Conformity Social Psychology Chapter 7 October 8, 2004 Class #6.
6 October 2004
description
Transcript of 6 October 2004
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6 October 2004
Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Finance
Statistics South Africa
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Aims of presentation
1. To report on the performance of Stats SA against stated targets
2. To highlight major successes of the year3. To highlight current and forthcoming work4. To highlight Stats SA’s part in government’s plan of
action
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Contents
1. Overview2. Programme performance3. Financial performance4. Implementing Government’s programme of action
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June2004
July2004
Aug2004
% Increase from June to August 04
Visitors – monthly total 64 486 79 864 83 692 +30%
Visitors - average per day
2 337 2 576 2 700 +26%
Time Series data subscribers – total as at end of month
1 557 2 269 2 904 +87%
Newsletter subscribers – totals as at end of month
245 877 1 240 +406%
Number of files downloaded – monthly total
24 813 50 672 63 223 +155%
Stats Online: 1 June 2004 – 31 August 2004
Delivering statistics
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Overview
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Government aims to:
• Grow the Economy
• Create jobs
• Deliver services
• Eradicate poverty
• Improve health
And monitor and evaluate through:
• GDP and CPI
• Unemployment rate
• Proportion of
households with access
• % below national
poverty line
• Mortality and morbidity
statistics
Statistics to inform priorities
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Governance framework
UnpredictableEnvironment;Controls notdesigned or in place
Controls designed and in place but not adequately documented
Controls designed and in place and are adequately documented
Standardised controls with periodic testing and management reporting
Integrated internal controls with real time monitoring and continuous improvement
Non-Compliance Compliance Value adding
Unreliable Informal Monitored OptimisedStandardised
High level operating framework for the new structure – excluding support services
Survey Planning
Outputs:• Data Items• Questionnaire design• Sample Frame
• Collection Methodology
• Methods and Standards
Implementation
Outputs:
• Desired Series, CPI, etc
• Fulfilling user request
Publication Dissemination
NSD
Population and Social
Economic
Data Collection
Data Processing
Data Analysis
Q & I
• Consistency
• Correctness
• Policy Impact
• Comparability
• Accuracy
• Further Integrative Analysis
Exco
DDG
Report on findings
Approval
Exco Integrative Analysis
SIS/Marketing
1 2
Organizational and/or stakeholder need
SIS*
Fee
dbac
k to
Exc
oApproval
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Priority matrix
Attend to urgently Maintain and Improve
Drop Innovate
Performance
Imp
ort
an
ce t
o u
sers
Low High
Hig
h
Income and expenditure surveyCPISecond economy Census replacement surveyConstructionService sector
Social statisticsCurrent economic statisticsCurrent causes of death dataLabour market statistics
Causes of death backlogOld business register samplesCensus 2006
Census 2011Physical address registerSocial and economic analysis
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Review of performance by programme
1. Administration and Management2. Economic and Social Statistics3. Population Statistics4. Quality and Integration5. Statistical Support and Informatics
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Programme oneAdministration and Management
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Administration and Management
Purpose: To provide sound infrastructure and support that enables Stats SA to achieve its mandate
Comprises:
Executive management• SG’s Office, Communication and International Relations• National Statistics System division• Programme Office and Management Information Systems
Administration• Finance and Provisioning Management• Human Resource Management• Service Delivery Improvement
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Key achievements
Executive management• Appointment of two DDGs – one post still vacant • SG’s column and monthly internal newsletter• Assessment of statistical capacity of govt departments• Contribution to Towards a ten year review• Training of policy makers in SADC
Administration• Expenditure under control• Improved planning – especially project management• Development of management information system• Rolled out HIV/Aids programme• Improved Human Resources file management systems
Administration and Management
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Ten initiatives to improve governance and ensure compliance
1. Tender procedures: strengthening bid management office and bid committee has been trained
2. Asset management: Bar-coded asset management system now procured - implementation between October and December 2004
3. Census payment problems: Build capacity and reduce burden through CRS; decentralisation of support functions
4. Internal control problems: Process mapping and redesign project to ensure full compliance to regulatory requirementsand improved service delivery to users and suppliers
5. Risk management: Risk management strategy approved and currently being rolled out
Administration and Management
