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China Economy in 1992China Takes Jab at 'Leftists' and Nudges EconomyBy NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF,
Published: April 4, 1992
BEIJING, April 3— The National People's Congress concluded
its annual session today with a call to guard against the "leftism"
of hard-liners, in another sign that Deng Xiaoping and his allies
are gaining ground in their drive to step up the pace of economic
change.
The rubber-stamp legislature, in an implicit reproach of Prime
Minister Li Peng, amended the Government Work Report he
delivered two weeks ago. The amendments strengthened the
calls for rapid economic growth and added a warning about the
"leftism" that is widely associated with hard-liners like Mr. Li.
"To accelerate the reform and opening to the outside, it is
crucial for cadres at all levels to further enhance their
consciousness of implementing the party's basic line and guard
against 'leftist deviations' while watching out for 'rightist
deviations,' " the amendment said.
Leftism is a code word for neo-Maoist efforts to emphasize
ideology, central planning and traditional Communism, while
rightism refers to leanings toward democracy and capitalism.
Gentle Breeze of Change
Since January, Mr. Deng, who at the age of 87 holds no formal
position but remains China's most powerful leader, has
masterminded a campaign for bolder steps to increase economic
growth.
The aim of the campaign is clearly to sustain Communist rule
rather than undermine it. But many young Chinese still seem
delighted that the hard-liners are in trouble, and they hope that
a result will be changes that could make a real difference: less
political indoctrination, a diminished role for Communist Party
cadres in factories and offices, newspapers and television
programs that are less doctrinal and more entertaining,
encouragement for political exiles to return to China, and a
relaxation of restrictions on contacts with foreigners.
The amendments to the work report praised stock markets and
the private sector, said that markets could be used in socialism
as well as capitalism, and hinted that the economy could grow
more quickly.
While the National People's Congress session was a success for
Mr. Deng and his campaign, it showed that hard-liners were still
fighting back. "The reformists cannot get a 100 percent victory
over the conservatives," said a Western diplomat in Beijing. "The
wording today again points to a power struggle going on among
leaders of the party and Government."
Moreover, Mr. Deng's faction has not replaced the hard-liners
they have criticized, including Gao Di, the head of People's Daily,
Wang Renzhi, the head of Propaganda Department, and He
Jingzhi, the acting Culture Minister.
The Congress would have been a particularly suitable time to
change Culture Ministers, and the absence of personnel changes
suggests that the hard-liners are down but not out.
Important decisions in China are never made by vote, but rather
by a combination of consensus and power politics among the top
leaders and retired leaders, and Mr. Deng's campaign seems
intended to shape that consensus in the coming months. A major
opportunity for change will come at the end of the year at the
14th Communist Party Congress, the highest-level party
gathering since 1987. Communism With a Twist
The motivation for Mr. Deng's campaign seems to be that the
best way to insure Communist dominance of China is flexible
economic policies -- including elements of capitalism -- that raise
the standard of living. Mr. Deng appears to believe that the
hard-line strategy, with its emphasis on ideological purity and
harsh warnings against foreign subversion, may actually
increase dissatisfaction and the risks to the Government.
In another important action today, the Congress approved a
proposal to build a dam on one of the most beautiful stretches of
the Yangtze River in central China. The Three Gorges dam,
which would produce more electricity than any dam in existence,
was first proposed in the 1920's and in recent years has been
quietly opposed by some intellectuals. They fear that the
Government is undertaking a costly and dangerous prestige
project without allowing opposing opinions to be evaluated.
The proposal to build the dam was passed 1,767 to 177, with 664
abstentions. By Chinese standards, where Government-backed
measures are supposed to pass with virtual unanimity, the
number of no votes and abstentions was enormous.
Photo: The National People's Congress concluded its annual
session yesterday in Beijing, approving a proposal to build a
huge dam on the Yangtze River in central China. A delegate who
had arrived early was surrounded by teacups as he waited for
the closing session to begin. (Associated Press)
Economy Is a Pawn In China's Power GameBy SHERYL WuDUNN
Published: July 5, 1992
BEIJING— SECRETIVE power struggles have been a way of life
here for millenniums, but now the jousting is growing
particularly intense. China's octogenarian rulers must decide
within the next few months on a political platform and a roster of
leaders to be approved at the crucial 14th Communist Party
Congress late this year.
