About the houston foresight program 2015
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Transcript of About the houston foresight program 2015
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Just What Is Foresight?
A relatively new professional discipline that:
• Studies change and its implications in the context of the future.
• Identifies a range of plausible alternative futures; it is not about predicting THE future
• Synthesizes insights from a wide variety of fields
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Why Foresight?
Guide policy
Identify new services/offerings
Craft Strategy
Stimulate Innovation
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
5 Level Curriculum
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Typical Course Sequence
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Learning Outcomes
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
The “Framework” of Foresight Activities
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Our Approach: Framework Foresight
Present
2. Current
Assessment
& Scanning
4. Alternative
4. Alternative
7. Futures to Plans
8. Indicators
5. Preferred
9. Summary
Past
Future
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
How Existing Tools/Methods Fit
Framing organizational foresight audit, domain maps
Scanning environmental scanning, content analysis, data mining, leading/lagging
indicators, stakeholder analysis, trend identification
Forecasting bellwether analysis, CLA, cross impact analysis, Delphi, emerging issue
analysis, gaming/simulation, historical analogy/pattern recognition, integral
futures, personas, predictive markets, scenarios (2x2, archetypes,
backcasting, incasting, morphological, etc), statistical modeling (time
series), systems analysis, technology forecasting (TRIZ, roadmapping,
patent analysis, etc.), trend analysis
Visioning appreciative inquiry, creative imagery, Futures Search, futures wheel,
implications analysis, visualization
Planning strategic planning, decision modeling, risk analysis, technology assessment
Acting action research, artifacts, change management, coaching, consulting,
issues management
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
The Benefits of Foresight
Activity Benefits
Framing (22%) 1. Thinking more diverse open, balanced and non-biased (9%)2. Focusing on the right questions and problems more clearly (7%)3. Being aware of, and influencing, assumptions and mental models (6%)
Scanning (16%) 4. Understanding the context, in all its complexity, through establishing frameworks (5%)
5. Anticipating change and avoiding surprise (10%)
Forecasting (22%) 6. Producing more creative, broader, and deeper insights (16%)
7. Identifying a wider range of opportunities and options (5%)
Visioning (10%) 8. Prioritizing and making better and more robust decisions (10%)
Planning (7%) 9. Constructing pathways from the present to the future that enable rehearsing for the future (7%)
Acting (23%) 10. Catalyzing action and change (7%)
11. Building alignment, commitment and confidence (14%)
12. Building a learning organization (2%)
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Some of our Graduates
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Why Foresight at UH?
• The longest-running foresight program in the world
• The program and courses are unique, challenging,thought-provoking, cutting-edge and relevant.
• Professional preparation and applied emphasis.
• Can do it online or f2f as we blend them
• It is fun!
Houston FORESIGHT: Preparing Professional Futurists
Contact Info
+1.832.367.5575
www.houstonfutures.org
Andy HinesProgram Coordinator, Foresight
