A tryst with valuation

32
. A Tryst with Valuation GDA Management Consulting Pvt. Ltd GDA Consulting 14 th September, 2014. Pune 1

Transcript of A tryst with valuation

Page 1: A tryst with valuation

1

.

A Tryst with ValuationGDA Management Consulting

Pvt. Ltd

GDAConsulting

14th September, 2014. Pune

Page 2: A tryst with valuation

2

Why Valuation?Merger/

Demerger

Private Equity

IPO

Family Separation

Portfolio Value of

InvestmentsRegulatory Approval

Litigation

Test of Impairment

Buyback of Shares

Purchase / Sale of

Business

Valuation is essentially for a given purpose.

GDAConsulting

Page 3: A tryst with valuation

3

What is value?

Value is what you get ; Price is what you pay

–Warren Buffet

GDAConsulting

Page 4: A tryst with valuation

4

Value drivers

AssetsP&M, Land &

Building, Other Fixed Assets etc.

IncomeRevenues, Cash Flows, EBIDTA,

PAT etc.

IntangiblesBrand,

Intellectual property Rights,

Trademark, Copyrights,

Employee skill etc.

MarketP/E multiples,

Revenue Multiples etc,

GDAConsulting

Page 5: A tryst with valuation

5

Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted

- Albert Einstien

……..But everything that can or cannot be counted can be necessarily valued

GDAConsulting

Page 6: A tryst with valuation

6

What is Valuation?

• Skillful application of certain scientific techniques to determine the “value” of a business /asset/ project/company etc.

• A reliable estimate of economic value

ScienceReliabilitySkill

GDAConsulting

Page 7: A tryst with valuation

7

Valuation considerations• Purpose of valuation

• Background of the Promoters, Management & Company

• Market Conditions- Present & Future

• Element of bias

• Statutory requirements such as Compliance with Income Tax Act, FEMA, RBI Regulations etc.

GDAConsulting

Page 8: A tryst with valuation

8

Valuation Approaches

Asset Based

Approach

Income Based

Approach

Market Based

Approach

GDAConsulting

Page 9: A tryst with valuation

9

Methods of ValuationAsset based (Net Asset method)• Book Value• Market Value• Replacement

Value

Income Based• Discounted cash

flow method• Capitalization of

earnings method

Market based • Market mutiples

method

GDAConsulting

Page 10: A tryst with valuation

10

Net Asset Method

• All Assets (-) Liabilities excluding Reserves and Accumulated Losses

• Book Value Vs. Replacement Value Vs. Market Value Vs. Distress value

• Impact of Off Balance Sheet items

• What about Intangible Assets?

• Involvement of Government registered valuors

• Historical method; does not capture the potential

GDAConsulting

Page 11: A tryst with valuation

11

Discounted Cash Flow

• Net Present Value of future cash flows discounted by Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACOC)

• Realistic business plan and estimation of future cash flows

• Relevance of discounting factor

• Terminal Value

GDAConsulting

Page 12: A tryst with valuation

12

Market Multiples method

• Revenue/EBIDTA/P.E Multiple

• Broader method of valuation

• Takes into consideration, market and competition

• Thumb rule method

• Multiple –a product of micro and macroeconomic factors

• More relevant for large ticket transactions

GDAConsulting

Page 13: A tryst with valuation

13

IntangiblesSeparately identifiable although not tangible

Can be sold /transferred/licensed/rented seperately

Can be recognised legally

Can arise from a legal/contractual right

Is capable of offering a competitive advantage to its owner

GDAConsulting

Page 14: A tryst with valuation

14

Recognition of Intangibles for Valuation purpose

Definition of intangible asset + Future economic benefits + Cost can be measured = Recognized as intangible asset

Recognition of an Intangible is a relatively challenging process

Differentiation factor must be established

Significant competitive advantage must be present

GDAConsulting

Page 15: A tryst with valuation

15

Methods of Intangibles Valuation

Intangibles Valuation

Income

Relief from royalty

Excess Earnings method

Cost

Reproduction Cost Method

Replacement Cost MethodMarket

(Sales Comparison Method)

GDAConsulting

Page 16: A tryst with valuation

16

Deciding the method of valuation

Is the Company a Going Concern? Is the

Company Capital intensive?

Is the Company listed/unlisted?

Are there Comparable Companies in the Market?

Are there any significant intangibles associated with the Company?

GDAConsulting

Page 17: A tryst with valuation

17

Valuation- More of an art; less of a science• Valuation is never Precise;

• Uncertainties of;– Assumptions– Firm-specific factors– Macroeconomic factors

GDAConsulting

Page 18: A tryst with valuation

18

Other Value Drivers

Distress sale

Control Premium

Final Price is a result of negotiations

GDAConsulting

Control PremiumStrategic Positioning

Distress Sale

Alternate

opportunity

Emerging markets

Illiquidity Discount

Final Value

Page 19: A tryst with valuation

19

Importance of reliable valuation

Loss of opportunity

Loss of capital

Legal repercussion

s

Long lasting negative impact

GDAConsulting

Page 20: A tryst with valuation

20

Responses to uncertainty

• Better Valuation models

• Combination of two or more methods

• Valuation ranges

• Judgment and skill of valuor

GDAConsulting

Page 21: A tryst with valuation

21

Case study 1 Brand valuation• Background:

– Brand valuation of one of the top 10 consumer product Brands

– Six product lines; existence of two decades

– Scope extended to understanding the industry, the market, the strategies employed for Marketing, Pricing and Distribution, and last but not the least, competitors; not just logo or registered trademark

GDAConsulting

Page 22: A tryst with valuation

22

Case study 1 Brand valuation• Methodologies: used

– Brand earning Multiple Method– Terminal value method– Discounted Cash flow method

Discussion of Brand Earning Multiple Method

Brand Value = Average Recurring Annual Brand Earnings * Brand Earning Multiple

Brand Earning Multiple based on Sovereign Earning Multiple P.E multiple and Brand Strength score of the Company

GDAConsulting

Page 23: A tryst with valuation

23

Case study 1 Brand valuation• Challenges involved:

– Calculation of Brand Strength Score: Scoring of the Brand on 7 different parameters vis-à-vis it comeptitors; 14 in nos; Substantial subjectivity involved

– Since Company under consideration incorporated multi Branding strategy, it was important to remove the effect of multibrands from their revenue.

– Accounting for remuneration of non brand capital while calculating Average recurring Brand earnings

GDAConsulting

1.Leadership2. Stability3. Support

4.Internationality5.Protection

6.Trend7.Market

Page 24: A tryst with valuation

24

Case study 1 Brand valuation• Valuation Conclusions

– Detailed discussions with the Company and understanding of operations

– Understanding of Brand and Non Brand Operations– Adopting a “devil’s advocate” perspective while evaluating each

assumption– Justifying the value using two other methods

GDAConsulting

Page 25: A tryst with valuation

25

Case study 2- Acquisition of a Company • Background:

– Acquisition of a pharmaceutical Company engaged in the manufacture of intravenous fluids

• Challenges Involved– Post mortem exercise– Valuation after the acquisition was carried out– On slump sale basis by offering a lumpsum amount for assets to be

purchased– Valuation done for the acquiring Company– Assesment of Goodwill

• Methodology used:– Involvement of Government Approved Valuors- Civila nd Mechanical– Valuation of Goodwill on the basis of past financials

GDAConsulting

Page 26: A tryst with valuation

26

Case study 2- Acquisition of a Company • Valuation Conclusions:

• Acquiring Company had negotiated an amount on the basis of WDV of Assets + Premium

• Identification of recently purchased Plant and Machinery which was overvalued in the books

• Acquring Company had paid excess amount for acquiring plant and Machinery

• Ideally Goodwill=Premium

• However, Goodwill was calculated as per widely accepted valuation methods such as Super Profits Method and capitalisation of profits method

GDAConsulting

Page 27: A tryst with valuation

27

Case study 3- Valuation for seeking Equity• Background

– Valuation of an I.T Company- into niche software development

– Objective was to seek equity infusion of a strategic international Company ins imilar line of Business

• Methodology used: Weighted Average of • Discounted Cash Flow method• Net Assets Method• EBIDTA Multiple method

• Challenges involved• Very niche offerings• Very few comparable Companies• Non linear growth pattern prevalent in , not only the Company , but

also the industry• Calculation of Future projections- difficult

GDAConsulting

Page 28: A tryst with valuation

28

Case study 3- Valuation for seeking Equity

• Approach to valuation– Detailed discussions with the Company– Trying to understand the investors’ perspective– Strategy involved in such similar transactions studied– Justifying of assumptions for the purpose of valuation proved to be a

real challenge which was successfully addressed

GDAConsulting

Page 29: A tryst with valuation

29

Takeaways

• Valuation is essentially for a given purpose.

• Value is what you get ; Price is what you pay

• Valuation need not be Precise

• Valuation is a reliable measurement of economic value

• Value changes with perspective

GDAConsulting

Page 30: A tryst with valuation

30

Need for Valuation

• Comparison with peers: Self Assessment

• Succession planning

• Reduction of cost of capital

• Assess marketability of business

• Strengthen credibility

GDAConsulting

Page 31: A tryst with valuation

31

About GDA Consulting• Consulting arm of G.D.Apte & Co. Chartered Accountants

• Team comprises Chartered Accountants, Management Professionals, Financial experts from industry, Ex-Bankers, Legal experts, technical experts etc.

• Over three decades of experience in Valuation

• Body of Work comprises– Assistance in setting up new units– Techno Economic Viability studies– Debt syndication/ Arrangement of Private equity– Assistance in Merger/Demerger cases

GDAConsulting

Page 32: A tryst with valuation

GDA Consulting

PuneGDA HousePlot No. 85, Bhusari Colony (Right)Paud Road, Pune - 411 038, IndiaEmail : [email protected] : +91 20 2528 0081 Fax : +91 20 2528 0275

MumbaiOffice No.83 – 87 ,8th Floor, B Wing ,Mittal Tower, Nariman Point, Mumbai, IndiaPhone : +91 22 4922 0555 BangaloreD-II, 207, Shriram White House, 15th Cross, 6th Main, R.T. Nagar, IInd Block, Bangalore - 560 032Phone : +91 80 2354 2436

GDAConsulting