Deng Xiaoping already has launched his campaign -- a virtual
road show -- for swifter change across the nation, and he
remains the single most important political figure in China even
though he no longer holds any official posts. But there are a half-
dozen other octogenarian leaders who collectively also have
great influence. The result is a protracted bargaining process,
now under way behind the scenes, to determine the outcome of
the party congress.
A party congress occurs just once in five years or so, and this
one may be the last that China's octogenarians will be able to
control. Mr. Deng will be 88 next month, and his main rival,
Chen Yun, has just turned 87. Both are frail. "This is the old
man's last effort to push reform," a senior Chinese official said of
Mr. Deng.
Mr. Deng has committed himself to the position that China can
avoid the fate of the Soviet Union only by hastening economic
restructuring and improving the standard of living. But his
elderly colleagues, who include one nonagenarian, Peng Zhen,
don't all agree. So Mr. Deng, who for years had virtually
confined his movements to a few spots in China, has been
traveling around the nation for support for his policies and
proteges. "Deng doesn't really have any of his own people in the
leadership now," said a Chinese economist. "He may have
control, but he doesn't yet have full control. He has to fight
against all the other old hard-liners to get the people he wants
into the leadership."
Mr. Deng launched his campaign in January with a trip to the
southern province of Guangdong, setting off a wave of
enthusiasm across the nation for greater economic
restructuring. But Mr. Deng himself has been frustrated at the
ability of hard-liners to block his directives, and he is said to
have scolded the younger leaders -- who hold the formal titles --
for failure to follow through on his speeches.
"Everyone says that I am the master planner for economic
reform," Mr. Deng reportedly said during a two-hour visit in May
to Capital Corporation, a steel mill in Beijing. "But no one seems
to be carrying out anything."
The intrigues now under way were apparent a day after Mr.
Deng's visit to the steel company. His comments there were
recorded on videotape by the company, but the next day the
Central Committee General Office sent an envoy to confiscate
the tape, according to a Chinese with access to top officials. It is
not clear what one should make of this: perhaps Mr. Deng's
enemies were trying to block the distribution of the tape, or
perhaps his supporters were planning to edit it for television. Or
perhaps the Politburo members simply wanted to know what Mr.
Deng was saying behind their backs.
There are many signs that Mr. Deng is gaining in the power
struggles, although the disputes certainly are far from over. One
such sign is that Ding Guangen, his bridge-playing partner,
apparently is overseeing the preparation for the report that will
be presented at the 14th Party Congress. Mr. Ding is believed to
have peppered the draft with reformist phrases, such as "market
economy" instead of the previously used "commodity economy."
Another sign that Mr. Deng is pushing ahead is that the
Government has eased controls in many areas, such as prices,
rents and stock ownership. Many intellectuals are also rejoicing
at reports that He Dongchang, the hard-line party secretary and
deputy director of the State Education Commission, is being
pushed out. Still, while the political system is tilting toward Mr.
Deng, there have been no purges of major hard-liners yet.
Mr. Deng himself is said to have three prominent hard-liners in
his sights: Propaganda Minister Wang Renzhi, Acting Culture
Minister He Jingzhi and the director at People's Daily, Gao Di.
Mr. Deng criticized them by name in January, yet they remain in
their jobs. Apparently they have support from other
octogenarians.
The 14th Party Congress will approve the report, a platform for
the next five years, and choose a new Central Committee. The
Central Committee will then choose a Politburo to serve until
1997. Some reshuffling is expected, but the two most important
figures -- Prime Minister Li Peng and General Secretary Jiang
Zemin -- are generally expected to retain their Politburo seats.
Mr. Li may be vulnerable, however, to being "promoted" out of
his Government job next March when the National People's
Congress meets.
Mr. Deng appears to be supporting two Deputy Prime Ministers,
Zhu Rongji and Tian Jiyun, and they are among the possible
candidates to succeed Mr. Li if he is pushed out as Prime
Minister. Mr. Deng went out of his way to say that while he and
most other leaders do not understand economics, Mr. Zhu does
know something about the subject. Mr. Zhu was picked recently
to head a new super-ministry called the Economic and Trade
Office.
As part of Mr. Deng's campaign to boost reform-minded officials
and promote economic change, the Politburo recently released a
document that says Yangtze River cities and border areas will be
opened up to the outside world in the same way that coastal
cities already have been.
