57615_สถานการณ์เศรษฐกิจไทยและแนวโน้ม...

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Line ID :: pongnakorn2555

Email :: [email protected] 2558 1

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3.21.9 2.4

-4.1

3.1

6.25.1

15.3

5.3

2.7 2.60.7

-0.40.9 1.0

2.1 3.0 2.8

2.2

-1.5

1.6

-6.3

9.6

1.8

0.8

2.4

0.2

-0.60.8 0.2

-0.8

0.7 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.4

-10.0

-5.0

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

%yoy qoq_sa

2554= 0.8 % 2555= 7.3 % 2556= 2.8 % 2557= 0.9%

H1/58=2.9%

Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP)

... ...

New

normal

14

2558 4
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMSM1oX60scCFRGQjgod6MoAHQ&url=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gnome3-sick_22.png&ei=DBfkVcTWKpGgugTolYPoAQ&psig=AFQjCNHuA0LFkPx55E3hOzEy8vGuwf8QnQ&ust=1441097858071634http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCIHj27OOt8cCFROOjgodF7kJCw&url=http://www.iconshut.com/sick-days-chronicle-icons/dT1hSFIwY0RvdkwzUjFkRzl5Wkc5amRHOXliMlozYm5rdVptbHNaWE11ZDI5eVpIQnlaWE56TG1OdmJTOHlNREV6THpBeEwzTnBZMnN0WTJGeWRHOXZiaTVuYVdZfHVyPWh0dHA6Ly90dXRvcmRvY3Rvcm9md255LndvcmRwcmVzcy5jb20vMjAxMy8wMS8yNS9zaWNrLWRheXMtY2hyb25pY2xlL3x3PTI4MHxoPTMwMHx0PWdpZnw/&ei=TX7VVcGIEpOcugSX8qZY&psig=AFQjCNEw2TaiE3ouMSAJzNqEsPTa-FmsIw&ust=1440141243356493http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCM3s7s_60scCFU8kjgodvrgEgw&url=http://theobamadiary.com/2015/03/12/newly-released-pete-souza-magic/&ei=qBfkVc34Ec_IuAS-8ZKYCA&psig=AFQjCNGGJYAzfTtO_-cUH57tpRlM46Q-lw&ust=1441098014123134https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMSM1oX60scCFRGQjgod6MoAHQ&url=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gnome3-sick_22.png&ei=DBfkVcTWKpGgugTolYPoAQ&psig=AFQjCNHuA0LFkPx55E3hOzEy8vGuwf8QnQ&ust=1441097858071634https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMSM1oX60scCFRGQjgod6MoAHQ&url=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gnome3-sick_22.png&ei=DBfkVcTWKpGgugTolYPoAQ&psig=AFQjCNHuA0LFkPx55E3hOzEy8vGuwf8QnQ&ust=1441097858071634http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCIyWpI_00scCFYa2jgodESEAaA&url=http://www.myenglishteacher.eu/blog/ways-to-improve-your-english-communication-skills/&ei=1hDkVYzTDobtugSRwoDABg&psig=AFQjCNH8Wo5ZQROlaAsvCZL0TkevXtUoOw&ust=1441096244212036http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJzgjeWPt8cCFZVbjgodRjMF8g&url=http://www.funnybirthdaywishes.info/40th-birthday-wishes-funny/&ei=wX_VVdz7EpW3uQTG5pSQDw&psig=AFQjCNHFjWEfSrrVnO9pw5PdhGNZTl0Umw&ust=1440141608847576

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6

4

(2557) (2536)

:

C54.4%

I46.8%

G11.3%

X40.2%

M46.5%

C50.9%X77.1%

I24.2%

G16.1%

M69.9%

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Growth

(% YOY)2556 2557

2557 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

0.8 0.6 -2.9 0.8 2.5 2.1 2.4 1.5

4.7 1.7 3.1 1.9 -1.3 3.6 3.3 4.6 -0.8 -2.0 -10.2 -4.3 3.2 4.1 3.6 -3.4

-1.0 -4.9 -12.6 -7.7 0.9 -0.5 37.8 24.7

2.8 0.0 0.1 -0.8 -3.7 4.5 1.0 1.0

1.4 -5.4 -10.5 -9.3 -0.4 -0.7 2.3 -0.3

GDP 2.8 0.9 -0.4 0.9 1.0 2.1 3.0 2.8

6

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...

5.3%

19.3%

10.7%25.5%

10.4%

.

14 2558 7

: .

: .

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Growth

(% YOY)2556 2557

2557 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

0.4 0.3 2.3 3.9 -0.4 -3.2 -4.7 -5.9

1.7 -.04 -2.7 -0.7 0.4 1.4 2.3 -0.7

1.4 0.7 -1.4 0.2 1.7 2.8 4.1 3.7

5.7 3.4 1.3 2.9 3.5 5.7 7.4 8.6

4.0 0.1 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6 2.6 2.7 2.5

0.1 -4.4 -12.9 -2.8 -2.5 1.3 23.4 17.3

10.5 -2.9 -3.1 -6.2 -6.1 3.3 13.5 18.7

GDP 2.8 0.9 -0.4 0.9 1.0 2.1 3.0 2.8

8

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...

7

44.3%

18.0%

10.9%8.8%

8.6%

5.8%3.5%

14 2558 9

.

: .

: .

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...

1.5%

15.3%

8.8%46.9%

6.2%

14 2558 10

: .

: .
https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCLWN-JWt08cCFYaOjgodDlQD0Q&url=https://www.iconfinder.com/icons/237409/drilling_field_oil_petrol_petroleum_pumpjack_refinery_icon&ei=qUzkVfWUAYadugSOqI2IDQ&psig=AFQjCNG3Fumvkh-ESf9KNQFi8YEJXGQNyA&ust=1441111575925832

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...

1.0%

17.2%

10.8%27.1%

5.0%

14 2558 11

: .

: .

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...

1.7%

13.1%

11.4%32.8%

5.2%

14 2558 12

: .

: .
https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCLWN-JWt08cCFYaOjgodDlQD0Q&url=https://www.iconfinder.com/icons/237409/drilling_field_oil_petrol_petroleum_pumpjack_refinery_icon&ei=qUzkVfWUAYadugSOqI2IDQ&psig=AFQjCNG3Fumvkh-ESf9KNQFi8YEJXGQNyA&ust=1441111575925832

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...

7.6%

12.5%

10.2%23.2%

8.2%

14 2558 13

: .

: .

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...

0.5%

9.4%

9.4%54.8%

3.9%

14 2558 14

: .

: .

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...

4.5%

20.8%

8.9%24.4%

8.6%

14 2558 15

: .

: .
https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKPUt8e108cCFcsZjgodZB8FBg&url=https://www.iconfinder.com/icons/388851/electric_electricity_landline_lightning_line_power_voltage_icon&ei=dFXkVaPKEsuzuATkvpQw&psig=AFQjCNEs5wpvf2tIk8u14lrUVTs6x0NQKQ&ust=1441113820501750

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1

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1.

2.

3.

5.

8.

SMEs

7.

6.

4..

9.

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3

:

: .

Q1 = +10.5%yoy

Q2= +11.1%yoy

..= +8.9%yoy

.. = +5.8%yoy

Q1 = +8.4%yoy

Q2= +9.7%yoy

.. = +4.2%yoy

.. = +17.7%yoy

Q1 = +12.5%yoyQ2= +12.4%yoy

.. = +10.0%yoy

.. = +0.8%yoy

Q1 = +3.6%yoy

Q2= +3.9%yoy

.. = +29.2%yoy

.. = +9.6%yoyQ1 = +4.8%yoy

Q2= +8.3%yoy

.. = +6.1%yoy

.. = +13.2%yoy

Q1 = +10.4%yoy

Q2= +6.8%yoy

.. = +0.3%yoy

.. = +8.1%yoy

Q1 = +19.5%yoy

Q2= +33.5%yoy

.. = +49.8%yoy

.. = +0.4%yoy

.

Q1 = +9.7%yoy

Q2= +8.7%yoy

.. = +4.5%yoy

.. = +5.1%yoy

14 2558 18

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::

:

: .