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6. Internal audit recommendations: There is substantial increase in implementation of internal audit recommendations
7. IT governance: Initiated assessment of complete IT infrastructure to ensure alignment with strategic objectives
8. Review of structure to ensure better management of support functions and improve quality of statistical processes
9. Targeted skills development for all managers including financial and project management
10. Improved use of performance management to promote accountability and increase delivery
Ten initiatives to improve governance and ensure compliance
Administration and Management
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Programme twoEconomic and Social Statistics
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Economic and Social Statistics
Purpose: To produce economic and social statistics to meet user requirements
Measurable objective: To provide statistical information which is accurate, relevant and timely in order to inform socio-economic decision making
Comprises:• Industry and Trade Statistics• Employment and Price Statistics• Financial Statistics• Social Statistics
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Output Target ActualStatistics on primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of the economy
11 monthly series1 quarterly series1 annual seriesLarge sample surveys
Four series were delayed for three months at the beginning of 2004 to ensure proper response rates on the new samples
Statistics on the workforce in formal, non-agricultural businesses
2 quarterly series:AMESEE
Average Monthly Earnings survey was dropped to provide a bigger sample for the Survey of Employment and Earnings (SEE)
Performance against targets
Economic and Social Statistics
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Output Target ActualStatistics on price changes
3 monthly series:CPIPPICPI for rural areas and total country
All targets met
Statistics on the financial results of government and the private sector
2 quarterly series9 annual series
All targets met
Statistics on the living conditions of the population
1 annual seriesGeneral Household Survey
All targets met
Statistics on labour market dynamics
1 bi-annual seriesLabour Force Survey
All targets met
Performance against targets
Economic and Social Statistics
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Improvements to the relevance and accuracy of statistics on the economy and society
• Improved coverage and accuracy of statistics on the economy through first releases of manufacturing, retail, wholesale and
motor trade statistics based on new sample
• Information on the impact of food price changes on the rural poor through publishing CPI for rural areas and total country on monthly basis
• More coherent labour market data through harmonisation of employment statistics from businesses and households
• Annual update of development indicators through General Household Survey
• New information on travel patterns through a Travel Survey for National Department of Transport
Economic and Social Statistics
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Improvements for the current and next three yearsEconomic statistics • More accurate picture of size and growth of economy through re-benchmarking of GDP - out in November
• Improved understanding of services, construction and agriculture sectors through short term economic indicators
• More reliable inflation figures through direct price collection method for CPI
• Better responsiveness to changes in consumer behaviour through diary method for Income and Expenditure Survey to reweight the CPI basket every 3 years
• Better analysis of economic subsectors through improving referencing detail on business register
• Better coherence between series through improving analytical and research capabilities
Economic and Social Statistics
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Improvements for the current and next three years
Social and employment statistics• Regular measurement of the second economy through the Survey of Employers and Self Employed (SESE) and Consumer Survey
• More detailed information on formal sector employees through the survey of Average Monthly Earnings
• Link money-metric and social dimensions of poverty through the General Household Survey
• Improved information on poverty through strengthening the poverty statistics unit
Economic and Social Statistics
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Programme threePopulation Statistics
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Purpose: To provide population statistics and conduct a population census
Measurable objective: To provide information on the demographic characteristics of the country at all levels of government in order to inform policy and planning processes on the state of the population
Comprises:• Population Census• Demographic Analysis• Health and Vital Statistics
Population Statistics
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Output Target ActualCensus results and publications
30 April 2003 Census results released on 8 July - six months earlier than 1996
Census 2006 planning documents
2 documents 1 strategic plan and 1 operational plan developed before decision to postpone Census 2006
Thematic reports on demographic issues