"Clearly at the moment we are in a Deng-ist high tide," said a
Western diplomat. But no one knows whether the tide will go out
again, particularly after Mr. Deng's death, leaving the landscape
unchanged.
Photo: Deng Xiaoping: Traveling to push his ideas. (Chine
Nouvelle/Gamma-Liaison)
China to Free More PricesPublished: September 2, 1992
BEIJING, Sept. 1— China announced steps today to further
liberalize its economy by freeing prices on almost 600
production materials.
The decision, effective immediately, was announced on the
nationally televised evening news and reported by the state-run
New China News Agency.
The liberalization of prices on 593 materials leaves only 89
others still controlled by the state, the press agency reported,
adding that the Government expected to free prices on the
remaining products after the economy developed further.
The agency warned that anyone hoarding or speculating in the
products would be severely punished and said the Government
would guard against attempts to monopolize the materials.
"The central Government will step in when prices fluctuate too
much because of the imbalance between demand and supply," an
unidentified official with the State Price Bureau was quoted as
saying.
The official said market demand would determine prices for 571
items used in producing goods. Prices for 22 other kinds of
production goods will be determined by local governments.
The products affected by the steps include petroleum asphalt,
black lead, oils used as raw materials, some steel products and
most machinery and electronic products.
China Above Growth PlanPublished: December 28, 1992
BEIJING, Dec. 27— Premier Li Peng, who advocates slow
economic growth for China, has conceded for the second time
this year that the economy is growing faster than he had
planned, according to official reports today.
Mr. Li acknowledged at a national conference on the economy
last week that the annual growth rate for 1992 would reach 12
percent, the state-run television network reported.
In his annual state-of-the-union address in March, Mr. Li set an
annual rate of 6 percent for 1991-1995. But a much higher
growth rate has resulted from calls by the senior leader, Deng
Xiaoping, early in the year for bolder economic reforms.
For months, experts have been predicting an annual growth rate
of 12 percent or more. In June, Mr. Li conceded that maintaining
the 6 percent target was unlikely, but he urged that growth be
kept below 9 percent to avoid overheating the economy.
Prices in China's 35 largest cities rose nearly 13 percent in
November from a year earlier, and industrial production in the
first 11 months grew more than 20 percent from the
corresponding period in 1991.
The official Xinhua News Agency said Mr. Li had stressed the
need next year to improve product quality, break up government
monopolies or industries and enact price reform.
China Leaders Stress Both Market and OrthodoxyBy NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF,
Published: October 13, 1992
BEIJING, Oct. 12— The Chinese Communist Party opened its
14th congress today with a call for an economic "revolution,"
linking the country's future to the development of a market
economy and placing priority on economic growth rather than
ideology. But the key speech at the gathering made clear that
the party wants free markets only for goods and services, not for
ideas.
Nearly 2,000 delegates gathered for the congress, held in the
Great Hall of the People. Under a 150-foot red banner reading
"Long live the great, glorious and correct Chinese Communist
Party," they listened as the party's general secretary, Jiang
Zemin, delivered a two-hour speech that is supposed to establish
the party line until 1997.
Party congresses are held at five-year intervals, and today's
gathering is widely regarded as Deng Xiaoping's last opportunity
to give staying power to the course now being steered by China.
Mr. Deng, who is 88 and feeble, holds no formal post but
remains the nation's paramount leader.
Mr. Jiang's speech, which was vetted in advance by the entire
national leadership, formalized the Government's embrace of
economic restructuring along free-market lines and underscored
the sinking fortunes of the hard-liners and the rise of those who
wish to extend China's experiments with capitalism.
"Reform is also a revolution, a revolution whose goal is to
liberate the productive forces," said Mr. Jiang, a portly 66-year-
old. "It is the only way to modernize China. If we cling to
outmoded ideas and remain content with the status quo, we shall
accomplish nothing."
"Poverty," he said, "is not socialism." Strengthening Dictatorship
But Mr. Jiang also called on the Government to "strengthen the
people's democratic dictatorship" and "crack down on the
activities of hostile forces." He also said that China must
"resolutely eliminate all factors that might lead to unrest or
turmoil."
The result was a speech that seemed contradictory, as if the
liberal faction had written the economic sections and hard-liners
had contributed the rest. The apparent aim of Mr. Deng has
been to create a sort of free-market totalitarianism.
