A coupled DFE-Newtonian Cellular Automata scheme for...

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1. INTRODUCTION Problems with fragmentation, dilution, waste and propagation, leading to reduce common in modern caves. Some exam mechanisms of ore loss are shown in Figu In the fictitious example shown in Figu failure induced by the effect of the cave o results in mobilization of a volume of mat not much smaller than the cave itself. T the failure may be slow flowing, but c similar cave with no overlying pit, there amount of additional waste that may dilut a high risk that some of the waste w displace flows of ore. If the failure co ARMA 11-150 A coupled DFE-Newtonia cave initiation, propagatio Beck, D. A. Beck Engineering, Sydney, New South Wa Sharrock, G. The University of New South Wales, Sydn Capes, G. Newcrest Mining Limited, Orange, NSW, Copyright 2011 ARMA, American Rock Mechanics This paper was prepared for presentation at the 4 2011. This paper was selected for presentation at the sym the paper by a minimum of two technical reviewer members. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or is prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is abstract must contain conspicuous acknowledgem ABSTRACT: Coupled, granular flow-deforma cave initiation, propagation and gravity flow. T muckpile with an explicit Discontinuum Finit mine scale and incorporate high resolution inp numbers of small particles in the cave muckpil - Velocity based instability criteria for cave cave propagation geometry and rates. - Evolution of swell within the cave, compu - A physics based equilibrium state betwee - Changes in load distribution within the ca consequent to the draw schedule. - Calibrated, energy based assessment of se - Assessment of support performance via a In this paper, example analysis results are com modelled and measured draw, muckpile movem in the rock mass are then used to describe aspe ore cut-off by ed recovery are mples common ures 1, 2 and 3. ure 1, a slope on the pit slope terial on a scale The majority of compared to a e is a massive te the cave and will cut off, or ontains a large volume of fines, the problem especially difficult to recover f sometimes economically catastr The example shown in Fig fragmentation for a conceptual DFE model. The model is a s Hoek Brown DFE model, calibr forecast rock mass damage very estimate is based on the simu Bonds law. The model results fo the cave shows how structures strain, leading to compartment fragmentation. The well fragme but the poorly fragmented area not and when breakthrough into an Cellular Automata scheme fo on and induced seismicity ales, Australia ney, Australia Australia s Association 45 th US Rock Mechanics / Geomechanics Symposium held in Sa mposium by an ARMA Technical Program Committee based on a rs. The material, as presented, does not necessarily reflect any p r storage of any part of this paper for commercial purposes witho s restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrat ment of where and by whom the paper was presented. ation simulations have been undertaken at a number of ca The tool combines a Newtonian Cellular Automata (NCA te Element (DFE) model of the rock mass. The simulati put data such as large numbers of explicit structures in th le. The coupled simulations incorporate: e back instability, assessed by the DFE model allowing di uted by the NCA numerical method. en the cave material and the uncaved rock mass computed ave and across the cave floor arising from the differential eismogenic potential. assessment of support demand versus capacity. mpared to field measurements and interpreted in terms of th ments, cave growth and subsidence. The modelled stress, ects of cave initiation and propagation in terms of rock ma m will be worsened and from. Such failures are ophic. gure 2 shows primary cave, simulated using a strain softening dilatant, rated with high fidelity to y well. The fragmentation ulated plastic work and or a section at the edge of concentrate and partition ts of favorable and poor ented volumes flow well, as, while still caved, may o the overlying cave or simulation of an Francisco, CA, June 26–29, a technical and critical review of position of ARMA, its officers, or out the written consent of ARMA tions may not be copied. The aving operations to simulate A) representation of the cave ions are three dimensional, he rock mass and very large irect, explicit forecasting of by the DFE model. l flow rates within the cave, he relation between strain and energy changes ass stability and seismicity.

Transcript of A coupled DFE-Newtonian Cellular Automata scheme for...