3 reports 2 published reports2 draft reports
Statistics on tourism, migration, births, deaths, marriages and divorces
1 monthly series4 annual reports
All targets met
Performance against targets
Population Statistics
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Improved small area information and analysis on the people of South Africa
• Release and roll out of Census 2001 results• Launches with President and Premiers• Over 150 institutions have electronic Community Profiles• Over 100 000 Census in Brief booklets distributed• Innovations such as My Constituency and Digital Atlas• Reports such as Municipality Report and Primary Tables
• Demographic studies on fertility, disability and education
Population Statistics
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• Inter-censal municipal level information through the Census Replacement Survey 2006
• Ensuring the best-ever Census in 2011 by testing and planning now
• Promoting coherent information on the population by working with Home Affairs on population register
• Better understanding of migration through analysis of population and migration data
• Informing strategies to target disease by producing historical and current causes of death data
Improvements for the current and next three years
Population Statistics
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Programme fourQuality and Integration
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Quality and Integration
Purpose: To improve the integration, quality and use of official statistics
Measurable objective: To provide integrated social, economic and demographic information that enhances the quality and usage of official statistics
Comprises:• Quality and methodology• Integrative Analysis• National Accounts• Human Capacity Development
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Output Target ActualResearch and standards on best practice
4 documents 3 documents and methodological support, quality assurance for surveys
Integrative thematic reports
3 reports No reportsSpecial data requests fulfilled for users
National accounts data on level of economic activity
1 quarterly series3 annual series2 periodic reports
All targets met
Statistical skills development
120 staff members trained
29 staff members in tertiary programmes850 person days on training
Quality and Integration
Performance against targets
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Improved quality and capacity for statistics
• Improved quality of statistics through development of methodological capacity to support economic and social statistics
• Development of turn-around strategy for economic statistics
• Official provincial economic data through first official GDP-R publication
• Improved understanding of contribution of natural resources to economy through first official satellite account on water
• Enhanced the capacity of the department through:• Completion of first group of staff studying in Uganda, Tanzania and Wits • 23 staff members completed ‘matric level’ maths course• Stats SA staff now taking over teaching duties of consultants
Quality and Integration
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Improvements for the current and next three years
• Continued improvement of quality through:• Sustained development of methodological capacity• Improved samples, methods and products
• Ensure the quality of small area data through methodological support to CRS and Census 2011
• Enhanced statistical information on social and poverty issues through the development of analytical capacity
• More accurate picture of the size and growth of the economy through re-benchmarking of National Accounts
• Systematic development of Stats SA’s capacity through a competency-based human development programme
Quality and Integration
Competency ProfilingProcess
Skills Audit
Workplace Skills Plan
Individual DevelopmentPlans
PerformanceManagement
Career Development
EmploymentEquity
Unit Standards Qualifications
CURRICULUMStatistics
Social StatsEconomics
DemographyGeography
Non Core
Material Development
Training
Classroom andWorkplace based
learning
E-Learning(Workplace
basedlearning)
Internal Stakeholders External Stakeholders
JournalistsParliamentariansOther Gov Depts
Local Government
Non CoreCore
INHOUSE/INSERVICE
Basic SamplingAdvance Sampling
Short CoursesSkills Programs
LearnershipsInternship
EXTERNAL
ISAEEASTC
Wits
MONITORING &EVALUATION /QA
SOSProgram EvaluationQuality Man. System
STATISTICALTRAININGINSTITUTE
People Development inStats SA
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Programme fiveStatistical Support and Informatics
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Statistical Support and Informatics
Purpose: To optimise the use of technology in the production and use of official statistics, to promote and provide better access to official statistics and develop provincial capacity to support the production and use of official statistics
Measurable objective: To improve service delivery and increase accessibility to statistical products and services through improving and strengthening systems at national, provincial and district level
Comprises:• Geography• Statistical Information Services• System of Registers• Information and Communication Technology• Provincial Offices
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Output Target ActualGeographic frame 40% complete 100% complete