Mr. Jiang emphasized that China would continue to subscribe to
Marxist and Maoist thought, and he warned against "decadent
capitalist and feudal ideologies" in carrying out the economic
revolution.
"This revolution is not intended to change the nature of our
socialist system but to improve and develop it," said Mr. Jiang,
who dressed in a Western suit for the occasion. In the next
sentence, he added: "It is no minor patching up of the economic
structure but a fundamental restructuring of the economy."
The party congress, the first since 1987 -- and thus the first since
the 1989 Tiananmen democracy movement and the first since
the collapse of Communism in Eastern Europe -- will choose a
new Central Committee and establish the policies that China is
supposed to take until the next congress. The delegates were
carefully picked for their loyalty and obedience, and so the party
congress is less an exercise in democracy than a theatrical
performance.
Most of the delegates sat stony-faced in their chairs throughout
the speech, following the texts in front of them. On the stage
behind Mr. Jiang, the 200 members of the congress presidium
sat in places of honor -- a stark reminder of the party's
reputation as a gerontocracy, for most were elderly and some
had to be helped to their seats.
In the crowd of balding or graying heads, overwhelmingly male,
one member of the presidium stood out: 22 year-old Gao Min,
winner of a gold medal in the women's diving championships at
the Barcelona Olympics. Ms. Gao is not known for her party
activities.
The People's Daily today listed Mr. Deng and several other top
party elders as members of the presidium, but they were not
present today. In an attempt to quiet rumors that Mr. Deng is
seriously ill, the official New China News Agency carried a brief
item today quoting his daughter, Deng Nan, as saying: "My
father is hale and hearty." 'Socialist Market Economy'
Today's address was more supportive of change than most
official statements since 1989, but it was not nearly so ardently
liberal as the main speech at the 13th party congress in 1987.
That speech, by General Secretary Zhao Ziyang, who was purged
after the Tiananmen crackdown, was a vigorous call for renewal
and a major breakthrough for those favoring far-reaching
changes.
A central theme of Mr. Jiang's speech was the call to build a
"socialist market economy," which apparently means a free
market economy with a large public sector. But instead of
mentioning specific changes the party will make, Mr. Jiang
simply emphasized the need for bolder restructuring.
"To accelerate economic growth we must further emancipate our
minds, speed up the reform and opening to the rest of the world,
and not get bogged down in an abstract debate over what is
socialist and what is capitalist," Mr. Jiang said.
But Mr. Jiang also said that socialism is bound to replace
capitalism and he referred to the 1989 pro-democracy movement
as "counter-revolutionary rioting" -- a phrase that was added at
the last minute.
A confidential draft of the speech that circulated earlier
described the movement as only a "disturbance." The change
was one of the few that was made in the final speech, according
to a Chinese journalist.
Mr. Jiang also used hard-liner language in calling for vigilance
against "peaceful evolution," supposedly a plot by Western
countries to subvert China bit by bit until it wakes up capitalist.
He delivered a lengthy tirade against "any big, strong or rich
country" -- by which he clearly meant the United States -- that
uses human rights issues to coerce or humiliate other nations.
Mr. Jiang added, still obviously referring to the United States:
"Any country that overreaches itself or rides roughshod over
others will be denounced by the peoples of the world."
Photo: Nearly 2,000 delegates gathered for the opening session
of the Chinese Communist Party's 14th Congress. Jiang Zemin,
left, the party's general secretary, and Prime Minister Li Peng
stood for the national anthem. (Agence France-Presse)
SUPPORT GROWING IN CHINA FOR SHIFT TO FREER MARKETSBy NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF,
Published: June 28, 1992
BEIJING, June 24— Advocates of economic change appear to
be gaining ground in the power struggles here, and a result is
that China is aiming to step up its drive toward free markets.
Spurred by a new, still unpublished speech by Deng Xiaoping,
the senior leader, Chinese officials are planning to allow foreign
companies to play a greater role in the service industry. Officials
are also stepping up plans to privatize housing, decontrol prices
and even convert a large share of state industry into
stockholders' companies.
Economists are discussing new ideas with an openness and
giddiness not seen since the hard-liners reasserted themselves
in the crackdown on the democracy movement in Tiananmen
Square in June 1989. No Signs of Political Freedom
"The reformers haven't yet won the battle, and the power
struggle is still going on," said an economist helping to plan the
transition to a market system in China. "But there's no doubt but
that at this point we're winning."
