care placements and fewer residential care home
placements.
Housing with care is an option for those who are unable to live
safety in their own home and want access to on-site 24 hour
care.
Demographics
The population of older people is projected to increase
significantly in Northamptonshire as people live longer
There will be a significant increase in dementia amongst the older
population.
Home Care
The number of hours of home care delivered has increased over
the last few years with approximately 1.25M hours purchased
(excluding block) during 16/17
The demand for home care is projected to increase as people
stay longer living in their own homes and their needs become
more complex
There is currently a shortfall in supply of home care of about 1,700
hours a week
The self-funder market purchase about 46% of the home care
market
Older people with Direct Payments are likely to purchase some
care from home care agencies
Care Homes
There are 143 care homes for older people in Northamptonshire
providing 5,247 beds
31 | P a g e
The number of older people living in care homes has decreased
over the past few years
Nationally the proportion of the total population aged 65 and
over living in a care home has fallen and this demand trend is
likely to continue.
The supply of care homes in Northamptonshire is similar to other
County Councils.
We anticipate purchasing fewer residential care home
placements in the future and more residential dementia and
nursing home placements.
Housing with Care
We envisage that housing with care will provide an alternative to
a residential care home placement
There are 466 units in 11 schemes in management, which meet
our definition of housing with care. Another 180 units are in the
development pipeline
The demand analysis shows that 2,770 units of housing with care
are required in the County to meet current needs – a net
requirement of 2,124 units.
The challenges for providers
The challenges for providers can be summarised as follows:
Becoming part of a more integrated health and social care system
Attracting and recruiting a sufficient number of staff into home care
who have the appropriate values and behaviours
Ensuring that staff are retained and motivated by valuing then and
supporting them to do their work
Training staff to develop their knowledge and skills so that they
deliver high quality personalised care
How to care for people with dementia including the staff skills and
training required to care and support people through the
progression of their illness
Having access to a range of equipment to meet the needs of those
with more complex needs
Making the best use of new technology for working with individuals
for example home care workers using mobile technology to record
support plans and assistive technology in their own homes.
32 | P a g e
Work with Us
There are many ways in which NCC can work with you and a wide variety of
assistance is available.
NCC is dedicated to delivering its vision for accommodation for older people
and can provide you with information and support. NCC has a wealth of
knowledge and experience which can help forge successful partnerships,
understand the market, and clients are allocated into new suitable
accommodation in a smooth and timely manner. NCC can help you
connect with other organisations to explore options and develop
opportunities.
NCC is keen to discuss the opportunities outlined here and their application
to the Northants market while respecting commercial confidentiality.
Customer and Market Intelligence
We have access to a wide range of data about Northamptonshire and its
citizens. We are happy to share this with you.
Customer and Community Engagement
We can build on our existing customer and community engagement
activities and experience to help you reach local audiences, undertake
consultation activities and explore opportunities.
Partnership Development
We have contacts with a wide range of organisations in this field – architects,
consultants, developers and care providers. We can help you connect with
other organisations to develop commercial relationships and partnerships.
Planning
NCC offers pre-application advice on its own developments; those in which
NCC has a ‘significant’ interest (i.e. Capital funded schemes that NCC is
directly funding or which wholly relates to a statutory service we provide and
that NCC is paying for – known as Regulation 3 Development, see further
description in italics below). The Borough and District Councils provide pre-
application advice on the remainder of applications.
‘Regulation 3 of the Town & Country Planning General Regulations 1992 (SI
No.1492) enables Northamptonshire County Council to make such
planning applications, as long as the development is to be carried out by
(or on behalf of) the Council. The development may be on land in the
Council’s ownership or on any other land. Thus a Regulation 3 Application
can also be made where the promoter is the landowner.’
33 | P a g e
Land and Asset Management
NCC owns a significant amount of land in the area which may be available
to assist or influence developments, where there are clear deliverable
benefits . We also have an in-house team delivering land management, asset
management and facilities.