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    Journal of Gerontology: PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCES

    1999, Vol. 54B, N o. 4, P231-P239

    Copyright 1999 by  The Gerontological Society of America

    A Model of Loneliness in Older Adults

    Bronwyn S. Fees,

    1

     Peter Martin,

    23

     and Leonard W. Poon

    4

    'School of Family and Human Services, Kansas State University, Manhattan.

    2

    Department of Human Development and Family Studies, Iowa State University, Ames.

    3

    German C enter for Aging Research, University of Heidelberg, Germany.

    4

    Gerontology C enter, University of Georgia, Athens.

    Loneliness and physical health status in  older adults have been correlated strongly but the predictive direction is  unclear.  This

    study examined the relationship between personality, cognition, social

     network

    and ag e modeled as predictors of loneliness

    in older Americans. Self-assessed health mediated the relationship. The sample  consisted of 208 independently living

     individ-

    uals 60 to 106 years of age from the southern region of the United States. Model comparison revealed health did not mediate

    the

     relationship significantly

     but that

     self-reported loneliness

     itself mediated between personal

     characteristics

     and perceived

    health. Results indicate anxiety, frequency of telephone  contact and age, but not requency of face-to-face contact with

    others or cognitive functioning, affect perceived loneliness. Perceived loneliness mediates the effects of anxiety, frequency of

    telephone contact

    and age on self-assessed health.

     Feelings

     o f

     loneliness decrease

     one s

     evaluation

     of physical

     well-being.

     

    ONELINESS is a pervasive issue among elderly adults, who

    -/ often face a loss of comm itted intimate relationships and

    communication with others, which are valued by the Western

    culture (de Jong-G ierveld, 1987), a decline in health, and a de-

    cline in personal resources. Developing a theoretical model of

    loneliness that represents the experiences of elderly persons in

    everyday life has been a focus of research by gerontolog ists for

    several decades. Loneliness is a concept that relies on compar-

    isons. It

     is

     defined as a sentiment that is experienced when one 's

    lifestyle (state) is deprived of

     the

     relationships desired and cur-

    rent relationships are seen as inadequate in comparison to those

    of the past, to those anticipated in the future, o r to those pos-

    sessed by other people (Lopata,  1995; Weiss, 1973). The pur-

    pose of this study was to examine predictors of loneliness and

    its relationship with self-assessed physical w ell-being.

    Forty percent of the elderly population has experienced some

    form of loneliness according to data from Europe and the

    United States (Weeks, 1994). Weeks (1994) further suggested

    that although this percentage has been relatively stable over the

    last

     25

     years, it may be worse than it appears. This rate has been

    cause for concern given that suicide, physical ailments, and de-

    pression have been outcomes associated with the presence of

    loneliness in the elderly pop ulation (Creecy, Berg, & W right,

    1985). Elderly persons have been regarded as particularly v ul-

    nerable because they are considered at high risk for experience

    of change and loss (Lopata,

     1995,

     p.

     572).

    Predictors of loneliness vary not only with transitional life

    events but also with increasing maturity (Dugan & Kivett,

    1994; Russell, 1996; Russell, Peplau, & Ferguson, 1978;

    Weeks, 1994). Several different theoretical models of loneliness

    including older adult samples have been proposed. De Jon g-

    Gierveld (1987) hypothesized that demographic characteristics,

    living arrangem ents, and personality ch aracteristics p redicted

    loneliness. Creecy and colleagues (1985) included dem ographic

    characteristics, self-assessed health status, and incom e as pre-

    dictors. Both authors used indicators of social involvement

    (e.g., social network, social activity) as mediating variables.

    Mullins, Elston, and Gutkowski (1996) proposed perceived

    health status and self-rated economic condition as mediators of

    the influence of demographic characteristics on loneliness.

    The mod el we propose shares predictors with each of these

    mo dels; however, we believe the literature suppo rts the inclu-

    sion of personal traits as w ell as interpersonal relationships as

    determinants of loneliness. Our m odel was based on a larger

    conceptual framework that assesses successful adaptation in old

    age (Poon et al., 1992). We proposed that mental health prob-

    lems in later life a re, in part, dependent on individual character-

    istics including personality, level of cognitive functioning, level

    of social support (e.g., social network), and physical health (see

    Figure 1). Physical well-being served as a mediator between

    constructs because decline in health remains a dominant issue

    among older adults, compared to the younger population, po-

    tentially limiting interaction in stimulating relationships, espe-

    cially among the oldest.

    Martin, Hagberg, and Poon (1997) tested this conceptual

    model across cultures by analyzing data from Am erican and

    Swedish centenarians. Personality (conceptualized as anxiety),

    physical health, and social support were strong predictors of

    loneliness in Americans, whereas social support and cog nition

    predicted loneliness for Swedish centenarians. Data were ana-

    lyzed using Partial Least Squares Estimation (LVPLS) Soft

    Modeling (Falk & Miller, 1992).