2557 2558 2558

Q1 Q2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. YTD

100.0 5.7 10.5 11.1 9.4 2.3 20.1 12.7 11.6 8.9 5.8 10.1

. 77.2 5.6 9.7 8.7 9.2 3.0 17.0 11.8 9.8 4.5 5.1 8.6

8.5

8.1 19.5 33.5 7.4 -8.2 70.5 20.4 31.6 49.8 0.4 22.3

3.9 11.7 10.4 6.8 13.5 7.8 9.5 10.5 9.4 0.3 8.1 8.5

3.3 6.1 4.8 8.3 6.8 3.8 3.7 8.2 10.6 6.1 13.2 7.3

2.8 -11.4 12.5 12.4 26.8 -1.9 15.1 23.1 2.5 10.0 0.8 10.9

2.7 7.7 8.4 9.7 7.1 11.5 6.8 12.2 12.9 4.2 17.7 10.2

1.6 15.3 3.6 3.9 -6.0 17.5 3.0 -9.5 -7.7 29.2 9.6 4.6

2557

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3

:

: .

.. 45,277 (-22.1%yoy)

.. 43,374 (-20.5%yoy)

1 = 154,486 (-17.0%yoy)

2 = 129,394 (-24.0%yoy)

7 = 327,254 (-20.3%yoy)

.. = -23.6%yoy

.. = -18.5%yoy

.

.. = -24.1%yoy

.. = -20.3%yoy

.. = -19.4%yoy

.. = -17.7%yoy

.. = -35.3%yoy

.. = -20.3%yoy

.. = -15.8%yoy

.. = -22.7%yoy

.. = -22.1%yoy

.. = -23.4%yoy

.. = -12.4%yoy

.. = -21.7%yoy

14 2558 20

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:

: .16 September 2015

::

2557 2557 2558 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. YTD

100.0 -34.6 -39.3 -33.9 -30.8 -31.8 -16.9 -24.0 3.4 -20.4 -30.0 -30.2 -20.1 -22.1 -20.5 -20.3

13.4 -36.4 -38.6 -39.0 -30.9 -35.2 -24.1 -20.4 -23.6 -25.3 -23.4 -27.0 -21.9 -12.4 -21.7 -22.3

10.3 -40.5 -38.8 -42.7 -39.9 -40.7 -18.0 -22.1 -22.9 -15.1 -13.9 -22.3 -21.9 -22.1 -23.4 -20.3

9.3 -40.3 -43.6 -37.3 -37.1 -42.8 -27.2 -29.8 -18.5 -35.1 -28.1 -38.8 -27.2 -23.6 -18.5 -27.2

8.7 -26.5 -29.2 -30.7 -20.1 -22.8 -15.8 -23.1 -20.0 -14.0 -13.4 -25.2 -24.9 -19.4 -17.7 -19.1

3.1 -29.8 -31.0 -30.0 -25.2 -34.5 -15.8 -30.1 -18.1 -10.5 -18.1 -29.8 -24.4 -35.3 -20.3 -22.3

3.1 -38.8 -34.7 -39.6 -39.1 -45.5 -17.3 -22.8 -18.0 -13.3 -20.0 -22.7 -29.5 -15.8 -22.7 -20.1

. 52.0 -33.0 -41.0 -30.2 -28.7 -26.7 -13.0 -24.1 46.4 -19.4 -37.7 -32.1 -16.6 -24.1 -20.3 -18.7

2557

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3

:

: .

.. 190,496 (+12.5%yoy)

.. 131,672 (-23.2%yoy)

1 = 510,021 (+11.0%yoy)

2 = 461,076 (-2.9%yoy)

7 = 1,102,769 (-0.3%yoy)

.. = +27.0%yoy

.. = -20.4%yoy

.. = +14.0%yoy

.. = -22.1%yoy

.. = -3.2%yoy

.. = -19.9%yoy

.

.. = +8.3%yoy

.. = -21.3% o

.. = +14.9%yoy

.. = -26.9%yoy

.. = +15.7%yoy

.. = -22.0%yoy

.. = +4.7%yoy

.. = -29.1%yoy

14 2558 22

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::

:

: .

2557 2557 2557 2557 2558 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. YTD

100.0 -14.3 -20.8 -18.2 -8.1 -7.8 10.9 -2.9 14.5 0.7 18.1 -18.4 -5.4 12.5 -23.2 -0.3

25.5 -16.4 -22.0 -23.5 -6.3 -10.8 11.5 -0.4 -1.6 14.6 22.5 -13.9 -5.3 15.7 -22.0 1.2

15.3 -16.0 -25.3 -20.5 -9.2 -3.9 10.5 -8.5 -5.0 17.4 21.0 -25.5 -6.7 4.7 -29.1 -3.9

12.8 -18.5 -15.3 -20.2 -17.3 -21.7 0.8 0.1 -12.2 -7.2 20.2 -25.6 -3.9 27.0 -20.3 -2.5

11.7 -10.6 -22.9 -16.4 -4.2 5.8 27.5 -1.0 13.3 33.8 34.6 -17.9 -2.7 14.9 -26.9 6.2

5.4 -11.7 -17.6 -20.4 -2.3 -3.7 7.1 3.9 2.6 -2.4 21.0 -10.8 7.9 14.0 -22.1 1.4

4.5 -9.1 -20.8 -16.5 0.0 5.7 9.3 -12.2 -7.3 9.7 26.0 -29.2 -6.8 -3.2 -19.9 -4.5

. 24.6 -11.6 -19.1 -9.5 -8.6 -8.1 10.1 -3.9 152.3 -23.5 3.5 -14.4 -8.6 8.3 -21.3 -0.9

2557

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2557

2557 2558

( GDP) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. YTD

Real GDP (%yoy) 0.9 -0.4 0.9 1.0 2.1 3.0 2.8 - - - 2.9

(50.9%) 0.6 -2.9 0.8 2.5 2.1 2.4 1.5 - - - 2.0

(%yoy) 0.4 -0.2 0.3 2.3 -0.9 1.0 1.8 -2.5 5.3 -1.7 0.9

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -0.9 -1.4 0.4 1.1 0.7 -0.3 -2.7 4.6 -2.8 -

(%yoy) -41.4 -55.3 -37.7 -38.3 -27.9 -12.5 -27.3 -21.1 -35.4 -25.1 -20.8

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -23.9 3.4 -8.6 -0.3 -6.9 -13.7 -9.4 -10.4 4.4 -

(%yoy) -14.3 -20.8 -18.2 -8.1 -7.8 10.9 -2.9 -5.4 12.5 -23.2 -0.3

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA - -9.9 0.5 4.9 -2.8 8.1 -11.6 16.8 17.1 - 27.1 -

(%yoy) 1.5 -3.9 0.4 0.4 8.8 10.8 2.0 -1.4 6.5 1.4 5.6

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA - -3.3 4.4 0.1 7.1 -0.6 -4.0 -6.7 8.2 -4.5 -

( .) (%yoy) -8.4 -2.9 -4.5 -6.8 -15.5 -9.8 -12.9 -11.5 -8.6 -14.6 -11.6

() 65.0 59.9 61.2 69.3 69.6 68.4 64.9 65.0 63.8 62.6 66.1

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3

:

: .

.. 21,954 (-13.1%yoy)

.. 20,391 (-11.6%yoy)

1 = 74,162 (-15.9%yoy)

2 = 62,865 (-19.5%yoy)

7 = 157,418 (-16.9%yoy)

.. = -13.4%yoy

.. = -1.4%yoy

.. = -5.6%yoy

.. = -8.0%yoy

.. = -26.4%yoy

.. = -14.5%yoy

.. = -15.7%yoy

.. = -11.1%yoy

.. = -9.6%yoy

.. = -18.7%yoy

.. = -19.0%yoy

.. = -15.1%yoy

.

.. = -11.9%yoy

.. = -8.8%yoy

14 2558 25

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16 September 2015

::

:

: .