Sampling frame for economic statistics
Provided annually Target met
Local and wide area network
Available 98% of the time
100% LAN90% WAN
Accessibility of Stats SA information
48 000 direct enquiries per year800 000 hits per month on website
45 000 direct enquiries800 000 hits
Provincial fieldwork capacity
Collect 90 000 questionnaires
100 000 questionnaires
Performance against targets
Statistical Support and Informatics
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Improvements in the use and coverage of statistics
• Improved access to and utilisation of statistics through: • Comprehensive geographical dissemination of Census 2001
results• Revamped website• User enquiries service
• Broadening coverage of smaller businesses through inclusion of income tax data in business register
• Beginnings of provincial level economic statistics through municipal references for business register
Statistical Support and Informatics
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Improvements for the current and next three years
• Improving government service delivery and statistical accuracy through the address project
• Improving accessibility and coherence of statistics through the development of data management and warehousing systems
• Understanding user needs through more frequent user consultations especially in provinces
• Better reflection of employment in medium-sized enterprises by drawing samples from combined VAT and income tax frame
Statistical Support and Informatics
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SummaryAchievements and plans
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Top five achievements of 2003/04
1. Release and dissemination of Census 2001 results2. Publishing economic statistics based on new business
register3. Published the first of ongoing General Household
Survey4. First staff members returned from studies in Uganda
and Tanzania5. Revamped website seeing greater usage of
information
Summary
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Top five initiatives for 2004/05 to 2007/08
1. Providing municipal data through the Census Replacement Survey
2. Ensuring an accurate CPI through direct price collections3. Measuring the second economy through SESE and consumer
survey4. Improving accessibility and usage of statistics though data
management and warehousing5. Ensuring compliance through transforming the support
functions
Summary
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Financial information
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R ’000 2002/03 2003/04
Appropriation 360 234 293 884
Expenditure 359 240 280 935
Difference 994 12 949
Financial Information
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Implementing Government’sprogramme of action
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Policy Objective(1) – Comprehensive Social Security System (1.00)
Programme Activity: Poverty Measures-Research to audit poverty measures used by different departments (1.04)
Policy Objective(6) – Evidence Based Decision Making (6.0)
Programme Activity: Create strong information base for good governance and service for the developmental state (6.01)Urgently improving our knowledge of what goes on in service delivery institutions (schools, clinics, etc) (6.03)
Policy Objective (9) – Develop an integrated cluster strategy to intervene in the second economy incorporating existing initiatives that are currently unco-ordinated
Programme Activity: Immediately launch research into economic activities in Second Economy communities at the same time as it implements the Cabinet decision on a comprehensive household survey and allocation of addresses to all households – time frame of implementation to be brought forward from 2006 (9.20)
Government’s programme of action
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Implementation of plan of action
Poverty measures • GHS, Census and CRS all provide poverty information • Impending report on poverty lines and profiles
Evidence-based decision making• NSS programme • Building of statistical capacity in national departments• Working with Presidency and Depts of Education, Transport, Agriculture, Science and Tech, Social Development, Home Affairs, Health and various provinces and local authorities• Development index framework for municipalities
Economic activities in second economy; Comprehensive household survey; Allocation of addresses to all households• Second economy measured through: LFS; SESE (2005 and 2008) and Consumer Survey in 2008• Census Replacement Survey – 2006• Address project (with other agencies)
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Stats SA and the Statistics Council
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The Statistics Act, Act No. 06 of 1999
• Purpose of advancing– Planning– Production– Analysis– Documentation– Storage– Dissemination
… of official and other statistics
and
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• Providing for– Statistician-General as head of Statistics South Africa
– The Statistics Council
– The Minister
– Duties for Minister, SG and Statistics Council
– Relationship among them
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Misunderstanding between Stats SA
and the Statistics Council
• Statistics Council has raised concerns that their advice has not been heeded by Stats SA– True in some instances!