    In light of recent research suggesting stressors in life may

    have an adverse physiological affect on im mun e system func-

    tioning (see review by Kiecolt-Glaser & Glaser, 1992), we ex-

    amined a second hypothesis in w hich loneliness served simul-

    taneously as a predictor for physical well-being and a mediator

    for the remaining constructs (see Figure 2).

    The focus of

     the

     present analyses was to determine whether

    the model employed by Martin and colleagues (1997) was pre-

    dictive for a more inclusive age range of older Americans using

    structural equation modeling with simultaneous solutions and

    to further examine the relationship between physical well-being

    and loneliness. Chronological ag e was added as a predictor to

    the model to examine its effect. Each construct will be reviewed

    separately in the following paragraphs.

    P231

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    P232

    FEESETAL

    Figure

     1.

     Conceptual M odel of Loneliness in Older Adults.

    Figure 2. Conceptual M odel of Physical Weil-Being in Older Adults.

    Personality

    Research has established a strong relationship between feel-

    ings of loneliness and persona lity characteristics, particularly

    anxiety. Anxiety has been characterized by emotional instabil-

    ity, threat sensitivity, suspiciousness, gu ilt, low integration, and

    tension (Cattell, Eber, & Tatsuoka, 1970). Although anxiety

    often manifests itself in reduced physical health, men and

    women who reported being lonely also reported being anxious

    (often being treated for nervousness) and feeling depressed

    (Berg, Mellstrom, Persson, & Svanborg,

      1981;

     Russell, Peplau,

    & Cu trona, 1980; Russell et al., 1978). An individual with a

    low self-concept (correlated w ith anxiety) may not have satis-

    factory relationships with others and may n ot seek out new re-

    lationships that indirectly affect loneliness (de Jong-Gierveld,

    1987). Social phobia, apprehension, and fear of embarrassment

    in public have been related to a decrease in interaction leading

    to loneliness as w ell (Weeks, 1994).

    Cognitive Functioning

    Decreased efficiency in mental processing has been observed

    in elderly adults, yet few studies include cognitive functioning

    directly as a predictor of loneliness. De Jong-Gierveld (1987)

    took a cognitive processes approach by examining respon-

    dents' subjective evaluations and interpretations of their per-

    sonal experiences rather than using objective m easures of par-

    ticipants' intellectual functioning. S ubjective evaluations of

    relationships strongly predicted loneliness. Berg and colleagues

    (1981) found no differences in an objective measure of intellec-

    tual functioning, verbal ability, between lonely and not lonely

    participants. Neither of these studies exam ined the effect of

    fluid intelligence, the ability to think logically and to reason ab-

    stractly, on loneliness.

    Level of cognitive functioning may affect loneliness in sev-

    eral ways. It may serve as a buffer against feelings of loneli-

    ness; that is, as physical strength and coordination decline and

    limit activity, one can remain cognitively inquisitive and alert,

    thinking and imagining situations beyond one's own situation.

    Conversely, a high level of cognition may be a source of frus-

    tration in that one is able to think of activities to do, but is un-

    able to pursue those goals. No relationship between cognition

    and loneliness was found in the American centenarians; how-

    ever, cognitive functioning was negatively related in Sw edish

    centenarians (Martin et

     al.,

     1997).

    Social Network

    A num ber of research studies have suggested that a decline

    in or absence of social support is predictive of loneliness.

    Russell (1996) found that frequency of contact and number of

    family members were not strongly predictive of loneliness;

    however, the perceived quality of recent relationships was. Type

    of living arrangement has also been determined to affect loneli-

    ness (de Jong-Gierveld, 1987). In a model of loneliness based

    upon persons 25 -75 years of

     age,

     living with a partner signifi-

    cantly and negatively predicted loneliness whereas being single

    significantly and positively predicted loneliness.

    Frequency of contact does appear to be predictive when the

    type of relationship is considered. Mullins and Dugan 's (1990)

    survey of residents in urban co ngregate housing determined

    that frequency of contact with neighbo rs and friends, but not

    with family, w as important to reducing the feelings of loneli-

    ness,

     as was the quality of the relationships with friends. In a

    separate study, Dugan and Kivett's (1994) survey of rural inde-

    pendently living elderly persons revealed that infrequent visits

    with family members (siblings) predicted loneliness as did the

    loss of a spouse. Lack of friends was an important predictor of

    loneliness in Swedish 70-year-olds (Berg et al., 1981).

    Because loneliness may be realized by a lack of communica-

    tion with others (de Jong-Gierveld, 1987), we chose to measure

    social networks by the frequency of contact individuals had

    with others, either through visits or over the telephone. Each

    contact represented an opportunity for comm unication and rela-

    tionship building.