2557 2557 2557 2557 2558 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. YTD

100.0 -19.6 -15.1 -20.6 -21.1 -23.3 -15.9 -19.5 -8.1 -22.1 -17.6 -26.9 -18.2 -13.1 -11.6 -16.9

23.8 -17.2 -15.7 -18.3 -13.5 -21.7 -14.9 -20.8 -15.3 -14.0 -15.4 -28.2 -23.3 -9.6 -18.7 -17.9

15.0 -21.8 -13.6 -27.0 -26.0 -21.3 -12.2 -17.1 -15.4 -6.7 -13.1 -14.9 -20.6 -15.7 -11.1 -14.1

10.2 -17.1 -11.0 -20.4 -20.8 -17.5 -16.6 -26.7 -29.7 -8.7 -9.6 -43.6 -16.0 -19.0 -15.1 -16.7

9.3 -24.5 -19.6 -20.0 -21.2 -40.6 -26.7 -17.2 -19.2 -40.3 -20.1 -19.2 -18.9 -13.4 -1.4 -23.7

5.2 -10.7 -0.4 -2.5 -13.9 -30.7 -14.1 -19.8 -18.4 -5.2 -16.5 -31.5 -21.5 -5.6 -8.0 -15.7

4.3 -16.7 -8.0 -22.9 -22.6 -15.5 -26.2 -24.8 -23.9 -30.6 -24.7 -28.1 -19.6 -26.4 -14.5 -24.4

. 32.2 -21.1 -18.0 -21.4 -24.5 -21.2 -13.7 -17.6 25.3 -32.4 -21.9 -27.5 -12.7 -11.9 -8.8 -14.7

2557

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:

:

.

3

.. 23,884 (-59.6%yoy)

.. 36,182 (-19.1%yoy)

.. 400 /

7 205,361 (-5.0%yoy)

.. 717 (-63.1%yoy)

.. 543 (-79.2%yoy)

.. 54 /

7 7,293 (-13.7%yoy)

.

.. 5,416 (-74.7%yoy)

.. 12,148 (-27.1%yoy)

.. 2,025 /

7

45,062

(-42.9%yoy)

.. 1,531 (+0.7%yoy)

.. 6,620 (+948.9%yoy)

.. 1,103 /

7 10,947 (-12.5%yoy)

.. 2,925

(-86.7%yoy)

.. 5,580 (-68.4%yoy)

.. 797 /

7 81,399 (+39.4%yoy)

.. 2,589 (-38.7%yoy)

.. 3,040 (+1.25%yoy)

.. 160 /

7 20,047 (-18.3%yoy)

.. 730 (+1.3%yoy)

.. 4,368 (+85.4%yoy)

.. 291 /

7 15,057

(+32.5%yoy)

.. 9,976 (+34.8%yoy)

.. 3,883 (+115.1%yoy)

.. 777 /

7 25,555

(+16.9%yoy)

14 2558 27

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. 2+4 () 2557 2558 25582557 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. YTD

100.0 328,507 58,045 111,135 19,012 23,884 36,182 205,361

. 27.7 100,362 15,615 17,299 4,625 5,416 12,148 45,062 25.7 83,478 16,954 58,865 1,607 2,925 5,580 81,399 18.6 55,249 10,454 6,553 1,550 2,589 3,040 20,047 11.9 40,769 8,451 13,222 1,754 9,976 3,883 25,555 7.3 18,360 2,787 7,902 6,607 730 4,368 15,057

4.6 17,195 891 3,436 751 1,531 6,620 10,947 4.2 13,095 2,893 3,858 2,117 717 543 7,293

. 2+4 (%yoy) 2557 2558 2558

2557 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. YTD

100.0 1.44 23.20 -10.52 -5.15 -59.63 -19.08 -4.95

. 27.7 14.47 -2.20 -62.65 4.41 -74.71 -27.05 -42.92

25.7 -2.38 154.30 72.84 -70.10 -86.67 -68.39 39.43 18.6 40.68 42.00 -53.73 -52.82 -38.67 1.25 -18.26 11.9 -29.73 87.20 -14.92 -1.11 34.84 115.11 16.90 7.3 -16.42 -54.80 177.82 446.42 1.31 85.37 32.46 4.6 6.31 -81.00 -52.26 -73.92 0.71 948.89 -12.54 4.2 -13.83 64.30 -5.56 93.74 -63.13 -79.20 -13.74

16 September 2015

:

:

:

.

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16 September 2015

:

11,157

6,952

4,4513,221

2,2981,2771,1971,0921,080 712 487 476 291 290 275 274 261 145 89 39 18

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000 558

-

10,000

20,00030,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

7 558

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2557

2557 2558

( GDP) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. YTD

(19.3%) -2.0 -10.2 -4.3 3.2 4.1 3.6 -3.4 - - - 0.1 (15.4%) -1.5 -11.0 -4.2 5.1 4.7 4.1 -5.0 - - - -0.7

(3.9%) -3.4 -7.3 -4.8 -3.3 2.2 1.8 2.7 - - - 2.3

(%yoy) -2.2 -5.6 -5.9 -2.1 3.9 7.2 1.7 -12.3 4.9 8.8 5.0

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -8.6 -1.0 7.6 6.2 -4.8 -6.2 -17.3 10.2 4.6

(%yoy) -3.2 -2.4 -3.0 -2.9 -4.8 -2.5 -0.2 -0.5 3.1 -2.0 -1.5

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -1.9 0.0 -1.8 -1.2 0.8 2.1 2.5 0.9 -2.8

(%yoy) -7.6 -14.1 -12.6 0.0 -2.9 0.9 2.1 -5.3 6.0 -22.1 -2.6

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -4.6 0.2 6.8 -5.4 0.2 0.6 -7.8 17.0 -15.6 -

(%yoy) -4.8 -11.4 -4.4 -4.0 1.1 0.1 -3.5 -7.7 1.1 -6.7 -2.5

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -11.4 -4.4 -4.0 1.3 0.1 -3.5 -4.9 7.2 -6.9 -

(%yoy) -26.8 -36.6 -30.6 -20.4 -15.8 -11.3 -17.3 -19.7 -4.5 -3.1 -12.7

%qoq_SA / %mom_SA -13.7 -1.4 -0.7 -1.6 -7.0 -9.2 3.8 14.7 2.2 -

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FY2557

FY2557 FY2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 .. .. .. YTD

1. 58 2,246.3 760.8 482.5 476.7 526.3 766.4 557.7 529.4 164.0 186.5 208.7 2,062.2

% yoy 3.4 8.7 -5.9 5.6 3.7 0.7 15.6 11.1 15.1 20.8 10.2 8.0

(%) 89.0 30.1 19.1 18.9 21.1 29.8 21.7 20.6 6.4 7.2 8.1 80.1

(%) 95.0 22.0 24.0 24.0 25.0 32.0 23.0 21.0 6.9 6.9 6.5 82.0

2. 213.7 70.2 70.5 38.0 34.9 77.7 59.9 40.1 12.8 14.8 13.2 191.0

3. (1+2) 2,460.0 831.1 553.0 514.7 561.2 844.1 617.6 569.6 176.8 201.3 221.9 2,253.2

% yoy 2.4 5.7 -5.6 6.8 2.2 1.6 11.7 10.7 14.6 22.3 10.8 7.3

4. -384.3 -334.7 -115.9 105.6 -39.4 -347.3 -138.9 91.0 -13.3 146.7 -81.4 -476.4

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(: ) 2557

FY2558

2558Q1 Q2 Q3 .. .. .. YTD

1.58 2,246,306 2,575,000 766,371 557,708 529,439 163,958 186,535 208,731 2,062,249

% yoy 3.4% 2.0% 0.7% 15.6% 11.1% 15.1% 20.8% 10.2% 8.0%

(%) 89.0% - 29.8% 21.7% 20.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 80.1%

- 1,962,257 2,157,892 725,109 480,973 452,325 139,510 156,676 186,059 1,844,466

% yoy 3.6% 3.1% 12.5% 7.3% 8.1% 10.9% 15.4% 9.4% 9.7%

(%) 93.7% - 33.6% 22.3% 21.0% 6.5% 7.3% 8.6% 85.5%

- 284,049 417,108 41,262 76,735 77,114 24,448 29,859 22,672 217,783

% yoy 2.7% -3.3% -64.6% 123.2% 32.4% 47.2% 59.6% 17.2% -4.7%

(%) 65.8% - 9.8% 18.3% 18.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.4% 52.2%

2. 213,684 351,685 77,731 59,909 40,130 12,797 14,791 13,195 190,965

(1+2) 2,459,990 2,926,685 844,102 617,617 569,569 176,755 201,326 221,926 2,253,214

% yoy 2.4% 3.5% 1.6% 11.7% 10.7% 14.6% 22.3% 10.8% 7.3%

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:

:

.