• Stats SA maintains that Council role is only advisory• Efforts to define relationship started in 2001
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Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
1) The Council must advise the Minister, the Statistician-General or an organ of state which produces statistics with regard to—
a) matters referred to the Council by the Minister, the Statistician-General or that organ of state;
b) any matter regarding the collection, processing, analysis, documentation, storage and dissemination of statistics, including the taking of a population census, which should, in the opinion of the Council, be studied or undertaken;
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Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
c) the elimination of unnecessary overlapping or duplication with regard to the collection or publication of statistics by organs of state;
d) any matter the Council considers necessary or expedient for achieving thepurpose of this Act;
e) the general appropriateness to the country’s needs of the services provided by Statistics South Africa.
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2. The Council must promote and safeguard—
a) official statistics;b) the co-ordination of statistical activities; andc) an environment which is supportive of the
collection, production, dissemination and use of official statistics.
Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
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3) The Council must furnish the Minister and Statistician-General with an annualreport in respect of its activities, including its advice to the Minister and Statistician-General and the outcome of that advice, during the year in question, and the Minister must as soon as possible table that report in Parliament.
Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
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4)The Council may issue public statements on any
matter relating to its functions in terms of this Act, but only after consultation with the organ of state, business or other organisation involved, if any, in the matter in question.
Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
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5)The Statistician-General must provide the Council
with such secretarial and clerical assistance as is necessary for the effective performance of the functions of the Council.
Section 13 of powers and duties of the Council
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International practice
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The UN Handbook of Statistical Organization says that Council – can be used for the defense of the statistical agency – can assume the role of guardian of fundamental values – is the ultimate guarantor that, within existing resources, the statistical
programme as defined by the Chief Statistician– is the interlocutor a minister might choose if he/she wishes to have the
professional opinion of the chief statistician validated – is the body a minister could turn to for advice and succession management – proceedings would constitute a venue for registering opinions about the
output of the statistical agency
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The Australian Bureau of Statistics Act of 1975
Functions of the Council are to advise the Minister and the Australian Statistician in relation to:
– the improvement, extension and coordination of statistical services
– annual and longer term priorities and programs of work
– any other matters relating generally to those statistical services
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The Framework for National Statistics of the UK
– The main function of the Statistics Commission is to give independent, reliable and relevant advice on National Statistics to Ministers
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The Framework for National Statistics of the UK
• In conducting its work programme it will:– Improve quality and relevance of National Statistics – Improve public confidence in National Statistics – Operate efficiently by taking account of compliance costs – Co-ordinate with government regarding secure effective
communication channels with stakeholders– Advise Ministers on the effectiveness of administrative
(devolution) arrangements – Submit an annual report to the Minister for National
Statistics
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The Canadian framework
– Their explicit mandate is to advise the Chief Statistician about broad policies and priorities.
Dr Fellegi : “Many countries have some version of such a body. Their role, method of appointment, and accountability vary. They share the common purpose of providing high-level policy guidance to the statistical system and of serving as yet another protection against politicization.”
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Uganda Bureau of Statistics
– Board of Directors is the overall governing body
– Executive Director responsible for day-to-day functions
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Stats SA’s posiotion
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Stats SA’s perspective and recommendations
– The role of the Statistics Council • advisory
– Consultancy to Stats SA • Stats SA will not hire in its service any
member of the Statistics Council as a consultant
– Use of Stats SA data• solely for the purpose of the agreed work to
be performed
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Stats SA’s perspective and recommendations
– Term of the Statistics Council • call for nominations without any further delays
– Meetings • agenda will need to be discussed with Stats SA
– Secretariat • Stats SA will provide two staff members
– Communication• Through the SG• Or with officials delegated by the SG
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Presentation to Portfolio Committee on Finance
Thank you
6 October 2004