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1. INTRODUCTION

Problems with fragmentation, dilution, ore cut

waste and propagation, leading to reduced recovery are

common in modern caves. Some exam

mechanisms of ore loss are shown in Figures 1, 2 and 3.

In the fictitious example shown in Figure 1, a slope

failure induced by the effect of the cave on the pit slope

results in mobilization of a volume of material on a scale

not much smaller than the cave itself. The majority of

the failure may be slow flowing, but compared to a

similar cave with no overlying pit, there is a massive

amount of additional waste that may dilute the cave

a high risk that some of the waste will cut off

displace flows of ore. If the failure contains a large

ARMA 11-150

A coupled DFE-Newtonian Cellular Automata

cave initiation, propagation and induced seismicity

Beck, D. A.

Beck Engineering, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Sharrock, G.

The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Capes, G.

Newcrest Mining Limited, Orange, NSW, Australia

Copyright 2011 ARMA, American Rock Mechanics Association

This paper was prepared for presentation at the 452011.

This paper was selected for presentation at the symposium by an ARMA Technical Program Committee based on a technical and crithe paper by a minimum of two technical reviewers. The material, as presented, does not necessarily reflect any position of ARMA, its officers, or members. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper for commercial purposes without the wriis prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrations may nabstract must contain conspicuous acknowledgement of where and by whom the paper was presented.

ABSTRACT: Coupled, granular flow-deformation simulations have been undertaken at a number of caving operations to simulate

cave initiation, propagation and gravity flow. The tool combines a Newtonian Cellular Automata (NCA) representation of the cave

muckpile with an explicit Discontinuum Finite Element (DFE) model of the rock mass

mine scale and incorporate high resolution input data such as large numbers of explicit structures in the rock mass and very

numbers of small particles in the cave muckpile.

- Velocity based instability criteria for cave back instability, assessed by the DFE model allowing direct, explicit forecastin

cave propagation geometry and rates.

- Evolution of swell within the cave, computed by the NCA numerical method.

- A physics based equilibrium state between the cave material and the uncaved rock mass computed by the DFE model.

- Changes in load distribution within the cave and across the cave floor arisi

consequent to the draw schedule.

- Calibrated, energy based assessment of seismogenic potential.

- Assessment of support performance via assessment of support demand versus capacity.

In this paper, example analysis results are compared to field measurements and interpreted in terms of the relation between

modelled and measured draw, muckpile movements, cave growth and subsidence. The modelled stress, strain and energy changes

in the rock mass are then used to describe aspects of cave initiation and propagation in terms of rock mass stability and seismicity.

, ore cut-off by

and propagation, leading to reduced recovery are

. Some examples common

are shown in Figures 1, 2 and 3.

In the fictitious example shown in Figure 1, a slope

failure induced by the effect of the cave on the pit slope

results in mobilization of a volume of material on a scale

er than the cave itself. The majority of

the failure may be slow flowing, but compared to a

similar cave with no overlying pit, there is a massive

amount of additional waste that may dilute the cave and

a high risk that some of the waste will cut off, or

. If the failure contains a large

volume of fines, the problem will be worsened and

especially difficult to recover from.

sometimes economically catastrophic.

The example shown in Figure 2 shows primary

fragmentation for a conceptual cave, simulated using a

DFE model. The model is a strain softening dilatant,

Hoek Brown DFE model, calibrated with high fidelity

forecast rock mass damage very well. The fragmentation

estimate is based on the simulated plastic work and

Bonds law. The model results for a section at the edge of

the cave shows how structures concentrate and partition

strain, leading to compartments of favorable and poor

fragmentation. The well fragmented volumes flow well,

but the poorly fragmented areas, w

not and when breakthrough into the overlying cave

150

Newtonian Cellular Automata scheme for

cave initiation, propagation and induced seismicity

th Wales, Australia

The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Newcrest Mining Limited, Orange, NSW, Australia