3

14 2558 33

60% 40%-60% 20%-40% 0%-20% 0%-20% 20%

153,320 +65.3%yoy

.7,510 +93.4%yoy

14,458 +84.4%yoy

46,431 +55.3%yoy

26,001 +60.4%yoy

10,934

+69.3%yoy

9,785 +81.7%yoy

38,201 +65.7%yoy
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKHwoK382ccCFY1wjgod2GgJdQ&url=http://www.iconshut.com/mi-road-kowloon-hong-kong-mail-winning-winninggroup-com-icons/dT1hSFIwY0RvdkwzZDNkeTUzYVc1dWFXNW5aM0p2ZFhBdVkyOXRMbWhyTDNCcFl5OXBZMjl1TDJsdWMzUnlkVzFsYm5RdWFuQm58dXI9aHR0cDovL3d3dy53aW5uaW5nZ3JvdXAuY29tLmhrL3dpbm5pbmdfZS9pbnN0cnVtZW50LnBocD9hY3Rpb249YWRkJmFtcDtjYXRfaWQ9MzR8dz05OHxoPTY0fHQ9anBlZ3w/&bvm=bv.101800829,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEcdCJWqfeARMJZpviSJ0etyq_50g&ust=1441338996628693

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6

1.2 8.%

495957966

86653

56773

3835

67,5024,646

343

79,270

HK 443,915

TW 373,990

SK 423,238

:

(Ex+Im)

- 14,725,204 100.01 9 3,243,501 22.0

CLMV 985,157 6.7

381 ,435 2 .6 263 ,546 1 .8 175 ,508 1 .2 164 ,668 1 .1

824 ,752 5 .6 591 ,889 4.0 542 ,433 3 .7 273 ,465 1 .9

2 2,057,966 14.03 1,862,653 12.64 2 7 1 ,3 83 ,0 25 9 . 45 15 1 ,324,312 9 .06 1,241,959 8.4

7 567 ,730 3 .98 443 ,915 3 .09 423 ,238 2 .9

10 412 ,646 2 .811 373 ,990 2 .512 279 ,270 1 .913 267 ,502 1 .814 843 ,499 5 .7

: : : 4

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5

*

55 = 180,471 56 = 196,861 (+9.1%) 57 = 214,387 (+8.9%)5 = 106,094 +7.3%

7%8%

5%6%

* 55 = 515,923 56 = 501,402 (-2.8%) 57 = 507,655 (+1.3%)4 = 194,595 -9.6%

7%8%

7%8%

* 55 = 132,016 56 = 132,137 (+0.1%) 57 = 151,063 (+14.3%)

5 = 118,100 +4.2%

* 55 = 82,089 56 = 93,836 (+14.3%) 57 = 114,465 (+22.0%)5 = 56,017 +19.7%

* 60% 2

* 80% 2

* 70% 2

* 85% 2

14 2558 35

7/23/2019 57615_ . 20 . . 58 011

36/74

: %yoy

2557

2557 2558

( GDP) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD (61.7%)

0.7 0.6 1.3 -1.6 2.5 -2.5 -4.0 - - -3.2

$ term () %yoy -0.4 -1.4 0.0 -1.8 1.6 -4.7 -5.0 -7.9 -3.6 -4.7 $ term (.) %yoy -1.0 -1.6 -0.9 -0.3 -1.1 -1.8 -1.8 -1.7 -2.5 -1.9 $ term (.) %yoy 0.6 0.2 0.9 -1.5 2.8 -3.0 -3.3 -6.3 -1.1 -2.8

(2556 >> 2557)(13.9% >>14.5%) %yoy 4.3 3.6 1.2 5.2 7.0 2.2 -0.1 -4.4 -3.2 0.4 $ term %yoy 4.0 3.9 0.5 4.5 6.7 2.1 0.6 -3.5 -2.3 0.8

(10.1% >>10.4%) %yoy 2.5 4.3 -0.4 -0.3 6.8 -0.5 -4.2 -5.9 -0.7 -2.1 $ term %yoy 1.9 4.6 -1.2 -1.3 5.9 -1.2 -4.3 -5.9 -0.6 -2.4

(13.4% >>13.5%) %yoy -0.2 3.0 -1.8 -4.3 2.5 4.7 -4.8 -17.7 4.1 0.7 $ term %yoy -0.3 3.7 -1.4 -4.6 1.3 4.0 -5.1 -18.3 3.4 0.2

(7.6% >>7.5%) %yoy -1.5 -9.1 -6.6 2.4 8.8 0.6 -6.9 -7.7 -3.1 -3.4 $ term %yoy -0.9 -8.6 -5.8 2.8 9.5 0.7 -5.3 -5.8 -0.6 -2.2

(9.9% >>9.8%) %yoy -1.5 -2.8 3.0 3.5 -7.9 -14.1 -0.3 -1.9 -7.3 -7.6 $ term %yoy 6.9 5.4 12.5 11.5 0.2 -9.1 4.3 2.0 -1.5 -2.6

(6.4% >>5.0%) %yoy -15.3 -18.0 -3.0 -13.1 -25.0 -29.6 -19.1 -19.0 -10.6 -22.3 $ term %yoy -13.8 -17.0 -4.1 -12.1 -20.5 -21.1 -11.8 -12.1 -1.0 -14.1

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16 2557

2557 2558(56 >> 57 ) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD

(%yoy)

-0.4 -1.4 0.0 -1.8 1.6 -4.7 -5.0 -7.9 -3.6 -4.7% mom SA, %qoq SA - -3.0 -0.7 -0.7 3.3 -6.3 -1.1 0.0 2.0 -1. (11.9% >> 11.0%) -7.9 -4.5 -4.2 -6.3 -15.3 -14.4 1.2 -0.8 -1.6 -6.22. (10.0% >> 10.5%) 4.1 0.6 4.9 3.4 7.2 5.6 2.6 -0.1 1.4 3.73. (9.7% >> 9.6%) -1.9 0.7 -6.4 -1.0 -0.6 -9.2 -3.8 -4.2 -9.7 -7.04. (8.8% >> 9.2%) 4.7 4.8 10.9 2.0 1.7 -3.9 -8.4 -7.1 -1.1 -5.55. (5.7% >> 5.6%) -1.9 -0.1 -1.4 -5.0 -1.0 -14.6 -18.3 -17.8 -16.8 -16.6

6. (5.8% >> 5.6%) -4.4 -1.8 1.7 -13.5 -1.8 -11.5 -9.0 -19.3 -1.5 -9.27. (5.1% >> 5.1%) 0.0 1.7 8.2 -8.1 -1.5 -6.4 -23.7 -24.0 -14.6 -14.88. (5.2% >> 4.8%) -8.8 -16.1 -18.0 -11.9 12.9 10.2 7.6 -16.1 21.4 10.89.(4.9% >> 4.6%) -7.0 -23.9 0.5 -6.6 3.8 -5.4 0.3 13.3 -9.7 -3.310. (4.8% >> 4.2%) -12.5 -19.7 -17.8 -10.8 3.5 -15.4 -20.6 -31.2 -19.2 -18.311. (3.5% >> 3.7%) 4.7 3.8 -0.9 3.2 13.7 -14.5 -15.9 -22.1 -17.8 -15.612. (3.1% >> 3.5%) 9.8 5.1 8.6 18.3 7.1 18.1 16.7 17.8 15.2 17.013.(2.2% >> 2.6%) 16.6 13.0 14.9 17.4 20.4 7.4 -3.4 -13.8 1.5 1.914. (2.3% >> 2.5%) 8.4 -5.0 20.7 7.4 12.7 6.1 -4.8 -8.6 -8.0 -0.915.(2.0% >> 2.0%) -1.5 -13.3 -3.9 11.7 1.8 0.6 -16.4 -18.2 -9.6 -8.916. (1.5% >> 1.8%) 19.0 14.0 16.2 25.2 20.6 4.7 -11.5 -13.3 -2.0 -3.5PS.-9 (26.0% >> 26.1%) 0.2 -5.4 -0.1 1.1 5.2 -2.4 -5.9 -4.4 -4.5 -4.2PS.-5 (17.6% >> 17.0%) -3.9 -11.0 -4.1 -4.2 4.3 -9.4 -11.8 -11.6 -13.1 -11.0