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    A MODEL OFLONEUNESS

    P233

    Age

    Although a decline in physical health is common w ith age, re-

    search literature has been inconclusive regarding the role of age

    in predicting loneliness among older adults. College students

    have been found to report higher levels of loneliness than older

    adults (Russell, 1996). However, among rural adults 65 years of

    age and older, Dugan and Kivett (1994) found that over half

    (68%) of the sample reported social loneliness som etimes or

      quite often. The authors concluded this rate was similar to that

    of the general population of persons aged 65 years and older.

    Creecy and colleagues (1985) concluded that age had an in-

    direct effect on loneliness that was mediated by social activity

    and social fulfillment, explaining less than 1% of the variance

    in loneliness. Similar results were reported by de Jong-Gierveld

    (1987), who found that age did not have a significant direct ef-

    fect on loneliness in persons 2 5-75 years old. However, others

    suggest a positive relationship between age and loneliness

    (Fischer & Phillips, 1982). Exam ination of single cohort sam-

    ples does suggest that loneliness and age are related. Berg and

    colleagues (1981) found that 19% of their Swedish sample of

    septuagenarians reported som e or frequent loneliness.

    Approximately one third of a sample of centenarians in the

    United States reported loneliness som etim es or often, as

    did 44% of Swedish centenarians (Martin et al.,

      1997).

     A na-

    tional Swedish study in which the proportion of persons report-

    ing loneliness increased from 20% in sexagen arians to over

    40% in octogenarians was cited by Berg and colleagues (1981).

    Our intent was to further examine the direct effect of age on

    physical health and loneliness and the effect on each construct

    when mediated by the other.

    Self-Assessed Physical Health

    Both domestic and international studies have found that poor

    self-assessed phy sical health (Mullins et al., 1996; Mullins,

    Johnston, & Anderson, 1988; Mullins & Mushel, 1992;

    Wenger, Davies, Shahtahmasebi, & Scott, 1996) and number of

    chronic illnesses (Russell, 1996) correlated positively and

    strongly w ith loneliness in elderly ad ults. Lonely elderly men

    and women had more negative assessments of health and feel-

    ings of fatigue than did elderly men and wom en who were not

    lonely. Lonely participants also complained of backaches,

    headaches, and nonspecific nausea (Berg et al.,

     1981).

     A pro-

    gressive decrease in hearing has also been associated with feel-

    ings of loneliness in elderly persons (Dugan & Kivett, 1994).

    Whether poor health predicts lonely feelings or loneliness pre-

    dicts self-assessed poor health is not

     clear.

     Self-assessed physical

    health was found to mediate the effects of disability and educa-

    tion on loneliness (Mullins et

     al.,

     1996). Physical health mediated

    the effect of anxiety on loneliness in American centenarians

    (Martin et al.,

     1997).

     Researchers have also concluded that lone-

    liness may be predictive of mental health. Bazargan and Barbre

    (1992) found loneliness explained variance in self-evaluations of

    memory loss in older Black adults. These conclusions p rovide

    support for analysis of both models as proposed.

    METHODS

    Participants and Procedure

    The sample for

     this

     analysis (n  = 208) was drawn from Phase

    1 of the Georgia Centenarian Study (Poon et al., 1992) con-

    ducted at the University of Georgia  (N

     =

     262). The multidisci-

    plinary study collected data on three cohorts of cognitively in-

    tact, independently living individuals: sexagenarians, octoge-

    narians, and centenarians. Participant inclusion criteria included

    a minimum score of 20 on the Mini-Mental Status Exam

    (Folstein, Folstein, & McH ugh, 1975) given at the beginning of

    the interview/testing session and a Stage 2 or higher level on

    the Global Deterioration S cale (Reisberg, Ferris, De Leon, &

    Crook, 1982). Data from each of the three cohorts were aggre-

    gated in the following analyses.

    Participants were recruited primarily from the state of

    Georgia by the U niversity of Georgia at Athens (UGA ) Survey

    Research Center. Interviews and testing of centenarians were

    conducted at the participant's place of residence. G roups of

    6-1 0 sexagenarians and octogenarians met in a common p lace

    to be interviewed and tested. Two thirds of the sample were fe-

    male and approximately 72% w ere Wh ite. Between cohorts,

    the level of formal education decreased with an increase in age.

    Widowhood increased with age. The majority of

     the

     sample re-

    ported good or excellent health (see Table 1).

    A cross-tabular analysis of the sociodemographic character-

    istics of cases w ith missing data  ( n = 54) revealed that these

    cases differed from the included cases on age and m arital sta-

    tus.

     More centenarians and widowed adults were excluded than

    expected and fewer sexagenarians and married adults were ex-

    cluded than expected. N o group differences were found for sex,

    education, race, or income.

    Variables and Instruments

    Three subscales of anxiety were used from the Sixteen

    Personality Factor questionnaire (16PF; Cattell et al., 1970).