Copyright 2011 ARMA, American Rock Mechanics Association

This paper was prepared for presentation at the 45th US Rock Mechanics / Geomechanics Symposium held in San Francisco, CA, June 26

This paper was selected for presentation at the symposium by an ARMA Technical Program Committee based on a technical and criof two technical reviewers. The material, as presented, does not necessarily reflect any position of ARMA, its officers, or

members. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper for commercial purposes without the wriis prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrations may nabstract must contain conspicuous acknowledgement of where and by whom the paper was presented.

deformation simulations have been undertaken at a number of caving operations to simulate

propagation and gravity flow. The tool combines a Newtonian Cellular Automata (NCA) representation of the cave

ckpile with an explicit Discontinuum Finite Element (DFE) model of the rock mass. The simulations are three dimensional,

mine scale and incorporate high resolution input data such as large numbers of explicit structures in the rock mass and very

ers of small particles in the cave muckpile. The coupled simulations incorporate:

Velocity based instability criteria for cave back instability, assessed by the DFE model allowing direct, explicit forecastin

on of swell within the cave, computed by the NCA numerical method.

A physics based equilibrium state between the cave material and the uncaved rock mass computed by the DFE model.

Changes in load distribution within the cave and across the cave floor arising from the differential flow rates within the cave,

Calibrated, energy based assessment of seismogenic potential.

Assessment of support performance via assessment of support demand versus capacity.

nalysis results are compared to field measurements and interpreted in terms of the relation between

modelled and measured draw, muckpile movements, cave growth and subsidence. The modelled stress, strain and energy changes

describe aspects of cave initiation and propagation in terms of rock mass stability and seismicity.

volume of fines, the problem will be worsened and

especially difficult to recover from. Such failures are

sometimes economically catastrophic.

The example shown in Figure 2 shows primary

for a conceptual cave, simulated using a

DFE model. The model is a strain softening dilatant,

Hoek Brown DFE model, calibrated with high fidelity to

rock mass damage very well. The fragmentation

estimate is based on the simulated plastic work and

Bonds law. The model results for a section at the edge of

the cave shows how structures concentrate and partition

strain, leading to compartments of favorable and poor

fragmentation. The well fragmented volumes flow well,

but the poorly fragmented areas, while still caved, may

and when breakthrough into the overlying cave

for simulation of

US Rock Mechanics / Geomechanics Symposium held in San Francisco, CA, June 26–29,

This paper was selected for presentation at the symposium by an ARMA Technical Program Committee based on a technical and critical review of of two technical reviewers. The material, as presented, does not necessarily reflect any position of ARMA, its officers, or

members. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper for commercial purposes without the written consent of ARMA is prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrations may not be copied. The

deformation simulations have been undertaken at a number of caving operations to simulate

propagation and gravity flow. The tool combines a Newtonian Cellular Automata (NCA) representation of the cave

. The simulations are three dimensional,

mine scale and incorporate high resolution input data such as large numbers of explicit structures in the rock mass and very large

Velocity based instability criteria for cave back instability, assessed by the DFE model allowing direct, explicit forecasting of

A physics based equilibrium state between the cave material and the uncaved rock mass computed by the DFE model.

ng from the differential flow rates within the cave,

nalysis results are compared to field measurements and interpreted in terms of the relation between

modelled and measured draw, muckpile movements, cave growth and subsidence. The modelled stress, strain and energy changes

describe aspects of cave initiation and propagation in terms of rock mass stability and seismicity.

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Figure 1 Artists rendition of material movements into a fictional inclined cave, following slope failure. In this case the failure is

a similar scale to the cave.

Figure 2 Model forecast fragmentation, on a section near the edge of a discarded block cave concept. A large zone of poorly

fragmented material develops due to the influence of structures, the overlyi

Deformed

Well fragmented,

flows well

Artists rendition of material movements into a fictional inclined cave, following slope failure. In this case the failure is

Model forecast fragmentation, on a section near the edge of a discarded block cave concept. A large zone of poorly

fragmented material develops due to the influence of structures, the overlying cave and the undercutting direction.