PS.-4 (8.3% >> 9.1%) 9.0 7.0 8.8 13.6 6.8 10.6 5.5 10.8 11.6 8.5

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-15.3

-12.8

-7.8 -7.8 -6.6

-4.9 -4.7 -4.7-3.1

-0.6 -0.2

7.8 9.2

.. - .. 58 (%)

* - 2558

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: %yoy2557

2557 2558( GDP) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD

(55.1%)

-6.8 13.6 -11.6 -0.4 -0.7 4.0 -0.3 - - 1.8

$ term () %yoy -9.0 -15.4 -12.6 -1.3 -5.6 -6.4 -9.4 -0.2 -12.7 -8.6 $ term (.) %yoy -1.8 -1.4 -0.2 -0.4 -5.3 -10.9 -9.7 -9.5 -10.4 -10.3 $ term (.) %yoy -7.3 -14.2 -12.4 -0.9 -0.5 5.0 0.4 10.3 -2.6 1.9

( 56 >> 57) (37.7% >> 37.0%) %yoy -10.6 -25.2 -13.9 -1.0 1.1 6.0 -7.0 -0.8 0.9 -0.4

$ term %yoy -9.4 -23.0 -12.1 -0.4 2.7 9.9 -2.9 3.5 6.1 3.7 (31.6% >> 34.1%)

%yoy-2.0 -7.0 -8.1 2.0 6.2 0.4 -4.2 1.6 -5.2 -2.4

$ term %yoy -0.5 -4.8 -6.5 2.5 7.7 2.3 0.1 6.1 -2.2 0.7 (26.3% >> 26.7%) %yoy -7.6 -13.8 -12.0 0.3 -4.2 -1.1 -0.8 2.7 -24.8 -5.1

$ term %yoy -7.6 -14.1 -12.6 0.0 -2.9 0.9 2.1 6.0 -22.1 -2.6

(23.2%>> 24.3%) %yoy -4.8 -11.0 -3.8 -3.6 -0.2 -2.1 -6.5 -2.6 -10.4 -5.2

$ term %yoy -4.8 -11.4 -4.4 -4.0 1.3 0.1 -3.5 1.1 -6.7 -2.5 (9.0% >> 10.0%) %yoy 1.3 -3.8 0.4 0.2 8.1 10.0 0.7 5.1 -0.7 4.4

$ term %yoy 1.5 -3.9 0.4 0.4 8.8 10.8 2.0 6.5 1.4 5.6 (21.0% >> 21.1%) %yoy -8.6 2.0 -12.7 0.9 -22.7 -39.5 -29.6 -7.1 -29.5 -33.9

$ term %yoy -4.2 3.0 -15.3 1.9 -3.7 1.1 6.7 38.0 7.3 4.4

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58.6

62.3

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2557 2558

22,699,168

-

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

Jan

F

eb

M

ar

A

pr

M

ay

Jun

Jul

A

ug

S

ep

Oct

N

ov

D

ec

Jan

F

eb

M

ar

A

pr

M

ay

Jun

Jul

2557 2558

-

124,199

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

Jan

Feb

M

ar

Apr

M

ay

Jun

Jul

A

ug

S

ep

Oct

N

ov

D

ec

Jan

Feb

M

ar

Apr

M

ay

Jun

Jul

2557 2558

10,510

10,130

10,567

9,429

9,173

9,202

8,465

9,049

9,373 1

6,445

17,003

16,008

12,636

12,914

12,965

11,093

11,569

11,762

10,714

-3,0006,0009,000

12,00015,00018,00021,000

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2557 2558

-

()

: : .

16 September 2015

:: 7 140.7 -// 7 861,436

: 2.2 ( 8 1.4 )
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN7ON9j0v53Z-dlvQCAtQ&ust=1440223104010316http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMmjtam_uccCFVcJjgod8L4JPA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/card-key-keycard-lock-safe-security-unlock-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzQwTG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YUc5MFpXd3RabUZqYVd4cGRHbGxjeTB5THpVeE1pOXJaWGxqWVhKa0xUVXhNaTV3Ym1jfHVyPWh0dHBzOi8vaWNvbmZpbmRlci5jb20vaWNvbnMvMjgyMjYwL2NhcmRfa2V5X2tleWNhcmRfbG9ja19wYXNzd29yZF9wYXltZW50X3Byb3RlY3RfcHJvdGVjdGlvbl9zYWZlX3NlY3VyZV9zZWN1cml0eV91bmxvY2tfaWNvbnx3PTUxMnxoPTUxMnx0PXBuZ3w/&ei=CL7WVcn_HteSuATw_abgAw&psig=AFQjCNE9UWc2rxN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7/23/2019 57615_ . 20 . . 58 011

41/74

16 September 2015

:: . .

: : .

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16 September 2015

::

: : .

Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD Q1 Q2 .. .. YTD

14.0 22.0 29.2 34.0 16.9 25.0 26.1 38.7 34.7 29.9 22.4 24.4 34.7 34.4 24.8

.

-34.4 30.7 48.5 62.7 4.0 27.4 30.5 46.8 45.6 31.7 6.3 30.5 47.3 50.5 23.2 48.3 43.7 60.2 54.4 47.2 14.1 20.3 28.8 -7.1 14.2 29.2 31.4 44.1 24.8 29.6

-5.2 -1.3 -13.6 3.5 -2.4 -14.3 9.0 12.2 6.1 -2.8 -6.9 0.4 -9.6 3.9 -2.5

57.9 33.6 47.6 40.0 43.3 40.0 35.0 47.8 27.3 37.1 42.1 34.6 47.7 31.1 38.3

13.1 -2.9 -11.6 -10.9 0.0 -32.3 -54.7 -56.5 -33.6 -46.5 -10.1 -34.0 -36.9 -20.4 -25.4

11.8 7.8 15.8 24.5 11.7 86.9 75.5 83.3 116.6 86.6 32.2 25.1 33.0 51.3 31.7

8.4 21.3 21.3 10.6 14.0 0.3 -1.1 35.6 39.6 4.2 5.8 16.7 23.5 16.0 11.5

2558

(%yoy)

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43/74

3

: : .

.. = 115.1 (+25.9%yoy)

.. = 113.2 (+34.7%yoy).. = 124.2 (+34.4%yoy)

.. = 14.0 (+24.2%yoy)

.. = 14.2 (+44.1%yoy)

.. = 12.5 (+24.8%yoy)

.. = 6.3 (+12.7%yoy)

..= 5.7 (+23.5%yoy)

.. = 7.2 (+16.0%yoy)

.. = 33.1(+30.2%yoy)

.. = 31.7 (+47.7%yoy)

.. = 27.1 (+31.1%yoy)

..

= 4.1

(-33.5

%yoy).. = 3.9 (-36.9%yoy)

.. = 4.1 (-20.4%yoy)

.. = 5.7 (+16.7%yoy)

.. = 4.9 (-9.6%yoy)

..= 5.8 (+3.9%yoy)

... = 42.2 (+43.3%yoy)

.. = 42.5 (+47.3%yoy)

.. = 55.9 (+50.5%yoy)

.. = 9.7 (+12.7%yoy).. = 10.4 (+33.0%yoy)..= 11.6 (+51.3%yoy)

14 2558 43

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44/74

16 September 2015

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45/74

16 September 2015

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16 September 2015

29.9 29.83 29.54 28.66 - 70,000 360,000 1.2

::

1.

