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9/25/14, 11:24 Arend Evolution: 3D Printing Trends (Part 1) - 3D Printing Industry

Page 4 ottp://3dprintingindustry.com/2014/02/24/trend-evolution-3d-printing-trends-part-1/

IMAGE CREDIT: European Space Agency, SOURCE: The Living Earth

The rate of technological progress is increasing. This is a concept that many arenow familiar with, but it seems that the acceleration of rate of change of technology is a phenomena that many ! nd di $ cult to cognitively and emotion

process: an exponential trend that de ! es our linear perception of time. Putanother way, humans are walking up a hill that is getting steeper ever morequickly. The hill is technology. The stress of modern life is primarily because of this, directly and indirectly. A factor in this is the exponential growth of computing, a central techeme in 3D printing technologies.

IMAGE CREDIT: The Law Of Accelerated Returns, by Ray Kurzweil


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IMAGE CREDIT: SOURCE

It is within the terminology of disruptive technology that we often hear about3D printing and additive manufacturing. Here follows a shortlist of the key

disruptive technologies within the next decade, by estimation of global economimpact in USD, sourced from McKinsey & Company :

Mobile Internet: 3.7 10.8 trillionAutomation of Knowledge Work: 5.2 6.7 trillionInternet of Things: 2.7 6.2 trillionCloud Technology: 1.7 6.2 trillionAdvanced Robotics: 1.7 4.5 trillion

Near / Full Autonomous Vehicles: 0.2 1.9 trillionNext Generation Genomics: 0.7 -1.6 trillionEnergy Storage: 100 600 billion3D Printing: 200 600 billionAdvanced Materials: 200 500 billionAdvanced Oil & Gas: 100 500 billionRenewable Energy 200 -300 billion

When we note that 3D printing has an estimated global market worth potentialldouble that of renewable energy, and greater than new gas and oil explorationand extraction, the size of the predicted impact of 3D printing becomes evidentWhilst the Internet of Things is an example of a disruptive technology some tentimes the economic impact of 3D printing, this should be of little surprise, as,simply put, 3D printing is a way of making a proportion of things, whereas theInternet of Things is a network of almost all made things.

I choose this example as there will be a measure of crossover between 3Dprinting both in the guise of industrial additive manufacturing and personaldesktop 3D printing and the Internet of Things. Previously I have articulated iarticles that I believe we will witness a possible set of de ! nitions of networkswithin the overall Web Of Everything. 3D printing o # ers a makernet, a set of
http://www.mckinsey.com/about_ushttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovationhttp://visualeconsite.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/history-of-products.gif


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intertwined maker social networks; 3D ! le repositories; and home manufacturedevices, a larger than average number of them opensource, that are printedwith smart components enabling connectivity and big data potentiality that mabe considered a crossover with the Internet of Things.

This latter phenomena will, if my prediction proves accurate, be based upon thArduino and Raspeberry Pi boards already popular with makers, sensorycomponents and internet connectivity components that o # er a huge potentipersonalisation. A counter thesis is the limitations of shared data andconnectivity that will result from personalisation, but, in turn, this creates theoppportunity for platform owners such as Apple , Google , Microsoft and nSamsung to o # er a broader range of SDKs to app developers, and App

developers to o#

er ever more customisable apps for their smartphone, tabletand smart TV consumers.

Whilst we are currently experiencing the peak of hype for 3D printing, thepotential for this remarkable sub-set of technologies is vast, and, perhaps asmuch as, or more than, other disruptive technologies, that potential is di $

predict, because whilst oil and gas exploration has a set of variables that arebased upon technology, those technologies are con ! ned to fairly speci ! coperational bounds and desired outcome scenarios. For 3D printing, almost anexisting product sector could be disrupted, almost anyone can become involveand almost any potential set of outcome scenarios may emerge, thoughcon ! ned to limiting variables that we will look at shortly.
https://developer.tizen.org/downloads/tizen-sdkhttp://dev.windowsphone.com/en-ushttp://developer.android.com/sdk/index.htmlhttps://developer.apple.com/support/ios/ios-dev-center.html


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