Debris flow, Discontinuous

slumping

Deformed

Deformed

Chimneying

Well fragmented,

flows well

Caved, but poorly

fragmented. flows

poorly

Artists rendition of material movements into a fictional inclined cave, following slope failure. In this case the failure is of

Model forecast fragmentation, on a section near the edge of a discarded block cave concept. A large zone of poorly

ng cave and the undercutting direction.

Discontinuous

slumping

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Figure 3 Artists rendition of a mechanisms for choking of the cave by fines, leading to resource loss via non

parts of the column.

Inclined cave

footprint

Surface

Potential ore loss due

to stalled caving at

edges after waste

sediments choke the

cave

Chimneying in

cover sediments

Unconformity between lower

strong rocks, and upper weak

units

Artists rendition of a mechanisms for choking of the cave by fines, leading to resource loss via non

Fines entry

Potential ore loss due

Chimneying in

cover sediments

Potential

groundwater entry

Artists rendition of a mechanisms for choking of the cave by fines, leading to resource loss via non-caving of

Cover

sediments

groundwater entry

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occurs, the inflow of that material can choke further

propagation of cave. The ore losses can be significant.

The nature of the distribution of the well and poorly

fragmented zones also affects how cave loads are

distributed. If the poorly fragmented zones act as a

catchment for cave loads, the slow moving area may

'point load' and crush the underlying part of the

footprint. In practice, this kind of result, partitioned flow

of better fragmented zones and structurally induced

variability in loads across the footprint, is common,

especially where new caves underlie older ones.

In the final example scenario, shown in Figure 3, a

fictional cave has broken into a layer of faster flowing

waste material. The waste material from higher in the

column will flow and rill under the cave shoulders,

preventing slumping of these upper corners of the cave,

choking further propagation of the ore. The waste will

rill along the cave shoulder and to the drawpoints below

and the uncaved 'corners' of the cave will not be

recovered. It is possible the rock in these areas can

disassemble and even technically subside and cave, but

the stress path is not favorable for good fragmentation,

subsequent flows and recovery of this material. This

problem is especially common and is similar to a

scenario where a new deeper cave underlies an older

cave. In place of the weaker fast flowing surface

material, the pre-caved overlying material flows and

chokes the cave, limiting recovery of the ore column.

All of these scenarios are artistic renderings of realistic

scenarios of ore loss. In each case the effect on cave

performance can be catastrophic, so sufficient tools and

procedures for assessing the potential for these types of

problem are essential for managing planning and

production.

2. SELECTION OF MODELLING APPROACH

The examples and the whole family of cave initiation,

propagation, dilution and ore cut off by waste problems

are driven by an adverse and complex interaction

between the discontinuous rock mass outside the cave

and the flowing muck pile inside it. Simulating the

coupled response of these separate domains is essential

if the next generation of super caves are to be properly

assessed.

To capture the physics of these mechanisms efficiently,

currently requires a hybrid approach, with intermediate

outputs of the flow and deformation parts used to

constrain successive iterations of the other. A numerical

scheme involving simultaneous, parallel solution of the

flow and deformation parts would be even more

desirable, but computational limits make this less

practical in the short term.

Selection of flow and deformation tools for hybrid

coupled analysis is described in Beck and Putzar (2011):

- A need for realistic simulation of discontinuous

displacements, implying a need for a modeling tool

that can represent a large number of explicit

discontinuities, the complete 3d geometry and

extraction sequence with high fidelity and that

incorporates a sufficient constitutive model

(arguably only a strain softening, dilatant model, or

better). In other words, the extent and magnitude of

rock mass damage and deformation must closely

match field behavior.

- The flow tool must simulate the flow within the

cave rapidly and realistically. This implies that it

must also represent the mechanics of movement and

swell or bulking sufficiently that flow within the

cave can be calibrated to approximate observations

on a cave scale.