To be sure, there is no sign that economic liberalization will lead
to political freedom. And even if they win, the backers of change
face a growing challenge from disgruntled workers who are
upset about layoffs and rising prices. Some officials believe that
because of antagonism among workers, the Government will be
unable to introduce layoffs or price increases as quickly as it
would like.
But since China is not a democracy, the authorities need pay less
heed to disenchanted workers than do the leaders of Russia or
Eastern Europe, and some economists here favor ramming
through even unpopular measures. Others suggest delaying any
bankruptcies or layoffs, but speeding up other kinds of
restructuring. Orchestrated by Deng
The drive for more rapid change is orchestrated by Mr. Deng,
who is believed to be traveling now in the northeast of China,
rallying support for his policies. Late last month, he visited the
Capital Steel Corporation and complained that the Communist
Party had not adequately carried out his calls for faster
economic growth and reform.
Chinese officials say that Mr. Deng bluntly criticized the Beijing
Communist apparatus for refusing to allow the steelworks to
manage its own affairs and undertake new ventures.
"I don't understand economics," Mr. Deng reportedly growled
during the two-hour visit. "But I know a good economy when I
see it."
Mr. Deng's apparent meaning -- that the important thing is to
make people rich, not to worry about the ideological correctness
of the methods used -- has particularly caught on in the
provinces. Local officials have seized upon Mr. Deng's calls for
change as an excuse to push for stock exchanges, special
investment zones, horse-racing tracks, and other quasi-capitalist
measures they have dreamed of for years.
In Hainan Province, for example, Governor Liu Jianfeng has told
people he is considering making the entire province a duty-free
zone in which the official currency would be Hong Kong dollars.
Earlier this year, Hainan opened up a stock exchange, calling it
"internal" so that it would not have to win approval from Beijing.
A Deputy Prime Minister flew down from Beijing to order the
exchange closed, but after he left it reopened and it continues to
operate unofficially, without a sign.
Some plans, like using Hong Kong dollars as the official currency
in Hainan -- are unlikely to win approval from Beijing, and a
Western economist said that many of the new ideas were more
imaginative than sensible. But the ferment is in striking contrast
to the torpor of the last few years, when economists who
yearned to be architects of a better system found themselves
nothing more than interior decorators for Communism.
"There are almost no limits now," said an economist who advises
top officials. "The discussions are about what is good policy, not
good ideology."
Of course, the Government still insists that it is building
socialism, not capitalism, and the experimentation could
disappear if hard-liners -- who now are gnashing their teeth in
the wings -- come out on top in the power struggle.
Yet even now, China is in most respects more of a market
economy than Russia. Most farmland in China is divided into
quasi-private plots; in the former Soviet Union, most of it is still
collectively farmed. The overwhelming majority of industry in
Russia is state-owned; in China, only half is state-owned. In
Russia, most trade until lately has been effectively conducted
through an exchange rate that overvalues the ruble by 100
percent; in China, businesses last year exchanged $20.4 billion
at essentially free market rates, and even the official exchange
rate is overvalued by only 15 percent or so.
China also has growing experience with joint ventures, with
share issues and stock markets, and with trading of bonds,
commodities and futures. The scale of stock trading is becoming
significant: In the Shenzhen Stock Market in southern China,
more than $250 million worth of shares trade hands in a good
week. Doing 'More' Than Russia
"In Russia, they keep talking about reform, but they don't
actually do anything," said a Chinese economist who recently
visited Moscow. "We're doing a lot more than they are."
Most of the items on the Chinese agenda have been proposed for
years. What is new is the concerted drive to move ahead:
Experiments with stock issues will be extended on a much
broader basis. According to one plan now being informally
developed, more than half of state-owned companies -- all except
those that are in strategic industries, are owned by the army or
are particularly prestigious -- will issue stock over the next five
years or so. About 20 percent of the shares would go to
individuals and the rest to companies, universities and
Government departments.
*More state-owned companies may be forced to merge, lay off
workers or even close down rather than lose money indefinitely.
These steps are controversial within the Government because of
the antagonism that they generate, but the Government reported
a few days ago that it had already laid off 1.4 million workers.
That is equivalent to about 1 percent of the urban labor force,
and more layoffs are expected.
