9 th COP / 23 rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011 8 th ORM Recommendations Recommendations...
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Transcript of 9 th COP / 23 rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011 8 th ORM Recommendations Recommendations...
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
Recommendations from the8th Meeting of the Ozone Research Managers
of the Parties to the Vienna Conventionfor the Protection of the Ozone Layer
Michael J. KuryloChairman, 8th ORM Meeting
Goddard Earth Sciences, Technology, and Research ProgramUniversities Space Research Association
NASA Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt, MD USA 20771
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsBackground
• The 8th Meeting of Ozone Research Managers of the Parties to the Vienna Convention was held in Geneva (2-4 May, 2011) in accordance with decisions I/6 and III/8 of the COP.
• The ORM Reports and WMO-UNEP Scientific Assessments are all required under the Vienna Convention and Montreal Protocol and have complementary but different purposes:– The Assessments enable the Parties to evaluate control measures
under the Montreal Protocol and are communication devices between the research community and decision makers
– The Assessments do not provide policy recommendations nor are they research planning documents but provide input for both
– The ORM Reports specifically address research and monitoring needs in light of the scientific understanding provided by the Assessments and make specific recommendations to the Parties regarding international actions for improved research coordination and networking
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsImplementation
• Agenda Items for the 8th ORM Meeting– Issues pertinent to the Vienna Convention
• Review of recommendations from the 7th ORM Meeting• Review of activities under the Vienna Convention Trust Fund
– Presentations on the state of the ozone layer and its interactions with climate change
– Updates on international research and monitoring programs– Satellite research and monitoring programs (present status
and outlooks for the future )– National and regional reports on ozone research and
monitoring– Formulation of needs and recommendations in four principal
areas (research needs, systematic observations, data archiving, and capacity building)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsThe 8th ORM recommendations wereset against the background from the
2010 Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion• Specifically, the complexities of ozone and UV science
and their interactions with changing climate require- Continuation and expansion of systematic measurement and
analysis capabilities for tracking the evolution of ozone- and climate-related source gases and parameters.
- Detection and tracking the stabilization and expected recovery of stratospheric ozone from the influence of ODSs while responding to a changing climate.
- Attribution of changes in radiation forcing to changes in the ozone profile or to effects of climate change.
- Derivation of a global record of ground-level UV radiation.
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsThe 8th ORM meeting report is available as
WMO Global Ozone Research andMonitoring Project, Report No. 51
The recommendations are also available as Pre-Session Document UNEP/OzL.Conv.9/6.
• This document provides a more complete discussion of the recommendations.
• In particular, the introduction for each recommendation area contains information regarding recent achievements, emerging issues, and continuing & new needs.
For the sake of brevity, today’s presentationwill provide an overview of the recommendations
along with some specific highlights.
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsResearch Needs
• Studies to quantify the chemical, radiative, and dynamical factors contributing to ozone layer evolution in a changing atmosphere (including studies of the consequences of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies)
• Studies to investigate the roles and impacts of changes in stratospheric ozone and ODSs on surface climate
• Studies to improve our understanding of changes in aerosols relative to changes in volcanic activity, air pollution sources, and proposed geoengineering approaches
• Studies of the effects of solar-cycle influences on climate
Many questions remain about the expected ozone recovery from the influence of ODSs and on the interrelationship
between ozone and climate variability /change.
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsResearch Needs (continued)
• Studies to understand the emissions (natural & anthropogenic), banks, and the tropospheric / stratospheric evolution of ODSs, their substitutes, and other climate-related trace gases
• Studies of the effects of climate change on the sources, sinks, and lifetime of such trace gases and of very short-lived species (especially in the tropics)
• Laboratory photochemical, kinetic, and spectroscopic studies relating to ozone evolution and its monitoring
• Studies to improve the standardization and consistency of cross sections of ozone and related species in different wavelength regions
• Studies to resolve the differences between tropical total-ozone trend estimates and those derived from satellite profiles
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
• Studies that allow the quantitative disaggregation of the factors affecting UV radiation at the Earth’s surface, so that the influences of factors other than ozone can be better assessed
• Studies on the effects of stratospheric ozone change, and the resulting changes in UV radiation on human health, ecosystems, and materials
• Studies of the interactions between the effects of changes in UV radiation and those of climate change
• Studies that look at the environmental effects of ODS substitutes and their degradation products on other factors that affect human health and the environment
Research Needs (continued)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsSystematic Observations
Ground-Based Networks:• Redistribution of measurements from instrument-rich sites
to areas that are poorly populated with instruments (such as in the tropics, central Asia, and southern mid-latitudes)
• Preference for Brewers in ozone and UV monitoring expansion along with the co-location of column- and profile-measuring instruments
• Expansion of Umkehr ozone-profiling capabilities
These observations are critical to understanding and monitoring long-term changes in atmospheric
composition & the associated response in ground-level UV radiation. Global data networks (ground-based and satellite) provide the backbone of our understanding of ozone, ozone- and climate-related trace gases, and UV.
