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04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 1
Disruptive Innovation in Education
Clayton ChristensenHarvard Business School
February, [email protected]
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 2
Disruptive Innovations create asymmetric competition
Non-c
onsu
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or N
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cons
umin
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occa
sions
Diff
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nt
measu
reO
f Perf
orm
ance
Time
Disruptive
Innovations:
Competing
against
non-consumption
Per
form
ance
Time
Sustaining innovations
Incumbents nearly always win
60% on$500,000
45% on$250,000
40% on $2,000
20%
Performance that customers
can utilize or absorb
Entrants nearly always win
Pace of performance
improvement
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 3
7%
4%
Quality of m
inimill-produced steel
12%
8%
18% 22%
% of tons
Ste
el
Qu
alit
y
19801975 1985 1990
Rebar
Angle iron; bars & rods
Structural Steel
Sheet steel
25–30%55%
Beat Competitors with Asymmetry of Motivation
Quality of in
tegrated mills
’ steel
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 4
Disruption in business models has been the dominant historical mechanism for making things more affordable and accessible.
Today• Toyota• Wal-Mart• Dell• Southwest Airlines• Fidelity• Canon• Microsoft• Oracle• Cingular• Community
colleges
Yesterday• Ford• Dept. Stores• Digital Eqpt.• Delta• Hamilton• Xerox• IBM• Cullinet• AT&T• Land-grant
universities.
Tomorrow:• Chery• Internet retail• RIM Blackberry• Air taxis• ETFs• Zink• Linux• Salesforce.com• Skype• U. of Phoenix
OnLine
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 5
What is a business model, and how is it built?
THE VALUE PROPOSITION:
A product that helps customers do more effectively, conveniently & affordably a job they’ve been trying to do
RESOURCES:
People, technology, products, facilities, equipment, brands, and cash that are required to deliver this value proposition
to the targeted customers
PROCESSES:
Ways of working together to address recurrent tasks in a
consistent way: training, development, manufacturing,
budgeting, planning, etc.
PROFIT FORMULA:
Assets & fixed cost structure, and the margins & velocity
required to cover them
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 6
Market Understanding that Mirrorshow Customers Experience Life
“The customer rarely buys what the company thinks it is selling him” - Peter Drucker
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 7
• When companies segment their markets by job, they find
– Their real competitors aren’t in their product category
– The market is much larger, and their share is smaller
– Growth potential is greater, because non-consumption is usually a major competitor
– They understand what keeps more customers from hiring their product for the job(s).
– They can create valuable brands inexpensively.
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 8
• What is the fundamental job or problem the customer is facing? This includes its functional, emotional and social dimensions.
– What are the experiences in purchase and use which, if all provided, would sum up to nailing the job perfectly?
• The “HIRING CRITERIA” – The factors that constitute the basis for choosing one “job candidate” over another.
- What are the product attributes, technologies, features, etc. that are needed to provide these experiences?
Three levels in the architecture of a job
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 9
Products and business models that focus on doing an important job seem able to
sustain differentiation
• Ikea
• Blackberry
• Federal Express
• Milwaukee Sawzall
• OnStar
• Disney World
• Land Rover
• Palm
• Starbucks
• Ebay
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 10
Disruption of General-Purpose Products Typically Happens on a Job-by-Job basis
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Disruptive
Innovations:
Competing
against
non-consumption
Per
form
ance
Time
Sustaining innovations
Pace of performance
improvementMajor Metropolitan Newspapers Help me:
• Unload the junk in my garage
• Find the right car
• Sell or buy a home
• Find the right job, or the right employees
• Kill commuting time productively
• Become well-informed
• Unwind at the end of the day
Craig’s List
AutoTrader.com
Realtor.com
Monster.com
Metro; Blackberry CNN.com
Unwind at the end of the day
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 11
The Harvard Business School is Being Disrupted
Time
Time
2-year MBA
$150,000 !!
Part-time MBA
On-line Garbage
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Corporate
Universities:
Competing
against
non-
consumption
Help me solve this problem
Help me be an effective manager
Give me the credential I need for my next job
Help me switch careers
Teach me how to analyze business problems
Give me a prestigious brand and connections in an exclusive network
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 12
So what should theHarvard Business School Do?
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 13
The right product architecture depends upon the basis of competition
Compete by improvingspeed, responsiveness and customization
Per
form
ance
Time
Compete by improvingfunctionality &
reliability
IBM Mainframes, Microsoft Windows
Proprietary, in
terdependent archite
ctures
Dell PCs, LinuxModular o
pen architectures
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 14
Modular Archite
ctures
Per
form
ance
Time
Interdependent Archite
ctures
Integrated companies with proprietary products typically commoditize their suppliers
CommoditizerIBM
CommoditizeeApplied Magnetics
General Motors Dana Corp.
P&G Dow Corning
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 15
Per
form
ance
Disruption is facilitated when historically valuable (and expensive) expertise becomes commoditized
Experimentation& problem-solving
Pattern Recognition
Rules-Based
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 16
In B2B markets, the buyer’s job-to-be-done typically is not to enhance capability, but to reduce cost or improve ROA. This creates
opportunities to disrupt from the bottom of the supply chain.
Asus Dell
Small boards
Mother board
Assembly
Supply chain
Design
BrandBrand
Design
Supply chain
Assembly
Mother board
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 17
The Commoditization of Expertise is Widespread.