    The three first-order factors were measured on a normed scale

    from

      1

     (low) to 10 (high) and included (1) emotional stability,

    (2) apprehension, and (3) tension. High scores reflected high

    anxiety. Reported test-retest reliability (1 to 7 days) for each of

    the scales, respectively, were .79 to .82, .72 to .83, and .81 to

    .90 (Cattell et al., 1970).

    Cognition was measured with three subtests from the

    Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Revised (Wechsler, 1987):

    picture arrangement, block design, and arithmetic. Each mea-

    sure was continuous; high scores reflected high cognitive abil-

    ity. The average reported split-half reliability coefficient for pic-

    ture arrangement was .74; block design and arithmetic

    exceeded .80 (Kaufman, 1985).

    Social Network was measured with two questions taken

    from the Older Americans Resources and S ervices Procedures

    (OARS; Fillenbaum, 1988) Interaction scale: About how many

    times did you talk to someone— friends, relatives, or others—

    on the telephone in the past week and How many times dur-

    ing the past week did you spend some time with som eone who

    does not live with you; that is, you went to see them o r they

    came to visit you, or you went out to do things together. Both

    measures were scored from 3 (once a day) to 0 (not at all).

    Reported reliability coefficient for the scale was .56

    (Fillenbaum, 1988).

    Although w e intended to measure the extent of involvement in

    social relationships, preliminary confirmatory factor analyses in-

    dicated that w e were, in fact, measuring two unique constructs.

    The first was telephone interaction, which may be a dominant

    means of commun ication am ong those who are not indepen-

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    FEESETAL.

    Table

     1.

      Participant Characteristics

    Characteristics

    Age Range (years)

    Mean (SD)

    Gender (n)

    Male

    Female

    Race(«)

    White

    African American

    Education (n)

    0-4 years

    5-8 years

    Some high school

    Completed secondary

    Business/trade school

    1-3 years of college

    Completed college

    Graduate school

    Marital Status (n)

    Single

    Married

    Widowed

    Divorced

    Separated

    Missing

    Subjective Health (n)

    Poor

    Fair

    Good

    Excellent

    Sexagenarians

    (n = 82)

    60-^9

    64.96(2.80)

    33

    49

    57

    25

    4

    6

    11

    15

    5

    10

    13

    18

    2

    50

    19

    9

    2

    0

    5

    10

    45

    22

    Octogenarians

    (n = 79)

    79-89

    82.59 (2.45)

    26

    53

    61

    18

    3

    14

    15

    7

    8

    10

    5

    17

    0

    29

    46

    4

    0

    0

    1

    21

    40

    17

    Centenarians

    (n = 47)

    99-106

    100.79 (1.52)

    11

    36

    31

    16

    8

    9

    6

    5

    4

    6

    5

    4

    4

    1

    39

    2

    0

    1

    4

    14

    27

    2

    Total Group

     n =  208)

    60-106

    79.75 (14.00)

    70

    138

    149

    59

    15

    29

    32

    27

    17

    26

    23

    39

    6

    80

    104

    15

    2

    1

    10

    45

    112

    41

    dently mobile or are separated from family and friends by great

    distances. Visiting suggested some level of independent mo bil-

    ity, in which case there may be less reliance on the telephone

    than for less able-bodied persons or for those who live farther

    from family and friends. Additionally, deterioration in hearing

    may actually discourage telephone communication and increase

    reliance on visiting, if possible. Each question, therefore, be-

    came a sing le-item indicator reflective of separate constructs;

    high scores reflected frequent interaction. Age, in years, was

    self-reported.

    Two indicators from the O ARS (Fillenbaum, 1988) served as

    indicators for the latent con struct Physical Illness. The first

    measure assessed current perceived overall health, How would

    you rate your overall health at the present time, from 3 (excel-

    lent) to 0 (poor). The second indicator was a comparative indi-

    cator of health, Is your health now better, about the same, or

    worse than it was five years ago, from 2 (better) to 0 (worse).

    Measures were recoded so that high scores reflected illness.

    Reported reliability for the items was .74 (Fillenbaum, 1988).

    Loneliness was measured with three indicators. The first,

      Do you find yourself feeling lonely quite often, sometimes, or

    almost never (OAR S; Fillenbaum , 1988), was coded as 0

    (often),  1  (sometimes), and 2 (seldom ). The item was a part of

    the Affective dim ension of social support, with a reported relia-

    bility of .71. The second m easure was taken from the Bradburn

    Affect Balance Scale (BABS; Bradburn, 1969): During the

    past few weeks did you ever feel very lonely or remote from

    other people, with four values ranging from  1  (not at all) to 4

    (often). This item w as part of

     the

     negative affect balance scale

    with a reported test-retest reliability of

     .81

     (Bradburn, 1969).