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47/74

2558

29.9 20.8% 5

12.9RealGDP 2558 3.0%

..10% .. 2558

29.83 20.1% Real GDP 2558

3.0%

..20% .. 10%

.. 2558

29.54

19.0% RealGDP 2558 2.9%

..50% .. 30% .. 10% .. 2558 28.66 15.4%Real GDP 2558 2.8%

29.9 29.83 70,000 29.54 360,000 28.66 1.2

Real GDP 3.0 3.0 -0.01 2.9 -0.05 2.8 -0.18

1.8 1.8 0.00 1.8 -0.03 1.7 -0.09

0.8 0.8 -0.05 0.6 -0.23 0.1 -0.75

22.7 22.6 -0.03 22.5 -0.14 22.2 -0.49GDP

5.6 5.6 -0.01 5.6 -0.03 5.5 -0.11

16 September 2015

::

1.

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48/74

16 September 2015

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD % Revenue

2557 ( ) 114,454 101,320 107,137 99,517 91,173 84,071 92,412 104,183 104,724 157,867 167,410 169,756

2558 ( ) 136,212 128,039 131,048 113,387 115,326 113,225 124,199

133,856 133,856 267,713 374,798 428,340 861,436 57.8 2,200,000

1

107,085 93,699 267,713 374,798 495,268 57.8 2,200,000

3

4.3 93,699 80,314 133,856 187,399 214,170 12.7 1,570,875

66,928 66,928 133,856 167,320 171,336 5.3 1,467,806 0.5 0.5 1 1.4 1.6

1 0.4 0.35 1 1.4 1.85

3 0.35 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8

0.25 0.25 0.5 0.625 0.64

::

2.

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49/74

16 September 2015

::

:

: .

2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. YTD

1.9 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.1 -0.5 -1.1 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -1.0 -1.3 -1.1 -1.0 -0.8

. 2.0 2.4 2.3 1.7 0.8 -1.1 -1.2 -1.0 -1.2 -1.2 -1.4 -1.4 -0.9 -0.9 -1.1

2.2 3.0 2.9 2.1 0.7 -1.3 -1.6 -1.5 -1.2 -1.2 -1.6 -1.7 -1.5 -1.5 -1.4

2.2 2.5 2.9 2.1 1.1 -0.7 -1.4 -0.7 -0.5 -0.8 -1.3 -1.5 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1

2.5 3.0 3.1 2.7 1.1 -0.6 -0.9 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.7 -1.2 -0.9 -0.7 -0.8

2.4 2.6 3.3 2.6 1.1 -1.0 -2.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.1 -1.8 -2.2 -1.9 -1.8 -1.5

1.6 2.1 2.2 1.6 0.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 2.5 2.9 3.2 2.4 0.8 -0.8 -1.8 -0.8 -0.7 -1.0 -1.7 -2.0 -1.8 -1.5 -1.3

25572557 2558

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50/74

:

: .14 2558 50

2558

7/23/2019 57615_ . 20 . . 58 011

51/74

.. 2558

1

2

3

4

5

7

5.8% 17.7% 8.1% 0.4% 9.6% 0.8% 13.2% 5.1%

-20.5%

-23.2%

-11.6%

-23.4%

-29.1%

-11.1%

-21.7%

-22.0%

-18.7%

-17.7%

-26.9%

-15.1%

-20.3%

-22.1%

-8.0%

-22.7%

-19.9%

-14.5%

-18.5%

-20.3%

-1.4 %

-20.3%

21.3%

-8.8%

33.7 37.5 36.9 24.2 39.4 39.4 23.1 34.1

9

(..)

(%yoy)

-19.1% 85.4% 1.3% -68.4% 948.9% 115.1% -79.2% -27.1%

-4.6% 16.0% 4.0% 2.3% -78.1% -5.5%

6

-9.0% 3.7% -1.2% 6.8% -20.8% -40.0% 30.3% -24.6%

14 2558 51

8

65.3% 65.7% 55.3% 84.4% 69.3% 81.7% 60.4% 93.4%

8.8%

10.9%

18.0%

3.5%

5.8%

8.6%

.44.3%

100% Nominal GDP

2558
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKHwoK382ccCFY1wjgod2GgJdQ&url=http://www.iconshut.com/mi-road-kowloon-hong-kong-mail-winning-winninggroup-com-icons/dT1hSFIwY0RvdkwzZDNkeTUzYVc1dWFXNW5aM0p2ZFhBdVkyOXRMbWhyTDNCcFl5OXBZMjl1TDJsdWMzUnlkVzFsYm5RdWFuQm58dXI9aHR0cDovL3d3dy53aW5uaW5nZ3JvdXAuY29tLmhrL3dpbm5pbmdfZS9pbnN0cnVtZW50LnBocD9hY3Rpb249YWRkJmFtcDtjYXRfaWQ9MzR8dz05OHxoPTY0fHQ9anBlZ3w/&bvm=bv.101800829,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEcdCJWqfeARMJZpviSJ0etyq_50g&ust=1441338996628693

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3

4

1

2

5

6

7

.8% 8.% .3% 5.4% .5% 8.4% .%

77.4 84.885.384.884.379.

7.7%

83. 84.8

8

34.4% 5.3% 3.9% 4.8% 6.% -.4% 3.% 5.5%

9 SMEs

(..)

3.9% 35.8% .5% 34.8% 3.3% -3.3% 6.5% 38.7%

-9.9% -.5%-.3%-.9%-4.%-9.4% -.9%

-6.3 -7.% -3.3% -.%-.% -4.5% 35.5% .9%

-15.6% -6.6%.6%-.% -5.4% -.7%.% -7.5%

1.7%-1.2% -2.2%-5.3% -5.3% -3.7% -7.6% -9.4%

44.8 46. 46. 46. 4.944. 46.7 4.9

-4.8%

(%yoy)

.. 2558

14 2558 52

8.8%

10.9%

18.0%

3.5%

5.8%

8.6%

.44.3%

100% Nominal GDP

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25572557 2558

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 .. .. .. YTD

( $) -0.4 0.5 -0.4 -1.8 1.5 1.4 2.0 2.4 0.2 0.8 4.2

( $) 13.4 5.5 -0.5 -0.5 9.0 8.2 4.1 2.1 0.9 2.1 14.4

( $) 157.1 167.5 168.2 161.6 157.1 156.3 160.3 158.5 160.3 156.9 156.9

( $)

23.1 23.6 23.7 24.7 23.1 19.7 18.4 19.1 18.4 17.6 17.6

/. () 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9

(%y-o-y) 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.1 -0.5 -1.1 -1.3 -1.1 -1.1 -0.9 (%y-o-y) 1.6 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2

(%) 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9

/GDP (%) 42.8 42.9 43.4 43.5 42.8 43.3 42.4 42.6 42.4 42.9 42.9

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...

1

23

4

14 2558 54

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55/74

6

3

4

5

:

: CEIC: 2 Q

: : Reuter:

:: Reuter:

:: CEIC

: 1

:: CEIC: 3-4
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCIz4oe2D6ccCFUMajgodz8kI-Q&url=http://www.iconshut.com/oil-drop-png-water-icons/dT1hSFIwY0hNNkx5OWpaRzR6TG1samIyNW1hVzVrWlhJdVkyOXRMMlJoZEdFdmFXTnZibk12YkdGMWJtUnllUzF6ZVcxaWIyeHpMelE1TUM5M1lYUmxjaTAxTVRJdWNHNW58dXI9aHR0cDovL2ltZ2J1ZGR5LmNvbS9vaWwtZHJvcC1wbmcuYXNwfHc9NTEyfGg9NDc3fHQ9cG5nfA/&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEeDAE7RuCoCwXi6wZiVRcercXOnA&ust=1441856225755511https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCN-Yj8zd6ccCFcQkjgodWaIGqA&url=https://www.iconfinder.com/icons/45018/money_moneybox_piggy_bank_saving_savings_icon&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEWIlotwfyZDItx7xL83TQXH4tj0w&ust=1441880439119168http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCLf41K_d6ccCFQdxjgod_zIKTQ&url=http://www.iconseeker.com/search-icon/enjoyment/money-4.html&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEWIlotwfyZDItx7xL83TQXH4tj0w&ust=1441880439119168https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCO_X7oXd6ccCFYuRjgodbbkLAw&url=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Terra_globe_icon.png&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNG2nLDG6GsW_8ZfG4zV8Rp3Fx7kjw&ust=1441880348707050