*Apartment rents have doubled or are about to in most Chinese
cities, and rents are scheduled to quadruple by 1994. Many
cities are also introducing plans to force occupants to buy their
own homes, finally lifting key controls on rent after years of talk
but little action.
*Irrational prices continue to be adjusted to levels closer to the
market. The price of a jin of noodles, enough for about two
bowls, rose in April to 12 cents, compared with 7 cents two
years earlier. In Shanghai, electricity and water rates jumped by
up to 50 percent this month, and coal prices around the country
reportedly will rise sharply from their absurdly low levels. Some
citizens are grumbling, but for now the Government seems
intent on continuing to decontrol prices.
*Foreign investment will be allowed in new areas of the Chinese
economy, particularly the service sector. The first joint venture
will be allowed soon in the insurance industry, a Japanese
company is being allowed to open a joint venture department
store in Shanghai and foreign banks will be allowed to open
branches in several cities. The authorities in the southern city of
Guangzhou, also known as Canton, are even talking about letting
foreign banks accept deposits and make loans in local currency.
*The special policies to encourage foreign investment will be
extended to the interior of China, instead of simply the coastal
areas where investment has already been encouraged. All
provincial capitals and the cities along the Yangtze River will be
authorized to offer tax breaks and other preferential terms to
foreign investors.
Many of the plans now under discussion, including the stock
one, are similar to those that were debated in 1988 and early
1989, before the army attacked the Tiananmen pro-democracy
movement and the hard-liners rose to power.
"Nobody can say so aloud, but basically we've gone back to
where we were before Tiananmen," said a middle-ranking official
responsible for finance. "In economics, things are going ahead
again."
Photo: The price of noodles, a staple of the Chinese diet, and of
other basic commodities have risen sharply as the Government
pushes to decontrol prices and speed the country's transition to
a free-market system. In Beijing, a family eating a meal of
noodles from a street vendor. (Agence France-Presse)
China Plans Big Layoffs Of Coal Mine WorkersBy NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF,
Published: December 29, 1992
BEIJING, Dec. 28— China has laid off 100,000 coal workers
and will lay off hundreds of thousands more in the coming years,
as part of a broad effort to modernize its energy industry, an
official report said today.
The layoffs suggest that the Communist Party is finally grappling
directly with the enormously complex and painful problems of
industrial revamping.
Until now, the Government has resisted such layoffs for fear of
provoking worker unrest -- the same kind of anxieties and
outrage that erupted in Britain in October when the Government
there proposed laying off 30,000 coal miners.
The Communist Party here sees the problem the same way that
the Conservative Party perceives it in Britain: some mines
cannot be operated economically at current prices. But the
British Prime Minister, John Major, was forced to scale down his
program in response to the public outrage, while the self-
professed leaders of the Chinese working class seem determined
to expose the miners to the discipline of the market.
The official China Daily said the China National Coal
Corporation, a huge state-owned conglomerate that employs
three million people, would close 30 inefficient mines in 1993
alone and lay off 30,000 miners and 70,000 workers in related
jobs.
The newspaper said the company planned to reduce the number
of its coal workers by 400,000 by the time the current five-year
plan ended in 1995. The report added that another major state-
run coal company, which it did not identify, also planned
"massive layoffs to increase efficiency."
The China Daily also said that 100,000 coal workers had already
been laid off, although it did not say when that had happened. It
said that most had found other kinds of jobs, and the
Government apparently also will help employees laid off in the
future to find jobs in new companies in the service sector.
The Energy Ministry refused to comment today. The coal
corporation directed phone calls to Tan Enli, its director of
policy research, and he declined to discuss specifics. But he did
say that the article in China Daily was premature and should not
have been allowed to be published.
"We'd like to do these things," Mr. Tan said, referring to the
prospective layoffs for 1993 and subsequent years. "But first we
need approval. In January the company will hold a conference to
decide whether to go ahead with these plans."
In China, if a conference is called to debate a topic, that usually
means that the aim is to build a consensus and legitimacy for a
decision that has already been made. A Big Headache
State-owned corporations like the coal company have been a big
headache for China's leaders. While the overall economy is
booming at a 12 percent growth rate this year, the main
beneficiaries are private and collective enterprises.
Among state companies, which account for about half of
industrial output, only a third are earning profits, with another
third showing losses and the rest breaking even. Coal mines
have particularly suffered, because their costs have gone up
while the price of the coal they sell is fixed at artificially low
prices by the state.