    The final measure was a subscale score from the Philadelphia

    Geriatric Center Morale Scale (PGC; Lawton, 1975) labeled as

      lonely dissatisfaction. This subscale was composed of six di-

    chotomously scored items from which an aggregated subscore

    was derived. Items represented the extent to which an individ-

    ual feels lonely and dissatisfied with life (Sauer & Warland,

    1982, p. 223). Cronbach 's alpha was reported as .85 (Lawton,

    1975) for the six-item scale. Measures were recoded so that a

    high score reflected greater loneliness.

    Reliability of the measures within the model may be esti-

    mated from the factor lo adings; that is, the factor loading is a

    measure of the validity of a construct. Because the square root

    of reliability is its validity, validity squared is an estimate of the

    reliability of the measure (Bollen, 1989). The presence of error

    is calculated as part of mod el estimation. Refer to Table 2 for

    estimated reliabilities within the mod el.

    Data Analysis

    A covariance matrix was generated using a listwise proce-

    dure (see Table 2). Data were analyzed using the structural

    equation mod eling procedures in LISREL VIII (Joreskog &

    Sbrbom, 1994) with maximum likelihood estimation.

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    A MODEL OF LONELINESS

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    Table 2. Correlation Matrix, Means and Standard Deviations for Measurement Model (n = 208)

    Indicator 1 10 11 12 13 14

    1.

     Emotional stability

    2. Apprehension

    3.

     Tension

    4.

     Picture arrangement

    5. Block design

    6. Arithmetic

    7.

     Visiting friends/relatives

    8. Telephone contact

    9. Age

    10.

     Self-health rating

    11. Health problems

    12. Lonely

    13. Feeling lonely/remote

    14. Lonely dissatisfaction

    Mean

    Standard Deviation

    1.00

    -.42

    -.39

    .10

    .16

    .17

    .01

    .09

    .01

    -.26

    -.07

    .32

    .22

    .28

    5.28

    1.91

    1.00

    .46

    -.11

    -.14

    -.23

    -.02

    -.00

    -.04

    .22

    .11

    -.24

    -.17

    -.20

    5.12

    1.88

    1.00

    .02

    .03

    .02

    .13

    .02

    -.15

    .17

    .00

    -.18

    -.18

    -.23

    5.01

    1.87

    1.00

    .64

    .58

    .13

    .20

    -.48

    -.24

    -.13

    .15

    .15

    .08

    5.56

    4.54

    1.00

    .64

    .09

    .25

    -.52

    -.29

    -.17

    .14

    .10

    .16

    15.06

    10.61

    1.00

    .08

    .18

    -.43

    -.30

    -.14

    .23

    .04

    .17

    9.29

    4.05

    1.00

    .31

    -.04

    -.09

    -.05

    -.01

    .08

    .10

    2.16

    .74

    1.00

    -.24

    -.17

    -.04

    .12

    .22

    .27

    2.48

    .76

    1.00

    .22

    .24

    -.12

    -.21

    -.18

    79.75

    14.00

    1.00

    .29

    -.34

    -.32

    -.35

    1.12

    .77

    1.00

    -.07

    -.05

    -.12

    1.06

    .64

    1.00

    .48

    .34

    1.65

    .57

    1.00

    .50

    3.53

    .92

    1.00

    11.04

    1.24

    Table 3. Measurement Model: Standardized Factor Loadings Table

     4.

     Correlations Among Latent Variables

    Latent Construct and Indicators Factor Loading Estimated Reliabili ty Latent Variable

    Personality

    Emotional stability

    Apprehension

    Tension

    Cognition

    Picture arrangement

    Block design

    Arithmetic

    Visiting Friends/Relatives

    Telephone Contact

    Age

    Physical Health

    Self-health rating

    Health problems

    Loneliness

    Feeling lonely (OARS)

    Feel very lonely/remote (BABS)

    Lonely dissatisfaction (PGC)

    -.64

    .66

    .62

    .76

    .84

    .75

    1.00

    1.00

    1.00

    .78

    .37

    .60

    .74

    .67

    .41

    .44

    .38

    .58

    .71

    .56

    1.00

    1.00

    1.00

    .61

    .14

    .36

    .55

    .45

      Validity (factor loading) squared is an estimate of the reliability of the indi-

    cator (Bollen, 1989). x

    2

     (60) = 88.11,/? < .05.

    RESULTS

    An advantage of structural equation modeling was the use of

    multiple indicators of latent constructs. Multiple indicators re-

    flected the specific domain of content defined by the latent vari-

    able, allowed estimation of measurement error, and simultane-

    ous estimation of parameters in the model. Preliminary

    confirmatory factor analyses were conducted using LISREL

    VIII (Joreskog & S orbom, 1994) to estimate the measurement

    model w ith significant indicators of the latent constructs. The

    proposed measurement model and regression model were con-

    ducted concurrently (see Table 3 for factor loadings and Table 4

    for correlations am ong latent variables).