- The outputs of both parts must be compatible;

deformation analysis can only be driven by forces,

displacements and material state changes, so the

flow code results must be in this form.

- The analysis must be efficient and able to be

computed in a short period to allow multiple runs

for back analysis and calibration as well as

integration with mine planning and operations

(Beck and Lilley 2011). For the case study

summarised below, the problem required over 10

million degrees of freedom for the rock mass part

and over 60 million particles and weekly excavation

steps.

This combination of fundamental considerations and size

led to the development of a coupling scheme for the

Explicit Discontinuum Finite Element (DFE) program

(Abaqus Explicit, Simulia 2010) for the deformation part

and a Newtonian Cellular Automata (NCA) code

(CaveSIM, Sharrock 2010) for the flow part. Later, the

Scheme was adapted to include an interface between the

DFE code and other Lattice Grain Cellular Automata

tools. A number of other valid potential combinations

exist, but only the DFE-NCA coupling and related

examples are described here.

3. DFE/NCA COUPLING MECHANISM

As the NCA code is currently unable to output forces or

stresses, the coupling mechanism between the flow code

and DFE part relies on the DFE part to replicate the

stiffness changes in the cave that result from NCA

computed muck pile movements and shape.

The current coupling procedure implemented in this way

is as follows, after Beck and Putzar (2011):

1) The DFE model generates an unstable zone, as a

consequence of its solution for particular excavation

step. For example, at the end of a prior step,

complete at time T, the DFE model provides an

estimate of the unstable zone that is likely to make

the transition from loosened rock mass to cave

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material over the following coupling period of time

length (tc), set as small as computationally possible.

2) The criterion for instability in the DFE model was

based on velocity: above a critical velocity (Vcrit)

material can be considered unstable (see for

example Reusch et al 2010). The particular value for

Vcrit was established in the calibration stage by

comparing node velocity in the DFE model to actual

increments of caving..

3) At time T, the DFE model rests while NCA

simulates the 'falling' of the unstable zone and the

drawing of the material scheduled for the whole of

time tc.

4) When the muckpile in NCA comes to rest, or is

sufficiently still after drawing the production for the

period T to T + tc, the new cave shape predicted by

the DFE/critical node velocity part is then allowed

to develop in the DFE part, guided by the NCA

result as follows:

a. Between T and T + tc/4

i. New open tunnels excavated at this time

in the schedule are transitioned from rock mass,

to unsupported excavation and where applicable

to supported excavation over tc/4.

ii. Newly blasted undercut rings for the

time period T to T + tc are ramped down to the

stationary cave modulus (a calibrated value).

iii. All new or old muckpile or airgap, as

originally defined using the instability criterion

transitions to a transitional modulus state (a

calibrated value).

Figure 4. Example assumed relation between flow zone

modulus and stationary cave modulus, based on flow velocity.

This curve is calibrated as part of the calibration procedure.

5) The value of the transitional modulus of cave

elements achieved at T + tc/4 varies node by node

based on the velocity of each corresponding node in

the NCA model. The relationship that defines the

modulus of mobile material compared to stationary

cave material, as a function of flow velocity and

cave back velocity is shown in Figure 1. This

relation was developed using empirical and

anecdotal data during the calibration.

6) The gradual change from current to new modulus

over the time period tc/4 aids numerical stability of

the model.

a. Between T + tc/4 and T + tc/2:

i. The modulus of elements indicated to be

airgap by NCA continues to be ramped down to

the air modulus (near zero).

ii. the modulus of muckpile material - new

and old is held at the transitional state, i.e.

based on the velocity from NCA and the

modulus from the relationship in Figure 4.

iii. New excavations for that period are

mined in the usual way (ramped down to air

then ramped up to the support modulus).

iv. New undercut for that period is ramped

down to stationary cave material as before.

b. Between T + tc/2 and T + 3tc/4:

i. The modulus of mobile parts of the

muckpile are ramped back up to the modulus of

stationary cave.