Commoditizer Commoditizee
Business Professors
Bloomberg
Physicians
Orthopedic SurgeonsImplant Makers
Diagnostics
Wall Street Analysts
HBS Publishing
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 18
Insights from examining education through the lenses of this research
1. Education research has not shown the way forward2. Conflicting mandates in the way we teach vs. the way
we learn3. Computers have failed to make a difference because
we have crammed them into conventional classrooms• They must initially be deployed against non-consumption
4. Individualized, computer-based instruction requires a disruptive distribution model
5. Chartered schools are heavyweight teams, not disruptive competitors
6. We have imposed disruption on our schools three times in recent history by moving the goalposts – the metrics of improvement.
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 19
We all learn differently
Linguistic
Logical- mathematical
Spatial
Bodily- kinesthetic
Musical
Interpersonal
Intrapersonal
Naturalist
Lea
rnin
g S
tyle
s
Mu
ltip
le I
nte
llig
ence
s
Visual
Written
Aural
Playful
Deliberate Pac
es o
f L
earn
ing
Fast
Medium
Slow
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 20
Conflicting mandates in the way we must teach, vs. the way students must learn
Need for customization for differences in how we learn
Stan
dard
ization !! L
earn
ing
Sty
les
Pac
es o
f L
earn
ing
Mu
ltip
le I
nte
llig
ence
s
Interdependencies in the teaching infrastructure
Temporal
Lateral
Physical
Hierarchical Cu
stom
izat
ion
!!
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 21
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Per
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Time
Pocket radios
Portable TVs
Hearing aids
Tabletop Radios, Floor-standing
TVs
Path taken byvacuum tube
manufacturers
Technology can only be deployed in existingbusinesses in ways that sustain (and addcost to) the current model. Disruption bestcompetes against non-consumptionat the outset.
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 22
Historically, most schools have “crammed” computer-based learning into the blue space
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Per
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Time
Core curriculum
Path taken bymost schools,
foundations and education software
companies
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 23
School boards have been moving “Up-Market” to focus limited resources in the “new” trajectory of improvement
Time
Imp
ort
ance
o
f p
rog
ram
Time
German
Statistics
Psychology
Economics
Math
Science
English language & literature
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 24
This is a perfect opportunity to implement computer-based learning disruptively
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Computer-
based learning:
Compete against
non-consumption
Po
litic
al im
po
rtan
ce
of
pro
gra
m
Time
German
Statistics
Psychology
EconomicsEnglish language & literature
Science
Math
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 25
The substitution of one thing substitutes for another always follows an S-curve pattern
% new
.001
.0001
.01
0.1
1.0
10.0
% new% old
09 11070503
25%
50%
13 15
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 26
Proper team structure is crucial in every project
Business model in which product is used
Product architecture: What are the components, and which ones interface with others?
Change the specifications for how components must fit together
Improve performance of each component
Business model in which process is used
Process architecture: What are the steps in the process, and what is their sequence?
How must the steps in the process interface in time and space?
Improve individual steps in the process
Product Process Team Type
Lev
el o
f ch
ange
VP VP VP VP
Autonomous
VP VP VP VPHeavyweight
VP VP VP VP
Lightweight
VP VP VP VPFunctional
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 27
Disruption enables less-skilled peopleto do more sophisticated things
Disruptive innovations enable a larger population of less-skilled, less-wealthy people to do things in a more convenient, lower-cost setting, which historically could only be done by specialists in less convenient settings. Disruption has been one of the fundamental causal mechanisms through which our lives have improved.
• Computers
• Xerography
• Angioplasty
Almost always, disruptive innovations such as these have been ignored or opposed by the leading institutions in their industries for perfectly rational reasons.
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 28
Changes in integrality/modularity have profoundly changed the structure of the computer industry
Equipment
Materials
Components
Product design
Assembly
Operating system
Applications software
Sales & distribution
Field service
Intel, Micron, Quantum, Komag, etc.
Compaq, Dell, Gateway, Packard Bell
Compaq
Microsoft
Word Perfect, Lotus, Borland, etc.
CompUSA
Independent contractors
Microsoft
Contract assemblersContract assemblers
1960 - 1980 1980 - 1990 1990 - Present
Dell
IBM
Co
ntr
ol D
ata
Dig
ital E
qui
pm
ent
Monsanto, Sumitomo Metals, Shipley, etc.
Teradyne, Nikon, Canon, Applied Materials, Millipore, etc.
Ap
ple
Com
pute
r
Micro-Center
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 29
Modular Archite
ctures
Per
form
ance
Time
Interdependent Archite
ctures
When an industry’s value chain dis-integrates,assemblers of modular products must begin outsourcing.
Their suppliers then can commoditize their customers
Commoditizer Commoditizee
Implant Makers Orthopedic Surgeons
Bloomberg Wall Street Analysts
Diagnostics Physicians
HBS Publishing Professors
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 30
Anomaly
ConfirmPredict
The process of building bodies of understanding
Observe, describe & measure the phenomena
Categorization by theattributes of the phenomena
Preliminarystatements ofcorrelation
Ded
uctiv
e pr
oces
sInductive process
04/18/23 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen 31
Anomaly
Confirm
Inductive process
The predictive power of theory improves markedly when careful researchers move beyond statements of correlation to statements of causality.
Anomaly
ConfirmPredict
Categorization by theattributes of the phenomena
Preliminarystatements ofcorrelation
Ded
uctiv
e pr
oces
s
Inductive processObserve, describe & measure the phenomena
Predict
Ded
uctiv
e pr
oces
sObserve, describe &
measure the phenomena
Categorization of thecircumstances in which we
might find ourselves
Descriptive theory
Normative theory
Statementof causality