    To

     examine the direct, indirect, and total effects of

     the

     latent

    exogenous constructs on loneliness, nested mod els were com-

    1.

    2.

    3.

    4.

    5.

    6.

    7.

    Physical Illness

    Loneliness

    Anxiety

    Cognition

    Visiting

    Telephone Contact

    Age

    Note: n = 208

    -.55

    .38

    -.40

    -.11

    -.19

    .27

    -.50

    .24

    .09

    .31

    -.26

    -.19

    .04

    -.03

    -.10

    .12 —

    .27 .31 —

    -.61 -.04 -.24 —

    pared. First, a nonmediated model was tested in which the direct

    path coefficient from the mediator to the outcome was fixed to

    zero and all other paths were estimated (Baron & K enny, 1986).

    Second, a fully recursive, mediated model w as run to assess me-

    diation. Total effects were decomposed in the later model.

    Model A:

      Loneliness

     as

     Outcome

    The focus of this  first set of analyses was to exam ine the direct

    and mediated effects of each construct on loneliness. Resu lts of

    the nonmediated model indicated a reasonable fit of the model to

    the data, x

    2

      (60) = 88.1 1,/? < .05, GFI = .95, AGFI = .90.

    Regression coefficients were significant betw een Anxiety and

    Physical Illness (standardized coefficients reported), 7 =

     .48,

     t =

    4.16, as well as Anxiety and Loneliness, 7 =

     .60,

     t = 4.57. Higher

    levels of anxiety were related to higher levels of physical illness

    and higher levels of loneliness. Age significantly predicted

    Physical Illness, 7 =

     .23,

     t

     =

     2.03 , and Loneliness, 7 = .36, t =

    3.16, suggesting the older the individual, the higher the evaluation

    of physical illness and the greater loneliness experienced.

    Telephone contact negatively predicted Loneliness, 7 = - .23, t  =

    2.73. Cognition and Visiting were not predictive of either criterion

    variable.

    According to Baron and Kenny (1986), mediation is present

    if the significant coefficients between the latent exogenous

    (Anxiety and Age) and the latent endogenous (Loneliness) are

    reduced (partially mediated ) or becom e nonsignificant (fully

    mediated) when the mediating path is present and significant in

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    Figure 3. Structural Model of Loneliness in Older Adults. Figure 4. Structural Model of Physical Weil-Being in Older Adults.

    Table 5. Model A: Decomposition of Effects of P ersonal

    Characteristics on Loneliness

    Table 6. Model B: Decomposition of Effects of Personal

    Characteristics on Physical Illness

    Variables

    Anxiety

    Cognition

    Visiting Others

    Telephone Contact

    Age

    Physical Illness

    R

    2

    Physical Illness

    Direct Indirect Total

    .35

    -.22

    -.07

    -.06

    .15

    ***

      25***

    — -.22

    — -.07

    — -.06

    — .15

    .28

    Loneliness

    Direct Indirect

    .42***  .13

    .22 -.08

    -.02 -.03

    - .21***

      -.02

    .28***

      .05

    .37*

    Total

    55***

    .14

    -.04

    -.23***

    .34***

    .37*

    .50

    Variables

    Anxiety

    Cognition

    Visiting Others

    Telephone Contact

    Age

    Loneliness

    R

    2

    Loneliness

    Direct Indirect

    55***

    .14 —

    -.04 —

    -.23***

      —

    24***

    Total

    .55***

    .14

    -.04

    -.23***

    24***

    .40

    Physical Illness

    Direct

    .11

    -.28**

    -.05

    .04

    .00

    44***

    Indirect

    24***

    .06

    -.02

    -.10**

    .15**

    Total

    35***

    -.22

    -.07

    -.06

    .15

    .44***

    .40

    Note: n = 208. Standardized regression coefficients shown.

    *p <

     .05;

     **p <

     .01;

     ***p

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    to .55 (t

     =

     4.34). The path from A ge to Illness dropped from .23

    to .00 and was not significant  (t = .02). Age to Loneliness  (t

     =

    3.00) and Telephone Contact to Loneliness

     ( t

     = 2.78) remained

    virtually unchanged. Cognition emerged as a negative predictor

    of Physical Illness, 7 =

     - .28 ,

      t = 2.41. Visiting was n ot predic-

    tive. The mediated model accounted for

     40%

     of the variance in

    Loneliness and 40% of the variance in Physical Illness.

    Total effect of Anxiety on Physical Illness was significant  (t =

    3.45). In contrast with Model

     A,

     the indirect effects of Anxiety,

    Telephone Contact, and Age on Physical Illness were significant

    (see Table 6). Although Cog nition had a significant regression

    coefficient, neither it nor Visiting had significant effects.