ii. Airgaps are left at the air modulus (near

zero).

iii. New excavations for that period are

mined in the usual way (ramped down to air,

ramped up to the support modulus).

iv. New undercut for that period is mined as

before.

c. Between T + 3tc/4 and T + tc:

i. Cave and airgap modulus are held

steady.

ii. New excavations for that period are

mined in the usual way (ramped down to

air, ramped up to the support modulus).

iii. New undercut for that period is mined as

before.

iv. The model reaches quasi-static

equilibrium for the most part - some small

areas above airgaps may still be moving at

the end of the period in theory but this did

not occur in this model.

d. A new unstable zone is generated, using the

instability criterion, and this shape is

transferred to the NCA part for the next

iteration.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

FLO

W Z

ON

E M

OD

ULU

S/S

TA

TIO

NA

RY

CA

VE

MO

DU

LUS

FLOW VELOCITY/CAVE BACK VELOCITY

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7) The process repeats.

The procedure of cave modulus change to represent draw effects is represented on a schematic timeline single DFE step, for rock entering the cave coupling cycle in Figure 5.

4. EXAMPLE APPLICATION

The coupling procedure was applied to the analysis of

interaction between a new Block Cave (BC) and a Sub

Level Cave (SLC) at Newcrest Ridgeway Mine

purpose of assessing the potential for risks like those

outlined above. The model details are summari

Table 1 and discussed in Beck and Putza

example of the density of explicit structures included in

the model is shown in Figure 6, also after Beck and

Putzar, 2011.

To calibrate the model, the coupling parameters and rock

mass and discontinuity properties were adjusted over

successive iterations to achieve a quantifiable match to

field measurements. The intent is to match the measured

and modeled variables as directly as possible: Dissipated

Plastic Energy to Seismic occurrence, the timing and

magnitude of modeled and measured damage, the

location of the cave back in 3d and damage models from

passive tomography to plastic strain in the rock mass.

During calibration, the resolution, precision and efficacy

of the model for the intended purpose

This includes establishing a procedure for future use of

the model. In the example case, because the simulation

results are produced in simple measures such as

displacement or tunnel damage, they are conceptually

accessible; all members of the team can directly appraise

them. This combination of model forecasts presented

using field measurable quantities, and results

accessibility leads to transparency. If the results are not

matching observations, this becomes immediately

Figure 5. Modulus transitions in the DFE model in a coupling step for new cave

based on the relationship shown in Figure 1, dependent on the modeled particle velo

before entering the cave

ERO

EMOBILE

ESTAT.

EAIRGAP

T T+Tc/4

procedure of cave modulus change to represent draw effects is represented on a schematic timeline for a

, for rock entering the cave in the

The coupling procedure was applied to the analysis of

interaction between a new Block Cave (BC) and a Sub

Level Cave (SLC) at Newcrest Ridgeway Mine for the

purpose of assessing the potential for risks like those

ils are summarized in

and discussed in Beck and Putzar 2011. An

example of the density of explicit structures included in

the model is shown in Figure 6, also after Beck and

To calibrate the model, the coupling parameters and rock

ss and discontinuity properties were adjusted over

successive iterations to achieve a quantifiable match to

field measurements. The intent is to match the measured

and modeled variables as directly as possible: Dissipated

ce, the timing and

magnitude of modeled and measured damage, the

location of the cave back in 3d and damage models from

passive tomography to plastic strain in the rock mass.

During calibration, the resolution, precision and efficacy

intended purpose is established.

This includes establishing a procedure for future use of

the model. In the example case, because the simulation

results are produced in simple measures such as

displacement or tunnel damage, they are conceptually

; all members of the team can directly appraise

them. This combination of model forecasts presented

using field measurable quantities, and results

accessibility leads to transparency. If the results are not

matching observations, this becomes immediately

apparent. All team members with access to the data have

the opportunity to identify model

which is important, as no single member of a planning

team can observe the entire mine at once, and certainly

not through the eyes of the collectiv

entire team.

