Academy 03 Basic Turbo’s and short selling. Part of company Dividend 2.

33
Academy 03 Basic Turbo’s and short selling

Transcript of Academy 03 Basic Turbo’s and short selling. Part of company Dividend 2.

Academy 03Basic Turbo’s and short selling

2

Part of company Dividend

Stocks

3

Loan Coupons

Bonds

C = coupon payment n = number of payments i = interest rate, or required yield M = value at maturity, or par value

4

Bull and Bear market Lending and selling a share Stocks and bonds

Short and Long

5

Negative aspects Naked short selling Credit Crisis

Criticism

6

Short Squeeze

7

Hedging Correlations Capm

Risk versus return

Marktrisico

Rf: risk free rateRi: return stockRm: return market

8

Different types of orders◦ Limit◦ Stop loss◦ Stop limit◦ Trailing stop

Binck

9

Unit4

Proposal

10

Break

12

13

Turbo’s Why important? Possibility to enhance your return in relation

to a direct investment

More advantageous in short-term investing◦ B&R Competition

14

How does it work? Assortiment

◦ Underlying value, no direct investment Leverage

◦ High returns possible Value Stop-loss level

But.. Costs (e.g. Financing costs) Risks (e.g. Stop-loss level)

15

Assortiment What products can be trade with turbo’s?

◦ Regular stocks◦ Bonds◦ Indices◦ Valuata’s◦ Commodities◦ ...

◦ Turbo’s short vs. longwww.abnamromarkets.nl/turbo

16

Leverage

17

Leverage

18

Leverage

19

Value Value equal to the difference between price

of underlying value and financing level turbo

Value turbo long = Price underlying value – financing levelValue turbo short = Financing level – Price underlying value

Note: Currency exchange rate

20

Financing level Influences:

◦ Value turbo◦ Leverage factor

Value turbo

21

Stop-loss level No expiration date Value turbo never negative

So, existence of stop-loss level◦ Losses at max total investment◦ Removed from exchange◦ Residual value

22

Tradability Euronext Amsterdam 9:05 till 17:30 Normal bid (bied) – offer (laat)

23

24

Costs Financing costs/benefits

◦ Daily completion◦ Libor rate (Londen Interbank offered rate)◦ Turbo short(costs) vs. Turbo long(benefits)

Buy and sell costs (depends on broker) Taxes

◦ We advice to go to tax adviser if necessary

25

Risks Price Leverage Stop-Loss

26

Risks Exchange rate risks

◦ Abroad investment Interest rate risk (changing) Credit risk

◦ Bankruptcy ABN Amro

27

Example Dow JonesValue turbo long = price underlying value – financing level

(ratio x exchange rate)

Price underlying value 11.000 pointsFinancing level 10.000 pointsStop-loss level 10.200 pointsEuro/dollar exchange rate 1,25 Ratio 100Value turbo long 8Leverage 11

28

Scenario’s(1) Scenario 1:

◦ Dow Jones increases with 400 points◦ Return from 11.000 till 11.400 is 3,64%◦ Value turbo?◦ Return?

Scenario 2:◦ Equal price. Anything happens?

29

Scenario’s(2) Scenario 3:

◦ Dow Jones decreases with 300 points◦ Return from 11.000 till 10.700 is -2,73%◦ Value turbo?◦ Return

30

Scenario(3) Scenario 4:

◦ Dow Jones decreases with 800 points◦ Stop-loss is 10.200 and bank sells product for

10.150 (-7,73%)◦ Value turbo?◦ Return?

Scenario 5:◦ Scenario 4, but bank sells at 9.995?

31

Conclusion Turbo’s Opportunity to leverage Huge profit- and loss potential Don’t lose more then investment

◦stop-loss Easily tradable Broad asortiment Euronext Amsterdam

But.. Risk and costs involved!

32

Deutsche Bund

Proposal

33

Leverage turns good deals into great deals!*

*©CFQ