    DISCUSSION

    The models examined in these analyses were unique with re-

    spect to previous mode ls in that they examined the effects of

    the level of cognitive functioning and personality on loneliness

    mediated by self-assessed physical health. Loneliness as a me-

    diator was modeled as well, given research suggesting per-

    ceived inadequate relationships affect physical w ell-being.

    One of

     the

     most provocative findings of

     these

     analyses is the

    relationship between loneliness and self-evaluation of health.

    Elevated feelings of loneliness not only predict poor subjective

    health evaluations but also transform the effects of increasing

    age and anxiety on health. These findings are consistent with

    the psychoneuroimmunology literature which suggests that

    one's psychological characteristics, including evaluations of

    personal relationships, affect one's physical health and, in this

    case, one's feelings about physical health. Kiecolt-Glaser,

    Garner, Speicher, Perm, and Glaser's (1984) analyses of loneli-

    ness in medical students found lon eliness to be negatively re-

    lated to immune functioning.

    Although the relationship between health status and loneliness

    in Model A was in the expected direction (poor subjective health

    status predicts greater feelings of loneliness), a stronger effect was

    anticipated given Martin and colleagues' results (1997) for

    American centenarians and the significant change in path coeffi-

    cients for anxiety and age. Self-assessed health did not serve as a

    strong mediator of the effects of the o ther constructs. Several pos-

    sible explanations exist for

     the

     apparent

     discrepancy.

     First, it may

    be a consequence of the difference in estimation procedures be -

    tween LVPLS and L ISREL. Partial least squares uses component

    analyses (such as principal component analyses) to estimate the

    regression coefficients, whereas the maximum likelihood estima-

    tion procedure uses simultaneous solutions. Second, the sample

    represents a broader age range including individuals in the Third

    Age (approximate age range of 60-75 years) and Fourth Age

    (persons 85 and older; Baltes & B altes, 1998), which are theo-

    rized to be distinctly different groups in terms of physical and psy-

    chological functioning. A third potential explanation for

     the

     rela-

    tively weak relationship between the two may be the relative

    homogeneous nature of our sample on health; mat is, about two

    thirds of the participants in this study were reporting good or

     ex-

    cellent health. Consequently, physical illness may have a greater

    mediational effect for those who experience poorer health.

    However, given the near significance of die coefficient from health

    to loneliness, we believe the results deserve further examination

    by cohort (age groups) with a more heterogeneous health sample.

    Contrary to the conclusions of

     de

     Jong-Gierveld (1987) and

    Creecy and colleagues (1985), our results indicate that age has

    a significant total effect on feelings of loneliness; the older the

    participants were, the more likely they were to report loneli-

    ness.

     Our results also suggest the effect of old age on serf-eval-

    uation of health is effectively mediated by loneliness. With ad-

    vancing age, feelings of loneliness affect perceptions of health

    rather than self-perceived health affecting feelings of loneliness.

    Health status does appear to decline with

     age:

     centenarians

    reported proportionally more poor and fair health whereas

    sexagenarians and octogenarians reported higher percentages of

      g ood and excellent health. An exception to the trend, how-

    ever, is that fewer octogenarians report poor physical health,

    leading u s to ask what is the effect of coho rt as a moderating

    variable rather than age as a predictor. Additional analyses need

    to examine how well this model fits he data for each cohort.

    Consistent with the literature, a predictive positive relation-

    ship is present between anxiety and feelings of loneliness (e.g.,

    Berg et al.,  1981; de Jong-G ierveld, 1987); greater anxiety is

    reflected in grea ter feelings of lonelines s. However, like age,

    when loneliness w as the mediator, the effect of anxiety on phys-

    ical well-being was totally indirect. High levels of anxiety in-

    crease feelings of loneliness, w hich in turn decrease assessment

    of well-being. The outcome of anxiety may be both poor feel-

    ings about relationships and health.

    Although an anxious personality may serve a positive func-

    tion (e.g., motivation for action or learning), high and continu-

    ous anxiety (characterized by em otional instability, apprehen-

    sion and tension) heightens sensitivity to any feelings of illness

    or may m anifest itself in concrete phy sical illness. Inadequate

    relationships may b e the consequence of a lack of stimulating

    interaction or in overly cautious, serf-conscious behavior, char-

    acteristic of an anx ious personality. These results suggest that

    the linkage by w hich anxiety affects interaction and perceptions

    of health needs to be explored m ore fully.

    The difference in effect between the two social network vari-

    ables is noteworthy. Participating in frequent telephone conver-

    sations not only reduced the loneliness perceived by partici-

    pants but also affected perceived health indirectly and

    significantly. Visiting with someone other than a spouse or

    roommate had no predictive relationship with either outcome

    variable. We measured frequency of contact rather than with

    whom one had contact, specifically. O ur results, therefore, are

    somewhat discrepant with previous research by Ru ssell (1996)

    and the conclusions of Marangoni and Ickes (1989), in which

    loneliness in older adults was found to be related weakly to the

    number of persons in the social network and average frequency

    of social contact but strongly related to perceived quality of

    contact. These results suggest frequency of contact, via the tele-

    phone , is important. Older adults may b e more limited in their

    physical m obility or lack the means to travel independently.