The solution is twofold: to raise coal prices and to lay off surplus
workers. But the Government has worried that consumers might
protest rising prices for coal, which is used for both heating and
cooking, and that miners might protest the layoffs.
Now the authorities appear to be moving on both fronts, not only
in the coal industry, but throughout the economy. Price of Coal
to Be Raised
In addition to laying off surplus coal workers, China has said it is
raising coal prices gradually so that they will reach market
levels within the next few years. This year, for example, the
National Coal Corporation is allowed to sell 20 percent of its
output at market prices, and in 1993 the figure will rise sharply.
Elsewhere in the economy, state-owned companies are also
revamping and laying off workers.
In the central Chinese city of Chongqing, for example, the local
Foreign Affairs Office says a state-owned knitting mill was
declared bankrupt in September, costing 3,000 workers their
jobs. At the time, it was the biggest single bankruptcy ever
allowed in China, the local officials say.
Until recently, the state normally bailed out such money-losing
factories indefinitely, because of the fear of worker unrest. In
the spring of this year, the Government was deeply worried by a
series of wildcat strikes and attacks on change-minded factory
managers.
As a result of those incidents, the leadership cooled down the
talk about how beneficial layoffs were for economic efficiency.
And now, while going ahead with the restructuring, it appears to
have decided to provide as many sweeteners to the workers as
possible.
Each laid-off coal worker will be eligible for a no-interest loan of
up to $1,720 to help start a business or find work elsewhere. The
Government will also give the coal corporation a $340 million
loan to allow it to start service companies that can absorb some
of the laid-off employees.
Photo: China National Coal, which employs three million people,
plans to reduce its work force by 400,000 by 1995, the official
China Daily reported. Workers loaded coal in Shanxi Province.
(Eastfoto)
Chinese Leaders Back Deng on Economic ChangePublished: March 12, 1992
BEIJING, Thursday, March 12— Top officials of China's ruling
Communist Party rallied behind the call of the country' senior
leader, Deng Xiaoping, for bolder economic change, according to
official news reports today.
The decision came at a meeting of the party Politburo, the top
decision-making body in the country, on Monday and Tuesday. It
appears to make Mr. Deng the winner in a prolonged struggle
with hard-line leaders over the path of the Chinese economy.
Mr. Deng, 87 years old, who began shifting China toward a
market economy in 1978, feared the hard-liners would undo his
policies in the name of protecting China from bourgeois
contamination. Chinese living standards have risen sharply since
the move toward market economics began.
The hard-liners maintained that the shift toward the market was
leading China toward capitalism and that the "open-door policy"
of maintaining contact with the West was bringing in drug use,
Western cultural influences and crime. Decision of Politburo
The official New China News Agency said the Politburo decided,
"to judge whether a move is 'socialist' or 'capitalist' will depend
mainly on whether it will benefit the development of the
productive forces under socialism, the enhancement of the
comprehensive national strength of our socialist country and the
promotion of the living standard of the people."
Mr. Deng stepped down from his last party and government
posts in 1989 and 1990, and was not mentioned as attending the
meeting. It is more likely that he conveyed his views through the
party General Secretary, Jiang Zemin, or other Politburo
members.
The official press agency said the Politburo "stressed that it is
imperative to firmly carry out the party's basic line of making
economic construction the central task and to seize the current
opportune time to accelerate the pace of reform and opening to
the outside world."
It called for more attention to education and science and
technology and said the party would not waver in its line "even
for 100 years." Democractization Opposed
The meeting called for "vigilance against right deviation,"
meaning moves toward Western-style democracy, but said that
"main attention should be paid to guarding against left
deviation."
This appeared to be a direct attack on Mr. Deng's hard-line
enemies.
"Left deviation" means excessive emphasis on class struggle,
egalitarian wages and other policies of the late Mao Zedong.
He Preaches Free Markets, Not MaoBy NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF
Published: May 11, 1992
DONGGUAN, China— For anyone who thinks of Communist
Party bosses in China as old ideologues in Mao suits, Liu Shuji
comes as a surprise.
A 43-year-old dynamo who favors well-cut business attire, Mr.
Liu uses his tiny Motorola cellular telephone not to mount
"political study" campaigns but to recruit foreign investors. One
of his favorite economists is Milton Friedman, the American
proponent of free markets, and Mr. Liu's aim is to spread wealth
rather than revolution.