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12

47.8

40

45

50

55

60

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

-8.4

-8.2-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Export %yoy

Import %yoy

7.0

0.0

4.0

8.0

12.0

16.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2551 = 9.6% 2552 = 9.2% 2553 = 10.6% 2554 = 9.5% 2555 = 7.7% 2556 = 7.7% 2557 = 7.4% 2558 YTD =7.0%

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215

5.3

4.5

5.5

6.5

7.5

8.5

9.5

10.5

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-2000

200

400

600

Jan-08

Mar-08

May-08

Jul-08

Sep-08

Nov-08

Jan-09

Mar-09

May-09

Jul-09

Sep-09

Nov-09

Jan-10

Mar-10

May-10

Jul-10

Sep-10

Nov-10

Jan-11

Mar-11

May-11

Jul-11

Sep-11

Nov-11

Jan-12

Mar-12

May-12

Jul-12

Sep-12

Nov-12

Jan-13

Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

Nov-13

Jan-14

Mar-14

May-14

Jul-14

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jan-15

Mar-15

May-15

Jul-15

(RHS)

15

1.1 0.8

-0.3

-2.8-3.5

-4.1 -3.3

-0.2

1.62.7 2.7

1.9 1.7 1.2 1.72.8 2.5 2.4

1.3 1.1 0.9 1.5

2.51.7

2.6 2.9 2.5 2.9 2.7

-5.0

-3.0

-1.0

1.0

3.0


2008=-0.3% 2009=-2.8% 2010=2.5% 2011=1.8% 2012=2.8% 2013=2.2% 2014=2.4% 2015=2.6%

%

yoy qoq

2.9

-12.0

-8.0

-4.0

0.0

4.0

8.0

12.0

Jan-08

Mar-08

May-08

Jul-08

Sep-08

Nov-08

Jan-09

Mar-09

May-09

Jul-09

Sep-09

Nov-09

Jan-10

Mar-10

May-10

Jul-10

Sep-10

Nov-10

Jan-11

Mar-11

May-11

Jul-11

Sep-11

Nov-11

Jan-12

Mar-12

May-12

Jul-12

Sep-12

Nov-12

Jan-13

Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

Nov-13

Jan-14

Mar-14

May-14

Jul-14

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jan-15

Mar-15

May-15

Jul-15

%yoy %mom

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16

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

Dec-09

Feb-10

Apr-10

Jun-10

Aug-10

Oct-10

Dec-10

Feb-11

Apr-11

Jun-11

Aug-11

Oct-11

Dec-11

Feb-12

Apr-12

Jun-12

Aug-12

Oct-12

Dec-12

Feb-13

Apr-13

Jun-13

Aug-13

Oct-13

Dec-13

Feb-14

Apr-14

Jun-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Dec-14

Feb-15

Apr-15

Jun-15

Mfg PMI

Services PMI

Composite PMI

0.2

11.1

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Inflation (LHS) Unemployment (RHS)

-5.6 -5.4 -4.6

-2.4

1.02.2 2.3 2.3 2.8 1.9 1.4

0.6

-0.5 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -1.1 -0.5 -0.2

0.5 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2009=-4.5% 2010=2.0% 2011=1.7% 2012=-0.7% 2013=-0.4% 2014=0.9% 2015 = 1.1%

%yoy %qoq_sa

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1.4

-0.1 -0.6

-4.7

-9.4

-6.6 -5.6

-0.5

5.0 4.5 6.13.4

0.1

-1.5 -0.5

0.1

3.5 3.5

0.2

0.0

0.4 1.4 2.2

2.3 2.4

-0.4-1.4 -1.0 -0.8

0.7

-0.4

-12.0

-8.0

-4.0

0.0

4.0

8.0


2008=-1.0% 2009=-5.5% 2010=4.7% 2011=-0.5% 2012=1.7% 2013=1.6% 2014 = -0.1% 2015 = -0.1%

%yoy %qoq_sa

0.3

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

Jan-05

Apr-05

Jul-05

Oct-05

Jan-06

Apr-06

Jul-06

Oct-06

Jan-07

Apr-07

Jul-07

Oct-07

Jan-08

Apr-08

Jul-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

Apr-09

Jul-09

Oct-09

Jan-10

Apr-10

Jul-10

Oct-10

Jan-11

Apr-11

Jul-11

Oct-11

Jan-12

Apr-12

Jul-12

Oct-12

Jan-13

Apr-13

Jul-13

Oct-13

Jan-14

Apr-14

Jul-14

Oct-14

Jan-15

Apr-15

Jul-15

% yoy

53.7

44

46

48

50

52

54

56

58

Jan-10

Jun-10

Nov-10

Apr-11

Sep-11

Feb-12

Jul-12

Dec-12

May-13

Oct-13

Mar-14

Aug-14

Jan-15

Jun-15

18

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19

-40.0

-20.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

-20.0

-10.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

58 57

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2558

Q1 Q2 YTDWB

Jun 15

IMF

July 15

FPO

July 15

15 Trading Partners (76.4%) 3.74 3.62 3.39 - 3.33 - 3.71 3.61

1. China (11.0%) 7.7 7.4 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 6.8 6.9

2. US (10.5%) 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.7

3. Japan (9.6%) 1.6 -0.1 -0.9 - -0.9 1.1 0.8 0.9

4. Eurozone (7.2%) -0.4 0.9 1.0 - 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.3

5. Malaysia (5.6%) 4.7 6.0 5.6 - 5.6 4.7 4.8 4.8

6. Hong Kong (5.5%) 3.1 2.3 2.1 - 2.1 - 2.8 2.4

7. Singapore (4.6%) 4.4 2.9 2.6 1.7 2.2 - 3.0 2.5

8. Indonesia (4.2%) 5.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.5

9. Australia (4.1%) 2.1 2.7 2.4 - 2.4 - 2.8 2.4

10. Vietnam (3.5%) 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.0 6.0 6.0

11. Philippines (2.6%) 7.1 6.1 5.2 - 5.2 6.5 6.7 5.912. India (2.5%) 6.4 7.1 7.5 - 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.3

13. South Korea (2.0%) 2.9 3.3 2.5 2.2 2.3 - 3.3 2.7

14. Taiwan (1.8%) 2.2 3.8 3.4 - 3.4 - 3.8 3.1

15. United Kingdom (1.8%) 1.7 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.5

*

Global Economic Outlook 2013

20152015

2014

61

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36.196

( 8 .. 58)

28.5

29.0

29.5

30.0

30.5

31.031.5

32.0

32.5

33.0

33.5

34.0

34.5

35.0

35.5

2.0

1.40.6

0.5

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.4

-0.7 3.2

-1 1 3 5

Contribution to NEER

2013 = 30.73 2014 = 32.49 YTD = 33.54

58

62

58

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0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

: Reuters

58

Daily DUBAI Crude Spot Price (USD/Bl) 2013 YTD 2015

2013 20142015 ytd

(2Sep)

USD/Bl. 105.1 96.6 55.5

%yoy -3.7 -8.1 -47.0

92.05

93.09

93.63

93.09

94.16

95.45

90.0

91.0

92.0

93.0

94.0

95.0

96.0

Actual EIA Apr15 Projection EIA July15 Projection

2014 2015F

Total consumption Total supply

Consumption and Supply (Million barrel per day)

63

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373.3

450

234.8

1485.0

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

220

270

320

370

420

470

520

570

620

670

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

June

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

DecJan

Feb

Mar

Apr

MayJun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

DecJan

Feb

Mar

Apr

MayJun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

DecJan

Feb

Mar

Apr

MayJun

Jul

Aug

2012 2013 2014 2015

USD/Ton

Rice 5% Tapioca Sugar (NY) Rubber ()

64

. 1

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-2.00

-1.00

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

jan

mar

may jul

sep

nov ja

nmar

may jul

sep

nov ja

nmar

may jul

sep

nov ja

nmar

may jul

sep

nov ja

nmar

may jul

sep

nov ja

nmar

may

july

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Headline inflation and Policy rate (%YOY)

Headline Inflation 8m/15

-0.9%Core Inflation 8m/15

1.4%

Policy target band

(1.0-4.0)