    The telephone, then, becomes a dominant and readily accessi-

    ble mechanism (used by all ages) to remain in contact with dis-

    tant family members, such as children, and friends, allowing

    adults to maintain an emotionally intimate relationship. Once

    again, it is important to no te the characteristics of the sample.

    All participants were living independently. Mo st centenarians

    in this sample were w idowed, and m ore than half of the sexage-

    narians were married as were about one third of  the octogenari-

    ans;

     therefore, for many younger participants, the presence of

     a

    spouse may limit the reliance on the physical presence of out-

    siders for interaction.

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    A second possible explanation for the discrepancy is that re-

    spondents, as a whole, w ere expressing m ore emotional loneli-

    ness rather than social loneliness (Weiss, 1973). The amount of

    face-to-face contact with o thers (i.e., visiting) would be less rel-

    evant than having an intimate confidant, a relationship that

    could be maintained over the telephone . This explanation is

    consistent with the strong positive relationship between anxiety

    and loneliness given that anxiety w as in part assessed by em o-

    tional stability (Cattell et al., 1970).

    Limitations an d Implications

    We recognize several limitations in this analysis. The first is

    in the manner in which loneliness was assessed. Participants

    were asked, in three se parate measu res, if they felt lonely. As

    such, the definition of loneliness was left to the individual; mul-

    tiple interpretations of loneliness may be represented in the

    analysis. The feelings of the participants appeared genuine, re-

    flecting their perception of their personal status. The nature of

    the question, however, does not allow us to tease out whether

    the type of loneliness experienced was dom inantly social or

    emotional (M arangoni & Ickes, 1989). Second, with regard to

    model evaluation, our chi-square statistic was significant in the

    nonmediated model. Examined alone, this would indicate a

    poor fit of the model to the data (Bollen, 1989). However, given

    the AGFI and GFI indices of fit (above .90) and a critical N of

    200 (Hoelter, 19 83), we believe our models are not only theo-

    retically but also statistically defensible.

    The statement that correlation does not prove causation

    (Bollen, 1989, p. 52) holds true for this model. The d ata in this

    analysis represent one time period within the study, although

    future analyses with the data will take a longitudinal perspec-

    tive. As Bollen suggests, models can only approxim ate reality,

    which is what we have attempted to do. We are attempting to

    build a foundation for further model building which more accu-

    rately reflects the experiences of o lder Americans living inde-

    pendently. By the same token, the lack of a correlation does

    not disprove causation (Bollen, 1989, p. 52). Consequently,

    future data collection and analyses that are able to isolate, if

    possible, variables from other agents may indeed find our initial

    model to be a valid representation of reality. Obviously replica-

    tion is necessary.

    The generalizability of this study is limited by the character-

    istics of the sample. A s noted, all participants were living inde-

    pendently and lived in the southern region of the United States;

    consequently, an analysis of institutionalized older adults or

    adults from different regions of the country may produce re-

    sults different from those presented here.

    Despite these shortcomings, the im plications of this study

    are clear. Loneliness does affect o ne's perceptions abou t health.

    As recognized by Christian, Dluhy, and

     O Neill

     (1989), profes-

    sionals w ho work with older adults must be attentive to this re-

    lationship in their clients and keep in mind that alleviating lone-

    liness may be one way of affecting overall health. Among

    elderly p ersons living independently, loneliness is more preva-

    lent with increasing age. Anx iety is particularly detrimental by

    increasing perceived loneliness and thus perceived ill-health. It

    is clear too that the telephone is a fundamental tool for older

    adults living independently to maintain relationships. Increasing

    sensory impairm ent, particularly hearing loss, therefore, is of

    concern to effective telephone usage. As Baltes and Baltes

    (1998) sugg est, we are challenged to create a cultural support

    system for the Fourth

     Age

     that allocates more resources to com-

    pensate for the increasing dysfunctionality that occurs with age.

    All professionals that care for or interact with older adults must

    be alert to the level of functioning and health in the individual.

    Model replication relies on further analyses specifically exam-

    ining the moderating effects of cohort and of residential status,

    that is, dependent care versus independent living, and following

    individuals over time.

    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

    Funding for this research was provided by N IH Grant R01-43435.

    The authors would like to thank Dan Russell, Ph D, for his review and com-

    ments on this manuscript, and acknowledge a reviewer's suggestion to test the

    model with loneliness as the mediating variable.

    Address correspondence to Dr. Peter Martin, German Center for Research

    on Aging, University of Heidelberg, Bergheimer Str. 20, 69115 Heidelberg,

    Germany. E-mail: [email protected]

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    Received January

     5

    1998

    Accepted December

     22,

     1998