(i)

(ii)

Figure 6. Example of (i) typical scale and density of

discontinuities (solid lines) built in the mine scale model and

higher order FE mesh density.

Modulus transitions in the DFE model in a coupling step for new cave - muck pile or air gap. E

based on the relationship shown in Figure 1, dependent on the modeled particle velocity. ERO is the modulus of the rock

New Cave

Air Gap

T+T T+Tc/2 T+3Tc/

pparent. All team members with access to the data have

the opportunity to identify model-field incongruities

which is important, as no single member of a planning

team can observe the entire mine at once, and certainly

not through the eyes of the collective experience of the

. Example of (i) typical scale and density of

discontinuities (solid lines) built in the mine scale model and

muck pile or air gap. E MOBILE is

is the modulus of the rock

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In the case of a mismatch between the model and field

measurements, either a scenario is playing out in real life

that was not forecast and action is needed (plan

modification or a hazard reduction strategy), or the

simulation tool needs adjustment, and the observed

incongruity becomes a data point for calibration and re-

analysis.

An example image showing how modeled and measured

data are compared qualitatively during operations is

shown in Figure 7, after Beck and Lilley 2011. This

figure shows a combination of measured and modeled

data: measured seismicity and rock mass changes

viewed in open holes, compared to model forecasts of

stress, cave back locations and forecast tunnel

conditions, extensometer data and NCA forecasts of

cave flows. In this example, anything which the mine

measures, and anything which its engineering tools

forecasts, and any design or schedule that the planning

team proposes can be viewed in one workspace to

validate the model and drive continuous improvements.

Examples of model forecasts, compared to field data are

shown in Figures 8, 9 and 10. Figure 8 shows an

example match between modeled and measured seismic

events. The close match is representative of the model

performance during each month of the study period.

Figure 8 shows a comparison between forecast and

measured cave location. The open holes used to measure

the cave location are colored black within 20m of the

cave back to indicate where the model error is less than

20m. The model was at least this accurate for every open

hole and was able to accurately predict the timing and

location of the BC break through into the overlying SLC

with an error of less than 1 month. The final comparison

of modeled and measured data shows modeled and

measured damage to ground support (Figure 10). This

kind of plot can be used to plan rehabilitation during

Figure 7. Example of data from multiple sources visualized in a 3d collaborative workspace. The layering of modeled and

measured data aids rapid model calibration, validation and improvements, as well as appreciation of developing issues.

The collaborative approach is possible because the model precision and resolution has been estimated during the

calibration process and the model has been deemed sufficiently reliable.

Modelled stress

Measured

seismicity

Forecast tunnel

conditions

Production

schedule,

measured

performance or

forecast draw

Hole

measurements

Model forecast

of cave back

location

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operations, or to estimate the demand on ground support

in different parts of the footprint during planning.

Ultimately, the close match between the forecasts and

measured data validated the tool for its intended use, to

assist the mine in planning draw strategies. Most

importantly, the tool was able to match the cave

propagation and was deemed sufficiently reliable for

assessing risks of the type shown in the examples of

Figures 1, 2 and 3.

Figure 8. Comparison of modelled (contours) and measured

(wireframe) event densities, after Beck and Putzar 2011.

5. CONCLUSIONS

The coupled DFE-NCA simulation procedure enables

rapid simulation of cave propagation, flow and induced

deformation, driven by the cave draw schedule. The

method can be calibrated directly using observations of

cave back location, grade and recovery, seismicity,

tunnel damage, tomography and or ground movement.

At several mines, including Newcrests Ridgeway Mine,

the results of DFE-NCA analysis closely conformed

with field measurements suggesting the technique is

useful for forecasting, and is especially useful for

assessing cave propagation risks.

6. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors wish to thank Newcrest Mining Limited for

permission to publish the example results from

Ridgeway Mine, and especially David Finn for

considerable assistance during the modelling project.