65

. 2558

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(: ) FY57

%yoyYTD FY58

%yoy FY58

( .. 58) %yoy

Q1/FY59 (

.. 58)%yoy

1. (1.1+1.2) 2,477,769 1.6 2,050,376 7.3 2,678,298 8.1 875,292 3.4

1.1 2,459,970 2.4 2,031,288 7.0 2,632,557 7.0 845,998 0.2

(1.1.1)+(1.1.2)

2,246,286 3.4 1,853,518 7.8 2,402,442 7.0 761,154 -0.7

89.0 72.0 93.3 28.0

1.1.1 1,962,257 3.6 1,658,407 9.8 2,096,982 6.9 708,281 -2.3

93.7 77.1 97.5 33.7

1.1.2 284,029 2.7 195,111 -6.7 305,459 7.5 52,873 28.1

65.8 46.0 72.0 9.7

1.1.3 213,684 -7.5 177,770 -0.5 230,116 7.7 84,844 9.2

70.7 50.6 65.5 21.0

1.2 17,799 -26.2 19,088 67.4 45,741 157.0 29,293 1,053.7

1.2.1 4,594 -26.7 6,538 416.1 13,680 197.8 1,520 69.3

1.2.2 6,814 -50.4 1,008 -80.5 5,640 -17.2 5,640 860.81.2.3 - - - - 5,625 - 5,625 -

1.2.4 - - 9,875 - 16,796 - 12,485 -

1.2.5 DPL 6,391 -54.7 1,667 -66.5 4,000 -37.4 4,023 281.7

2. 485,882 2.3 267,591 19.0 504,582 3.8 162,283 7.5

3. 235,980 -23.8 159,554 -5.7 241,007 2.1 76,321 17.4

: . 66

:

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. 20142015f

(Apr15)

2015f

(July15)

()

3.63 3.76 3.61 3.11 4.11

()

32.49 33.10 33.95 32.95 34.95

()

96.4 60.0 60.0 50.0 70.0

(%yoy)

-1.0 -1.5 -1.5 (-2.5) (-0.5)

(%yoy)

-1.9 -4.6 -6.7 (-7.7) (--5.7)

( )2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.75

()

24.8 29.4 29.9 28.9 30.9

SNA()

2.94 n/a 3.13 3.033.23

67

2558:

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Gross Domestic Product CVM (%YOY)

5.4

1.7

-0.7

7.5

0.8

7.3

2.8

0.9

2.5-3.5

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20152015f

68

:

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2013 2014 H1/15 H2/15(f)2015f

Real GDP 2.8 0.9 2.9 3.1 2.5 3.5

- Real Private Consumption 0.8 0.6 2.0 1.7 0.9 1.9

- Real Public Consumption 4.7 1.7 4.0 2.7 2.3 3.3

- Real Private Investment -0.8 -2.0 0.0 1.5 0.4 2.4

- Real Public Investment -1.0 -4.9 30.9 12.7 17.6 21.6

- Real Export of goods and services 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.0

- Real Import of goods and services 1.4 -5.4 1.0 0.2 0.2 2.2

Trade Balance (Bil.$) 6.7 24.6 15.3 11.7 18.0 35.0- Export of goods -0.1 -0.3 -4.9 -3.8 -6.0-2.0- Import of goods -0.1 -8.5 -8.7 -3.5 -7.5 -3.5Current Account (Bil.$) -3.9 13.1 12.3 10.3 12.0 29.0- Current Account (%GDP) -0.9 3.2 6.0 5.2 2.9 7.0Headline Inflation 2.2 1.9 -0.8 -0.3 -1.1 -0.1Core Inflation 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.3

69

...

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1

23

4

14 2558 70

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71/74

2558 2559 2558-2559

1. 3 160,420.00 3,570.00 31,386.00 34,956.00 . 14 .. 58

2. 1 (Meter Gauge) 104,173.07 606.33 13,208.08 13,814.41

.. 58

3.

1.435 (StandardGauge)

849,473.75 86.91 152,722.61 152,809.52 .. 58

4. . 97,341.55 3,775.18 12,039.30 15,814.48

..58 .

5. 62,503.21 341.78 5,369.66 5,711.43 .. 59

6. 294,758.35 99,015.69 92,694.68 191,710.37 24 .. 58

1,568,669.93 107,395.89 307,420.32 414,816.21

:

: (.)

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30,000 30,000

6

1

1.

2.

1 1

5 7,255 36,275

60,000

3.

40,000

1.36
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKSEor6l68cCFUNbjgodeB0Ndg&url=http://www.thaihome-dd.com/15247280/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B9%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%8A%E0%B8%B7%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%AD&psig=AFQjCNH0gz4RfYpyH_sRu63_E4KQwKkKRQ&ust=1441934145220359

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New Engine of Growth

6

2 SMEs

A.

B.

A1. 100,000

0.1%

.

.

4%

A2. 100,000

40 / 7 1.75%

A3. SMEs

2,000

2,000

2,000

6,000

B1. CIT SMEs 300,001

15% 20%

10% 2

B2. CIT

R&D

SMEs
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJTj5d3Z68cCFUQFjgodgyoDQA&url=http://www.flaticon.com/free-icon/food-can-closed_34570&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNEjzTKHzceMTWBiHm4uyo2lgnTskA&ust=1441948182800952http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCJHQ2ova68cCFYNyjgodLhULhA&url=http://www.iconshut.com/educate-to-innovate-with-stem-icons/dT1hSFIwY0RvdkwzQnZjblJzWVc1a2QybDZhMmxrTG1acGJHVnpMbmR2Y21Sd2NtVnpjeTVqYjIwdk1qQXhNUzh3T0M5bGJtZHBibVZsY21sdVp5MWtaWE5wWjI0dGNISnZZMlZ6Y3pFdVoybG18dXI9aHR0cDovL3BvcnRsYW5kd2l6a2lkLndvcmRwcmVzcy5jb20vMjAxMS8wOC8zMC9yZXNwb25zZS10by1pbnRlcnZlbnRpb24tcnRpLWFuLWVuZ2luZWVyaW5nLXNvbHV0aW9uLXRvLWFuLWVkdWNhdGlvbi1wcm9ibGVtL3x3PTEwNzh8aD03NjN8dD1naWZ8/&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNG0g5yuYgkHY7JUSvpGXFjrTVcPvA&ust=1441948278427008http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCOuy0vTZ68cCFcEajgodetMJZQ&url=http://blogs.acatlan.unam.mx/smacatlan/2014/11/&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNFyq3-WfiRILDgJDu6VuBy7O_d2VQ&ust=1441948229736401http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCMHow-fV68cCFYJtjgod1IsPLA&url=http://www.haaksquare.com/th/%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B2%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%8B%E0%B8%B4%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%8B%E0%B9%8Ccmu&psig=AFQjCNGR0FvRrPt5bBeQavbE5qk-nJxDQg&ust=1441947129061957https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCPqul8_V68cCFZULjgodOVQOkA&url=https://th.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E0%B8%98%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9E%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%92%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A7%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%82%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%87%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%82%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%A2%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A1%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%AB%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%A8%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%A2&psig=AFQjCNFynVKGhPfNx-UfeCklBM-eBIRaIg&ust=1441947077419343http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKSEor6l68cCFUNbjgodeB0Ndg&url=http://www.thaihome-dd.com/15247280/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B9%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%8A%E0%B8%B7%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%AD&psig=AFQjCNH0gz4RfYpyH_sRu63_E4KQwKkKRQ&ust=1441934145220359http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCOmCj8HU68cCFUJAjgodp9YGow&url=http://www.smesreport.com/TCG&psig=AFQjCNGyzgv7J69Mtl2i3yZj3I9Xf_Uc2g&ust=1441946722277795https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCNrXsbbT68cCFdAajgodQ1kGvA&url=https://www.iconfinder.com/icons/481094/architecture_buildings_city_company_property_real_estate_town_icon&bvm=bv.102022582,d.c2E&psig=AFQjCNFx8ex0Oe0w1eG9OpAxvpLIjxQPQw&ust=1441932993660169http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCKSEor6l68cCFUNbjgodeB0Ndg&url=http://www.thaihome-dd.com/15247280/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B9%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%8A%E0%B8%B7%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%AD&psig=AFQjCNH0gz4RfYpyH_sRu63_E4KQwKkKRQ&ust=1441934145220359

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