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsSystematic Observations (continued)
Ground-Based Networks (continued):• Need to establish and implement Standard Operating
Procedures for all instruments in network operations• Need to re-evaluate microwave ozone data to ensure
adequate data quality in the upper stratosphere in advance of possibly adding new stations in the Polar Regions where Umkehr data are not available
• Concerns over the decrease in ozonesonde stations reporting data to the central data archive (especially over Asia, the Arctic, and North America)
• Need to increase ozonesonde altitude coverage (altitudes up to 30 km)
• Need for simultaneity of ozone and water vapor profiles in balloon soundings
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
Ground-Based Networks (continued):•Continuity of remote-sensing networks providing profile data on ozone and ozone / climate-related species.•Infusion of newly developed instrumental capabilities into these networks, which provide the primary non-space-based observations•Continuity of in situ networks for observing ODSs, ODS substitutes, and GHGs as well as the expansion of monitoring capabilities for newly emerging chemicals•Need to maintain balloon-based measurements of ODSs to check on the behavior of these substances in a changing climate•Need for continued measurement of SF6 and CO2 in support of age-of-air studies
Systematic Observations (continued)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
Satellite Networks:•Continuation of solar backscatter UV observations (a key baseline set)•High vertical resolution profiles for ozone and key molecules via limb viewing (need to understand ΔO3 vs. ΔODS in a changing climate)•Special attention for N2O as an important substance leading to ozone depletion•Need for systematic water vapor profile measurements as it is a strong driver for decadal climate variability•Gap filling missions providing high vertical resolution measurements of ozone and ozone-related parameters (e.g., solar occultation FTS and limb emission instruments)
Systematic Observations (continued)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
Satellite Networks (continued):•Continuation of stratospheric aerosol measurements•Measurements of solar irradiance outside of the atmosphere and its associated indices•Need for an assessment of current temperature profile data records and measurement capabilities leading (where appropriate) to recommendations for new temperature measurement systems
Systematic Observations (continued)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM Recommendations
Data Record Priorities:• Need for a systematic understanding of the differences and
synergies between data sets derived using different observational techniques
• Need for better integration of ground-level, ground-based remote sensing, and satellite data
• Need for further development of methods and tools for improved integration of complementary data having different scales, resolution, etc.
Systematic Observations (continued)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsData Archiving
Several achievements have been made in response to the 7th ORM Recommendations. These include:
• Dobson Data Quality Workshop (Czech Republic; Feb. 2011)
• Adoption of HDF for NDACC archiving (in progress)• Template for submission of level-0 Dobson data and
metadata (approval by SAG-Ozone Oct. 2011)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsData Archiving (continued)
Many 7th ORM recommendations remain relevant and were reemphasized and expanded upon.•Different uses of ozone and UV data impose different archiving requirements•Funding agencies need to recognize archiving as resource-intensive and part of the measurement program and should require timely submission.•Enhance linkage among data centers (O3, UV, GHG, met etc.)•Accommodate different versions of measurement records and inform users of new versions of the data.•High priority for level-0 and metadata archiving – essential for any reprocessing
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsData Archiving (continued)
• Availability of historical data is essential for understanding the coupling between pre-1980 ozone changes and changes in surface UV and climate. Resources required.
• Need for comprehensive reporting of national ODS production and consumption to improve emission inventories
• Need for workshops to provide training on metadata collection and on the processes for data archiving. Possible communications role for both the WMO Permanent Representatives and / or the Ozone Research Managers.
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsCapacity Building
Progress has been made since the 7th ORM. Key activities include (see full report for details):• Relocation of Dobson instruments (including
refurbishment & calibration and training of observers)• Transfer of knowledge & technology from the World
Dobson Calibration Center (U.S.) to Africa and South America
• Numerous Brewer calibrations supported by the WMO Brewer Trust Fund and by Canada
• Educational workshops under the auspices of UNEP and WMO-GAW
• Contributions to Vienna Convention Trust Fund either directly or in-kind (such as via twinning relationships)
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsCapacity Building
Many of the recommendations from the 7th ORM remain applicable. Some specific recommendations provide a concrete means of increasing capacity in developing countries over the next 3 years.• Make surplus equipment available for redeployment
(proposed mechanism under WMO-GAW)• Support for attendance at several specific workshops
and symposiums• Development of a set of metrics by the Scientific
Assessment Panels to assess effectiveness of capacity-building activities
• Increased role for National Ozone Unit Officers – focal point for information distribution, coordination with UNEP OzonAction Programme on establishment of web-based training courses
9th COP / 23rd MOP; Bali, Indonesia; 21-25 November, 2011
8th ORM RecommendationsIn conclusion, I would like to express my thanks
• To the Government of Indonesia for their kindness and hospitality in hosting this meeting and to the UNEP Ozone Secretariat for their excellent organizational efforts,• To the UNEP Ozone Secretariat and to the WMO for arranging a very successful and informative 8th Meeting of Ozone Research Managers and to UNEP for inviting me to present this recommendation summary,• To the many international delegates and scientific experts who gave generously of their time to ensure the success of the 8th ORM Meeting and who entrusted me with the responsibility of leading them in their work, • To the discussion leaders and rapporteurs in each of the recommendation areas for their efforts in helping to craft the recommendations, and• To all of you for taking on the responsibilities of attending and participating in this week’s events in Bali.