The authors also wish to thank Gero Putzar for

supervising the final coupled simulation and Patrick

Bartlett and Richard Butcher for technical advice.

Figure 9. Comparison of forecast cave shape (grey/brown

solid) and actual cave shape observed in monitoring holes/ the

black tails on the holes indicate the last 20m of the measured

hole, indicating a forecast accurate within 10-20m across the

entire cave, after Beck and Putzar 2011.

(i)

(ii)

Figure 10. Comparison of (i) modelled and (ii) measured

extraction level damage for an example time period. The

model correctly forecasts the minor damage seen at the mine,

both in extent and magnitude.

Modelled

damage zone

Measured

damage zone

50

00

0

37

50

0

25

00

0

12

50

0

0

20

00

00

15

00

00

10

00

00

50

00

0

0

0

15

30

45

60

75

45

300

Eve

nts

/10

m

Vo

xel

Ro

ck M

ass

DP

E

[J/Vo

xel]

Fau

lt

Slip

[J/Vo

xel]

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REFERENCES

1. R.G. Jeffrey, A.P. Bunger, B. Lecampion, X. Zhang,

Z.R. Chen, A. van As, D.P. Allison, W. de Beer, J.W.

Dudley, E. Siebrits, M. Thiercelin, and M. Mainguy.

2009. Measuring Hydraulic Fracture Growth in

Naturally Fractured Rock. SPE Annual Technical

Conference and Exhibition. New Orleans, Louisiana,

USA, 4–7 October 2009. Society of Petroleum

Engineers

2. Beck, D.A. and Putzar, G. 2011. Coupled Flow-

Deformation Simulation for Mine Scale Analysis of

Cave initiation and Propagation. In proceedings of the

International Society of Rock Mechanics 2011

Conference, Beijing.

3. Reusch, F., Levkovitch, V. & Beck, D. 2010: "Multi-

scale, non-linear numerical analysis of mining induced

deformation in complex environments" in "Rock

Mechanics in Civil and Environmental Engineering" ,

Jian Zhao (Editor), Vincent Labiouse (Editor), Jean-

Paul Dudt (Editor), Jean-Francois Mathier (Editor),

CRC Press, 2010, 697-700.

4. Beck, D.A., Reusch, F. & Arndt, S., 2007. Estimating

the Probability of Mining-Induced Seismic Events

using Mine-Scale, Inelastic Numerical Models. Intl.

Symposium Deep and High Stress Mining 2007. The

Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, Australia

5. Beck, D. A., Reusch, F. and Arndt, S. 2009.A

numerical investigation of scale effects on the behavior

of discontinuous rock. ARMA, American Rock

Mechanics Association Symposium. ARMA 09-145

6. Beck, D. A. and Lilley, C. 2011. Simulation Aided

Engineering: integration of monitoring, modelling and

planning. In proceedings of 11th AusIMM

Underground Operators Conference 2011. Canberra,

Australia. Published by The Australasian Institute of

Mining and Metallurgy.

Table 1 Details of the DFE part of the example coupled model

Feature Summary

Deformation

Model

3D, strain softening, dilatant, Explicit Finite

Element.

Cohesive elements as interface elements at

boundaries between layers.

Higher order tetrahedral elements for rock

units

Discontinuities Contact/

Cohesive

Elements

Major contacts between

lithologies modeled as

combined cohesive/contact

elements. Lesser contacts

modeled as cohesive

elements or ubiquitous

structure

Flow Model Lattice Grain Cellular Automata

Simulation

packages

Abaqus 6.8 Explicit, CaveSIM

Constitutive

model for the

rock mass

Yield

potential:

Menetrey and Williams

(1995) with e=0.6 to

approximate the Hoek-

Brown (1980,1992)

potential

Plastic strain

potential:

Menetrey and Williams

(1995)

Softening: Piecewise as a function of

strain for dilation,

cohesion, friction.

Menetrey and Williams

(1995)