Mr. Liu, the Communist Party secretary for the urban area of
Dongguan, one of the richest cities in southern China, is an
example of the new breed of Communist officials emerging in
towns throughout the nation. Reared in the fervor of the Maoist
era, and turned off by it, they today prefer practical policies to
promote economic growth through contact with the West. Lens
on Local Government
"The Communist Party and the Republican Party and the
Democratic Party are the same in some ways," Mr. Liu said in
his elegant second-floor office overlooking the main street of
Dongguan. "You can't pressure people to stay in power. You've
got to give people a better life and improve the economy. If the
economy doesn't improve, then the Communist Party is in
trouble."
The party is often a very different creature at the local level than
at the center, and nowhere is this more true than here in
Guangdong Province, adjacent to Hong Kong. Mr. Liu's
pragmatism seems fairly typical of his generation, and in many
ways he offers a window into the minds that run the nation's
local governments.
Mr. Liu, a soft-spoken man with a boyish face and a mischievous
grin, was born to a peasant family in Guangdong. As a university
student during the Cultural Revolution, the tumult that lasted
from 1966 to 1976, Mr. Liu was one of the millions of Red
Guards who made revolution on a daily basis. He became a
leader of a Red Guard faction in the provincial capital, Canton,
and battled rival groups.
That experience apparently sapped his revolutionary ardor, for
Mr. Liu was already a committed pragmatist in the early 1980's
when he worked as a local official in the farm town of Humen.
The challenge in those days was to apply a national policy that
as an experiment allowed the breakup of agricultural communes
in backward areas.
"We saw that the experiment worked very well," Mr. Liu
recalled. The new individual farming plots were far more
productive than the communes. So, without waiting for Beijing's
approval, Mr. Liu and other local leaders extended the
experiment across the board and allowed the peasants in almost
all areas to divide up the communes.
The central Government eventually affirmed that this was the
right thing to do.
"We don't resist central policies," Mr. Liu said. "But we can
implement the policies flexibly, creatively and practically."
Mr. Liu's flexibility is evident in the remarkable changes in his
appearance that have taken place over the years.
In an interview four years ago, when he was deputy mayor of
Dongguan, Mr. Liu wore a simple tunic and looked like an
ordinary Chinese worker. These days, reflecting the increasing
wealth and sophistication of Dongguan, Mr. Liu wears stylish
wool suits and is driven around in a red Mercedes-Benz 200 that
is scented with Kiss car cologne. His cellular telephone is never
more than a few feet away.
The job of Communist Party Secretary includes responsibility for
all Government and party activities, but Mr. Liu devotes most of
his time to economic development. While the national leadership
fulminates about "hostile foreign forces," Mr. Liu strives to
increase business with those forces -- particularly with Hong
Kong.
Many of Dongguan's 1.3 million people have relatives in nearby
Hong Kong, and the backbone of the local economy is the
network of Hong Kong-financed factories that make toys, shoes
and clothing for export. Some of the factories are partly owned
by the city government and generate profits that the city
authorities have used to buy Canadian real estate and to set up
several dozen companies in Hong Kong.
When he is asked if all this contact with Hong Kong is subversive
of Communist rule, Mr. Liu seems horrified at the question.
"We shouldn't be afraid of such contact," he said. "There are
many things about other countries that we must study." Favors
Slow Liberalization
In particular, Mr. Liu believes that China must study Western
management practices and market economics. He said that
while socialist countries have done well in reducing gaps
between the rich and poor, they generally have poor service and
low efficiency.
Like many moderate officials, Mr. Liu favors political
liberalization, but very slowly, to avoid instability that might
threaten economic growth.
"Reform has focused on the economy, and political change has
lagged a bit," he said. "Chinese go along with that. We
remember the Cultural Revolution, and we don't want that chaos
again. People want to see prosperity and democracy both, but in
a stable way. Westerners maybe don't understand that very
well."
In other parts of China, political study classes are held every
week or so in most factories and offices and include readings of
speeches by national leaders. There is not much of that in
Dongguan.
Pressed for an example of whether city workers still go through
some political study, Mr. Liu paused.
"There've been some special study sessions," he said. "Hygiene
and manners, for example. Now the staff know that they have to
wear nice clothes and can't wear sandals to the office."